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Background: The development of industrial technology in the Industry 4.0 era has encouraged the implementation of intelligent monitoring systems to improve machine reliability and operational efficiency. However, machine fault diagnosis systems based on artificial intelligence often face limitations in terms of interpretability because the models used are complex and difficult to explain. Objective: This study aims to develop a deep learning-based industrial machine fault diagnosis system integrated with an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) approach to improve diagnostic accuracy while providing interpretable insights for users. Method: The research method involves collecting data from industrial machine sensors consisting of vibration signals, temperature measurements, and acoustic signals, followed by data preprocessing and feature extraction processes. The processed data are then used to train a deep learning-based diagnostic model, after which explainability methods such as SHAP or LIME are applied to analyze the contribution of each feature to the model’s prediction results. Model performance is evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score metrics. Results: The results indicate that the proposed deep learning model achieves better performance compared to conventional machine learning methods such as Support Vector Machine and Random Forest. Furthermore, the explainability analysis reveals that vibration amplitude, increases in machine component temperature, and anomalies in acoustic signals are the main factors influencing machine fault detection. Therefore, the proposed system not only improves the accuracy of machine fault diagnosis but also provides transparency in the decision-making process, thereby supporting the implementation of predictive maintenance in smart manufacturing environments.

The increasing intensity of business competition requires companies to maintain strong financial conditions to avoid financial distress that may disrupt business continuity. This study aims to assess the financial stability and predict the potential bankruptcy of PT Sido Muncul Tbk for the 2022–2024 period using the Altman Z-Score model. A descriptive quantitative approach was applied, utilizing secondary data obtained from annual reports published by the Indonesia Stock Exchange and the company’s official website. Five key ratios in the Altman model were used as indicators to evaluate the company’s financial position and resilience. The results show Z-Score values of 4.74 in 2022, decreasing slightly to 4.66 in 2023, and rising again to 4.79 in 2024. These scores are significantly above the safe threshold of 2.675, indicating that the company is in a healthy financial state with a very low risk of bankruptcy. Overall, PT Sido Muncul Tbk demonstrates stable financial performance, supported by a strong capital structure and consistent operational results. The Altman Z-Score model also proves to be an effective early-warning tool for identifying potential financial problems.

The rapid development of smartphone technology today creates challenges for consumers and manufacturers in determining an objective price range based on highly varied technical specifications. This study aims to implement the Random Forest algorithm in classifying smartphone price ranges into four main categories, namely low, mid-range, high, and flagship. The research method was carried out systematically through the stages of loading a dataset of 2,000 entries, exploratory data analysis (EDA) to ensure data integrity, and model training with a training and testing data split of 80:20. The results showed that the Random Forest model achieved a significant overall accuracy rate of 89%. Based on feature importance analysis, it was found that RAM capacity was the most dominant determining factor, contributing 47% to prediction accuracy, followed by battery power and screen resolution as supporting features. These findings have strategic implications for manufacturers to prioritize memory capacity upgrades in determining product pricing in the market, as well as providing guidance for consumers in assessing the fairness of a device's price based on its technical capabilities.

Unexpected downtime of a 2 kg/hour coffee grinder is crucial in cafe operations, thus less guaranteeing the availability of the grinder. The purpose of component replacement and repair planning is to obtain a prediction of the maintenance and repair schedule and costs in the 2026 period. The component replacement planning method includes collecting previous maintenance and repair data, applying the inspection-replace-repair-overhaul (IRRO) method, assessing component conditions, predicting component life, predicting technician costs, predicting supporting work equipment and supporting materials to be used in maintenance, predicting the time to replace spare parts or reinstall components after repair, estimating maintenance and repair costs for the 2026 period, and calculating the ratio of maintenance costs to profits. The results of component replacement and repair planning obtained maintenance costs for the 2026 period are IDR 2,350,000, - with an estimated coffee grinder rental rate of IDR 25,000/hour which has the potential to be rented for 1440 hours/year, and the ratio of maintenance costs to profits is 6.5% which implies that the coffee grinder with a capacity of 2 kg / hour is still suitable for use for the next few years and still has the opportunity to make a profit.

This study develops an interpretable machine learning model to predict the settlement status of Hajj fees in Jambi Province, Indonesia. Utilizing the XGBoost algorithm on a dataset of 4,332 prospective pilgrims from 2025, the research addresses the critical challenge of class imbalance where only 28.5% of samples are labeled "Unsettled". The baseline XGBoost model achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.7778, with a recall of 0.3482 for the minority class. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis was employed to interpret model predictions, revealing that financial features specifically NILAI_VA (Virtual Account Value), JML_SETORAN (Deposit Amount), and JML_PELUNASAN (Settlement Amount) are the most significant factors influencing repayment risk, with negative SHAP values indicating increased default probability. The findings demonstrate that an interpretable XGBoost framework can provide both predictive accuracy and actionable insights for policymakers, enabling targeted interventions such as flexible payment schemes and enhanced financial monitoring for high-risk pilgrims..

Student dropout remains a significant challenge for higher education institutions as it impacts academic quality, educational management efficiency, and students' success in completing their studies. Therefore, an approach that can identify students at risk of dropping out is necessary so that timely academic interventions can be made. This study aims to develop a dropout detection model using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The data used come from a publicly available higher education dataset, ensuring research reproducibility. Data preprocessing steps were carried out to improve data quality before modeling, and the Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique combined with Edited Nearest Neighbors (SMOTE-ENN) was applied to address class imbalance issues. The ANN model's performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and area under the ROC curve (ROC-AUC). The test results show that the ANN model can provide excellent predictive performance in detecting at-risk students. The application of SMOTE-ENN also proved to enhance the model’s sensitivity toward the minority class, as indicated by improvements in recall and F1-score. These findings indicate that the developed ANN model has the potential to be used as a student dropout detection system to support data-driven decision-making and strategy development within higher education institutions.

Hypertension is a major global health risk that requires accurate early detection, yet conventional methods struggle with complex and imbalanced health datasets. This study aims to optimize hypertension prediction using a Logistic Regression model integrated with Borderline-SMOTE to enhance recall and provide model transparency through SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations). The method utilizes the BRFSS dataset, applying Borderline-SMOTE to address class imbalance at the decision boundary and XAI techniques for global and local interpretation. The findings show that the model achieved an accuracy of 0.719, an AUC of 0.800, and a significantly improved recall of 0.756. SHAP analysis identified age, high cholesterol, and BMI as the most influential risk factors, while waterfall plots successfully clarified individual risk extremes, ranging from 1.72% to 99.43% probability. These results imply that the proposed approach provides a sensitive and transparent screening tool for public health practitioners, effectively balancing statistical efficiency with clinical accountability.

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) provides rich anatomical contrast for brain tumor assessment, yet routine interpretation remains time-intensive and demands high precision. This work develops a pipeline for four-class brain MRI image classification (glioma, meningioma, pituitary tumor, and no tumor) by combining automated brain-region cropping, data augmentation, and transfer learning with EfficientNetB1. Experimental results demonstrate exceptional performance, achieving an overall accuracy of 0.99 (99%) on the test set. Specifically, the model reached an F1-score of 1.00 for the no tumor class, 0.99 for pituitary, and 0.98 for both glioma and meningioma classes. Beyond reporting numerical performance, the study utilizes Grad-CAM heatmaps to verify that predictions rely on clinically plausible regions rather than spurious background cues. These results indicate that an efficiency-oriented backbone, paired with systematic preprocessing, can achieve reliable and interpretable performance for brain tumor classification tasks.

The massive adoption of Internet of Things (IoT) devices is expanding the cyberattacks surface, particularly by the Mirai botnet, which exploits the dynamic characteristics of data traffic. This research proposes a Mirai detection approach based on a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) optimized using Bayesian Optimization to improve prediction accuracy on sequential data. Unlike previous studies, this research utilizes the latest CIC IoT-DIAD 2024 dataset and applies probabilistic optimization to the hyperparameter space, including RNN units, dropout, and learning rate. The experiment was conducted on 201,021 valid data points, with dimensionality reduction using PCA as the optimal point to represent essential features without redundancy. The results show a significant increase in accuracy from 97.95% to 99.69%, accompanied by an 84% decrease in False Negatives, an 86% decrease in False Positives, and an AUC value of 0.9999. These findings confirm that integrating RNN and Bayesian Optimization not only improves numerical performance but also strengthens the reliability of the intrusion detection system for modern IoT ecosystems with controlled computational loads.

The dynamic changes in weather patterns in Jambi City require an accurate temperature prediction system, thus this study aims to compare the performance of Random Forest and Support Vector Regression (SVR) algorithms in predicting daily maximum temperatures using weather data from 2020–2024 obtained from OpenMeteo with the application of Feature Engineering including lag and rolling window features. The test results indicate that the SVR model with a Radial Basis Function (RBF) kernel optimized using Grid Search (C=10, epsilon=0.2, gamma=0.01) significantly outperforms Random Forest based on a statistical Paired T-test (p-value < 0.05), yielding an R-squared (R²) value of 87.46%, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.3818 °C, and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.4964 °C compared to Random Forest's R² of 84.05%, where the previous day's temperature (lag) and three-day rolling average were identified as the most dominant predictors, leading to the recommendation of SVR as the more effective method for temperature prediction in the study area.

AImbalanced data remains a significant issue in heart disease classification using machine learning, as it tends to cause models to overestimate the majority class while ignoring minority classes with high clinical value. This can lead to a decrease in accuracy and the model's ability to accurately detect disease cases. Therefore, this study aims to assess the effectiveness of oversampling techniques, namely Random Oversampling and Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE), in improving the performance of the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Naive Bayes (NB), and Random Forest (RF) algorithms. The dataset used comes from Kaggle and consists of 918 data sets with 12 attributes representing patient information related to heart disease prediction. The research stages include data preprocessing, baseline model testing, and re-evaluation using the two oversampling methods. Experimental results show that oversampling can improve the performance of all algorithms. KNN achieved the best results with SMOTE, with an accuracy of 72.98% and an F1-score of 75.39%. In the Naive Bayes algorithm, both oversampling techniques produced relatively stable performance, with the highest F1-score of 73.56% using SMOTE. Meanwhile, Random Forest showed the most optimal performance when combined with Random Oversampling, with an accuracy of 79.19% and an F1-score of 81.51%. These findings confirm that the success of data balancing techniques is strongly influenced by the characteristics of the classification algorithm used, and provide a practical contribution in determining strategies for handling imbalanced data in health research.

Rapid developments in the era of digital transformation, which refer to the emergence of business and technology innovations based on artificial intelligence, big data, and the Internet of Things (IoT), have great potential for strategic sustainability for businesses in the digital age. Efforts to transform digital business models as a global competitive advantage and provide outputs that can be oriented towards future predictions. Digital business models refer to strategic designs for creating platform networks that are implemented through relationships with consumers and cross-sector collaboration. Challenges and opportunities for development between transformation and innovation are necessary in order to create and capture competitive value and provide added value in the digital economy era. The use of bibliometric analysis in research provides direction in understanding the perspectives and issues that require further research, opens up space for exploring publication trends, and identifies the mapping of key concepts that form the basis of main ideas, thereby providing a more structured understanding and developing new research opportunities, especially in the field of digital business models. Bibliometric analysis aims to gain an in-depth understanding of research using the R studio application as a tool for processing data trends over time and VOSviewer as a knowledge map visualization tool. The research was conducted to provide an understanding of current and future developments in a dynamic environment.

Diabetes Mellitus is a chronic disease that requires early detection to prevent serious complications. This study aims to implement the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm with the Backpropagation method to predict the risk of diabetes. The dataset used is the Pima Indians Diabetes Dataset, consisting of 768 medical records with 8 feature attributes. This study employs the Multi-Layer Perceptron method with an architecture of 8 input neurons, two hidden layers, and 1 output neuron. Model evaluation is conducted using a Confusion Matrix to measure accuracy levels. The test results show that the model is capable of predicting diabetes diagnosis with an accuracy rate of 76.62%. Based on these results, it can be concluded that the Backpropagation algorithm is effective as an alternative method for early detection of diabetes, although further development is needed to improve the model's sensitivity to positive cases.  

Tebing Tinggi City, which has a strategic position in North Sumatra, is experiencing changes in population growth that need to be predicted for development planning purposes. The purpose of this study is to forecast the population of Tebing Tinggi City in 2030 by applying the Double Integral method, and visualize the results in 3D using GeoGebra. The method used is a quantitative approach with a case study, where the population density function is created based on secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Tebing Tinggi City for the period 2010 to 2024. Data on area and population per sub-district are used to develop a population growth model calculated using the double integral. The forecast results show that the population of Tebing Tinggi City is estimated to reach 26,038 people in 2030, with varying growth rates in each sub-district. 3D visualization through GeoGebra is able to depict the distribution of population density in an interactive geometric form, thus facilitating the understanding of complex mathematical concepts. The conclusion of this study is that double integrals can be applied effectively to predict population size, and GeoGebra serves as a very useful visual aid in presenting the results of multivariable calculus analysis.

Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) is a pregnancy-related metabolic disorder that poses health risks to both mother and fetus if not detected early, requiring accurate prediction methods for early screening and clinical decision-making. This study applies the Random Forest algorithm to detect GDM risk using clinical data from the Pima Indian Dataset. Data preprocessing included handling missing values, standardization, feature engineering, and a 70:30 train–test split. Two models were developed: a baseline and an optimized model using GridSearchCV hyperparameter tuning, validated with 5-fold cross-validation. Performance was assessed using a classification report, confusion matrix, and ROC–AUC. Results show that the optimized model outperforms the baseline, achieving 88% accuracy, an AUC of  93%, and average recall of 81%–85%. Compared to previous studies, this approach demonstrates improved predictive performance. The findings indicate that combining Random Forest with comprehensive preprocessing, feature engineering, and model optimization is effective and feasible for developing a medical decision support system for early GDM risk screening.

Diseases in primary health services exhibit complex spatial-temporal dynamics due to urbanization and population mobility. Conventional surveillance approaches are difficult to capture these patterns adaptively. Machine learning (ML) based on spatio-temporal modeling offers a solution with the ability to detect disease clusters automatically and with high precision. Research Objectives: This research aims to develop a machine learning model to detect disease hotspots from primary service data in Indonesia, with a focus on improving prediction accuracy, interpretability, and relevance of health policies. Methodology: The primary service dataset for 2024 (5,343 entries) was analyzed using three ML models Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Temporal Random Forest (TRF), and Multi-EigenSpot with spatial (village) and temporal (week, month) features. Performance evaluation includes predictive (AUC, F1-score) and spatial (Moran's I, Spatio-Temporal Correlation Index) metrics. Results: The results showed that Multi-EigenSpot achieved the best performance (AUC=0.91; F1=0.86), with the detection of dominant hotspots in Sungai Asam and Beringin Villages. Moran's I value of 0.63 indicates a strong spatial autocorrelation, while STCI=0.57 indicates moderate temporal stability. Conclusions: ML-based spatio-temporal models are effective in identifying hidden disease patterns and have the potential to be integrated into national digital surveillance systems. This approach supports precision public health by providing a scientific basis for real-time location- and time-based intervention policies.

End-to-end autonomous driving has emerged as a promising paradigm in which deep neural networks directly map raw visual inputs to continuous control actions. Despite its effectiveness, this approach suffers from limited transparency, posing significant challenges for deployment in safety-critical driving scenarios. This study addresses the lack of interpretability in vision-based end-to-end autonomous driving systems and aims to analyze model decision-making behavior under critical conditions such as sharp steering maneuvers and abrupt control transitions. To this end, an explainable end-to-end autonomous driving framework is proposed, combining a convolutional neural network trained via imitation learning with gradient-based visual attribution techniques, including Grad-CAM. The model predicts continuous steering, throttle, and braking commands directly from front-facing camera images, while explainability mechanisms are applied to reveal input regions influencing each control decision. Model performance is evaluated using both prediction accuracy and safety-oriented behavioral metrics. Experimental results show that the proposed explainable model achieves lower control prediction errors compared to a baseline end-to-end CNN, reducing steering mean squared error from 0.034 to 0.031, throttle error from 0.021 to 0.019, and brake error from 0.018 to 0.016. Moreover, safety-oriented analysis indicates improved driving stability, with steering variance reduced from 0.087 to 0.072 and abrupt control changes decreased from 14.6 to 10.3 events. Visual explanations consistently highlight road surfaces and lane-related structures during complex maneuvers, indicating reliance on semantically meaningful cues. In conclusion, the results demonstrate that integrating explainability into end-to-end autonomous driving not only preserves predictive performance but also correlates with smoother and more stable driving behavior. This framework contributes to the development of transparent and trustworthy autonomous driving systems suitable for safety-critical applications

This research investigates the Peak Particle Velocity (PPV) resulting from blasting operations at Pit Pinang, PT Bukit Baiduri Energi, employing two prediction approaches: Non-Linear Geometric Regression and the USBM Oriard’s Formula. Ground vibration measurements were recorded over a one-month period, from October 9 to November 8, 2025. The findings indicate that the non-linear regression model achieves a higher predictive accuracy of 78.62%, outperforming the USBM Oriard’s Formula, which reaches 68.2%. Variations between the observed and estimated PPV values were affected by factors such as the location of geophones, differences in explosive charges, and alterations in borehole depths. In addition, the study evaluates optimal explosive charge recommendations in accordance with SNI 7571:2010 standards to mitigate potential structural damage in surrounding areas. By highlighting these predictive discrepancies and providing practical guidance on charge management, the research offers valuable insights for improving blasting safety and minimizing vibration impacts on nearby infrastructure. The comparison of methods emphasizes the importance of selecting appropriate prediction models to ensure both operational efficiency and environmental safety.

The disparity in the quality of rehabilitation services across regional work units presents a significant challenge to effective public management. This study aims to bridge the gap between problem diagnosis and policy prediction by proposing a hybrid, data-driven approach. We integrate K-Means Clustering to map the current state of service quality and Stochastic Simulation to predict the impact of strategic interventions. Using the 2024 Public Satisfaction Index (IKM) dataset from the National Narcotics Agency (BNN), the K-Means algorithm initially identified 26 work units (15.7%) in the "Red Zone" (critical performance), highlighting urgent areas for improvement. Next, a stochastic simulation modeling a "Directed Priority Intervention" scenario was run. The results predicted a significant structural shift in the distribution of service quality, characterized by an 80.8% decrease in critical units (down to 5 units) and a 71.8% increase in excellent performing units (up to 67 units). These findings validate that the integration of clustering and simulation provides a comprehensive framework for evidence-based decision-making, enabling policymakers to optimize resource allocation and efficiently accelerate national service standardization.

This study aims to estimate changes in the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) from 2020 to 2025 using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. The growth of the Islamic stock market in Indonesia has increased rapidly, driven by public awareness of investments that follow sharia principles, as well as changes in macro and microeconomic conditions, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic which has had a significant impact on the financial market. This study relies on monthly ISSI data taken from official sources and analyzed with a quantitative approach using the time series method using EViews version 13 software. Statistical analysis and stationarity tests indicate that the ISSI data exhibits an increasing trend pattern and quite high volatility, so that a differentiation process is necessary to achieve stationarity. Based on the results of model testing and the selection of optimal information criteria, the ARIMA (1,1,1) model was selected as the most appropriate to capture the autocorrelation pattern and produce accurate short-term predictions. Projections indicate a stable growth trend until the end of 2025, with an estimated index of more than 8.3 million. The findings of this study indicate that the ARIMA model is an effective tool for forecasting ISSI movements and can be a strategic consideration for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers in developing sustainable investment strategies in the Indonesian Islamic stock market.