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This study aims to analyze the effect of the Bank Indonesia interest rate on the Indonesian rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar during the 2021–2026 period. A quantitative approach was employed using monthly time-series data obtained from official sources. The analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression with the assistance of EViews software. The dependent variable in this study was the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, while the independent variables included the Bank Indonesia interest rate, inflation, money supply (M2), and the Federal Reserve interest rate (Fed Rate). Prior to regression estimation, all data were tested for stationarity using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test to ensure compliance with time-series analysis requirements. Furthermore, the model was evaluated through classical assumption tests, including normality, heteroscedasticity, multicollinearity, and autocorrelation tests, to verify the validity and reliability of the estimation results. The findings reveal that the Bank Indonesia interest rate has a significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, with a probability value of 0.0223. This result indicates that changes in the domestic interest rate can influence movements in the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar. In contrast, inflation, money supply (M2), and the Fed Rate were found to have no significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate during the study period. Moreover, the classical assumption tests confirmed that the regression model satisfied all required criteria, indicating that the estimated results are reliable and can serve as a reference for economic policy formulation.

This study aims to analyze changes in Indonesia’s economic cycle patterns in the post-pandemic period, as reflected in inflation, interest rates, and the industrial production index over the 2018–2025 period. The study adopts a quantitative approach employing a multiple linear regression model. The data utilized consist of secondary time-series data obtained from Bank Indonesia and the Central Statistics Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik). The empirical results indicate that, simultaneously, the explanatory variables exert a statistically significant effect on economic growth. Partially, interest rates and the industrial production index demonstrate a positive and statistically significant influence. In contrast, inflation does not exhibit a statistically significant effect at the 10% significance level. The coefficient of determination (R-Squared) of 0.9327 suggests that the model possesses substantial explanatory power in accounting for variations in Indonesia’s economic growth. The descriptive analysis indicates that Indonesia’s economy experienced a contraction of -2,07% in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by a gradual recovery throughout the 2021–2025 period. These findings imply that post-pandemic shifts in Indonesia’s economic cycle patterns are more prominently driven by interest rate policy measures and real sector recovery relative to the role of inflation.  

This study examines the determinants of the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) based on three main macroeconomic factors namely inflation, the USD/IDR exchange rate, and the SBI interest rate (BI Rate) covering the period January 2020 to December 2025, in the context of post-COVID-19 pandemic recovery and global economic turmoil. A quantitative approach was employed using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method, with 72 monthly observations derived from secondary data sourced from official institutions including Bank Indonesia (BI), the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), and the Financial Services Authority (OJK). Classical assumption tests were applied comprising the Jarque-Bera normality test, Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) for multicollinearity, Breusch-Godfrey for autocorrelation, White Test for heteroscedasticity, and Ramsey RESET for model specification. Partially, inflation, exchange rate, and BI Rate each demonstrate a positive and significant effect on the JCI (p < 0.05). Simultaneously, all three variables exert a significant combined influence on the JCI, with a coefficient of determination R² = 0.4414, indicating that the model explains 44.14% of the variation in the JCI. The remaining 55.86% is attributed to other variables outside the model. Classical assumption test results reveal violations of normality, autocorrelation, and heteroscedasticity assumptions, although the model is free from multicollinearity. These findings confirm that Bank Indonesia's monetary policy has a significant and measurable impact on capital market performance. Further research is recommended using more advanced time series models such as GARCH or VECM to address violations of classical assumptions and improve estimation efficiency.

This study aims to analyze the influence of domestic and global factors on Indonesia’s economic growth, with variables including inflation, world oil prices, and geopolitical risk. The research employs a quantitative approach using a regression model combined with the Engle–Granger Error Correction Model (ECM) to capture both short-run and long-run dynamics among variables. The data used are time series data from 1986 to 2024, sourced from the World Bank and the Geopolitical Risk Index. The results show that in the short run, inflation and world oil prices have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, while geopolitical risk has a negative and significant effect. In the long run, inflation remains positive and significant, whereas geopolitical risk continues to have a negative and significant impact on economic growth. The error correction term coefficient (ECT(-1)), which is negative and significant, indicates the presence of a relatively fast adjustment mechanism toward long-run equilibrium. These findings confirm that the ECM approach is effective in explaining the dynamic relationship between domestic and global factors and Indonesia’s economic growth.

Inflation and post-COVID-19 economic uncertainty have placed significant financial pressure on low-income workers, including boarding house employees. This study aims to analyze the effects of financial literacy, financial attitude, and economic pressure on personal financial management behavior and financial resilience among boarding house employees in Semarang Regency. A mixed-methods sequential explanatory approach was employed, with the quantitative phase (n=150) analyzed using PLS-SEM, followed by a qualitative phase (n=15) using thematic analysis. Results indicate that financial literacy (β=0.312; p<0.01) and financial attitude (β=0.387; p<0.01) have significant positive effects, while economic pressure has a negative effect (β=-0.256; p<0.01) on financial management behavior. The model explains 52.4% of the variance in financial management behavior. Financial management behavior significantly mediates the relationship between financial literacy and financial resilience. The qualitative phase identified five adaptive strategies: strict budgeting, income diversification, strategic saving, social network utilization, and financial technology adoption. This study contributes to the literature by exploring an understudied population and integrating the economic pressure perspective into financial behavior models.

This study aims to examine the implementation of minimum wages and social security for workers in Kupang City, as well as the factors influencing their implementation. This study is important given that minimum wages and social security are fundamental rights of workers that must be fulfilled to ensure the well-being and protection of the workforce. The research method used in this study is a legal-empirical approach utilizing primary and secondary data obtained through interviews, literature reviews, legislation, expert legal opinions, as well as books and journals related to the research. This approach was used to obtain an overview of the actual conditions regarding the implementation of workers’ rights in Kupang City. The research results indicate that the implementation of the minimum wage and social security for workers in Kupang City has not been fully realized. The implementation of the minimum wage is influenced by labor productivity, inflation rates, economic conditions, social conditions, and government policies. Meanwhile, the implementation of employment social security still faces obstacles in the form of low legal awareness among workers and employers, limited government oversight, and suboptimal compliance by companies in fulfilling workers’ rights.

Taxes are a primary source of state revenue and play a crucial role in supporting national development. However, increasing tax revenue still faces several challenges, particularly the lack of public awareness in fulfilling tax obligations. This study aims to examine the role of public awareness in improving taxpayer compliance and its impact on state revenue. The approach used in this research is qualitative, reviewing literature from various previous studies. Research findings indicate that tax awareness, understanding, and knowledge have a positive impact on taxpayer compliance. Other economic factors such as inflation, population, and economic growth also play a role in influencing tax revenue. However, external factors such as socialization and tax sanctions show inconsistent results. Consequently, increasing public awareness through tax education is a key strategy for sustainably improving the country's performance. In addition, transparent tax management and effective government communication are important factors in strengthening public trust and encouraging voluntary taxpayer compliance. Therefore, collaboration between the government and society is needed to create a sustainable and effective taxation system that supports national economic growth.

This study evaluates how macroeconomic variables such as interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates affect the returns on corporate bonds issued by the banking sector in Indonesia. Corporate bonds are an attractive investment alternative, but their performance is highly influenced by fluctuations in national economic conditions. This study uses secondary data obtained from company financial reports, macroeconomic data, and bond market information over a certain period. Multiple linear regression analysis is applied to assess the extent to which each factor affects bond returns. The analysis results indicate that increases in interest rates and inflation tend to reduce bond returns, while the effect of exchange rates is inconsistent and depends on the economic stability at the time. These findings can serve as important considerations for investors, financial analysts, and policymakers in managing risks and opportunities in the Indonesia banking bondmarket.

Exchange rates are a crucial indicator in an open economy, playing a significant role in influencing international trade, investment flows, and overall macroeconomic stability. This study aims to analyze the impact of rupiah exchange rate fluctuations on Indonesia’s economic growth during the period 2014–2023. The research employs a descriptive qualitative approach using secondary data obtained from official publications of Statistics Indonesia and Bank Indonesia. The main variables analyzed include the rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar and Indonesia’s economic growth. The findings indicate that exchange rate movements are closely related to economic growth dynamics, particularly through international trade mechanisms, production costs, and the stability of the real sector. Depreciation of the exchange rate tends to enhance export competitiveness, but it may also trigger inflation due to rising import prices. Conversely, appreciation can help control inflation but may weaken export competitiveness. Therefore, maintaining exchange rate stability is essential to support sustainable economic growth and strengthen national economic resilience.

This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation and interest rates on the stock prices of banking companies listed in the IDX80 index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2019–2024 period. Research data were obtained from official reports of banking company stock prices as well as inflation and interest rate data from Bank Indonesia. The study used a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression methods through the SPSS application, and classical assumption tests were conducted as a requirement for analysis. The study population included all IDX80 banking companies, with a saturated sampling technique resulting in five banks that met the criteria during the study period. The results of the partial test indicate that inflation has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, while interest rates have a negative and significant effect on stock prices. This indicates that stable inflation can still improve the performance of the banking sector, while rising interest rates tend to depress stock prices due to increased borrowing costs and a shift in investment to other instruments. The results of the simultaneous test also show that inflation and interest rates together have a significant effect on the stock prices of IDX80 banking companies. The results show that inflation has a significant positive effect on stock prices with a significance value of 0.034, while interest rates have a significant negative effect with a significance value of 0.018. Simultaneously, inflation and interest rates have a significant effect on stock prices with a calculated F value of 14.549 > Ftable 2.70 and a significance of 0.000 < 0.05.

Global economic uncertainty and exchange rate fluctuations pose significant challenges to monetary stability in Indonesia, particularly in maintaining a controlled inflation rate. This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of the rupiah exchange rate to the inflation rate in Indonesia from 2015 to 2024. The method used in this study is library research by collecting, reviewing, and synthesizing data from various scientific literature, official central bank reports, and related journal articles published over the past decade. The research findings indicate that rupiah depreciation has a significant influence on rising inflation through the imported inflation channel, where currency depreciation increases the cost of raw materials for industries dependent on foreign markets. Furthermore, the findings reveal that the effectiveness of this transmission is influenced by public expectations and monetary policy taken by Bank Indonesia through adjustments to the benchmark interest rate. The implications of this study emphasize the importance of synergy between a stable exchange rate policy and controlling the supply of domestic goods to minimize the impact of external shocks on public purchasing power. The government and monetary authorities are advised to continue strengthening foreign exchange reserves and encouraging the use of local currencies in international transactions to reduce dependence on the United States dollar and maintain national price stability.

This study aims to analyze the impact of the geopolitical conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran in 2026 on global macroeconomic stability and climate change dynamics. Using a qualitative approach through a Systematic Literature Review (SLR), this research synthesizes findings from various international journal articles, reports, and academic sources. The results indicate that the conflict has significantly disrupted global energy markets, leading to a sharp increase in oil and gas prices. This energy shock has triggered global inflationary pressures, reduced purchasing power, and increased economic uncertainty across both developed and developing countries. Furthermore, monetary tightening policies implemented to control inflation have created trade-offs with economic growth, increasing the risk of global recession. On the fiscal side, government interventions such as energy subsidies have helped mitigate short-term impacts but have raised concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability. In addition, the energy crisis has slowed the transition toward renewable energy, thereby exacerbating climate change risks. The study highlights the interconnectedness between geopolitical conflict, macroeconomic instability, and environmental sustainability. Therefore, coordinated global policies and integrated economic strategies are essential to address these multidimensional challenges effectively.

This study aims to analyze the optimization of regional expenditure in the education sector of Surabaya City for the 2025 fiscal year in supporting regional development. The research uses a descriptive qualitative approach through observation, interviews, and documentation studies conducted at the Surabaya City Education Office. Data were obtained from relevant stakeholders involved in education budget management and supported by official documents related to policies and the implementation of education programs. The results show that the management of education expenditure has been aligned with the Regional Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMD) and applies the money follow program principle, which prioritizes programs based on community needs and development priorities. Programs such as Regional School Operational Assistance (BOPDA), educational assistance for students, school infrastructure development, and community-based learning innovations have contributed to expanding access to education, improving the equity of educational services, and reducing dropout rates. In addition, the use of monitoring systems, periodic evaluation, and the involvement of multiple stakeholders in supervision has strengthened transparency and accountability in budget management. However, several challenges remain, including limited implementation time, procurement constraints, and economic conditions such as inflation. Overall, education expenditure in Surabaya has been managed relatively well in terms of effectiveness, efficiency, and accountability while still requiring continuous improvement

Multicollinearity is one of the common issues in multiple linear regression that can lead to instability in the estimation of regression coefficients. This study aims to examine the impact of multicollinearity on regression models and to evaluate the use of Ridge Regression as an alternative estimation method. The study employs simulated data consisting of 1,000 observations, including one dependent variable and four independent variables designed to exhibit high correlation. The analysis begins with model estimation using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method, followed by multicollinearity testing using the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF). The OLS results indicate that most independent variables significantly influence the dependent variable, with a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.9863. However, the high VIF values reveal the presence of strong multicollinearity in the model. To address this issue, Ridge Regression is applied, with the optimal penalty parameter determined through cross-validation, yielding a lambda value of 4.201589. The results show that the regression coefficients in the Ridge model undergo shrinkage, resulting in greater stability compared to the OLS estimates. Model evaluation indicates that the Mean Squared Error (MSE) for the OLS model is 24.77, whereas the Ridge model produces an MSE of 29.72. Although the Ridge model exhibits a slightly higher MSE, it effectively mitigates the impact of multicollinearity and provides more stable parameter estimates.

This study aims to analyze the impact of inflation on the profitability of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) operating in traditional markets. Inflation influences key business aspects, including rising production costs, declining consumer purchasing power, and instability in input prices, all of which can disrupt business performance. The research employed a quantitative approach using survey data collected from MSME actors to assess these effects. The findings reveal that inflation has a significant negative impact on MSME profitability, particularly through the reduction of profit margins. This occurs as businesses face higher raw material costs while simultaneously experiencing a decline in sales volume due to weakened consumer demand. As a result, many MSMEs struggle to maintain financial stability and sustain their operations under inflationary pressure. These findings highlight the need for adaptive strategies among MSMEs, such as cost efficiency and pricing adjustments. Additionally, the study offers important policy implications for the government to support MSMEs through targeted interventions, including price stabilization measures and financial assistance programs, in order to maintain business resilience and economic sustainability.

This study aims to analyze the effect of the implementation of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance), global economic pressures reflected through inflation and exchange rates, as well as bank size on banking performance proxied by Return on Assets (ROA). In addition, this study also aims to examine whether the implementation of ESG is capable of mitigating the impact of global economic pressures on banking performance in countries affected by global economic pressures. The research period covers 2015–2024, with the banking sectors in Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa, the Philippines, and India as the research objects. The results indicate that the ESG variable has a negative and significant effect on banking performance. The exchange rate variable is found to have a positive and significant effect on banking performance. Meanwhile, the inflation and bank size variables do not show any effect on banking performance. Furthermore, the findings also reveal that the ESG–exchange rate moderation variable has a positive and significant effect on banking performance. These findings indicate that the implementation of ESG is able to mitigate the impact of global economic pressures originating from exchange rate fluctuations on banking performance in the five countries affected by global economic pressures.

The money market plays a vital role in the global financial architecture as a provider of short-term liquidity and a primary channel for monetary policy transmission. This research is motivated by the rapid transformation of financial instruments, which now encompass conventional and Sharia-compliant sectors, as well as digital innovations such as e-money and stablecoins. The purpose of this study is to examine the concept of the money market, identify the diversity of modern instruments, and analyze their strategic role in economic stability through a qualitative literature review approach. The analysis shows that the money market is highly effective in managing bank cash reserves and controlling inflation by regulating the money supply. The presence of digital instruments has been proven to accelerate liquidity flows, while Sharia schemes provide transparent and equitable investment alternatives. However, the emergence of digital assets also brings challenges of volatility that require adaptive regulation and professional skepticism from market participants. The implications of this research emphasize the importance of synergy between monetary authorities and financial technology to address global disruption. Strengthening regulations on future instruments is expected to create a more inclusive and stable financial system that can respond precisely to economic shocks.

This study exaimines whether today’s youth represent a “saving generation” or a “forced generation” in respondingto rising inflation.the increasing cost of living has significantly affected young people’s consumption patterns,financial planning,and lifestyle choices.this researchaims to analyze how inflation influences the economic behavior of young people and to identify whether their frugality is driven by financial awereness or economic pressure.the study employs a qualitative descrective approach,using interviews and literature analysis to explore the experience of young individuals in managing their finances amid economic uncertainty.the findings indicate that although some young people demosntrate improved financial literacy and budgeting skills,many are compelled to reduce concumption,postpone personal goals,and limit social activities due to limited income and rising prices.Inflation has reshaped priorites,encouraging survival-oriented financial strategies rather than long-term wealth planning.the study concludes that the current generation reflects a combination of both conscious constraint.therefore,policy interventions,financial educations programs,and employment opportunities are essential to strengthen youth economic resilience.the implications of supporting young people in  developing sustainable financial habits while addressing structural economic challenges that influence their financial stability.

This study aims to analyze the influence of gold prices, inflation rates, BI Rate, and exchange rates on the distribution of pawn products (Rahn) at PT. Bank Riau Kepri Syariah Pekanbaru Arifin Ahmad. The research uses a quantitative approach with associative methods, data collection techniques through documentation, and panel data regression analysis using Eviews 12 software. The results of the study show that the price of gold has a significant effect on the distribution of Rahn financing. The higher the price of gold, the greater the amount of financing that can be disbursed because the value of collateral increases so that the risk of Islamic banks is more controlled. Inflation also has a significant effect, where rising inflation encourages people to seek short-term financing through Rahn products  to maintain liquidity and purchasing power. The BI Rate has a significant negative effect, meaning that the increase in the benchmark interest rate reduces interest in interest-bearing financing and encourages customers to choose  interest-free Rahn products  . Conversely, the exchange rate has no significant effect on  the distribution of Rahn, as exchange rate fluctuations do not affect the stability of the value of gold collateral. Overall, Rahn's financing distribution  is more influenced by internal product factors and customer needs than external factors. Rahn's products are proven to be a short-term financing instrument that is safe, fast, and in accordance with sharia principles.  

This study aims to analyze the effect of government expenditure, wages, inflation, education, and unemployment on the economy and their impact on poverty in the Tomini Bay Region. The study uses panel data from 10 regencies/cities with secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The analytical method employed is a simultaneous equation model. The results show that government expenditure and education have a positive and significant effect on the economy. Wages have a negative and insignificant effect, while inflation and unemployment have a positive but insignificant effect on the economy. The economy has a positive and significant effect on poverty, indicating that economic growth has not yet been inclusive. Wages have a negative and significant effect on poverty, whereas inflation and unemployment have a negative but insignificant effect. These findings indicate that economic growth has not been fully capable of reducing poverty evenly, therefore policies focusing on equitable social welfare are needed.