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Nuraini, Laili; Nuraini, Laili; Fatma Ayu Widyoputri, Yohana Maritza; Adiguna, Vinsent Brilian

Digital Business Intelligence Journal 2026 Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Semarang

A student's learning success is largely determined by their academic evaluation. Estimating a student's final grade can assist educational institutions in conducting initial assessments of academic achievement. This study aims to analyze the performance of the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Random Forest (RF) algorithms in predicting students' final grades using Google Colab. This research method uses a quantitative approach using secondary data that includes age, mid-term exam scores, final exam scores, and categorical variables as independent variables, with the final grade as the dependent variable. The research process is carried out through data preprocessing steps, dividing training and test data, model training, and performance evaluation using Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination (R2). The results show that the Random Forest algorithm provides more accurate prediction accuracy compared to the Multiple Linear Regression algorithm, especially in identifying nonlinear relationships between variables. Therefore, the Random Forest algorithm is more recommended for predicting students' final grades with complex data characteristics.

Rusma Riansyah; Dimas Aqila Aptanta; Hafiz Aryanda; Muhammad Farhan; Ibnu Rusydi

Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

The rapid expansion of internet usage has led to a significant increase in cybersecurity threats, particularly phishing attacks delivered through malicious links. Phishing links are designed to imitate legitimate websites in order to deceive users and steal sensitive information. This study presents the implementation of a phishing link detection website based on SSL validation and URL scoring mechanisms. The proposed system integrates heuristic-based URL analysis with real-time SSL certificate validation obtained through the SSL handshake process. Digital certificates are verified using RSA-based digital signature verification issued by trusted Certificate Authorities (CAs). In addition, the SHA-256 hash algorithm is employed to generate certificate fingerprints and URL hashes to ensure data integrity and uniqueness. The system also evaluates HTTPS usage, domain and certificate consistency, certificate validity period, and RSA public key strength. All validation results are processed using a URL scoring system to generate a security score ranging from 0 to 100, which classifies links into safe, suspicious, or dangerous categories. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed website is capable of effectively identifying phishing indicators and providing transparent cryptographic evidence in real time. This approach can assist users in making informed decisions and improving protection against phishing threats in web environments.

Imakulata Kresnawati M Bili; I Wayan Sudiarta; Maria Yuditia Wungabelen; Ni Kadek Alika Rosdiana; Putri Rafiana

Jurnal Bisnis Inovatif dan Digital 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Customer churn is a strategic challenge for digital streaming platforms because it directly Impacts revenue and business sustainability. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing customer Churn and develop a churn prediction model using the Random Forest algorithm. The study uses a Quantitative approach with an explanatory design and utilizes secondary data from the Netflix Customer Churn and Engagement Dataset available on Kaggle. The dataset consists of 1,000 customer data with 16 Variables covering demographic characteristics, service usage behavior, financial condition, and customer Satisfaction level. The data was processed through preprocessing, one-hot encoding, and a 70:30 split Between training and test data. Model performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1 Score, and ROC-AUC metrics. The results show that the Random Forest model produces an accuracy of 53.7%, precision of 56.3%, recall of 63.6%, F1-score of 59.7%, and ROC-AUC of 0.534, indicating Moderate predictive ability and only slightly better than random classification. Feature importanceAn.evealed that user engagement levels, such as viewing duration and frequency of interactions, Were the most dominant factors influencing churn, followed by economic factors and customer satisfaction. The results of this study are expected to provide a basis for streaming platforms to design more effective Customer retention strategies.

Dewa Ayu Putu Angelina Dewi; I Wayan Sudiarsa; Ni Made Dwi Junita Sariyani; Yuvensia Armelia Sumu; Gusti Ngurah Abhimanyu

Jurnal Bisnis Inovatif dan Digital 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

The rapid development of digital technology has led to an increased adoption of digital payment methods in online transaction-based businesses. However, in practice, failures and limitations in the implementation of digital payment systems still occur, potentially disrupting transaction processes and reducing customer convenience. Payment related obstacles may result in transaction cancellations and increase the risk of customer churn. This study aims to analyze the impact of failures and limitations in digital payment methods on customer churn using a classification-based approach. The data used in this research are secondary e-commerce customer data obtained from the Kaggle platform, including transaction information, payment methods, customer behavior, and historical transaction records. The research methodology consists of data preprocessing, time-based feature engineering, and classification modeling using logistic regression, decision tree, and random forest algorithms. Model performance is evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and confusion matrix metrics. The results indicate that the decision tree model demonstrates superior capability in identifying churn customers compared to the other models, although it does not always achieve the highest accuracy. In addition to digital payment methods, other factors such as purchase value, transaction frequency, purchase timing patterns, and product return rates also influence customer churn. The findings highlight the importance of optimizing digital payment systems as part of customer experience enhancement strategies and customer retention efforts in online transaction–based businesses.

Zarkasyi Azri Sardar; Sudiyono Sudiyono; Rini Indrati; Aisyah Widayani

Journal of Health Sciences, Nursing and Nutrition 2026 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

Background: Accurate detection of renal cysts on CT urography requires high diagnostic precision, while manual interpretation by radiologists is susceptible to inter-observer variability and potential delays in clinical decision-making. These challenges underscore the need for a reliable automated detection system to support radiological assessment. Objective: This study aims to develop and evaluate the performance of the Neo-ZasAI application based on the YOLOv8 algorithm for the automatic identification of renal cysts. Methods: Employing a Research and Development design using the ADDIE model, the study encompassed needs analysis, model design, software development, system implementation using 200 CT urography images, and diagnostic performance evaluation. Classification results generated by Neo-ZasAI were compared with radiologist readings through confusion matrix analysis and ROC–AUC assessment. Results: The findings indicate that Neo-ZasAI achieved an accuracy of 97,5%, sensitivity of 96%, specificity of 99%, positive predictive value of 98,9%, and negative predictive value of 96,1%. The ROC analysis yielded an AUC of 0.988 (p < 0.001), demonstrating excellent discriminative capability and high concordance with radiologist interpretations as the diagnostic gold standard. Conclusion: These results suggest that Neo-ZasAI is capable of performing rapid, consistent, and accurate renal cyst detection and is thus feasible for implementation as a clinical decision support system in radiology, with potential integration into PACS workflows and further development to enhance model generalizability.

Mutiara Hakiki; Sri Nada Nadziran; Sri Mulyeni

Jurnal Pendidikan Dirgantara 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Pendidikan Indonesia

The phenomenon of Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) has become increasingly prominent among Generation Z due to the high intensity of social media use. Social media serves not only as a communication tool but also as a space for identity construction and the pursuit of social validation. Exposure to influencer content portraying ideal lifestyles, social achievements, and trending activities encourages individuals to remain constantly connected in order to avoid feeling left behind in digital communities. This study aims to analyze the influence of social media influencer content on the level of FOMO among Generation Z. The research employs a qualitative descriptive approach using a literature review method by examining relevant national and international academic journals published within the last five years. Data were analyzed by identifying patterns linking influencer content exposure, psychological mechanisms of FOMO, and its impact on Generation Z’s behavior and psychological well-being. The findings indicate that influencer content significantly contributes to social comparison processes and increases the need for digital validation, such as likes and comments, which are perceived as indicators of social acceptance. This condition strengthens FOMO tendencies and leads to excessive digital engagement, consumptive behavior, and psychological pressure. The discussion highlights that social media algorithms further intensify this cycle by repeatedly promoting popular and viral content. In conclusion, influencer content plays a crucial role in intensifying FOMO among Generation Z, emphasizing the importance of digital literacy and critical awareness to mitigate its negative effects.

Rizka Dian Misary; Reni Oktavia; Ratna Septiyanti; Doni Sagitarian Warganegara

DHARMA EKONOMI 2026 sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Dharmaputra Semarang

Financial distress is a condition of declining financial health of a company that can develop gradually and lead to business failure if not detected early. With the increasing complexity of the business environment and the limitations of conventional statistical methods, Artificial Intelligence/AI is increasingly being adopted in the development of early warning systems (EWS) to predict financial distress. This study aims to examine the development of AI-based EWS research, identify the most widely used algorithms, and evaluate the effectiveness of AI models compared to conventional methods in predicting financial distress. The method used is a comprehensive systematic literature review of 15 relevant scientific articles. The results show that the paradigm has shifted from statistical models to machine learning and deep learning. Random Forest and Artificial Neural Network are the most widely used algorithms and have better predictive performance. This study offers a conceptual synthesis of the progress, effectiveness, and challenges of applying AI in predicting financial distress and opens opportunities for further research on the development of contextual and interpretative EWS.

Fajar Nur Bahri; Astri Amanda Putri; Fathir Al Fath Harahap

Jurnal Budi Pekerti Agama Islam 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Pendidikan Agama dan Filsafat Indonesia

Social media, initially projected as a democratic discourse space, has instead become trapped in the echo chamber phenomenon, narrowing the intellectual horizons of its users. This research aims to analyze the echo chamber phenomenon on social media through the lens of Max Horkheimer’s critical theory, specifically the concept of the "Eclipse of Reason." The method used in this study is qualitative descriptive with a literature study and philosophical analysis approach. The results indicate that social media algorithms have shifted objective reason into instrumental reason, where truth is measured solely by efficacy and confirmation of personal beliefs. The analysis in this article concludes that social media functions as an "eclipse of reason" machine that stifles the critical reasoning abilities of individuals. This process occurs when reason is no longer used to critically dissect reality but serves merely as a technical tool to adapt to homogeneous information flows. The death of critical reason is not merely a technical byproduct of algorithms but a manifestation of the dominance of formal rationality that sidelines human values in the digital sphere.

Raymundus Anthony Samadi; Andi Faisal Bakti

Federalisme : Jurnal Kajian Hukum dan Ilmu Komunikasi 2026 Asosiasi Peneliti dan Pengajar Ilmu Hukum Indonesia

The transformation of political communication in the digital era has fundamentally altered the ways political parties and their affiliated wing organizations interact with party cadres and the broader public. In Indonesia, party wing organizations such as Angkatan Muda Pembaharuan Indonesia (AMPI), Angkatan Muda Partai Golkar (AMPG), and other youth wings increasingly rely on social media as the primary medium for political cadre formation. However, this shift has not only created new opportunities for participation but has also generated structural problems, including the dominance of symbolic communication, the personalization of political elites, and the subordination of ideological discourse to the algorithmic logic of digital platforms. This article aims to critically examine how the digital political communication of party wing organizations operates within the context of Indonesia’s representative democracy, the extent to which it constitutes a deliberative public sphere for young cadres, and how such practices affect the quality of political cadre formation. Employing a critical paradigm and a transdisciplinary qualitative approach, the study integrates Habermas’s theory of the public sphere, Aeron Davis’s evaluation of democratic communication, and the concept of the mediatization of politics. The findings indicate that the digital communication of party wings tends to function primarily as an instrument of symbolic consolidation and loyalty mobilization rather than as an arena for dialogical political education. Consequently, digital cadre formation produces representational identities more than critical political consciousness. This article therefore recommends a reorientation of the digital political communication of party wing organizations toward deliberative and emancipatory models in order to strengthen internal party democracy and promote substantive political regeneration.

Putri Maria Theresia Kehi; I Wayan Sudiarsa; Maria Oktaviani Suryati; Yosefina Dehadi; Maria Karlinda

Saturnus: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

This study aims to analyze consumer purchasing behavior on e-commerce platforms using the Decision Tree algorithm as an easily interpretable classification method. The dataset used consists of 12,330 transaction records with 18 attributes representing visitor characteristics and user activities during interactions with the e-commerce platform. The research stages include data exploration to identify initial patterns, data preprocessing to handle missing values and class imbalance, splitting the data into training and testing sets, training the Decision Tree model, evaluating model performance, and visualizing the tree structure to analyze decision rules.The test results show that the Decision Tree model with a maximum depth of 3 achieves fairly good performance, with an average accuracy of 89.78%, precision of 69.82%, recall of 59.95%, and an F1-score of 64.51% for the buyer class. The visualization of the decision tree provides clear interpretation of the main attributes influencing purchasing decisions, thereby facilitating understanding for non-technical decision makers. Overall, this study demonstrates that the Decision Tree method is effective in modeling consumer purchasing behavior in e-commerce and can be utilized as a basis for data-driven business decision making, particularly in marketing strategies and improving sales conversion rates.

Didi Jubaidi; Khoirunnisa, Khoirunisa

Jurnal Ilmu Pendidikan, Politik dan Sosial Indonesia 2026 Asosiasi Peneliti dan Pengajar Ilmu Hukum Indonesia

The rapid advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is reshaping public governance, including legislative processes. In the United Arab Emirates (UAE), AI is being actively utilized to enhance law-making through faster drafting, improved consistency, and greater transparency. This study examines the role of AI in the UAE’s legislative functions, focusing on how AI tools assist in analyzing legal data, formulating policy recommendations, and drafting legislation. It explores how AI impacts the speed, accuracy, and legitimacy of law-making, while also addressing the ethical and legal challenges of delegating legislative tasks to intelligent systems. Using a qualitative case study method, the paper evaluates government initiatives, expert insights, and regulatory structures that frame AI's integration into the UAE’s law-making system. While AI offers opportunities for data-driven governance and increased legislative productivity, it also presents risks such as algorithmic bias, reduced human oversight, and accountability gaps. The study emphasizes that AI must be governed by strong regulatory frameworks to safeguard democratic values, fairness, and legal integrity. By analyzing a pioneering national model, this research contributes to global discussions on AI in governance and offers key insights for policymakers, technologists, and legal scholars seeking to balance innovation with ethical and legal standards.

Nurfaizah Nurfaizah

Saturnus: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

The increasing use of Learning Management Systems (LMS) in higher education generates large amounts of student activity data that have the potential to provide deeper insights into learning processes. However, in practice, these data are still rarely analyzed systematically to understand variations in students’ learning activity patterns, limiting their practical use in supporting teaching and learning. This study aims to explore students’ learning activity patterns in an LMS using a clustering approach based on activity data.This research utilizes the publicly available Open University Learning Analytics Dataset (OULAD), focusing on a single course and a single academic term. LMS activity data were processed through data cleaning and feature extraction, followed by student clustering using the K-Means algorithm. The quality of the clustering results was evaluated using the Silhouette Score, and visual analysis was applied to support the interpretation of the results.The results indicate that students’ learning activities can be grouped into two main patterns, namely a group of students with high learning activity and a group with lower or moderate activity levels. These findings highlight the existence of heterogeneous learning behaviors among students, even within the same learning context.The identified learning activity patterns provide an initial foundation for utilizing LMS data to monitor student engagement and to support the development of more responsive, data-driven learning approaches in higher education.

Markus Kamuri; Stefanus D.I. Mau; Maria Wilda Malo

Repeater : Publikasi Teknik Informatika dan Jaringan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

The rapid advancement of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) has accelerated the digital transformation of public services, including land administration. However, public complaint services at the Land Office of Southwest Sumba Regency still encounter challenges such as unstructured complaint procedures, manual data processing, risk of data loss, and limited public access to clear information. These issues highlight the need for an innovative and accessible complaint information system. This study aims to design and implement a chatbot-based public complaint service information system to enhance accessibility, transparency, and service effectiveness. A qualitative research method with a system development approach was applied. Data were obtained through interviews, observations, and documentation. The system was developed using a rule-based approach with a Finite State Machine (FSM) algorithm and implemented through the Typebot.io platform. The findings indicate that the chatbot provides structured, consistent, and user-friendly information, reduces manual workload, and improves public readiness before submitting complaints directly, while supporting future integration and system enhancement.

Basron Basron; Adellah Adellah; Naurah Athaya

Public Service And Governance Journal 2026 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Semarang

Digital transformation in the public sector has encouraged the adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a strategic instrument to enhance the effectiveness and quality of public service delivery. In Indonesia, the implementation of AI within the public administrative system remains at an early stage and faces various structural, regulatory, and ethical challenges. This study aims to analyze the opportunities, challenges, and ethical implications of AI implementation in Indonesia’s public administration. The research employs a qualitative approach through literature review and policy analysis of governmental digital transformation regulations. The findings indicate that AI holds significant potential to improve bureaucratic efficiency, service transparency, and data-driven decision-making processes. However, regulatory gaps, limited digital literacy among public officials, the risk of algorithmic bias, and data protection concerns constitute major obstacles to its effective implementation. The novelty of this study lies in integrating public administration management analysis with a public service ethics framework grounded in good governance principles within the context of AI implementation in Indonesia. This study recommends strengthening regulatory frameworks for AI in the public sector, enhancing human resource capacity, and developing ethical guidelines for AI utilization to ensure that public services remain accountable, equitable, and oriented toward the public interest.

Suci Ariani; Resta Dwi Yuliani; Auliyaur Rabbani

VitaMedica : Jurnal Rumpun Kesehatan Umum 2026 STIKES Columbia Asia Medan

Diabetes Mellitus is one of the chronic diseases with high morbidity and mortality rates, making data-driven analysis necessary to understand patient mortality patterns. This study aims to analyze the mortality rate of Diabetes Mellitus patients based on age and length of hospitalization using a data mining approach with the K-Means Clustering method. The study employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from the medical records of Diabetes Mellitus patients at Ibnu Sina Regional General Hospital, Gresik Regency, in December 2022. The dataset consists of 266 patient records with variables including age, length of stay, and final patient status. Data analysis was conducted through preprocessing stages, including data cleaning, transformation, and normalization, followed by the clustering process using the K-Means algorithm with the assistance of the RapidMiner application. The results show that patient data are divided into three clusters based on age ranges: 0–40 years, 41–55 years, and 56–90 years. The cluster with the age range of 56–90 years has the highest number of patient deaths compared to the other clusters. Meanwhile, the length of hospitalization does not show a significant effect on patient mortality. This study is expected to serve as a consideration for hospitals and health institutions in efforts to prevent and manage Diabetes Mellitus, particularly among the elderly population.

Ibnu Rusydi; Laila Ali Putri; Maria Ulfa

Saturnus: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

This research presents the development of a transaction data protection mechanism for a bouquet sales application by utilizing the Advanced Encryption Standard (AES) algorithm. The rapid growth of digital commerce has led to an increase in online transactions, which in turn raises serious concerns regarding the security of sensitive transaction data. Information such as customer identities, order details, delivery addresses, and payment data are vulnerable to unauthorized access, data leakage, and manipulation if not properly secured. To address these issues, this study applies the AES-128 encryption algorithm using a 128-bit secret key to secure transaction data before it is stored in the system database. The encryption process follows the standard AES workflow, including key expansion, initial transformation, multiple encryption rounds, and a final transformation stage. Decryption is restricted exclusively to authorized users who possess the correct encryption key. The research methodology includes system analysis, AES integration into the application, and functional testing of the encryption and decryption processes. Data integrity is validated by comparing the original plaintext with the decrypted output, while system performance is evaluated based on processing time and decryption accuracy. Experimental results indicate that the average encryption and decryption time remains under 10 milliseconds per transaction, without affecting system performance. The findings confirm that AES-128 effectively enhances transaction data confidentiality and integrity in the bouquet sales application

Chengxuan Wang; Yaqi Zhang; Yifan Zhang; Xiaoyu Fan

International Journal of Economics, Commerce, and Management 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

The development of digital technology has significantly transformed music consumption and marketing strategies in the creative industry. The shift from physical media to digital platforms, especially short-form video-based social media like TikTok, has created a new ecosystem that emphasizes interactivity, community participation, and organic music distribution. TikTok allows users to incorporate song snippets into creative content, positioning music as both entertainment and a symbol of digital identity. This shift reveals that music popularity is now primarily driven by recommendation algorithms and user-generated content rather than traditional promotion. This study adopts a qualitative descriptive approach with phenomenological analysis to explore the relationship between music consumption behavior and marketing strategies on TikTok. Findings indicate that algorithms act as digital curators, influencing audience preferences, while user participation accelerates the viral spread of songs through challenges, remixes, and content reproduction. Effective music marketing strategies must be data-driven, trend-responsive, and capable of leveraging users' emotional and social engagement. TikTok thus serves not only as a distribution platform but also as a space for constructing global popular culture. This study contributes to digital media scholarship and offers practical implications for designing sustainable marketing strategies in the ever-evolving digital ecosystem.

Tiara Bela Harahap; Lailan Sofinah Harahap; Naina Nazwa Hasibuan

Polygon : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Matematika dan Sains Indonesia

Rainfall is a crucial factor in the stability of the Earth's ecosystem and has a significant impact on agriculture, forestry, energy, and water management. However, increasingly unstable climate change makes rainfall patterns difficult to predict accurately using traditional methods. The city of Medan, the capital of North Sumatra Province, has a tropical rainforest climate with an average annual rainfall of approximately ±2200 mm and an average temperature of 27°C. Significant weather fluctuations in this area can trigger flooding when rainfall increases and cause water shortages when rainfall decreases (BMKG, 2021). Therefore, a prediction approach that can manage non-linear and dynamic data is needed. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are one of the reliable machine learning methods for detecting data patterns. By using the backpropagation algorithm, the model can gradually reduce prediction errors, making it widely used in weather forecasting applications. In this regard, this study uses ANN with the backpropagation method to forecast monthly rainfall in Medan City by utilizing data from 2022–2024 as training and testing data.

I Gusti Ngurah Rangga Mahesa; I Wayan Sudiarsa; I Putu Dicky Dharma Suryasa; Putu Agus Aditya Putra; Yulianus Kevin Dharmawa Sagur

Repeater : Publikasi Teknik Informatika dan Jaringan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

Stock price prediction remains a complex challenge due to the dynamic and non-linear nature of financial markets, especially for banking stocks like PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (BBNI). This study aims to optimize BBNI stock price forecasting by integrating an automated Extract, Transform, Load (ETL) pipeline with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm within a data engineering framework. Historical data from 2019 to 2025 were processed through a structured ETL sequence—including data cleaning, feature engineering, and MinMaxScaler normalization—to ensure high data quality. The dataset was partitioned into 80% for model training and 20% for testing to ensure rigorous evaluation. The results demonstrate that the systematic ETL approach significantly enhances model stability and predictive accuracy compared to conventional methods. The LSTM model effectively captured long-term temporal dependencies, providing reliable trend forecasts with an impressive test accuracy, achieving a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.0354. This research underscores that integrating robust data engineering practices with deep learning is essential for building resilient financial decision-support systems.

I Wayan Manik Mas Sri Dantya; I Wayan Sudiarsa; I Putu Kabinawa Raesa Putra; Brian Adi Sapurta; I Komang Hari Sastrawan

Repeater : Publikasi Teknik Informatika dan Jaringan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

In the rapidly evolving digital economy, the ability to anticipate transaction surges is a strategic asset for marketplace platforms to maintain operational efficiency. This research aims to build an accurate daily transaction volume forecasting system thru the implementation of an Extract, Transform, and Load (ETL) pipeline and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) predictive modeling. The dataset used is sourced from dataset_olshop.csv, which includes transaction history for the entire year of 2025. The ETL stage focused on data cleaning and handling missing values, while time series analysis began with the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) stationarity test, which yielded a significant p-value of 0.000006. The parameter model was optimized using the auto_arima algorithm, which determined the ARIMA(2,0,0) configuration as the best model. The evaluation results of the model show fairly stable performance with a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) value of 2.002 and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 1.704 on the test data. Research findings reveal a consistently higher purchasing pattern during the mid-month and end-of-month periods, with an average of 5.52 daily transactions, compared to the beginning of the month, which saw 5.48 transactions. The 30-day forecast results provide valuable insights for online store managers to proactively adjust inventory and logistics workforce allocation strategies. This research concludes that integrating data engineering techniques and statistical analysis can provide predictive solutions for the dynamics of the digital market.