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The increasing intensity of business competition requires companies to maintain strong financial conditions to avoid financial distress that may disrupt business continuity. This study aims to assess the financial stability and predict the potential bankruptcy of PT Sido Muncul Tbk for the 2022–2024 period using the Altman Z-Score model. A descriptive quantitative approach was applied, utilizing secondary data obtained from annual reports published by the Indonesia Stock Exchange and the company’s official website. Five key ratios in the Altman model were used as indicators to evaluate the company’s financial position and resilience. The results show Z-Score values of 4.74 in 2022, decreasing slightly to 4.66 in 2023, and rising again to 4.79 in 2024. These scores are significantly above the safe threshold of 2.675, indicating that the company is in a healthy financial state with a very low risk of bankruptcy. Overall, PT Sido Muncul Tbk demonstrates stable financial performance, supported by a strong capital structure and consistent operational results. The Altman Z-Score model also proves to be an effective early-warning tool for identifying potential financial problems.

Diabetes Mellitus is a chronic disease that requires early detection to prevent serious complications. This study aims to implement the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm with the Backpropagation method to predict the risk of diabetes. The dataset used is the Pima Indians Diabetes Dataset, consisting of 768 medical records with 8 feature attributes. This study employs the Multi-Layer Perceptron method with an architecture of 8 input neurons, two hidden layers, and 1 output neuron. Model evaluation is conducted using a Confusion Matrix to measure accuracy levels. The test results show that the model is capable of predicting diabetes diagnosis with an accuracy rate of 76.62%. Based on these results, it can be concluded that the Backpropagation algorithm is effective as an alternative method for early detection of diabetes, although further development is needed to improve the model's sensitivity to positive cases.  

This study develops an interpretable machine learning model to predict the settlement status of Hajj fees in Jambi Province, Indonesia. Utilizing the XGBoost algorithm on a dataset of 4,332 prospective pilgrims from 2025, the research addresses the critical challenge of class imbalance where only 28.5% of samples are labeled "Unsettled". The baseline XGBoost model achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.7778, with a recall of 0.3482 for the minority class. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis was employed to interpret model predictions, revealing that financial features specifically NILAI_VA (Virtual Account Value), JML_SETORAN (Deposit Amount), and JML_PELUNASAN (Settlement Amount) are the most significant factors influencing repayment risk, with negative SHAP values indicating increased default probability. The findings demonstrate that an interpretable XGBoost framework can provide both predictive accuracy and actionable insights for policymakers, enabling targeted interventions such as flexible payment schemes and enhanced financial monitoring for high-risk pilgrims..

Student dropout remains a significant challenge for higher education institutions as it impacts academic quality, educational management efficiency, and students' success in completing their studies. Therefore, an approach that can identify students at risk of dropping out is necessary so that timely academic interventions can be made. This study aims to develop a dropout detection model using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The data used come from a publicly available higher education dataset, ensuring research reproducibility. Data preprocessing steps were carried out to improve data quality before modeling, and the Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique combined with Edited Nearest Neighbors (SMOTE-ENN) was applied to address class imbalance issues. The ANN model's performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and area under the ROC curve (ROC-AUC). The test results show that the ANN model can provide excellent predictive performance in detecting at-risk students. The application of SMOTE-ENN also proved to enhance the model’s sensitivity toward the minority class, as indicated by improvements in recall and F1-score. These findings indicate that the developed ANN model has the potential to be used as a student dropout detection system to support data-driven decision-making and strategy development within higher education institutions.

Hypertension is a major global health risk that requires accurate early detection, yet conventional methods struggle with complex and imbalanced health datasets. This study aims to optimize hypertension prediction using a Logistic Regression model integrated with Borderline-SMOTE to enhance recall and provide model transparency through SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations). The method utilizes the BRFSS dataset, applying Borderline-SMOTE to address class imbalance at the decision boundary and XAI techniques for global and local interpretation. The findings show that the model achieved an accuracy of 0.719, an AUC of 0.800, and a significantly improved recall of 0.756. SHAP analysis identified age, high cholesterol, and BMI as the most influential risk factors, while waterfall plots successfully clarified individual risk extremes, ranging from 1.72% to 99.43% probability. These results imply that the proposed approach provides a sensitive and transparent screening tool for public health practitioners, effectively balancing statistical efficiency with clinical accountability.

Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) is a pregnancy-related metabolic disorder that poses health risks to both mother and fetus if not detected early, requiring accurate prediction methods for early screening and clinical decision-making. This study applies the Random Forest algorithm to detect GDM risk using clinical data from the Pima Indian Dataset. Data preprocessing included handling missing values, standardization, feature engineering, and a 70:30 train–test split. Two models were developed: a baseline and an optimized model using GridSearchCV hyperparameter tuning, validated with 5-fold cross-validation. Performance was assessed using a classification report, confusion matrix, and ROC–AUC. Results show that the optimized model outperforms the baseline, achieving 88% accuracy, an AUC of  93%, and average recall of 81%–85%. Compared to previous studies, this approach demonstrates improved predictive performance. The findings indicate that combining Random Forest with comprehensive preprocessing, feature engineering, and model optimization is effective and feasible for developing a medical decision support system for early GDM risk screening.

Rubber prices experience significant and prolonged fluctuations, which impact farmer incomes and management decisions. Understanding historical patterns and price predictions is considered crucial for production planning, marketing, and farmer protection policies. This study aims to identify the characteristics of rubber price time series in Lahat Regency and develop a reliable forecasting model to support short- to medium-term decision-making. This study uses secondary data on monthly average producer prices for the period January 2019–December 2023. The analysis includes the Augmented Dickey–Fuller stationarity test to determine the need for transformation, differencing, and/or logarithmic transformation when necessary, identification of autocorrelation patterns using ACF/PACF, model estimation on the processed data, and evaluation of residual diagnostics (Ljung–Box, normality test) and forecasting accuracy metrics (RMSE, MAE, MAPE, Theil). The level data shows non-stationarity and becomes stationary after the first differencing; The model on log-transformed data had significant parameters and higher explanatory power than the model on de-differenced data, with RMSE and MAPE values ​​within a reasonable range. Forecast confidence intervals widened at longer time horizons, indicating increased projection uncertainty. Conclusion: Validated forecasts can inform farmers and policymakers to manage price risk and design market interventions.

This study aims to compare and analyze the accuracy levels of four financial distress prediction models—Altman Z-Score, Springate, Grover, and Zmijewski—in anticipating the potential bankruptcy of companies subjected to delisting from the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX). The delisting phenomenon, which is strongly linked to severe financial deterioration, provided the core motivation for identifying the most reliable predictive instrument, utilizing secondary data from the annual financial reports of delisted companies during the 2019-2023 observation period. Descriptive analysis techniques were employed to calculate the accuracy rate and Type Error for each model. The comparative results consistently indicate that the Springate Model is the most effective, consistent, and accurate model for predicting financial distress in delisted firms, achieving an accuracy rate of 89% in both the first and second years prior to delisting, while the Altman Z-Score model exhibited lower accuracy (68.75% and 62.50%). This key finding emphasizes the superiority of the Springate Model as a crucial diagnostic tool for investors and regulatory bodies in assessing corporate bankruptcy risk.

Chronic diseases such as chronic kidney disease (CKD), diabetes, and heart disease remain major causes of mortality worldwide, highlighting the need for accurate and interpretable diagnostic models. However, conventional machine learning methods often face challenges of limited generalization, feature redundancy, and class imbalance in medical datasets. This study proposes an integrated classification framework that unifies three complementary feature paradigms: classical tabular attributes, deep latent features extracted through an unsupervised Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) encoder, and quantum-inspired features derived from a five-qubit circuit implemented in PennyLane. These heterogeneous features are fused using a feature-wise attention mechanism combined with an AdaBoost classifier to dynamically weight feature contributions and enhance decision boundaries. Experiments were conducted on three benchmark medical datasets—CKD, early-stage diabetes, and heart disease—under both balanced and imbalanced configurations using stratified five-fold cross-validation. All preprocessing and feature extraction steps were carefully isolated within each fold to ensure fair evaluation. The proposed hybrid model consistently outperformed conventional and ensemble baselines, achieving peak accuracies of 99.75% (CKD), 96.73% (diabetes), and 91.40% (heart disease) with corresponding ROC AUCs up to 1.00. Ablation analyses confirmed that attention-based fusion substantially improved both accuracy and recall, particularly under imbalanced conditions, while SMOTE contributed minimally once feature-level optimization was applied. Overall, the attention-guided AdaBoost framework provides a robust and interpretable approach for clinical risk prediction, demonstrating that integrating diverse quantum, deep, and classical representations can significantly enhance feature discriminability and model reliability in structured medical data.

This study examines the application of Educational Data Mining (EDM) to predict the academic per-formance of first-year students at the Catholic University of Bukavu and the Higher Institute of Edu-cation (ISP) in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The primary objective is to develop a model that can identify at-risk students early, providing the university with a tool to enhance student support and academic guidance. To address the challenges posed by data imbalance (where successful cases outnumber failures), the study adopts a hybrid methodological approach. First, the SMOTE algorithm was applied to balance the dataset. Then, a stacking classification model was developed to combine the predictive power of multiple algorithms. The variables used for prediction include the National Exam score (PEx), the secondary school track (Humanities), and the type of prior institution (public, private, or religious-affiliated schools), as well as age and sex. The results demonstrate that this approach is highly effective. The model is not only capable of predicting success or failure but also of forecasting students' performance levels (e.g., honors or distinctions). Moreover, the use of the Apriori association rule mining algorithm allowed the identification of faculty-specific success profiles, transforming prediction into an interpretable decision-support tool. This research makes several significant contributions. Practically, it provides the University of Bukavu with a tool for student orientation and early risk detection. Methodologically, it illustrates the effectiveness of a combined approach to EDM in an African context. However, the study acknowledges certain limitations, including the non-public nature of the data and the geographical specificity of the sample. It therefore proposes avenues for future research, such as the integration of Explainable AI (XAI) techniques for more refined and transparent analysis of the results.

Sleep is a fundamental human need that plays a crucial role in maintaining both physical and mental health. Poor sleep quality can trigger a variety of health problems, ranging from decreased concentration to an increased risk of chronic diseases. The complexity of factors influencing sleep quality—such as stress levels, heart rate, blood pressure, physical activity, and lifestyle—makes its assessment difficult through direct observation alone. Therefore, data mining approaches are increasingly utilized to identify relevant patterns in sleep-related data. This study aims to compare the performance of the C4.5 (Decision Tree) algorithm and the Naïve Bayes algorithm in predicting sleep quality using the Sleep Health and Lifestyle dataset, which contains information from 374 respondents. The research method applied is a quantitative comparative approach employing classification techniques with 10-fold cross-validation to ensure robust evaluation. Model performance is assessed using accuracy, precision, and recall metrics to provide a comprehensive understanding of the effectiveness of each algorithm. The findings indicate that the C4.5 algorithm achieves an accuracy of 96.26% and offers advantages in terms of interpretability through its decision tree visualization, enabling easier understanding of variable relationships. In contrast, the Naïve Bayes algorithm demonstrates superior predictive performance, achieving an accuracy of 98.66% along with consistently high precision and recall across nearly all classes. These results suggest that Naïve Bayes is more effective for predictive tasks involving sleep quality, while C4.5 remains highly valuable when the goal is to interpret variable interactions and decision rules. Overall, this research highlights the potential of data mining techniques in health informatics, particularly in improving the understanding and prediction of sleep quality, which in turn can contribute to better prevention and management of sleep-related health issues.

This research was conducted from June to July 2025 in Binjai City, with the primary focus being analyzing the readiness of the Binjai City Regional Disaster Management Agency (BPBD) to implement a flood early warning system utilizing artificial intelligence (AI). The data collection process was conducted through a literature review, which involved reviewing various theories and previous research results regarding the application of AI and Internet of Things (IoT) technology in the context of disaster mitigation. Based on the results of the study, it was found that the use of technologies such as ultrasonic sensors, microcontrollers, fuzzy logic, and automatic notification systems can provide real-time warnings with a high level of accuracy and a fast response. This system enables early detection of rising river levels through automatic measurements, intelligent data processing, and sending notifications to authorities and affected communities within seconds. By integrating historical data and machine learning-based predictions, this system is also able to depict potential flooding before it occurs, providing a longer response time for evacuation. However, the readiness of the Binjai City BPBD still faces various challenges, such as limited digital infrastructure, the need for human resource training in the technology field, and inadequate budget allocation. Therefore, cross-sector collaboration and ongoing policy support are needed for optimal implementation of this system. The use of AI and IoT in early warning systems is not only technically relevant but also urgent in the face of increasing climate change and flood risks. A strategy involving cross-sector collaboration between government, academia, and the private sector is needed to develop an adaptive and sustainable early warning system.

The issue of determining the number of students' graduation times is one of the important indicators in transmitting the quality and effectiveness of the higher education process in universities. The rate of on-time graduation not only impacts accredited institutions, but also becomes a concern for campus management in designing learning strategies and academic guidance. This study aims to apply and compare two classification algorithms in data mining, namely C4.5 and K-Nearest Neighbor KNN, in predicting the accuracy of students' graduation times. Predictions are made based on academic attributes such as Grade Point Average GPA, number of credits that have been achieved, and Semester Grade Point Average IPS as input variables. The method used in this study is Knowledge Discovery in Database KDD which includes data selection, preprocessing, transformation, data mining, and evaluation of results. The study was conducted using the RapidMiner tool, with a dataset of 279 Informatics Study Program students from the 2015 to 2019 intake. The data was classified into two categories: "graduated on time" and "not graduated on time". The test results showed that the KNN algorithm provided better performance compared to C4.5. KNN produced an accuracy of 76.08%, with a precision of 73.11% and a recall of 41.92%. Meanwhile, the C4.5 algorithm produced an accuracy of 73.49%, with a precision of 64.62% and a recall of 41.89%. This difference in accuracy indicates that KNN is more effective in capturing patterns in the data and providing more accurate predictions in this context. Thus, the KNN algorithm can be considered a more optimal method to assist universities in predicting potential student admissions in a timely manner, thus enabling early intervention for students at risk of late graduation. This research also contributes to the development of data mining-based academic decision support systems in higher education.

The study presents a comprehensive framework for optimizing customer retention budget by integrating clustering, classification, and mathematical optimization techniques. The study begins with the IBM Telco dataset, which is prepared through data cleansing, encoding, and scaling.  In the preliminary phase, customer segmentation is performed using K-Means clustering, with k = 3 and k = 4 identified as optimal based on the elbow method and Silhouette score. The configurations produced three (Premium, Standard, Low) and four (Premium, Standard Plus, Standard, Low) customer segments based on purchase preferences, which served as input features for churn prediction. In the second phase, the dataset was divided into training and test sets in an 80:20 ratio, followed by data balancing using the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) and Edited Nearest Neighbors (ENN). Multiple classification algorithms were evaluated, including Naive Bayes (NB), Random Forest (RF), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Gradient Boosting (GB), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) using F1-score as the performance metric. CatBoost and LightGBM, with k values of 3 and 4, respectively, were the highest-performing classification models, with only minimal differences in performance.    Ultimately, customer segmentation established customer prioritization, whereas churn prediction assessed customer churn likelihood. Four distinct configurations were assessed utilizing mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) to optimise retention budget allocation within uniform budget constraints, discount amounts, and churn thresholds. In both the k=3 and k=4 scenarios, CatBoost surpassed LightGBM, with CatBoost at K=3 effectively discounting 66% of at-risk consumers across all three segments, hence improving the intervention's efficacy and budget allocation, making it the ideal choice for maximizing customer retention. The results demonstrate the importance of segmentation in enhancing retention budgeting and budget optimization, particularly concerning parameter sensitivity.

Bitcoin is one of the most prominent digital assets in the modern financial era due to its high volatility and huge profit potential. However, its extreme price volatility also makes it a high-risk asset, so a reliable forecasting approach is needed to help investors make more rational decisions. This study aims to forecast Bitcoin price using the Moving Average (MA) method, specifically MA3, by utilizing monthly historical data of Bitcoin price in USD currency obtained from investing.com website. The MA3 method was chosen for its ability to smooth out short-term fluctuations and identify the direction of price trends. The forecasting process is performed by calculating the average of the last three months' prices for each point in time and compared to the actual price to evaluate its accuracy. The evaluation is done using various prediction error metrics, namely Error, Absolute Error, Squared Error, and Percentage Error. The results of the analysis show that the MA method provides a fairly representative picture of price trends and can be used as an early indicator in short-term investment strategies. Thus, the Moving Average method proves to be a simple but effective prediction tool, especially for novice investors in the dynamic crypto asset market.

Dengue Fever (DF) continues to be a major public health threat in Indonesia, especially in urban areas with high population density, such as Purwokerto City. This study aims to develop a predictive model to identify high-risk areas for DF outbreaks by integrating Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and Geographic Information Systems (GIS). The research utilizes historical dengue case data, meteorological parameters (rainfall, temperature, humidity), and population density as predictive variables. Three ML classification algorithms—Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, and Support Vector Machine (SVM)—were implemented to develop risk prediction models. Extensive data preprocessing, feature selection, and spatial integration were applied to ensure model robustness. The results show that the SVM model outperformed other methods, achieving the highest accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score in classifying dengue risk zones. Risk maps generated through GIS visualization successfully identify priority areas for targeted interventions. The novelty of this research lies in the combination of local epidemiological data, multi-algorithm comparison, and geospatial mapping to improve early warning systems for DF in Purwokerto. This integrated approach is expected to support more effective prevention strategies and enhance public health preparedness.

This study explores the development and application of a digital twin-driven cybersecurity risk assessment model for Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) networks. The increasing complexity and interconnectivity of IIoT systems have expanded the attack surface, making them vulnerable to a wide range of cyber threats. The digital twin model addresses this challenge by creating real-time virtual replicas of physical systems, which can simulate and predict network vulnerabilities and attack vectors. The model uses machine learning algorithms and real-time data to simulate cyberattacks, including Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS), malware, and data breaches. By providing continuous monitoring and dynamic risk predictions, the digital twin model enhances the resilience of IIoT networks compared to traditional cybersecurity frameworks. The findings indicate that the model's ability to predict potential cyber threats and simulate various attack scenarios provides a more proactive and accurate approach to cybersecurity in IIoT environments. Additionally, the study highlights key mitigation strategies, including adaptive security mechanisms, real-time anomaly detection, and the use of lightweight encryption for resource-constrained devices. Despite its effectiveness, challenges such as computational requirements, integration with legacy systems, and scalability were identified. This research underscores the strategic importance of digital twin models in securing IIoT systems and advancing Manufacturing 4.0 ecosystems. Future research should focus on enhancing model accuracy, expanding its application to diverse industrial sectors, and improving interoperability with legacy systems to further strengthen the security posture of IIoT networks.

This study examines the role of smart technology, particularly Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the Internet of Things (IoT), in strengthening economic resilience in the face of climate change impacts. Using a qualitative descriptive approach with a literature stufy method, secondary data was obtained from scientific journals, books, proceedings, and relevant online articles. The analysis was conducted through reduction, categorization, and thematic analysis of the relevant literature. The results show that AI contributes significantly to improving economic efficiency and risk prediction compabilities. While IoT strengthens connectivity and automation that support supply chain stability, the intregration of AI and IoT in the agricultural sector significantly increases productivity and food security. In addition, smart technology is also an effective mitigation tool against exctreme climate variations that impact the economy and society. This study emphasizes the importance of cross-sector collaboration and digital infrastructure investment to build adaptive and sustainable economic resilience. The implication of this research provide a basis for policy strategies and digital innovation in an era of increasing dynamic climate change.

This study examines the factors that influence financial distress in companies affiliated with Israel, focusing on the roles of profitability, liquidity, leverage, sales growth, and firm size. The research is driven by the phenomenon of boycotts caused by geopolitical conflicts involving Israel, which have impacted the financial performance of several companies, particularly in Indonesia. The study uses a quantitative approach, analyzing a sample of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) that are affiliated with Israel during the 2023-2024 period. The data consists of quarterly financial statements, which are analyzed using the Altman Z-Score bankruptcy prediction model. The findings show that profitability and liquidity have a significant effect on financial distress, while leverage and sales growth have a smaller impact. Firm size is also found to reduce the risk of financial distress. These results suggest that companies linked to Israel are more vulnerable to financial risks due to boycotts triggered by international political tensions.

The importance of data mining in Indonesia is increasing along with the growth of big data in various strategic sectors. Data mining plays an important role in transforming complex data into useful information to support data-driven decision making, which is urgently needed in the face of competitive challenges and operational complexity. This research aims to examine the development of data mining techniques and applications in Indonesia over the last decade (2015-2024). Through a systematic literature review approach, data was collected from academic publications in SCOPUS indexed databases. From the initial 95 papers found, a further selection was made based on accessibility, title, and abstract until 64 papers were included in the article review. The results show that techniques such as K-Means, Naive Bayes, and Decision Tree are most commonly used. In the business sector, clustering through K-Means is widely applied for market segmentation and consumer pattern analysis. The healthcare sector mainly utilizes classification techniques, such as Naive Bayes and Decision Tree, for disease risk prediction and early diagnosis. Meanwhile, the education sector uses data mining to assess student performance and predict potential dropouts, assisting institutions in optimizing learning strategies.