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This research benchmarks multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms for large-scale loan default prediction using a real-world dataset of 255,000 borrower records, where default cases represent only ~9–12% of total observations. The study addresses the persistent gap in comparative analyses of ML models that balance predictive accuracy, interpretability, and computational efficiency for credit risk assessment. Six algorithmic families were evaluated Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), and Stacked Ensemble—using standardized preprocessing, hybrid imbalance handling (SMOTE, class weighting, under-sampling), and comprehensive evaluation metrics (AUC, F1, Recall, Precision, PR-AUC, and Brier Score). Empirical results show Logistic Regression achieved the highest AUC of 0.732, outperforming nonlinear models under the baseline configuration, while LightGBM attained perfect recall (1.0) but low precision (0.116), indicating over-prediction of defaults. Gradient boosting models demonstrated robust calibration (Brier ≈ 0.114–0.116) and the best computational efficiency, with LightGBM showing the fastest training and lowest memory use. CatBoost exhibited strong recall but the slowest computation, and ANN underperformed on tabular data (AUC ≈ 0.56). The Stacked Ensemble delivered balanced results with AUC = 0.664 and improved overall stability. These findings confirm that boosting-based models, particularly LightGBM and CatBoost, offer superior scalability and calibration, whereas Logistic Regression remains a valuable interpretable baseline. The study concludes that effective default prediction requires integrating rebalancing, calibration, and threshold optimization to enhance recall and operational deployment reliability in large-scale credit ecosystems.

High-dimensional clinical data exhibit complex and non-linear relationships among patient attributes, where outcomes are often influenced by feature interactions rather than isolated variables. However, many existing machine learning models prioritize predictive performance while providing limited interpretability and insufficient insight into interaction structures. This study aims to address this limitation by developing an interpretable and robust framework for feature interaction mining in clinical data. We propose a hybrid tree–neural modeling framework that explicitly captures and ranks feature interactions while maintaining stable predictive performance. Tree-based ensemble models are employed to identify non-linear interaction patterns, while neural representations enhance learning flexibility and generalization. The framework integrates interaction importance analysis, cross-validation–based stability assessment, and evaluation across multiple data splits to ensure robustness and interpretability. Experiments conducted on a real-world high-dimensional clinical dataset demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves consistent predictive performance, with AUC values ranging from 0.628 to 0.641 across five cross-validation folds (mean AUC ≈ 0.633). Performance remains stable under varying train–test splits, indicating strong generalizability. Interaction analysis reveals that a small number of dominant feature interactions—such as age combined with length of hospital stay and medication count combined with diagnostic information—consistently contribute to model predictions, appearing in over 80% of validation folds. Ablation studies further confirm that removing interaction-aware components leads to noticeable performance degradation, highlighting their importance.  In conclusion, this study demonstrates that explicit feature interaction modeling enhances interpretability, stability, and generalization in clinical prediction tasks. The proposed hybrid framework provides a reliable foundation for developing trustworthy and transparent clinical decision-support systems

One of the risk impacts of blasting activities is flyrock. The impact of flyrock can be minimized by evaluate the factors that influence flyrock such as blasting geometry. Flyrock cannot be completely eliminated but flyrock distance can be reduced to prevent damage. This study aims to determine the actual maximum flyrock distance in the field and the factors that influence the flyrock distance. This study was conducted at PT. Sims Jaya Kaltim, Paser Regency, East Kalimantan Province. This research was conducted 31 times and the average throwing distance was 79.8 meters, the actual maximum flyrock throwing distance was 134.3 meters and the minimum throw was 40.5 meters. In the flyrock throw prediction, the Richard & Moore calculation method was used with a face burst mechanism of 121.3 meters and cratering of 232.2 meters and the Ebrahim Ghasemi dimensional analysis method of 104.5 meters. From both methods, the Ebrahim Ghasemi method was found to be closest to the actual flyrock with a standard deviation of 29.49 meters and an error percentage of 2.90%. From the results of the correlation between the blasting parameters and the actual flyrock, it was found that the factors that influence the occurrence of flyrock are powder factors, so an analysis was carried out to obtain a maximum flyrock throwing distance of 90 meters so that the safe radius of the tool is 180 meters, then the maximum powder factor used is 0.14 kg/m3.

Nabire Regency in Central Papua Province confronts significant geographical complexities in transportation system development, characterized by hilly topography and limited road infrastructure that impacts community mobility efficiency. This research analyzes road route optimization through Geographic Information System (GIS) approach using QGIS 3.28.3 software with QNEAT3 plugin for network analysis. The research methodology applies network analysis considering multiple parameters including travel distance, travel time, road surface conditions, slope gradients based on Digital Elevation Model (DEM), and impedance factors according to infrastructure quality. Spatial data were obtained from Geospatial Information Agency (BIG) and OpenStreetMap (OSM) with analysis focusing on 8 origin-destination pairs representing critical movements to health facilities, education centers, and economic hubs. Analysis results identified alternative routes demonstrating 12.5-20% travel time efficiency compared to existing routes, with an average optimization of 15.7%. Field validation confirmed model prediction accuracy with error rates below 8%. These research findings provide strategic recommendations for local government in sustainable transportation infrastructure planning that can enhance regional accessibility and support local economic development in the Central Papua region.

Improper water management in rice cultivation can lead to water stress, which reduces productivity. Conventional monitoring has limitations on large-scale lands, necessitating more efficient remote sensing technologies. This study aims to develop a water stress identification system for rice plants in the late vegetative phase using multispectral drone imagery integrated with an Artificial neural network (ANN). The research method employs an experimental approach with six water availability levels in Karyamukti Village, Sumedang. Field reference data were obtained through soil moisture sensors converted into Available Water (AW) values. Image processing stages included orthomosaic reconstruction, leaf object segmentation, and transformation of vegetation indices (NDVI, NDRE, GNDVI, etc.) as model inputs. The results show that the ANN model with a four-hidden-layer architecture achieved training and validation accuracies of 94–95%. In the independent testing phase, the model produced an accuracy of 94.60% with an F1-Score of 93.33%. Spatial visualization of the prediction results indicates a consistent water condition distribution across rice plots. In conclusion, the integration of multispectral drones and ANN provides an accurate non-destructive solution for spatial monitoring of water availability in rice plants.

This research develops a machine learning model to classify customer loyalty using the Random Forest algorithm. Customer churn is a critical issue that reduces revenue and increases acquisition costs. A dataset of 50,000 customers from global e-commerce and subscription platforms was processed through data cleaning, imputation, outlier handling, and class balancing with SMOTE. The Random Forest model was built as a baseline and optimized with hyperparameter tuning. Evaluation using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score shows that the optimized model achieved 90.81% accuracy and 83.87% F1-score, outperforming previous Naïve Bayes approaches. Feature importance analysis highlights customer service interactions, lifetime value, and demographic factors as key predictors of churn. These findings demonstrate Random Forest’s effectiveness in churn prediction and provide practical insights for customer retention strategies

A student's learning success is largely determined by their academic evaluation. Estimating a student's final grade can assist educational institutions in conducting initial assessments of academic achievement. This study aims to analyze the performance of the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Random Forest (RF) algorithms in predicting students' final grades using Google Colab. This research method uses a quantitative approach using secondary data that includes age, mid-term exam scores, final exam scores, and categorical variables as independent variables, with the final grade as the dependent variable. The research process is carried out through data preprocessing steps, dividing training and test data, model training, and performance evaluation using Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination (R2). The results show that the Random Forest algorithm provides more accurate prediction accuracy compared to the Multiple Linear Regression algorithm, especially in identifying nonlinear relationships between variables. Therefore, the Random Forest algorithm is more recommended for predicting students' final grades with complex data characteristics.

This study aims to compare the performance of Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Random Forest Regression (RFR) in predicting student performance based on academic scores. Student performance is defined as the average of math scores, Reading Scores, and writing scores. This study uses a quantitative approach with a comparative design based on predictive modeling. The data used is secondary data from the Student Prediction dataset obtained through the Kaggle platform, which was processed using the Python programming language through the Google Colab platform. The analysis stages included the formation of performance variables, the separation of training and test data with a ratio of 80:20, model training, and evaluation using the Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R²) metrics. The results show that the Multiple Linear Regression model produced an MSE value of 2.74 × 10⁻²⁸, an MAE of 1.51 × 10⁻¹⁴, and an R² of 1.000. Meanwhile, Random Forest Regression produced an MSE of 0.296, an MAE of 0.375, and an R² of 0.998. These findings indicate that both models have a very high level of accuracy, but Multiple Linear Regression provides the best performance. This is due to the strong linear relationship between the input variables and the target variables formed directly from the combination of academic values. Thus, the linear regression model is proven to be more suitable for use in data structures that have simple linear relationships compared to ensemble-based models.

Customer churn is a strategic challenge for digital streaming platforms because it directly Impacts revenue and business sustainability. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing customer Churn and develop a churn prediction model using the Random Forest algorithm. The study uses a Quantitative approach with an explanatory design and utilizes secondary data from the Netflix Customer Churn and Engagement Dataset available on Kaggle. The dataset consists of 1,000 customer data with 16 Variables covering demographic characteristics, service usage behavior, financial condition, and customer Satisfaction level. The data was processed through preprocessing, one-hot encoding, and a 70:30 split Between training and test data. Model performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1 Score, and ROC-AUC metrics. The results show that the Random Forest model produces an accuracy of 53.7%, precision of 56.3%, recall of 63.6%, F1-score of 59.7%, and ROC-AUC of 0.534, indicating Moderate predictive ability and only slightly better than random classification. Feature importanceAn.evealed that user engagement levels, such as viewing duration and frequency of interactions, Were the most dominant factors influencing churn, followed by economic factors and customer satisfaction. The results of this study are expected to provide a basis for streaming platforms to design more effective Customer retention strategies.

This study examines the integration of technology in the process of Human Resource (HR) transformation through the perspective of employee data analytics as a strategic approach to modern HR management. The primary focus of the study is to analyze the impact of the simultaneous integration of digital HR systems and organizational digital transformation on improving the efficiency of HR functions, with organizational agility positioned as a moderating variable that strengthens this relationship. In addition, the study explores the potential optimization of Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies and predictive analytics methods, such as Bayesian Optimization, in predicting workforce dynamics, including employee attrition risk and competency development needs, while also bridging the analytical skills gap among HR practitioners. The research method employed is a systematic literature review of relevant scientific publications from 2021 to 2025, selecting sources that address digital HR transformation, HR analytics, and the application of AI in organizational contexts. The findings indicate that digital HR systems have a strong and significant effect on enhancing operational efficiency and the quality of HR decision-making, and this effect becomes more optimal when supported by a high level of organizational agility. Furthermore, AI and predictive analytics are proven to generate more accurate predictions and simplify technical complexity, making them easier for HR practitioners to adopt. This study concludes that the success of HR transformation requires a holistic approach that aligns the use of advanced technologies with organizational capabilities, human resource readiness, and ethical considerations to create sustainable organizational value.

Stock price prediction remains a complex challenge due to the dynamic and non-linear nature of financial markets, especially for banking stocks like PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (BBNI). This study aims to optimize BBNI stock price forecasting by integrating an automated Extract, Transform, Load (ETL) pipeline with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm within a data engineering framework. Historical data from 2019 to 2025 were processed through a structured ETL sequence—including data cleaning, feature engineering, and MinMaxScaler normalization—to ensure high data quality. The dataset was partitioned into 80% for model training and 20% for testing to ensure rigorous evaluation. The results demonstrate that the systematic ETL approach significantly enhances model stability and predictive accuracy compared to conventional methods. The LSTM model effectively captured long-term temporal dependencies, providing reliable trend forecasts with an impressive test accuracy, achieving a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.0354. This research underscores that integrating robust data engineering practices with deep learning is essential for building resilient financial decision-support systems.

Indonesia, as a country with the highest seismicity in the world, requires an accurate earthquake prediction system through the use of the BMKG earthquake catalogue. This research aims to implement ETL-based data pipeline engineering to process 92,887 earthquake catalog entries for the 2008-2023 period into ready-to-use daily time series for the LSTM seismicity forecasting model. The ETL process includes raw data extraction, cleaning of 97% missing values columns on focal mechanism parameters, datetime conversion, daily resampling producing 5,200 entries with earthquake count, total magnitude, and average magnitude features, as well as Min-Max Scaler normalization for LSTM compatibility. The dataset was processed using Google Colab with a stacked LSTM architecture of two layers of 50 and 25 units, dropout 0.2, Adam optimizer, and a sequence window of 30 days to predict the daily earthquake count. The model trained for 100 epochs shows the ability to capture stable seismic activity trends with a consistent decrease in MSE loss, although it shows deviations in extreme spikes due to aftershock sequences. The ETL pipeline proved crucial in ensuring temporal consistency, 100% data completeness, and relevant physics representation, resulting in a reproducible end-to-end framework for disaster mitigation.

Rainfall is a crucial factor in the stability of the Earth's ecosystem and has a significant impact on agriculture, forestry, energy, and water management. However, increasingly unstable climate change makes rainfall patterns difficult to predict accurately using traditional methods. The city of Medan, the capital of North Sumatra Province, has a tropical rainforest climate with an average annual rainfall of approximately ±2200 mm and an average temperature of 27°C. Significant weather fluctuations in this area can trigger flooding when rainfall increases and cause water shortages when rainfall decreases (BMKG, 2021). Therefore, a prediction approach that can manage non-linear and dynamic data is needed. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are one of the reliable machine learning methods for detecting data patterns. By using the backpropagation algorithm, the model can gradually reduce prediction errors, making it widely used in weather forecasting applications. In this regard, this study uses ANN with the backpropagation method to forecast monthly rainfall in Medan City by utilizing data from 2022–2024 as training and testing data.

The retail industry generates an extremely large and continuously growing volume of transactional data along with the advancement of digital technology, thereby requiring sophisticated and systematic data analysis approaches to support effective and evidence-based business decision-making. This study aims to analyze retail sales data by utilizing the Retail Sales Dataset obtained from the Kaggle platform, which consists of 100,000 transaction records and broadly represents the characteristics of retail transactions. The main focus of this study is to classify product categories and predict customer segments, including the identification of high-spending customers (high spenders), based on demographic attributes such as age and gender, as well as various transaction-related features. The research methodology includes data preprocessing, label encoding, and feature engineering to generate additional variables, including Age_Group, Is_Holiday, and Spender_Group, which are expected to enhance the predictive capability of the models. Several machine learning algorithms, namely Decision Tree, Random Forest, and XGBoost, were implemented and evaluated to compare their respective performance. The experimental results indicate that multiclass product category classification achieves relatively low accuracy, ranging from 27% to 34%. These findings suggest the high complexity of retail data and highlight the need for further model optimization, class balancing techniques, and feature refinement to improve predictive performance in future studies.

This study examines the development of a Crude Palm Oil (CPO) price forecasting model using an artificial neural network algorithm, specifically the backpropagation algorithm. As one of Indonesia’s main export commodities, CPO has a significant economic impact and influences the income of oil palm farmers. The CPO price data used in this study were obtained from CIF Rotterdam, covering the period from January 2019 to December 2023. The research methodology consists of several stages, including data collection, preprocessing, model design, and model implementation using Python programming. The training results of the backpropagation algorithm show an error value of 0.537829578 after 1,000 epochs, while the evaluation using Mean Squared Error (MSE) indicates an MSE of 0.022709 during the training process and 0.017604 during the testing process. The model also produces CPO price predictions for the next three months, namely 932.578 for the first month, 949.568 for the second month, and 774.855 for the third month. These findings indicate that the developed model is capable of predicting future CPO prices with adequate accuracy, which can assist companies in making better financial decisions and managing risks associated with CPO price fluctuations.

The increasing number of Indonesian Migrant Workers (TKW) working abroad, particularly through programs organized by BP2MI, has become a significant concern in managing the labor export process. One of the challenges faced is the uncertainty of the number of TKW to be sent each year, which is influenced by various external and internal factors. Therefore, this study aims to apply artificial neural networks (ANN) with a backpropagation algorithm approach to predict the number of TKW that will be processed by BP2MI. This method was chosen due to its ability to recognize patterns and nonlinear relationships between variables that affect the decision-making process for TKW export. In this study, the data used includes factors such as the number of job seekers, government policies, and the condition of the international labor market. The artificial neural network with the backpropagation algorithm is used to train the model based on existing historical data, with the goal of generating accurate predictions regarding the number of TKW to be processed in the coming years. The results of the tests show that the developed model can provide fairly accurate predictions and can serve as a tool for BP2MI in planning and managing the export of TKW more effectively. With the application of this technology, it is expected that the decision-making process related to TKW export can become more efficient and well-predicted.

The dynamic fluctuations in stock prices present a major challenge for investors in making informed decisions. To anticipate such uncertainties, forecasting methods that can provide accurate predictions are required. This study compares two time series forecasting methods Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Double Exponential Smoothing (Holt) in predicting the stock prices of PT Telkom Indonesia (TLKM). The dataset consists of monthly closing prices from January 2018 to December 2023. The performance of each model is evaluated using three error metrics: Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). The results show that the ARIMA(1,1,1) model yields higher predictive accuracy than the Holt method, with MAE of 787.71, MSE of 771,844.2, and RMSE of 878.55. In contrast, the Holt method records a MAE of 837.19, MSE of 878,393.4, and RMSE of 937.23. These findings confirm that ARIMA is superior in capturing the complex patterns of stock price movements and is more effective in volatile market conditions such as the stock exchange.

Problems in the transmission box of the Drilling Machine 438-02-814-0925 type (0.75 HP, 230/400V, 1425 rpm, produced in 1988) are the degradation of mechanical components for the pulley, V-belt, and rolling bearing. The purpose of maintenance and repair planning is to obtain maintenance costs, maintenance schedules in the period 2026, and the ratio of maintenance costs to profits. The maintenance and repair planning method includes collecting previous maintenance data; application of the inspection-replace-repair-overhaul (IRRO) method; evaluation of the working conditions of components, especially on the pulley, V-belt, spindle pulley (driven pulley), and rolling bearing; prediction of component service life; prediction of repairman costs; prediction of supporting equipment that will be used in maintenance; prediction of spare part replacement time or reinstallation of components after repair; estimation of maintenance and repair costs in 2026; and calculation of the ratio of maintenance costs to profits. The results of maintenance and repair planning obtained maintenance costs in 2026 amounting to Rp 4,627,000 with an estimated Drilling Machine rental rate of Rp 75,000/hour which has the opportunity to be rented for 400 hours/year, and a maintenance cost to profit ratio of 15.42% which implies that the Drilling Machine still has the opportunity to generate profits and is suitable for use in the coming years.

Aceh Tamiang Regency is an area with a high risk of annual flooding. This emergency condition often triggers a surge in environment-related diseases such as skin diseases, respiratory infections, and diarrhea. The success of managing health crises heavily depends on pharmaceutical logistics management, especially the availability of essential medicines and ease of access for refugees at evacuation points. This study aims to analyze the extent of medicine availability at community health centers and health posts, as well as to evaluate the barriers to medicine accessibility for flood victims in Aceh Tamiang Regency. This study uses a qualitative/quantitative descriptive method (choose one) with a case study approach. Primary data were collected through in-depth interviews with pharmaceutical logistics officers and surveys of flood survivors. Secondary data were obtained from the drug stock reports of the Aceh Tamiang District Health Office. Analysis was conducted on variables such as drug types, stock amounts (Buffer Stock), and distribution channels during the emergency response period. The results of the study indicate that the availability of drugs in the initial disaster phase tends to be (state the prediction, e.g., sufficient/limited). However, accessibility is often hindered by damaged road infrastructure and uneven distribution to remote posts. There is an urgent need to strengthen the logistics early warning system so that the types of medicines available match the disease patterns that emerge after floods. Although medicine stocks are generally available in central pharmacy warehouses, geographical constraints and distribution coordination are the main factors hindering accessibility. It is recommended that local governments map out alternative distribution routes and provide disaster-specific buffer stock of medicines at the sub-district level.

Cloud-native systems are essential for modern software development, offering enhanced scalability, flexibility, and resilience through cloud computing environments. However, ensuring the reliability and performance of these systems presents a challenge due to their dynamic and distributed nature. Traditional testing methods, such as unit and integration testing, while valuable for detecting individual component defects and interactions, are insufficient for predicting failure rates in complex, cloud-native applications. This study explores the effectiveness of various testing techniques and quality metrics in predicting failure rates within scalable cloud-native systems. A comparative experimental study was conducted using three primary testing techniques: unit testing, integration testing, and chaos testing. The results indicate that chaos testing, when combined with advanced quality metrics such as migration rate and mismigration rate, significantly outperforms traditional methods in predicting failure rates and evaluating system resilience. These findings suggest that chaos testing offers a more comprehensive evaluation, simulating real-world disruptions to test system behavior under stress, which is essential for cloud-native environments where high availability and fault tolerance are critical. The study also highlights the importance of integrating predictive quality metrics, which improve the accuracy of failure predictions and enhance system reliability. The study concludes that for cloud-native systems, a combination of advanced testing techniques and predictive metrics is essential for ensuring high availability, scalability, and reliability in dynamic environments. Future research should focus on refining predictive testing approaches, developing standardized frameworks, and empirically validating new testing methods to address the growing complexity of cloud-native systems.