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Abstract. From the perspective of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), fluctuations in raw material prices are highly concerning as they can significantly impact business stability. While MSMEs may tolerate price fluctuations to some extent, from an industrial engineering perspective, such a passive approach contradicts the principles of continuous improvement. This study seeks to predict the price of large red chili peppers using five regression models implemented through Orange Data Mining: Linear Regression, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), and Gradient Boosting. Due to the limited availability of daily data, particularly within a daily timeframe, the study utilized weekly data spanning three years. The results of the Test and Score evaluation shows Gradient Boosting as the best-performing model, achieving a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.7%. However, the MAPE for predictions in January 2025 increased to 15.8%. This error is expected to decrease as more weekly data becomes available to mitigate the inaccuracies inherent in this model. Keywords: prediction, red chilli, regression, supervised learning , orange data mining. Abstrak. Dalam perspektif UMKM, fluktuasi harga bahan baku adalah suatu hal yang paling ditakuti karena berakibat pada ketahanan usaha yang menjadi tidak menentu. Pada suatu kondisi, fluktuasi harga dapat diterima para UMKM, namun dalam perspektif teknik industri, sikap UMKM tersebut tidak sesuai prinsip continuous improvement. Penelitian ini mencoba untuk memprediksi harga cabai merah besar dengan menggunakan 5 model regresi dibantu Orange Data Mining. Yaitu Linear Regression, Support Vector Machine, Tree, kNN, Gradient Boosting. Data yang diperlukan sebagian besar tidak tersedia, khususnya dalam kerangka waktu harian sehingga penelitian ini menggunakan data mingguan selama 3 tahun. Hasil Test and Score menunjukkan model Gradient Boost terpilih menjadi model terbaik dengan tingkat MAPE 0.7% namun MAPE pada tahap Prediction di bulan Januari 2025 menjadi 15.8%. Error tersebut akan berkurang ketika data mingguan sudah cukup banyak untuk menambal kesalahan yang dihasilkan model ini Kata kunci: prediksi, cabai merah, regression, supervised learning , orange data mining.

The study is titled Analysis of Digital Literacy Ability Levels at Grand Dian Slawi Hotel Staff. The purpose of the study is to evaluate and understand the level of digital literacy capabilities owned by Hotel Grand Dian Slawi staff in various aspects, such as the use of information technology, digital communication, online collaboration and data security. The study used a quantitative approach with survey methods using questionnaires deployed to 26 hotel staff. The results of the study showed that most staff have excellent digital literacy rates with an average percentage of 92.31%. There are still some aspects that need to be improved, such as understanding digital ethics and valid information selection. The findings provide useful insights for the development of training programs that are more effective in improving digital skills in hospitality work environments. Keywords digital literacy, hotel staff, information technology, digital communication

The capital market becomes a place for investors to invest capital and share company for to obtain flow of funds as additional business capital. Capital market conditions are influenced by factors macro that are social, economic, and political. Political factors are very influential in trading stocks in 2024​​ that is election general (election). Research objectives This is for know whether There is difference before and after announcement results presidential election 2024 to the capital market sector energy, technology, infrastructure. Research This use approach event study and is study quantitative. Taking samples in research This use purposive sampling. The data used consists of on ten-day price closing stocks and trading volume share sector energy, infrastructure, and technology listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis method used in study is a t-test difference analysis model. The results of the study This show No existence difference abnormal returns and trading volume activity before and after announcement results election president 2024 in the sector energy, technology, and infrastructure.

This study aims to analyze the impact of globalization on economic development in developing countries, focusing on both its positive and negative effects. Globalization has accelerated the integration of the global economy, enabling developing countries to access global markets, advanced technologies, and foreign direct investment (FDI). On the other hand, globalization also presents challenges such as economic inequality, dependency on developed nations, and resource exploitation. Using a qualitative approach with a literature review method, this study explores various data and literature from scientific journals, international organization reports, and related publications. The findings reveal that globalization significantly contributes to economic growth in developing countries through increased international trade, technology transfer, and job creation. However, these effects are not evenly distributed across sectors and social groups, leading to income disparities and uneven development. Furthermore, globalization pressures often push developing countries to adopt economic policies that are less supportive of local sectors, reducing domestic economic competitiveness. This study recommends the importance of balanced and sustainable development-oriented policies to maximize the benefits of globalization while minimizing its adverse impacts. Thus, developing countries can optimize globalization’s potential as a tool for inclusive and sustainable economic development.

This research examines the formulation of restorative justice-based law enforcement policies for children in conflict with law, focusing on the development and implementation challenges within the juvenile justice system. Using a qualitative descriptive-analytical approach, the study analyzes current policy frameworks, implementation practices, and systemic challenges through comprehensive literature review, in-depth interviews with key stakeholders, and focus group discussions with legal practitioners and child protection experts. The findings reveal that while the legal framework for restorative justice exists, implementation faces significant challenges including limited understanding among law enforcement officers, inadequate infrastructure, and insufficient inter-agency coordination. The study also identifies successful practices and proposes a comprehensive policy framework that emphasizes capacity building, institutional strengthening, and community engagement. This research contributes to the development of more effective and child-centered approaches in juvenile justice systems, providing practical recommendations for policy makers and law enforcement agencies in implementing restorative justice principles for children in conflict with law.

To ensure openness, responsibility and effectiveness in managing state finances, this research examines state financial management from a legality and anti-corruption perspective. In this research, relevant laws and regulations and scientific literature were studied using a literature study approach. The research results show that the principle of legality emphasizes the need for all state financial management activities to comply with relevant regulations, including the use of the State Revenue and Expenditure Budget (APBN) as a legal basis. The anti-corruption principle complements the principle of legality with preventive pressure and firm action against the protection of permits that are detrimental to state finances. These two principles support each other to ensure responsible financial management, protect officials with good intentions, and take action against perpetrators of corruption who fulfill the elements of malicious intent. In conclusion, implementing the principles of legality and anti-corruption synergistically can encourage good state financial governance, support clean government, and create sustainable development.

This study aims to analyze the influence of social media marketing on students' purchase intention toward the Berrybenka brand. Social media marketing, including visual content, information and promotion, and brand credibility, is considered key in attracting consumer attention, particularly among younger generations. This research adopts a quantitative approach using a survey method, involving 54 active university students in Yogyakarta with active social media accounts and familiarity with Berrybenka. The findings reveal that information and promotion have the most significant impact on purchase intention, followed by visual content and brand credibility. TikTok emerges as the most effective social media platform in increasing consumer engagement through appealing visual content. Additionally, innovative promotional strategies, such as collaborations with influencers, strengthen Berrybenka's appeal among younger consumers. Based on these findings, it is recommended that Berrybenka continuously enhance the quality of visual content, expand promotional campaigns, and utilize electronic word of mouth (e-WOM) to build brand credibility. This study contributes to the development of social media-based marketing strategies to effectively reach younger generations.

This research explores an in-depth understanding of how society responds to insurance policy analysis in non-bank financial institutions through a phenomenological approach. The findings show that limited financial literacy is the main challenge in understanding the complexity of insurance products outside of banking. The influence of personal experience, cultural values, and risk perceptions also shape people's perceptions of the value of insurance. Additionally, variations in participation levels and decision-making patterns were also revealed, weakening the understanding of risk levels. These financial literacy challenges cause chaos and confusion, hindering public participation in insurance products at non-bank financial institutions. Efforts to improve financial literacy and increase understanding of insurance claims are crucial to stimulate optimal community participation. The application of insurance remains relevant in helping people overcome financial problems due to unexpected events, building trust, and creating economic stability in the context of non-bank financial institutions.

This research analyzes the satisfaction level of PERISAI agents regarding BPJS Ketenagakerjaan regulations at the Darmo Surabaya Branch Office. The PERISAI program, launched in 2018, represents a strategic innovation in the agency system to expand membership, particularly in the Non-Wage Recipient (BPU) sector. The study employs a qualitative approach with a case study design, involving participatory observation over four months (September-December 2024), in-depth interviews, and documentation analysis. Results indicate that the PERISAI policy transformation since May 2022, particularly the increase in contribution incentives from 7.5% to 15%, has positively impacted agent motivation. The reward system combining financial and non-financial incentives through gathering programs and point systems proves effective in building loyalty. Success in achieving BPU participant acquisition targets is influenced by agents' ability to develop personal approaches and build local community networks. The integration of digital platforms in acquisition processes and performance monitoring enhances operational efficiency. Capacity development programs through cross-generational communication training and social security fund management provide a strong foundation for PERISAI agents' task execution.

This research examines the impact of hybrid work systems, reward systems, and work productivity on employee performance in state-owned companies. Using the systematic literature review (SLR) method, this research analyzed 45 journals published on various academic platforms such as Google Scholar and Publish or Perish. With a qualitative approach and descriptive analysis, this study investigates how the implementation of a hybrid work system that combines work from home and work from office affects employee performance. The research also explores the role of reward systems as a form of reward and motivation, as well as the impact of work productivity in the context of BUMN. The research results show that these three variables have a significant influence on the performance of BUMN employees, with the hybrid work system providing flexibility which has an impact on work balance, the reward system increasing work motivation, and productivity acting as a benchmark for the success of company performance.

This study examines and analyzes the effect of Shopping Lifestyle, Fashion Involvement, and Discount Prices simultaneously and partially on Impulse Buying in the Zalora Marketplace. And knowing which variables are most dominant in influencing impulse buying. The research approach used in this research is quantitative research. The criteria for selecting the sample in this study were those aged 17 and over who had used and made purchases through the Zalora Marketplace, and had routinely purchased products for the last 6 months through the Zalora Marketplace and were located in the Jabodetabek area. Questionnaires collected as many as 150 respondents, the data is then processed using multiple linear regression method. Based on the results of the analysis, it is known that the variables Shopping Lifestyle, Fashion Involvement and Discount Price simultaneously have a positive effect on Impulse Buying on the Zalora Marketplace. Partially, the Shopping Lifestyle and Fashion Involvement variables have a positive effect on Impulse Buying. But the Discount Price variable has no effect on impulse buying. Furthermore, the results show that the Shopping Lifestyle variable is the most dominant variable affecting Impulse Buying.

Consumer behaviour in modern businesses has been greatly altered by technological advancements, leading to the use of digital marketing strategies and social media. These strategies allow businesses to interact with customers, build personalised relationships, and conduct more effective product promotions. Digital marketing and celebrity endorsements are increasingly used in purchasing decisions in Indonesia, especially in the fashion industry. The purpose of this research is to study how celebrity endorsement and digital advertising influence the decision of Surakarta City consumers to buy Erigo products. For this study, quantitative methods were used, data were collected through questionnaires distributed to 150 consumers of Erigo products in Surakarta City. Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) data analysis with the Partial Least Square (PLS) approach was used. The results showed that celebrity endorsement and digital marketing have a significant positive effect on consumer decisions to buy Erigo products in Surakarta city. The limitation of this research is that it is quantitative in nature and does not thoroughly study how consumers perceive the influence of digital marketing and celebrity endorsements culturally and psychologically. This research can provide broader insights into consumer behavior.

The development of digital technology has a major impact on Arabic language learning, both in terms of opportunities and obstacles. This journal aims to identify opportunities and obstacles in Arabic language learning from the perspective of teachers and students. This research approach uses qualitative methods with interviews and literature studies to obtain a comprehensive picture of how digital technology can improve or hinder the Arabic language learning process. The results of the study indicate that the existence of digital technology provides many great opportunities for Arabic language learning, including: First, access to learning materials becomes wider. Second, there is global interaction. Third. Learning becomes more innovative and interesting. Fourth. Efficiency of time and place of learning. Fifth. The existence of digital technology can help advance educational institutions to the international level. However, there are also significant challenges from the existence of digital technology in Arabic language learning, including: First, the lack of maturity of teachers and students in using and utilizing digital technology. Second, there is digital distraction. Third, there is a technological gap and others.

The author focuses on analyzing the Jigsaw learning method in class VII SKI subjects at MTsN 6 Nganjuk. This writing aims to analyze the implementation of learning using the Jigsaw method, how this method can have an effect on student interaction, student activity in learning, and the difference in receiving material in SKI subjects. This writing uses a qualitative method with a phenomenological approach. Information obtained from observations, then interviews, and analysis of learning outcomes. The results obtained from the Jigsaw method analysis had a very drastic effect on increasing student activity. They are more enthusiastic, active, and able to work together in groups. Then this method increases students' activeness and self-confidence when appearing in front of the class. Although there are advantages, this research identifies a problem, namely the limited time which can reduce the overall application of the method. Some students like learning in groups to interact and exchange knowledge with other friends. However, some students experience challenges in understanding the material and they do not feel comfortable when explaining the material in front of the class. The conclusion is that the Jigsaw learning method provides positive things to increase active student interaction, involvement and increase self-confidence in SKI learning. The implication of this research is the need for plans that are ready and supported by teachers that can help to successfully analyze the Jigsaw method in the context of SKI learning at MTs level.  

In this sophisticated era, the use of mobile phones among teenagers has increased rapidly both for learning and daily needs. Excessive use of mobile phones will have an impact on the lifestyle of teenagers because of playing online games. Therefore, this study aims to determine the impact of online games among teenagers in the perspective of Islam, especially referring to the views of the hadith. The population in this study were teenagers aged 15-17 years who played the online game mobile legend around 4-7 hours or more per day and teenagers who were addicted to the online game mobile legend numbered 5 respondents. This study uses a qualitative method with a case study approach by means of observation and interviews and documentation. The results of the analysis of interviews and observations show that the influence of the online game mobile legend greatly affects the development and growth of teenagers because online games affect the health, psychology, academics, social, and free time that teenagers have is wasted which is detrimental to themselves. Islam does not forbid its people to have fun, but it must remain within the limits and corridors that are determined. The games played should be in accordance with their portion, aka not excessive. Don't let entertainment take up all your time, disrupt your health, hinder other activities, take up study and work time and don't let it distract someone from their main duties, especially in worship, and don't let it make people forget about more important games, such as physical exercise to improve your health or do better activities than being addicted to playing online games. Games also shouldn't make people fall into addiction.  

This study examines the influence of Islamic intellectual transformation on the development of Western civilization, especially in the transfer of knowledge, technology, and cultural values ​​from the Middle Ages to the modern era. The background of this study is based on the importance of understanding the contribution of Islamic civilization in building the intellectual foundation for the rise of Europe. This study aims to identify and analyze the contributions of Muslim scientists in various disciplines, such as philosophy, astronomy, mathematics, and medicine, and how these thoughts were adopted and developed in the Western world. The method used is a qualitative approach through historical literature studies and comparative analysis of classical and modern documents. The findings show that Islamic intellectual thought played a significant role in accelerating Western intellectual development, through translations of scientific works and the influence of the thoughts of figures such as Al-Farabi, Ibn Sina, and Ibn Rushd. The implications of this study emphasize the importance of recognizing the role of Islamic civilization in the history of global science, as well as the need to revitalize dialogue between civilizations to strengthen harmony and cross-cultural cooperation.

Producing environmentally friendly products, efficient and sustainable use of natural resources, and reducing negative impacts on the environment are the goals of the green production approach. So there is a need for education for young people to protect the environment with us. The purpose of this PkM activity is to introduce students to the Utilization of Environmental Resources as Part of the Implementation of Green Manufacturing Technology. The method of activity carried out by means of education and assistance in managing a green environment. The education participants were students of Madrasah Ibtidaiyah and SMP Yayasan Ummul Quro Al-Hamidiyah totaling 50 students. The activity was carried out on Thursday, December 19, 2024. The results of the activity showed that students were very enthusiastic about participating, and students had understood what was explained by the speaker. The conclusion of the activity showed that there was an increase in student knowledge after being given education about Environmental Resources as Part of the Implementation of Green Manufacturing Technology.

Organic waste management in rural communities, especially those dependent on the agricultural sector, is still a big challenge. Organic waste such as crop residues, leaves and household waste are often not utilized optimally, resulting in environmental pollution and wasted potential. Meanwhile, farmers' dependence on chemical fertilizers increases production costs and reduces soil quality in the long term. This service program aims to provide education and assistance to farmer groups in Nagari Harau regarding the use of simple composters as a solution for managing organic waste. A simple composter is a method that is easy to make, cost effective, and can produce compost that is rich in nutrients. A participatory approach is used in implementing this program to ensure active community involvement in the entire process, from waste collection, composting, to utilization of the results. Through this program, it is concluded that communities can be more independent in managing organic waste, reduce negative impacts on the environment, and increase productivity and overall welfare of farmers.

This research examines the morphological aspects of Indonesian with a focus on the process of word formation and changes in morphological structure in contemporary Indonesian language use. The aim of this research is to identify and analyze various morphological processes that occur in Indonesian word formation, as well as to reveal productive patterns of word formation in the development of modern Indonesian. This research uses a qualitative descriptive method with a morphological approach. Data was collected using skill-free listening (SBLC), note-taking techniques and documentation techniques from various written sources. Data analysis was carried out using the agih method using the technique for direct elements (BUL), loss technique, replace technique, and expand technique. The results of the research show that: (1) the affixation process is the most productive morphological process in Indonesian word formation, (2) new patterns were found in the reduplication process which reflect the dynamics of language development, (3) the composition process shows a tendency to form compound words which increasingly complex along with modern communication needs. This research provides theoretical contributions in the development of Indonesian language morphology studies and practical implications for Indonesian language learning.

Education is an important element in developing children's minds, especially in rural areas where education is often not a priority. The aim of this research is to analyze the impact of education on the way children think in Kalirejo Village, Kraton District, Pasuruan Regency. The method used was a quantitative design with a survey approach, with 22 randomly selected respondents. Information is obtained through surveys that assess educational variables and children's thinking patterns. The results show that the applied regression model shows satisfactory performance, with an R Square value of 0.634, which means that education can explain around 63.4% of the variation in children's thinking patterns. The t test results show that education has a significant influence on children's thinking patterns, with a significance value of 0.000. The impact of this research is the importance of increasing access and quality of education in rural areas, as well as the need for policies that encourage public awareness of the role of education in children's future. It is hoped that this research can become a reference for the government and related parties in designing more effective education strategies.