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Economic forecasting is becoming increasingly important year after year, especially during crises such as the pandemic of COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. Its development can be seen from the use of basic statistical models to the increasingly widespread use of machine learning technology. Economic forecasting plays an important role in helping to formulate policies and is also a reliable tool for researchers in dealing with uncertainty. Global crises, such as inflationary pressures due to the pandemic and supply chain disruptions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have prompted increased research in this field in an effort to anticipate economic shocks and emphasize the urgency of forecasting to prepare strategies for dealing with future uncertainty. This literature review uses the Scopus database with 2561 publications from 2020 to 2025, analyzed using R Studio with a bibliometrix approach (specifically biblioshiny) and VOSviewer to map relevant thematic connections. This analysis shows that economic forecasting is greatly influenced by market uncertainty and geopolitical factors, and at the same time influences public policy formulation and financial stability. Research contributions from Indonesia are still limited, with only 40 documents, thus emphasizing the need to strengthen economic forecasting studies in Indonesia to support monetary policy and national financial stability.

This study aims to analyze the comparison of small business development strategies in improving the income of traders in traditional markets around Medan City. The research employed a qualitative descriptive approach using interviews, observations, and documentation involving three traders of fruit, vegetables, and tomatoes. The results show that each trader applies different strategies depending on the characteristics of their commodities and business capacity. Fruit and tomato traders tend to implement quality sorting, price adjustments, and trust-building through honest customer service. Meanwhile, the vegetable trader relies more on traditional approaches such as giving bonuses to customers. Market facilities significantly influence the effectiveness of business strategies, where traders with proper stalls are better able to maintain income stability compared to those using temporary tents in muddy and uncomfortable areas. Seasonal factors also strongly affect income fluctuation as they determine the quality and supply of commodities. This study concludes that small business development strategies in traditional markets are shaped not only by traders’ managerial abilities but also by market infrastructure conditions and external environmental factors. It is recommended that market managers improve market facilities to support the sustainability of small traders’ businesses.

The production sector at both the district and city levels is crucial for fostering structural change and boosting economic growth in specific areas. Still, many regions struggle with issues such as linking supply chains, readiness for technology, quality of labor, and efficient policies. This research intends to examine the strategies of the manufacturing sector at the district and city levels to enhance regional competitiveness and promote sustainable economic growth. The study utilizes a descriptive qualitative method based on a review of literature from academic journals, policy papers, and official statistics related to manufacturing progress. Results reveal that several important factors strongly affect regional manufacturing growth. These include the connection of local supply chains, industry strategies focused on the market, the implementation of digital and smart manufacturing methods, innovation encouraged by educational institutions and organizations, and the influence of local governments in developing an effective industrial policy atmosphere. Furthermore, creating designated industrial areas and managing operations efficiently significantly helps attract investments and boost the manufacturing output of regions. The research concludes that a cohesive and tailored manufacturing strategy for each region is vital for improving local productivity, generating jobs, and enhancing economic stability at both district and city scales.

Corrective maintenance is one of the maintenance strategies performed after system failures or malfunctions occur, particularly in diesel power plants (PLTD) that play a crucial role in supplying electricity to remote areas such as Jayapura. This study aims to identify the types of failures occurring in diesel engines at the Jayapura PLTD and to evaluate the corrective maintenance actions implemented. Data were collected through direct observation during an internship program, interviews with technicians, and analysis of historical maintenance and failure records. The results indicate that the most common failures occurred in the lubrication system, fuel system, and cooling system. Corrective actions included component repairs, spare part replacements, and system adjustments. The application of timely and appropriate corrective maintenance significantly reduced machine downtime and improved the reliability of the power generation system. This study recommends integrating corrective and preventive maintenance strategies to maximize operational efficiency of the PLTD.

This study discusses the phenomenon of digital entrepreneurship in the era of global climate awareness, focusing on the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) ethics, sustainable technology, and green innovation. The main issues raised are the fragmentation of analysis between digital business ethics, green economic opportunities, and technological challenges such as greenwashing, high AI energy consumption, and the digital divide. The purpose of this study is to formulate an interdisciplinary framework that combines ethical, technological, and sustainability dimensions to strengthen the role of digital entrepreneurs in achieving low-carbon development. The methods used include critical literature analysis, bibliometrics of 200 publications (2018-2025) using VOSviewer, and fuzzy logic-based simulations using the UNESCO AI ethics framework (2021) and the sustainable business model of Bocken et al. (2014). The results show four main research clusters: AI for Sustainable Innovation, Ethical Digital Business, Blockchain for Green Supply Chain, and Circular Digital Economy. The application of AI ethics increases the efficiency of green business decisions by up to 20%, consumer trust by 17%, and MSME participation by 14%. The synthesis of findings confirms that AI ethics acts as a conceptual mediator that strengthens the link between technological innovation and sustainability. In conclusion, ethical digital entrepreneurship has great potential as a driving force for Indonesia's green economy, but it requires digital ethics audit policies and the adoption of low-carbon technologies to address ethical and environmental risks in the AI era.

This paper analyzing how reshaping the future of global trade, explore the transition from traditional online retail models toward sustainable e-commerce ecosystems. By examining the integration of circular economy principles, green logistics, and ethical supply chain manajement, the study identifies the core drivers behind this transformation

Changes in the lifestyles of the younger generation in Padang City have significantly contributed to the growth of the culinary and entertainment sectors, especially in services for birthday celebrations and small banquets presented in aesthetic and personalized packages. In this highly competitive culinary business, a strong branding strategy is essential for building a recognizable brand image and attracting consumers. Improving product quality and quantity, diversifying offerings, and providing a wide variety of products are critical for creating added value and expanding market share. Equally important, effective promotion enables companies to communicate with consumers, influence purchasing decisions, and strengthen brand loyalty. The general equilibrium concept offers a framework to understand how interconnected markets respond to changes in supply, demand, and consumer preferences, highlighting the need for businesses to continuously evaluate and adapt their strategies. This study emphasizes that success in Padang City’s bakery and culinary service industry depends on the integration of branding strategies, ongoing product development, and targeted promotional efforts, ensuring competitiveness, customer satisfaction, and sustainable business growth.

This study aims to empirically analyze how the implementation of Green Supply Chain Standards and halal certification affects the competitiveness of Food and Beverage SMEs in Padang City. Sustainable economic development requires the integration of environmental and ethical aspects in the supply chain, especially in the food sector. In Padang City, Food and Beverage SMEs are the driving force of the economy, facing a dual challenge of meeting consumer demands for halal products and environmentally friendly practices. This study uses a quantitative approach with a survey method. Primary data were collected through questionnaires from a sample of owners or managers of food and beverage SMEs operating in Padang City. Data management is carried out using regression analysis or Structural Equation Modeling to test the hypothesis of the effect of independent variables GSCM and Halal Certification on the dependent variable (SME Competitiveness). This research is expected to demonstrate that the implementation of GSCM positively affects the competitiveness of SMEs, and halal certification also has a significant positive impact on competitiveness, especially in expanding market access and increasing Muslim consumer trust.

This study analyzes the practice of staple food price manipulation at Cik Puan Market in Pekanbaru, which is alleged to be carried out by a group of traders through stockpiling, supply coordination, and price regulation that could potentially cause market distortions. This phenomenon has led to unreasonable price increases in strategic commodities such as chili, onions, rice, cooking oil, and chicken, thereby negatively affecting consumers and regional economic stability. This research uses a normative juridical approach with descriptive qualitative analysis methods, supported by empirical data from local government reports, official news, and findings from trade department supervision. The results of the study indicate that these price manipulation practices are in violation of Articles 5, 11, and 19 of Law No. 5 of 1999 about Consumer Protection. This study emphasizes that the weak supervision of the supply chain in traditional markets, as well as the minimal coordination between agencies, causes price manipulation practices to continue repeatedly. It is necessary to strengthen law enforcement, ensure transparency in the distribution of basic necessities, and enhance the role of local governments and the KPPU in order to create stable, competitive, and fair prices for the public.

This community service activity aims to optimize the Free Nutritious Meal Program (MBG) at SMK Negeri 1 Jember as an effort to improve the quality of human resources and student productivity. The main problems identified include low nutritional literacy, undeveloped healthy consumption habits, and weak synergy between schools, families, and local food businesses. The community service was implemented using the Participatory Rural Appraisal (PRA) approach through the Plan, Act, Observe, and Reflect stages, involving teachers, students, parents, and SPPG. The results of the activity showed an increase in the knowledge and skills of school residents regarding nutrition management and food safety, the formation of a healthy consumption culture, and the strengthening of the nutritious food supply chain involving MSMEs and local farmer groups. In addition, collaboration between parties has become more solid, thus supporting the program. This activity demonstrates that the participatory approach can strengthen the institutional capacity of schools while serving as a model for implementing adaptive and replicable nutrition programs for other educational institutions.

This study aims to analyze the implementation of Total Quality Management (TQM) in improving service quality at KPUD Tani Wilis, particularly in the supply and distribution of livestock feed. The research employs a descriptive qualitative approach with data collected through in-depth interviews and direct observations involving cooperative management, employees, and customers. Data were analyzed using an interactive model consisting of data reduction, data display, and conclusion drawing. The findings indicate that TQM implementation has been relatively effective, reflected through three key components: customer value strategy, organizational systems, and continuous quality improvement. Services are perceived as responsive, polite, and informative, supported by adequate delivery facilities. The main challenge lies in occasional delays in feed delivery caused by weather conditions, which affect customer perceptions of reliability. Overall, TQM contributes positively to service quality, customer satisfaction, and operational effectiveness, although further improvements in risk management and service consistency are needed to achieve optimal quality.

This study explores the implementation of circular economy principles within Safina Quilt, an MSME in Balikpapan that transforms textile waste—such as fabric scraps and discarded clothing—into value-added products. Safina Quilt applies the concepts of reduction, reuse, and upcycling throughout its production processes using quilting techniques, while simultaneously establishing an inclusive supply chain that engages local tailors, individuals with disabilities, and homemakers. This business model not only delivers economic gains by increasing profit margins and expanding market reach but also generates substantial social benefits by empowering vulnerable community groups. Although challenges remain, including limited access to supporting materials, constraints in production capacity, and insufficient digital marketing efforts, Safina Quilt demonstrates how MSMEs can successfully integrate environmental, economic, and social sustainability. Strengthening supply chain mechanisms, enhancing production capabilities, and improving digital marketing strategies are essential for scaling up and ensuring long-term business sustainability.

Proyek Trade Mall di Jabodetabek sebagai bagian dari bisnis properti merupakan proyek yang memiliki tingkat penyerapan pasar tertinggi diantara proyek properti komersial lainnya seperti apartemen, hotel, perumahan, kantor, dan industri. Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk mengevaluasi strategi pra pengembangan proyek trade mall dalam rangka meningkatkan profitabilitas dan daya saing developer di wilayah Jabodetabek serta mengidentifikasi variabel-variabel yang menentukan tingkat profitabilitas dari pra pengembangan proyek Trade Mall, menyusun model system dynamics yang dapat menggambarkan pengaruh dari supply dan demand pengembangan proyek Trade Mall terhadap kinerja daya saing developer, membuat rekomendasi tindakan perbaikan terhadap penyebab terjadinya penurunan tingkat profitabilitas dan kinerja daya saing developer. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah analisis arsip dan survei. Kemudian data yang telah diperoleh dianalisa dengan menggunakan analisa statistik dan system dynamics. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan ada dua faktor utama yang berpengaruh terhadap tingkat profitabilitas proyek, yaitu harga jual dan tingkat penjualan, gap pertumbuhan Trade Mall yang diperoleh dari simulasi supply & demand. Serta rekomendasi tindakan perbaikan yang dilakukan terhadap penyebab penurunan profitabilitas dan daya saing developer.

This research investigates the application of the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) method to improve drug inventory management in a primary hospital pharmacy, with a particular focus on reducing storage costs. A descriptive quantitative approach was applied using secondary data from January to December 2024, covering annual demand, purchase price, ordering cost, and holding cost. The analysis concentrated on fast-moving vital essential and moderate vital drugs that are critical for sustaining patient treatment. The study revealed inefficiencies in the hospital's procurement practices, with some medicines simultaneously facing overstock and stockout risks, indicating weak planning. EOQ calculations provided alternative procurement quantities that were smaller but more frequent, resulting in lower storage costs and better stock control. Simulation outcomes demonstrated notable cost savings, particularly for Flamicort, Diazepam, and Ventolin. These findings emphasize the value of integrating EOQ into hospital pharmaceutical logistics to reduce financial losses, strengthen supply chain efficiency, and ensure the continuous availability of essential medicines in primary hospital settings.

In the fast-moving fashion retail industry, supply chain efficiency is a key factor in operational success. Heybeb Factory Outlet, as one of the retail business actors, faces challenges in managing the flow of goods from upstream to downstream, particularly in balancing demand between offline (physical stores) and online (e-commerce/marketplace) channels. This proposal aims to design and analyze the logistics workflow starting from goods ordering (restocking) from the central warehouse, the goods receiving process, rigorous Quality Control (QC) procedures, storage in a dedicated transit warehouse, and the stock distribution mechanism (stock split) for the two sales channels. The main issues identified include the risk of overselling in one channel while stock accumulation occurs in another, as well as the potential for defective items to pass through due to an unstructured QC process. This study employs a descriptive qualitative approach by mapping out an ideal Standard Operating Procedure (SOP). The expected outcome is the development of an integrated inventory management system capable of minimizing return rates caused by defective items and maximizing inventory turnover through accurate stock allocation between online and offline divisions.

This community service activity aims to enhance supply chain efficiency and expand market access for Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Wabula Satu Village, Buton Regency, Southeast Sulawesi. The main problems faced by MSMEs include inefficient supply chain management, limited production coordination, and low utilization of digital technology for product marketing. The program was implemented using an educational-participatory approach through a series of training sessions, simulations, and mentoring activities. The results revealed significant improvements in participants’ understanding of supply chain management, production efficiency, and digital marketing skills, particularly through social media and marketplace platforms. MSMEs also showed progress in branding and product packaging, while collaborative networks were established to support collective raw material procurement and joint distribution. This program has contributed to improving local business competitiveness, productivity, and sustainability. Moreover, it demonstrates an effective community empowerment model based on technology adoption and collaboration to strengthen village economic resilience in the digital era.

Handwashing with Soap (CTPS) is the activity of cleaning hands using clean, running water and soap to remove dirt, oil, and various germs such as viruses, bacteria, and parasites that may cling to the skin. As one of the most effective, simplest, and most affordable methods of preventing infectious diseases, CTPS is highly important to practice consistently, especially among students at Public Elementary School 283 located in Waitomu Hamlet, Leihitu District, Central Maluku Regency. However, observations indicate that after school activities or playtime, several students still show reluctance to wash their hands, which may be influenced by low awareness, limited understanding of hygiene, insufficient supervision, or the absence of strong daily habits related to cleanliness. This issue reflects the need for more structured hygiene education, continuous reminders, and interactive learning methods to instill good handwashing habits. In addition, improving supporting facilities—such as accessible handwashing stations, adequate soap supply, and visual posters—can motivate students to practice CTPS more regularly. Strengthening CTPS awareness and habits is expected to reduce the risk of disease transmission, foster a healthier school environment, and encourage students to adopt lifelong hygiene practices that benefit both their personal well-being and the wider community.

The revocation of Pinkflash's cosmetic product distribution license by the Food and Drug Supervisory Agency (BPOM) has once again attracted public attention after the brand experienced a similar incident in 2024. This crisis raises questions about Pinkflash's public relations strategy in maintaining consumer trust and preserving its brand reputation. This study aims to analyze Pinkflash's public relations strategy and measure the impact of the crisis on public perception through social media sentiment analysis using Brand24. The research method used is a descriptive qualitative approach. The main data in this study was obtained from official documents by BPOM and official brand statements, which were then analyzed using content analysis and sentiment analysis using Brand24. The results of the study show that Pinkflash's crisis response only temporarily dampened negative sentiment. The root of the problem lies in weak governance, which led this study to conclude that reputation can only be rebuilt through comprehensive improvements to the quality of its systems and supply chain, with a commitment to honest operations as the key.

This community service activity aims to enhance supply chain efficiency and expand market access for Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Wabula Satu Village, Buton Regency, Southeast Sulawesi. The main problems faced by MSMEs include inefficient supply chain management, limited production coordination, and low utilization of digital technology for product marketing. The program was implemented using an educational-participatory approach through a series of training sessions, simulations, and mentoring activities. The results revealed significant improvements in participants’ understanding of supply chain management, production efficiency, and digital marketing skills, particularly through social media and marketplace platforms. MSMEs also showed progress in branding and product packaging, while collaborative networks were established to support collective raw material procurement and joint distribution. This program has contributed to improving local business competitiveness, productivity, and sustainability. Moreover, it demonstrates an effective community empowerment model based on technology adoption and collaboration to strengthen village economic resilience in the digital era.

This study analyzes the water storage capacity and operational patterns of reservoirs in the Surabaya Industrial Estate Rungkut (SIER) to support efficient and sustainable water resource management. The research adopts a quantitative approach by collecting hydrological data, analyzing storage capacity, and simulating reservoir operations based on seasonal scenarios. The findings indicate that SIER's reservoirs have sufficient capacity to meet industrial water demands, although a supply deficit occurs for four months annually. Technical optimization efforts, such as sediment dredging, have proven to increase storage capacity by more than 200%. Practical recommendations for reservoir management include sedimentation normalization and planned operational strategies. These findings are expected to serve as a reference for other industrial zones in addressing water management challenges due to climate variability and increasing industrial demands.