Publication Search

65,449 articles from 545 journals · 1,699 citations tracked

Showing 1-20 of 313

Analytics

Muhammad Zaeni; Albani Musyafa; Sarwidi Sarwidi

Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Teknik 2026 Pusat riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Magelang City faces the challenge of limited land availability, with a total area of only 18.58 km2 and a high population density. Consequently, telecommunications infrastructure development requires a precise strategy. This study aims to analyze the business model and investment feasibility of Pole and Greenfield type telecommunication towers in Magelang City. Using a descriptive quantitative approach, this research processes secondary data from PT Dayamitra Telekomunikasi Indonesia by applying feasibility analysis based on Life Cycle Costing (LCC), Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Break-Even Point (BEP), Payback Period (PP), and Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR). The results indicate significant differences in cost structures; Pole towers proved to be more efficient, requiring an initial capital outlay of only 28.8% of the total capital required for Greenfield towers. Greenfield towers generated an NPV of Rp13.07 billion with an IRR of 20%, while Pole towers generated an NPV of Rp2.46 billion with a higher IRR of 23%. Pole towers have proven to offer a faster return on investment and better operational cost efficiency, making them the most strategic option to support network densification and the implementation of 5G technology in urban areas with spatial constraints like Magelang City.

Ibni Sahara; Meifina Dwi Rezky; Amanda Dewi Lestari; Puji Desta Ananda; Nazeli Adnan

Jurnal Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Perpajakan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Economic growth in ASEAN countries has shown heterogeneous dynamics, particularly in the post-pandemic period. This study aims to analyze the effect of economic complexity, manufacturing value added, and foreign direct investment on economic growth in ASEAN-8 countries during 2015–2024. The study employs a quantitative explanatory approach using panel data regression analysis. The data were obtained from the World Development Indicators (World Bank) and Harvard Growth Lab. Based on the Chow and Hausman tests, the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) was selected as the best estimation model. The results indicate that economic complexity has a negative and significant effect on economic growth, suggesting that increasing economic sophistication does not automatically promote growth when industrial and institutional readiness remain limited. Meanwhile, the manufacturing sector has a positive but insignificant effect on economic growth. In contrast, foreign direct investment has a positive and significant effect on economic growth through capital accumulation and technology transfer. Simultaneously, all independent variables significantly affect economic growth in ASEAN-8 countries. These findings imply the importance of strengthening industrial capacity, institutional quality, and technological readiness to support sustainable economic growth in ASEAN countries.

Qori Adha Fatimatus Zahro; Ratnaningrum Ratnaningrum

Jurnal Manajemen dan Ekonomi Bisnis 2026 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) are crucial for driving regional economic expansion. Many MSMEs have not yet optimally utilized accounting data in selecting investments. This study aims to analyze the influence of accounting knowledge, entrepreneurial traits, and subjective norms on the use of accounting information in investment decision-making among MSMEs in Semarang City. Using a quantitative approach, this study surveyed 80 MSMEs selected through purposive sampling. Data were obtained through questionnaires with a five-point Likert scale and analyzed using multiple linear regression with the help of SPSS after undergoing validity, reliability, and classical assumption tests. The results showed that partially accounting knowledge (t = 3.337; sig = 0.001) and entrepreneurial traits (t = 2.272; sig = 0.026) had a positive and significant effect on the use of accounting information, while subjective norms had no significant effect (t = -0.788; sig = 0.433). Simultaneously, the three independent variables significantly influence the use of accounting information (F = 5.306; p = 0.002) with a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.173. This finding indicates that increasing accounting and entrepreneurial knowledge can encourage the use of accounting information in investment decision-making in MSMEs.

Puji Lestari; Rispantyo Rispantyo

Jurnal Manajemen Sosial Ekonomi 2026 LPPM Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi - Studi Ekonomi Modern

This study aims to examine the role of financial literacy, risk perception, and financial attitudes in influencing investment decisions of accounting students at private universities in Surakarta. A quantitative approach was applied by distributing online questionnaires to 88 respondents selected through purposive sampling. The collected data were analyzed using several statistical procedures, including validity and reliability testing, followed by classical assumption tests and multiple linear regression analysis to examine the relationships between variables. The findings reveal that financial literacy does not play a significant role in shaping students’ investment decisions. In contrast, risk perception and financial attitude demonstrate a positive and significant influence. These results suggest that students tend to rely more on their understanding of potential risks and their financial behavior when making investment decisions, rather than solely on their level of financial knowledge

Febriana Krisdayanti Barus; Charles Fransiscus Ambarita

JURNAL EKONOMI BISNIS DAN MANAJEMEN (JISE) 2026 CV. ALIM'SPUBLISHING

Latar belakang penelitian ini berakar pada fenomena kemajuan yang tidak merata di antara indikator pembangunan di Sumatera Utara, di mana Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM), meskipun diklasifikasikan dalam kategori “tinggi”, belum secara konsisten berkontribusi pada penurunan tingkat pengangguran. Tujuan utama penelitian ini adalah untuk menguji pengaruh IMB, tingkat kemiskinan, dan tingkat pengangguran terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Metode yang digunakan adalah pendekatan kuantitatif dengan analisis regresi linier berganda menggunakan data deret waktu dari tahun 2010 hingga 2025 yang bersumber dari BPS. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan, IPM, kemiskinan, dan pengangguran secara signifikan mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi daerah. Secara parsial, IMB memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan, menunjukkan bahwa investasi dalam kualitas modal manusia meningkatkan produktivitas ekonomi. Sebaliknya, baik tingkat kemiskinan maupun tingkat pengangguran terbuka menunjukkan pengaruh negatif dan signifikan, yang menyiratkan bahwa peningkatan variabel-variabel ini cenderung menghambat ekspansi ekonomi. Lebih lanjut, variabel independen yang dimasukkan dalam model ini menjelaskan 49,49% variasi pertumbuhan ekonomi, sedangkan proporsi sisanya dijelaskan oleh faktor eksternal di luar cakupan penelitian ini. Hasil ini menyoroti pentingnya penerapan kebijakan yang menyelaraskan pengembangan sumber daya manusia dengan tuntutan pasar tenaga kerja untuk mengatasi masalah pengangguran terdidik.

Makruf, Solihan; Anwari, Amalia Nur; Aula, Muhammad Iqbal; Yusup, Deni Kamaludin

DINAMIKA HUKUM 2026 Universitas Stikubank

This study is motivated by the fact that the regulation of securities investment and direct investment in Indonesia still faces legal harmonization issues between the provisions of Law No. 4 of 2023 concerning the Development and Strengthening of the Financial Sector particularly those governing the capital market and Government Regulation No. 63 of 2019 concerning Government Investment. This research aims to analyze the compatibility, substantial differences, and legal implications of the two regulations in the context of establishing an integrated and equitable investment legal system. This study applies a normative juridical approach with a descriptive analysis method. Data were collected using a literature study technique through a review of legislation, legal literature, and related policy documents. Furthermore, the data was analyzed using qualitative data analysis techniques with an emphasis on systematic interpretation and the principle of harmonization of laws and regulations. The results of this study indicate that there is still a lack of synchronization between the regulation of securities investment in the capital market and the mechanism of direct investment by the government, particularly in terms of authority, risk management, and legal accountability. The findings of this study imply the need for improvements to derivative regulations and implementation guidelines that are capable of integrating capital market legal principles with government investment policies in order to create legal certainty and effective management of national investments. Keywords: Legal Harmonization, Securities Investment, and Government Investment

Uswatun Chasanah

Jurnal Kajian dan Penalaran Ilmu Manajemen 2026 CV. Aksara Global Akademia

Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis peran Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) dalam mendorong investasi syariah melalui fungsi regulator, pengawas, pelindung konsumen, penjaga stabilitas sistem keuangan, serta edukasi dan literasi keuangan. Metode yang digunakan adalah kualitatif dengan pendekatan studi pustaka dan analisis tematik. Hasil kajian menunjukkan bahwa OJK berperan strategis dalam menciptakan ekosistem investasi yang aman dan berkelanjutan. Regulasi yang adaptif meningkatkan kepastian hukum dan kepercayaan investor, sementara pengawasan memastikan kepatuhan terhadap prinsip kehati-hatian dan syariah. Perlindungan konsumen dilakukan melalui pengawasan praktik investasi dan penanganan pengaduan, sedangkan stabilitas sistem keuangan dijaga melalui koordinasi dengan Bank Indonesia dan Lembaga Penjamin Simpanan. Selain itu, edukasi dan literasi keuangan syariah berperan dalam meningkatkan pemahaman dan partisipasi masyarakat. Namun, terdapat tantangan berupa rendahnya literasi keuangan syariah, perkembangan fintech yang pesat, serta kesenjangan implementasi regulasi. Oleh karena itu, diperlukan kebijakan yang adaptif dan sinergi antar pemangku kepentingan.

Gilbert Parulian Naibaho; Ni Luh Made Mahendrawati; I Wayan Rideng

Birokrasi: JURNAL ILMU HUKUM DAN TATA NEGARA 2026 Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Administrasi (STIA) Yappi Makassar

This study aims to analyze the legal provisions on land rights for foreign nationals in the Indonesian land law system and to examine the validity and legal consequences of nominee agreements in the control of land rights by foreign investors. The background of this study is based on the practice of using nominee agreements (borrowing names) by foreign nationals to control land in Indonesia, which legally contradicts the provisions of the Basic Agrarian Law (UUPA) which prohibits ownership of land rights by foreign parties. This study uses a normative legal research method with a legislative approach and a conceptual approach. The legal sources used include primary, secondary, and tertiary legal materials that are analyzed qualitatively. The results of the study indicate that the regulation of land rights for foreign nationals in the Indonesian legal system is limited to use rights, lease rights, or through certain legal entities such as Foreign Investment Limited Liability Companies (PT PMA). Meanwhile, the practice of nominee agreements is a form of legal smuggling that contradicts the basic principles of national agrarian law, so that the agreement can be declared null and void. In addition, this practice creates legal uncertainty and has the potential to harm the state and society because it obscures the status of land ownership. In conclusion, firm law enforcement and regulatory harmonization between agrarian and investment law are needed to ensure legal certainty and safeguard state sovereignty over land, without hindering foreign investment in Indonesia.

Andini Setiawati; Rizka Wahyuni Amelia

Jurnal Penelitian Manajemen dan Inovasi Riset 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the partial and simultaneous effects of Investment Decisions, Financing Decisions, and Company Size on Company Value at PT Ciputra Development Tbk for the period 2014-2024. Company value is proxied by Price to Book Value (PBV), investment decisions by Price Earning Ratio (PER), financing decisions by Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), and company size by SIZE. The method used in this study is descriptive quantitative. The population of this study is the financial statements of PT Ciputra Development Tbk for the period 2014-2024, and the sample used is the financial position report, income statement, and share price of PT Ciputra Development Tbk for the period 2014-2024. The analysis methods used are descriptive analysis, classical assumption testing, multiple linear analysis, t-test, f-test, and coefficient of determination test using SPSS version 26. The results of the study show that partially, PER and DER do not have a significant effect on PBV, while SIZE has a negative and significant effect on PBV. Simultaneously, PER, DER, and SIZE significantly affect PBV with a coefficient of determination of 94.7%, indicating that the regression model has excellent predictive power. The remaining 5.3% is influenced by other variables outside the scope of this study.

Pipih Apiliani; Asep Muhammad Lutfi

Pajak dan Manajemen Keuangan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to determine the effect of Leverage and Investment Decisions on Profitability at PT Aneka Tambang Tbk for the 2015-2024 period, both partially and simultaneously. This research method uses quantitative with a asosiatif research type. Secondary data obtained comes from the Indonesia Stock Exchange website (www.web.idx.com) and the PT Aneka Tambang Tbk website. The results of this study show that the Leverage variable has a t count of -3.166 > t table 2.365 with a significant value of 0.016 < 0.05, so it can be concluded that the Leverage variable (X1) has a significant effect on Profitability (Y). The Investment Decision variable has a t count of -0.673 < 2.365 and with a significance level of the Investment Decision variable of 0.522 > 0.05, it can be concluded that the Investment Decision variable (X2) does not have a significant effect on Profitability (Y). And the results of the F Test obtained an Fcount value of 6.726 > Ftable 4.737 and a significant value of 0.023 < 0.05, meaning that the Leverage and Investment Decision variables together have a significant effect on Profitability. Therefore, the Leverage (X1) and Investment Decision (X2) variables together have a significant effect on the stock price of PT Aneka Tambang Tbk.

Azzahra Angelita; Muslimin Muslimin; Ahmad Faisol

Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Era Digital 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This research try to examine how investment choices in property and real estate sector businesses listed on IDX (2020-2024) are impacted by the cost of debt and equity.For the accuracy of the analysis, this study also uses firm size and profitability as controler. Purposive sampling was used in the sampling process, which produced seven qualifying organizations with a total of 35 observations over a five-year period. Panel data regression was used for data analysis, and the Common Effect Model was shown to be the best estimation model. The findings show that investment decisions are significantly influenced by firm size, profitability, cost of debt, and cost of equity all at the same time. Nonetheless, investment choices are not much impacted by the cost of debt. Similarly, it has been demonstrated that the cost of equity has no appreciable effect on the capital expenditures of the businesses. Firm size has a favorable and substantial impact, making it the main motivator for investment activity in the real estate industry. During the study period, investment decisions were not significantly impacted by profitability. These results show that, especially in the post-pandemic economic recovery era, asset capacity and economies of scale are more important for the viability of real investment projects for property firms on the IDX than yearly variations in capital costs.

Okky Rachmadi Soekristyanto; Khalimi Khalimi

Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Sosial, Politik dan Humaniora 2026 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

This study examines the distortion between civil and criminal perspectives in the legal considerations (ratio decidendi) of Judex Juris in Supreme Court Decision Number 121K/Pid.Sus/2020. The decision lacks substantial criminal law considerations regarding the alleged corruption offense. Instead, the legal reasoning focuses on the fault or negligence of company directors, particularly the exception under Article 97 of Law Number 40 of 2007 concerning Limited Liability Companies, which embodies the Business Judgment Rule doctrine. Furthermore, these considerations are distorted by tort (onrechtmatige daad) as regulated in Article 1365 of the Civil Code juncto Article 138 paragraph (1) letter b of the Company Law. This research employs a legislative approach by analyzing various legal instruments, including the 1945 Constitution, the Criminal Code, the Criminal Procedure Code, the Limited Liability Company Law, State-Owned Enterprises Law, Judicial Power Law, Supreme Court Law, and the Corruption Eradication Laws. A conceptual approach is also utilized to examine theoretical concepts concerning corporate crime, directors' liabilities, state losses, tort, negligence from criminal and civil perspectives, business judgment rules, collective collegiality principles, and formal-material classification of legislation. The data comprises primary legal materials (legislation and court decisions) and secondary legal materials (legal literature and scientific journals). Analysis is conducted qualitatively by interpreting legal principles and their relevance to the court's considerations in the decision.

Nur Laila Choiru Nisa; Chaerunnisa Andriani; Nugroho Heri Pramono

Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Pajak 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Company value is an important indicator that reflects company performance and investor perceptions of future business prospects and sustainability. Various strategic decisions made by management, such as capital intensity management, investment decisions, and tax aggressiveness policies, play a significant role in shaping company value. This study aims to examine and analyze the effect of capital intensity, investment decisions, and tax aggressiveness on company value through a literature review approach. The method used is a literature review by examining various relevant national and international scientific articles obtained from academic databases such as Google Scholar, Publish or Perish, and SINTA. The results of the study show that capital intensity has a positive effect on company value because it reflects long-term production capacity and operational efficiency. Investment decisions have also been proven to have a positive effect on company value because they signal management's optimism about future growth prospects. Meanwhile, tax aggressiveness can increase company value through tax savings and increased cash flow, but it has the potential to cause reputational and governance risks if done excessively. Overall, the reviewed literature shows that these three variables have an impact on company value, with the caveat that optimal and transparent management is necessary. This study is expected to serve as a reference for further research and as a consideration for company management and investors in making strategic decisions.

Adelia Puspita Sari; Trisnaningsih, Sri

Prosiding Seminar Nasional Ilmu Ekonomi dan Akuntansi 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study seeks to investigate the role of Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and financial technology (fintech) in influencing Generation Z's investment decisions through a literature review approach. The rapid advancement of digital technology and the growing use of social media have transformed the financial behavior of young people, such that investment decisions are no longer solely based on rationality but are also shaped by psychological factors. The method used in this study is a literature review, which involves analyzing scientific articles indexed at both national and international levels published between 2021 and 2025. The findings indicate that FOMO can enhance investment participation, yet it also risks prompting impulsive and less rational decision-making. On the other hand, fintech contributes by simplifying access to financial services, improving transaction efficiency, and expanding financial inclusion. Nevertheless, real-time features on fintech platforms may amplify users' emotional responses, thereby magnifying the impact of FOMO. Accordingly, this research underscores the importance of financial literacy and prudent technology use to foster more rational investment decisions among Generation Z.

Astohar Astohar; Maualan Ihsan Yusufi Suyatno; Tri Sumiyanti; Selvi Okta Rosa

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Village-Owned Enterprises (BUMDes) are established to support the improvement of the local economy. One of the recurring challenges faced by BUMDes is capital availability, which is essential for business expansion and achieving shared objectives. This study aims to analyze the effect of cognitive bias on investment decisions through reward-based investment balance as a mediating variable. The study employed a sample of 165 BUMDes distributed across the Pati Residency, using a combination of purposive sampling and cluster sampling, where the selected BUMDes represented each district and involved investors from the local community or community groups. Data were collected from BUMDes located in five districts within the Pati Residency, and the analysis was conducted using SMART PLS. The results indicate that cognitive bias has a direct and significant effect on community investment decisions as well as on reward-based investment balance. Furthermore, reward-based investment balance was found to have a direct effect on investment decisions. The findings also confirm that reward-based investment balance mediates the relationship between cognitive bias and investment decisions.

Siti Mariyam; Masrkus Suryoutomo

Jurnal Suara Pengabdian 45 2026 LPPM Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Semarang

Pesatnya perkembangan teknologi blockchain dan arus globalisasi telah mendorong penggunaan Bitcoin di Indonesia, yang kini diakui sebagai komoditas dalam perdagangan berjangka. Namun, karakteristik anonimitas dan desentralisasi mata uang digital ini membuka celah signifikan bagi kemunculan cybercrime, seperti pencucian uang dan peretasan, yang menuntut perhatian yuridis serius. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis dampak teknologi tersebut terhadap risiko kejahatan siber serta efektivitas regulasi yang berlaku. Metode yang digunakan adalah yuridis normatif dengan pendekatan perundang-undangan untuk menelaah kerangka hukum terkait. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan adanya dualisme regulasi di Indonesia, di mana Bappebti melegalkan Bitcoin sebagai aset investasi, sementara Bank Indonesia melarangnya sebagai alat pembayaran. Ketidaksinkronan ini, diperparah dengan sifat lintas batas blockchain, menciptakan tantangan dalam penegakan hukum terhadap kejahatan siber. Disimpulkan bahwa harmonisasi regulasi antara otoritas keuangan dan penguatan aturan keamanan siber sangat mendesak dilakukan guna memitigasi risiko kejahatan tanpa menghambat inovasi ekonomi digital.

Muhammad Fajar; Novian Rialdi

Jurnal Manuhara : Pusat Penelitian Ilmu Manajemen dan Bisnis 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Sharia-compliant investment in Indonesia has experienced rapid growth, in line with increasing public interest in instruments compliant with Islamic principles. However, market fluctuations remain a major challenge in maintaining the performance of sharia investments, particularly sharia mutual funds. This article analyzes the dynamics of sharia investment in Indonesia in the face of market volatility, focusing on the performance of sharia mutual funds. The research method used is a quantitative approach, with secondary data analysis from various scientific studies and recent statistical data. The results indicate that macroeconomic fluctuations and market conditions significantly influence the performance of sharia mutual funds. Nevertheless, sharia mutual funds continue to demonstrate resilience and certain advantages compared to conventional mutual funds, particularly in the face of market uncertainty. These findings have important implications for sharia investors, investment managers, and policymakers in designing more optimal investment strategies and strengthening the position of sharia mutual funds in an increasingly dynamic market.

Audia Zein; Novien Rialdy

Jurnal Manuhara : Pusat Penelitian Ilmu Manajemen dan Bisnis 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

The Halal Management Sistem (HMS) has often been positioned as an administrative compliance tool that focuses on regulatory and certification requirements. This approach has the potential to simplify the meaning of halal by overlooking the inherent values, especially in the context of Muslim businesses. This study aims to interpret the understanding of the Halal Management Sistem not only as an administrative compliance mechanism, but also as an expression of worship and spiritual commitment in business practices. This study uses a qualitative approach through a literature review of scientific articles, books, and relevant publications discussing halal management, Islamic business ethics, and the perspectives of business actors. The results of the study show that the HMS is understood by business actors as a manifestation of religious obedience integrated into economic activities, where the application of halal principles is seen as part of devotion to God and a form of moral responsibility in running a business. In this understanding, administrative compliance is positioned as an implication of spiritual awareness, not as the main objective of the sistem's implementation. The research findings also indicate that the spiritual meaning of SMH encourages consistency in halal practices and strengthens long-term business orientation. Conceptually, this study has implications for the development of halal management studies by placing the spiritual dimension as the main foundation in the implementation of the Halal Management Sistem, particularly in supporting sustainable and ethical business practices.

Habibah Ramadhani Nasution; Arofiani Mutmainah; Muhammad Yasfin Nasution; Danu Wijaya; M. Amar Adly

Nusantara: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat 2026 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

This community service program aims to improve public literacy and awareness of the Islamic capital market through socialization and educational activities in Telaga Jernih Village, Secanggang District. Islamic financial literacy in rural areas remains relatively low due to limited access to information and education, leading people to prefer traditional investments such as livestock and plantations. The activity was carried out by the Community Service Program (KKN) team in collaboration with the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) as the main speaker and the village government as a supporting partner. The methods used included observation, counseling, interactive discussions, and simple simulations of Islamic investment practices. The results revealed high enthusiasm among participants, reflected in their active engagement and significant improvement in understanding the concepts, principles, and products of Islamic investment. The community began to realize that Islamic capital market investments are not only halal and safe but also offer long-term economic benefits. This activity positively influenced the community’s mindset to view Islamic financial investment as a complementary form of traditional investment. The program also opened opportunities for forming a village-based Islamic investor community and establishing a financial literacy center as a follow-up initiative. Therefore, this program plays a vital role in strengthening Islamic financial inclusion in rural areas and serves as an initial step toward creating a financially literate, independent, and economically productive society.

Muhammad Dio Nugraha; Nayla Desviona; Muhammad Raja Ferna

Jurnal Manajemen Kreatif dan Inovasi 2026 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

Investment is one of the key drivers of national economic growth as it contributes to capital formation, job creation, and the expansion of production capacity. However, investment realization is dynamic and inherently uncertain, influenced by both domestic and global economic conditions. This study aims to analyze the probability of investment growth in Indonesia based on investment realization data for the first quarter of 2025. The research employs a quantitative approach using descriptive statistical analysis and probability analysis. The data used are secondary data obtained from official publications of the Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM), including national investment realization, Domestic Investment (PMDN), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI/PMA), and regional distribution of investment. The results indicate that investment realization in the first quarter of 2025 reached Rp465.2 trillion, equivalent to 24.4% of the national investment target for 2025. Investment probability is relatively balanced between PMDN and PMA, as well as between Java and non-Java regions, reflecting a stable investment climate and early progress in regional development equity. Overall, the probability of investment growth in Indonesia in 2025 remains favorable; however, achieving the annual investment target largely depends on the consistency of investment realization and the effectiveness of government policies in the subsequent quarters.