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Tiara Bela Harahap; Lailan Sofinah Harahap; Naina Nazwa Hasibuan

Polygon : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Matematika dan Sains Indonesia

Rainfall is a crucial factor in the stability of the Earth's ecosystem and has a significant impact on agriculture, forestry, energy, and water management. However, increasingly unstable climate change makes rainfall patterns difficult to predict accurately using traditional methods. The city of Medan, the capital of North Sumatra Province, has a tropical rainforest climate with an average annual rainfall of approximately ±2200 mm and an average temperature of 27°C. Significant weather fluctuations in this area can trigger flooding when rainfall increases and cause water shortages when rainfall decreases (BMKG, 2021). Therefore, a prediction approach that can manage non-linear and dynamic data is needed. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are one of the reliable machine learning methods for detecting data patterns. By using the backpropagation algorithm, the model can gradually reduce prediction errors, making it widely used in weather forecasting applications. In this regard, this study uses ANN with the backpropagation method to forecast monthly rainfall in Medan City by utilizing data from 2022–2024 as training and testing data.

Eva Andini; Lailan Sofinah Harahap; Siti Nurjanah

Saturnus: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

This study examines the development of a Crude Palm Oil (CPO) price forecasting model using an artificial neural network algorithm, specifically the backpropagation algorithm. As one of Indonesia’s main export commodities, CPO has a significant economic impact and influences the income of oil palm farmers. The CPO price data used in this study were obtained from CIF Rotterdam, covering the period from January 2019 to December 2023. The research methodology consists of several stages, including data collection, preprocessing, model design, and model implementation using Python programming. The training results of the backpropagation algorithm show an error value of 0.537829578 after 1,000 epochs, while the evaluation using Mean Squared Error (MSE) indicates an MSE of 0.022709 during the training process and 0.017604 during the testing process. The model also produces CPO price predictions for the next three months, namely 932.578 for the first month, 949.568 for the second month, and 774.855 for the third month. These findings indicate that the developed model is capable of predicting future CPO prices with adequate accuracy, which can assist companies in making better financial decisions and managing risks associated with CPO price fluctuations.

Gefania Umbu Tego; Gergorius Kopong Pati; Paulus Mikku Ate

Saturnus: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

The increasing number of Indonesian Migrant Workers (TKW) working abroad, particularly through programs organized by BP2MI, has become a significant concern in managing the labor export process. One of the challenges faced is the uncertainty of the number of TKW to be sent each year, which is influenced by various external and internal factors. Therefore, this study aims to apply artificial neural networks (ANN) with a backpropagation algorithm approach to predict the number of TKW that will be processed by BP2MI. This method was chosen due to its ability to recognize patterns and nonlinear relationships between variables that affect the decision-making process for TKW export. In this study, the data used includes factors such as the number of job seekers, government policies, and the condition of the international labor market. The artificial neural network with the backpropagation algorithm is used to train the model based on existing historical data, with the goal of generating accurate predictions regarding the number of TKW to be processed in the coming years. The results of the tests show that the developed model can provide fairly accurate predictions and can serve as a tool for BP2MI in planning and managing the export of TKW more effectively. With the application of this technology, it is expected that the decision-making process related to TKW export can become more efficient and well-predicted.

Muhammad Khoir Nugraha

Merkurius : Jurnal Riset Sistem Informasi dan Teknik Informatika 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

This study aims to design, implement, and compare the performance of the Backpropagation algorithm from Artificial Neural Networks and the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model in predicting the optimal daily rice requirement at Grillme Restaurant in Pontianak. The main problem faced by the restaurant is the uncertainty in determining the required daily rice stock, which periodically results in either understocking (shortage) or overstocking (wastage), leading to operational losses. To address this, the study utilizes historical daily rice sales data from January 2023 to April 2025 as the database for training and testing both predictive models. The SARIMA approach is employed to capture time series components (trend and seasonality), while Backpropagation is utilized to model non-linear patterns. Comparative test results indicate that the SARIMA model achieved superior accuracy compared to the Backpropagation model. This is confirmed by the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of the SARIMA algorithm being 17.35%, which is lower than the MAPE value of Backpropagation at 19.62%. The MAPE values obtained by both models demonstrate good predictive capability, but it is concluded that SARIMA is more recommended for a more efficient and planned management of rice stock at Grillme Restaurant in Pontianak.

Ferdi Frans Dirga; Lailan Sofinah Harahap; Fiqih Syahputra

Polygon : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Matematika dan Sains Indonesia

This study develops a computational-based system to identify individual potential through the analysis of signature patterns using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and the Backpropagation algorithm. The research aims to explore and examine the effectiveness of applying ANN in recognizing and identifying signature patterns that are assumed to be related to an individual’s potential. In the data processing stage, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is employed as a dimensionality reduction and feature extraction technique to optimally obtain the main characteristics of signature images. The system performance evaluation is conducted using a total of 80 signature images, consisting of 60 training data and 20 testing data. This study analyzes two network architecture configurations, namely a model with one hidden layer and a model with two hidden layers. The experimental results show that both network configurations achieve the same accuracy level of 92.5%. These findings indicate that the use of Artificial Neural Networks with the Backpropagation algorithm is effective in producing high accuracy in the signature pattern recognition process. Furthermore, the developed system has broad potential applications in the field of personal identification, such as employee evaluation, selection systems, and other applications across various organizational and industrial sectors.

Alwi Syahputra; Lailan Sofinah Harahap

Mars: Jurnal Teknik Mesin, Industri, Elektro Dan Ilmu Komputer 2025 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

Diabetes Mellitus is a chronic disease that requires early detection to prevent serious complications. This study aims to implement the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm with the Backpropagation method to predict the risk of diabetes. The dataset used is the Pima Indians Diabetes Dataset, consisting of 768 medical records with 8 feature attributes. This study employs the Multi-Layer Perceptron method with an architecture of 8 input neurons, two hidden layers, and 1 output neuron. Model evaluation is conducted using a Confusion Matrix to measure accuracy levels. The test results show that the model is capable of predicting diabetes diagnosis with an accuracy rate of 76.62%. Based on these results, it can be concluded that the Backpropagation algorithm is effective as an alternative method for early detection of diabetes, although further development is needed to improve the model's sensitivity to positive cases.  

Muhammad Farhan; Lailan Sofinah Harahap; Rusma Riansyah

Mars: Jurnal Teknik Mesin, Industri, Elektro Dan Ilmu Komputer 2025 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

This study discusses the introduction of digital signature patterns using the Backpropagation method on Artificial Neural Network (JST) to identify a person's characteristics and potential. The increasing use of digital identities demands a verification system that is more secure, accurate, and adaptive to the variations of each individual's signature. The main problem faced in the signature recognition system is the low level of accuracy when the visual features of the signature have similarities between users, both in terms of shape, size, and stroke pressure. In addition, variations of signatures made by the same individual are also a challenge in the identification process. As a solution, this study implements Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to extract important features from the signature image before the training process using JST. PCA is used to reduce the data dimension so that the learning process becomes more efficient and optimal. A total of 80 signature images were used in this study, consisting of 60 training data and 20 test data. The results showed that the system was able to achieve an accuracy level of 92.5%. These findings prove that the combination of PCA and JST methods is effective in recognizing digital signature patterns and has the potential to be applied to digital security-based biometric identification systems.

Mimi Sartika Ritonga; Lailan Sofinah; Saiba Siregar

Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

Coffe is one of Indonesia’s leading commodities, known for its diverse flavors and aromas. Traditionally, coffee quality assessment is conducted manually through cupping tests performed by expert panelists. However, this method is subjective and requires considerable time and cost. This study aims to implement an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) using the backpropagation algorithm to classify coffee types based on sensory parameters such as flavor, aroma, acidity level, and body. Simulated data were generated from five common Indonesian coffee varieties: Arabica Gayo, Robusta Lampung, Arabica Toraja, Liberica Jambi, and Excelsa. The results show that the ANN-based classification system with a 4-8-1 architecture achieved an accuracy rate of 93% after 500 training epochs, with a final error value of 0.07. The implementation of this method provides an efficient and objective technological alternative to assist the coffee industry in maintaining product quality and automatically identifying coffee types.    

Seri Arihta Br Sitepu; Novriyenni Novriyenni; Ratih Puspadini

Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

The transition of children from early childhood education to elementary school (SD) is a critical phase in their psychological and academic development. During this phase, children face significant challenges, including changes to a more structured learning environment and increasing academic demands. At SDN 055991 in Langkat Regency, this phenomenon is reflected in the difficulties experienced by some students, particularly with basic skills such as reading, writing, and arithmetic, as well as with socializing with peers. These difficulties can impact children's long-term academic and social development. This study aims to identify the key factors influencing children's learning readiness during this transition period, utilizing artificial intelligence (AI) technology. Specifically, this study uses Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Decision Trees as tools to analyze the data obtained. The use of this data-driven approach allows for a more in-depth analysis of the complex patterns and relationships between various variables that influence children's learning readiness, such as family factors, social environment, and students' basic skills. This study also references various previous studies demonstrating the effectiveness of backpropagation and Deep Learning algorithms in the context of education and student performance prediction. This approach is expected to provide more precise solutions for understanding children's learning readiness and provide a more accurate picture of the factors contributing to difficulties experienced by students in the transition to elementary school. The results of this study are expected to provide relevant recommendations for parents, educators, and education policymakers to support children's learning readiness and strengthen basic education policies that are adaptive to the needs of students in this digital era.

Silvia Ningsih; Silvia Ningsih

Jurnal Elektronika dan Komputer 2025 STEKOM PRESS

Information technology is a technology used to manage data, including processing, acquiring, organizing, storing, and manipulating data in various ways to produce high-quality information—namely, information that is relevant, accurate, and timely. This information is used for personal, business, and governmental purposes, serving as strategic information in decision-making. To anticipate changes in weather conditions, particularly rainfall, a valid and accurate report is needed that can be useful for the public. So far, the correlation or relationship between the factors influencing weather conditions—especially rainfall—has not been precisely determined, making it mathematically difficult to create a model that can describe the correlation among all these factors. This is where Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) come into play: to create such models and map out the existing problems purely based on the input data provided. One of the capabilities of neural networks is to make predictions based on previously learned data using the backpropagation method.

Richasanty Septima; Hendri Syahputra; Husna Gemasih

International Journal of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science 2025 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Infomatika Indonesia

The performance of data mining techniques has been proven accurate in many studies, but each method in data mining techniques has different accuracy depending on the type of data that is the object of research. Methods in data mining techniques are divided into several functions, namely: clustering, association, classification, and prediction, where each data mining technique objective has a superior method. Therefore, in this case the author will compare the performance of the multiple linear regression method, and neural networks with fuzzy mamdani in predicting the income of PLN Unit Takengon. In several studies, the Backpropagation method shows the highest accuracy compared to other methods. Then the prediction model with multiple linear regression also has the highest accuracy as well as the Fuzzy Mamdani method has high accuracy too. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to compare the three methods, so that it can be determined which method has a higher accuracy value. The results of this study indicate that the Back propagation method has the highest accuracy and the lowest average error, namely a MAPE value of 5.9% with an accuracy of 94.1% and an RMSE of 14398.14, followed by the multiple linear regression method obtaining a MAPE value of 6.9% with an accuracy of 93.1% and an RMSE of 15527.41, then for Fuzzy Mamdani obtaining a MAPE value of 7% with an accuracy of 93% and an RMSE of 16077.76.

Rifdah Syahputri; Alwi Andika Panggabean; Lailan Sofinah Harahap

Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi 2024 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

Victory in Mobile Legends is influenced by various factors, such as player skills, strategy, and character selection. To predict game outcomes, the backpropagation algorithm is applied to process historical gameplay data and create an accurate predictive model. This study aims to apply the backpropagation algorithm to predict victory based on player attributes, including team role, experience level, and past performance. The research method involves training and testing the model using data from multiple gameplay sessions with varied outcomes. Findings show that the backpropagation algorithm can predict game results with high accuracy, especially when the data includes a more comprehensive range of attributes. The implications of this study suggest that a backpropagation-based predictive model can help players understand their chances of winning and optimize their gameplay strategies. Furthermore, future developments in this algorithm could provide benefits for similar applications in other digital gaming fields.

Putri Dewita Sari; Faiz Ahyaningsih

Algoritma : Jurnal Matematika, Ilmu pengetahuan Alam, Kebumian dan Angkasa 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Matematika dan Sains Indonesia

Foodstuffs are raw materials in the form of agricultural, vegetable and animal products that are used by the food processing industry to produce a food product. Food ingredients consist of plant foods and animal foods. Food is the most basic need for human resources in a country. Food prices sometimes experience erratic increases or decreases. The aim of this research is to determine the results of food price predictions in the Deli Serdang Regency area using the Backpropagation algorithm. The data used in this research is food price data from 2020 to 2023 which comes from the official National Food Ingredients website. This research uses the Backpropagation algorithm artificial neural network method which uses several architectural models and the results of this test will produce the best accuracy values. The test results show that the best architecture for research on implementing the backpropagation algorithm in predicting food prices in Deli Serdang Regency is 2-10-1 with an accuracy of 87.5% and the 2-3-8-1 architecture with an accuracy of 87.5%.

Iga Putri Anjasari; Arnes Sembiring; Muamar Khadafi

Router : Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Terapan 2024 Asosiasi Profesi Telekomunikasi dan Informatika Indonesia

Motivation has an important role in the teaching and learning process for both teachers and students. For teachers, knowing students' learning motivation is very necessary. maintain and increase students' enthusiasm for learning. For students, learning motivation can foster enthusiasm for learning so that students are encouraged to carry out learning actions. Students carry out learning activities happily because they are driven by motivation. Currently, many students are less motivated to study. Backpropagation is a supervised learning algorithm and is usually used by perceptrons with many layers to change the weights connected to neurons in the hidden layer. Based on the learning rate and maximum epoch values, artificial neural networks using the backpropagation method can predict the level of student learning motivation with convergent results or the target error is achieved with an epoch of 11 iterations and a training process time (time) of 0.00.08 seconds. From the student learning motivation criteria data which is used as training data, the training targets can be identified. Yes and no input which is transformed into 0 and 1 can predict the level of student learning motivation with low, medium and high student motivation targets with reslt testing 80%.

Diaz Kuncoro; Akim M.H. Pardede; Siswan Syahputra

Bridge : Jurnal Publikasi Sistem Informasi dan Telekomunikasi 2024 Asosiasi Profesi Telekomunikasi Dan Informatika Indonesia

The rapid development of technology in the globalization era has significantly impacted various aspects of life, including the healthcare sector. RSU Bidadari Binjai, as a healthcare provider, faces challenges in diagnosing and preventing Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease (GERD), a condition with high prevalence and serious complications such as Barrett’s esophagus and esophageal cancer. Therefore, a predictive system capable of early detection is needed to ensure quicker and more effective medical intervention. This research develops a computer-based predictive system using the backpropagation method in artificial neural networks to assist in diagnosing GERD by processing patient symptom data. The system's test results show an accuracy rate of 100% in predicting GERD complications based on the given symptoms, thus supporting more timely and accurate medical interventions.    

Dhovan Damara Santoso; Relita Buaton; Mili Alfhi Syari

Jupiter: Publikasi Ilmu Keteknikan Industri, Teknik Elektro dan Informatika 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Teknik Indonesia

Every company is required to plan the need for goods as effectively as possible in order to maximize profits. Bintang Makmur Building Shop is a building shop that provides building materials, especially cement. Cement is one of the basic materials for buildings. The need for cement has recently continued to increase due to the large number of developments, both housing projects and road construction. In addition to the increasing demand for cement, cement prices also experienced price volatility which tended to fluctuate. This is done so that there is no stockpiling or even a shortage of cement. With prices that tend to go up and down if there is too much stock, it will cause losses if there is a price decrease. Vice versa if there is a shortage of cement stock, it can cause disappointment to customers. To deal with the above, it is necessary to build a prediction system that can predict cement needs in prosperous shops. The system that will be built uses an Artificial Neural Network (Artificial Neural Network) which is part of the science of artificial intelligence which has been widely used to solve various kinds of problems related to prediction or forecasting by utilizing the Backpropagation Method. The system is designed with the MATLAB programming application. From the results of the research that has been carried out, it was found that the total demand for Andalas cement for January of the following year is 0.2532 or 2532, thus the predicted total demand for Andalas cement is 2532 sacks.

Arif Pratama Putra; Suci Ramadani; Darjat Saripurna

Bridge : Jurnal Publikasi Sistem Informasi dan Telekomunikasi 2024 Asosiasi Profesi Telekomunikasi Dan Informatika Indonesia

The development of Information Technology is now entering various sectors, including health, and is implemented in Bidadari Binjai Hospital. As a health institution that is committed to excellent service and quality, Bidadari Binjai Hospital needs to innovate technology. One health issue that requires attention is rubella, an airborne infectious disease that has the potential to cause serious disorders such as hearing loss, cataracts, speech delay, and heart failure in toddlers and children. The initial symptoms of rubella are often similar to other common diseases, so public understanding of these symptoms is very important for quick treatment. This research aims to develop an information technology-based system that is able to predict rubella using the backpropagation method. This method is expected to improve the accuracy of diagnosis and make it easier for people to recognize rubella symptoms early on. The proposed system aims to provide better diagnosis support at Bidadari Binjai Hospital, as well as increase public awareness and knowledge about rubella disease. From the research conducted, the results of the accuracy rate obtained when conducting a test program were selected according to the symptoms and the results obtained were rubella disease with a 100% accuracy rate.

Sherly Eka Wahyuni; Relita Buaton; Suci Ramadani

Bridge : Jurnal Publikasi Sistem Informasi dan Telekomunikasi 2024 Asosiasi Profesi Telekomunikasi Dan Informatika Indonesia

The development of information technology that is currently developing serves to facilitate, accelerate, benefit and provide other alternatives for people who have businesses and have a big influence in the future. One of the things that is very influential is the sale of MSMEs. MSMEs are productive businesses owned by individuals or business entities that have met the criteria as micro businesses that have an important role in the economy because they provide employment, encourage local economic growth, and create innovation. MSMEs still face challenges such as limited access to financing, digital readiness, and marketing access that hinder the development of MSMEs. Therefore, it is necessary to take action to predict MSME sales in Binjai City using the backpropagation method so that later it can create new innovations and encourage community economic growth. Based on the process carried out using the backpropagation method, it can be seen that the value obtained has reached more than the predetermined target with a target value (t) of 0.26, learningrate 0.2, maximum epoch 10000 target error 0.01.

Reni, Reni Utami; Ari Hidayatullah

Jurnal Elektronika dan Komputer 2024 STEKOM PRESS

Accurate rainfall prediction is needed to improve the performance of land that always uses rainfall data. Data mining or often called knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) is an activity that includes collecting, using historical data to find regularities, patterns or relationships in large data. In predicting rainfall, there are several conditions that can be observed as reference data to predict rainfall, namely wind speed, temperature, and air humidity. In this research, a backpropagation artificial neural network prediction method is developed that can be used in predicting future rainfall. The backpropogation artificial neural network method that was built produced an accuracy value of 95.36%, a precision value of 90.50%, a recall value of 97.50% and an f-measure value of 92.00%

Safira Fegi Nisrina; Basuki Rahmat

Jurnal Elektronika dan Komputer 2022 STEKOM PRESS

Peningkatan pertumbuhan penduduk di Semarang berbanding lurus dengan peningkatan kebutuhan sampah dan listrik. Persoalannya, sampah hanya berpindah dari tempat pembuangan sampah ke tempat pembuangan akhir. Hal ini menyebabkan munculnya dampak buruk terhadap lingkungan kota yang kotor. Di sisi lain, permintaan kebutuhan listrik yang tinggi setiap tahunnya meningkat. Untuk mengatasi masalah ini adalah pemborosan telah dimanfaatkan bahan pembangkit listrik. Dua parameter telah diusulkan untuk memprediksi potensi pembangkit listrik tenaga sampah di kota Semarang seperti populasi dan sampah. Algoritma backpropagation dari JST telah digunakan untuk memprediksi pembangkit listrik tenaga sampah untuk tahun 2020 hingga 2022. Variabel yang digunakan dalam peramalan meliputi ukuran populasi dan volume sampah. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa produksi listrik WPP adalah 8,8 MWH untuk peramalan 3 tahun. sedangkan pertumbuhan orang ditunjukkan sebagai 1,7 juta selama 3 tahun. Potensi pembangkit listrik sampah PLN telah diberikan 0,29% dari total kebutuhan listrik di Jawa Tengah.