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Sofyan Hadi Febrianto; Eni Srihastuti; Dewi Wungkus Antasari

JURNAL RISET AKUNTANSI 2026 Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis (ITB) Semarang

This study aims to analyze the effect of exchange rate on transfer pricing with tax minimization as a moderating variable. The research employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from companies’ financial statements. The analytical methods include regression analysis and interaction testing to examine the moderating role. The results indicate that tax minimization does not strengthen the effect of exchange rate on transfer pricing, but instead weakens the relationship, leading to the rejection of the second hypothesis (H2). These findings suggest that companies tend to rely more on tax efficiency strategies rather than responding to exchange rate fluctuations in determining transfer pricing policies. This study implies that internal company factors play a more dominant role than external factors in influencing transfer pricing decisions.

Dewi, Nila Sari; Jayantika; Joice Lwisa Nababan; Ryan Chandra Dalimunthe

This study examines the influence of interest rates and the rupiah exchange rate on the money supply in Indonesia during the 2023–2025 period. A quantitative research approach was employed using monthly secondary data obtained from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and Bank Indonesia (BI). The data were analyzed through multiple linear regression with the assistance of SPSS software. Several statistical procedures were applied, including classical assumption tests, partial significance tests (t-tests), simultaneous significance tests (F-tests), and coefficient of determination (R²) analysis. The findings reveal that interest rates have a significant negative effect on the money supply, while the rupiah exchange rate exerts a significant positive influence. Furthermore, the simultaneous test indicates that both variables collectively have a significant impact on the money supply. The coefficient of determination shows that 85.4% of the variation in the money supply can be explained by changes in interest rates and the rupiah exchange rate. These results highlight the importance of maintaining stable interest rates and exchange rates as essential components of monetary policy aimed at regulating the money supply and preserving monetary stability in Indonesia.

Theresia Imelda Nelly Sianipar; Muhammad Ihsan Noviansyah; Viona Priskila Naftali Manurung; Saniyyah ‘Ulyaa; Namira Farahdiva +1 more

JURNAL RISET EKONOMI DAN AKUNTANSI (JREA) 2026 Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis (ITB) Semarang

This study aims to analyze the effect of the Bank Indonesia interest rate on the Indonesian rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar during the 2021–2026 period. A quantitative approach was employed using monthly time-series data obtained from official sources. The analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression with the assistance of EViews software. The dependent variable in this study was the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, while the independent variables included the Bank Indonesia interest rate, inflation, money supply (M2), and the Federal Reserve interest rate (Fed Rate). Prior to regression estimation, all data were tested for stationarity using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test to ensure compliance with time-series analysis requirements. Furthermore, the model was evaluated through classical assumption tests, including normality, heteroscedasticity, multicollinearity, and autocorrelation tests, to verify the validity and reliability of the estimation results. The findings reveal that the Bank Indonesia interest rate has a significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, with a probability value of 0.0223. This result indicates that changes in the domestic interest rate can influence movements in the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar. In contrast, inflation, money supply (M2), and the Fed Rate were found to have no significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate during the study period. Moreover, the classical assumption tests confirmed that the regression model satisfied all required criteria, indicating that the estimated results are reliable and can serve as a reference for economic policy formulation.

Isna Wati; Yessica Amelia; Ruslaini Ruslaini

Journal of Management and Social Sciences (JIMAS) 2026 Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Administrasi (STIA) Yappi Makassar

This study aims to examine the influence of capital intensity,  Return on Assets (ROA), liquidity, and company size on the Cash Effective Tax Rate (CETR) as a proxy for tax avoidance in energy sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2020–2024 period. This study uses a quantitative approach with secondary data in the form of annual financial statements. The sample was determined using a purposive sampling technique and obtained 16 companies during five years of observation, resulting in 80 observation data. Data analysis was carried out using multiple linear regression with the help of SPSS 29 software. The analysis stage began with a classical assumption test, then continued with multiple linear regression analysis, as well as hypothesis testing. The results showed that partially capital intensity and ROA had a significant effect on CETR, while liquidity and company size had no significant effect on CETR. Simultaneously, all independent variables had a significant effect on CETR, with a determination coefficient value of 25%.

Muhammad Pikar; M. Radityatama; Rian Fransisco; Agiel Pranata; Winstoon Yordan

Akuntansi Pajak dan Kebijakan Ekonomi Digital 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to examine the effect of working capital efficiency and leverage on profitability and its implications for firm value in manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the 2020–2025 period. The post-COVID-19 pandemic condition has increased operational risks for manufacturing companies due to fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, cash management, inventories, and receivables. Therefore, companies are required to implement more effective financial strategies to maintain competitiveness. Profitability is positioned as an intervening variable because previous studies showed inconsistent results regarding the relationship between working capital efficiency, leverage, profitability, and firm value. This research uses a quantitative approach with path analysis to examine direct and indirect relationships among variables. The population consists of all manufacturing companies listed on the IDX, while the sample includes 45 companies selected from 270 firms using purposive sampling based on specific criteria, such as consistent listing and financial performance. The results indicate that working capital efficiency has a significant positive effect on profitability, leverage has a significant negative effect on profitability, profitability significantly increases firm value, and profitability fully mediates the effect of working capital efficiency and leverage on firm value. These findings provide theoretical and practical implications for managers and investors in financial decision-making.

Disya Yuke Farhana; Enggar Diah Puspa Arum; Ilham Wahyudi; Wiralestari Wiralestari

Jurnal Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Perpajakan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study examines the effect of transfer pricing, thin capitalization, and intangible assets on tax avoidance among manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during 2022-2024. Using a purposive sampling method, 90 firms were selected, yielding 262 firm-year observations after removing 8 outliers from an initial pool of 270. Tax avoidance is proxied by the Cash Effective Tax Rate (CETR); transfer pricing by the Related Party Transaction ratio (RPT); thin capitalization by the Debt-to-Equity Ratio (DER); and intangible assets by the ratio of intangible assets to total assets. The results indicate that transfer pricing has a significant negative effect on tax avoidance, thin capitalization has a significant negative effect on tax avoidance, and intangible assets do not significantly affect tax avoidance. The model is jointly significant (F = 25.422; p < .001) with an Adjusted R² of 21.92%, indicating that 21.92% of the variation in tax avoidance is explained by the three independent variables. These findings carry important implications for tax authorities seeking to strengthen oversight of related-party transactions and the capital structures of multinational enterprises.

Kinanti Ranum Falina; Retno Yuni Nur Susilowati

International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study investigates the effect of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) disclosure and political connection on corporate tax avoidance among mining companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the period 2020–2024. As CSR practices increasingly shape stakeholder expectations, questions arise as to whether such disclosures genuinely reflect ethical corporate behavior or are strategically employed to legitimize tax planning. In addition to CSR disclosure, political connection is examined as an external institutional factor that may influence firms’ tax behavior by reducing regulatory scrutiny and enforcement risk. CSR disclosure is measured using the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) index, while tax avoidance is proxied by the Effective Tax Rate (ETR). Additionally, political connection is identified based on the presence of politically affiliated individuals in the firms’ board list. This study adopts a quantitative approach employing panel data linear regression analysis. The research population consists of mining companies consistently listed on the IDX during the observation period, with samples selected through purposive sampling, having 41 mining companies in total. This study aiming to contribute to academic discourse and practical implications for policymakers, investors, and regulators. The findings found that there are no significant effect between CSR disclosure and political connection on tax avoidance. The results of this study concluded that there are many factors both from internal and external that could affect tax avoidance activity in Indonesia’s mining companies yet was not covered in this study.

Maiz Wachid Anshorie; Anik Farida; Ela Nurlaela; Abdul Azis; Syaeful Bahri

Jurnal Manajemen dan Ekonomi Bisnis 2026 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

This study examines the determinants of the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) based on three main macroeconomic factors namely inflation, the USD/IDR exchange rate, and the SBI interest rate (BI Rate) covering the period January 2020 to December 2025, in the context of post-COVID-19 pandemic recovery and global economic turmoil. A quantitative approach was employed using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method, with 72 monthly observations derived from secondary data sourced from official institutions including Bank Indonesia (BI), the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), and the Financial Services Authority (OJK). Classical assumption tests were applied comprising the Jarque-Bera normality test, Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) for multicollinearity, Breusch-Godfrey for autocorrelation, White Test for heteroscedasticity, and Ramsey RESET for model specification. Partially, inflation, exchange rate, and BI Rate each demonstrate a positive and significant effect on the JCI (p < 0.05). Simultaneously, all three variables exert a significant combined influence on the JCI, with a coefficient of determination R² = 0.4414, indicating that the model explains 44.14% of the variation in the JCI. The remaining 55.86% is attributed to other variables outside the model. Classical assumption test results reveal violations of normality, autocorrelation, and heteroscedasticity assumptions, although the model is free from multicollinearity. These findings confirm that Bank Indonesia's monetary policy has a significant and measurable impact on capital market performance. Further research is recommended using more advanced time series models such as GARCH or VECM to address violations of classical assumptions and improve estimation efficiency.

Rendra Dwi Saputra; Muhammad Faizal Hakim; Saddam Abhinaya Setiyawan; Aldan Ardana; Chetrine Alya Rinaima

JURNAL EKONOMI BISNIS DAN MANAJEMEN (JISE) 2026 CV. ALIM'SPUBLISHING

This study aims to analyze the impact of the USD/CNY exchange rate and the Federal Reserve interest rate on the stock returns of Volkswagen AG. Volkswagen AG is chosen as the object of analysis because it is a multinational corporation with significant exposure to the Chinese market, making it highly sensitive to fluctuations in global economic conditions, particularly exchange rate movements and monetary policy changes. The study adopts a quantitative research approach using multiple linear regression analysis to examine the relationships between variables. The data used are monthly secondary data covering the period from 2017 to 2023, resulting in 84 observations. The dependent variable in this study is Volkswagen AG stock returns, while the independent variables consist of the USD/CNY exchange rate and the Federal Funds Rate. The empirical results show that the USD/CNY exchange rate has a negative and statistically significant effect on Volkswagen AG stock returns, indicating that currency depreciation or appreciation plays a crucial role in influencing investor sentiment and firm valuation. In contrast, the Federal Funds Rate does not show a statistically significant effect on stock returns during the observed period. However, the simultaneous test indicates that both variables jointly have a significant influence on Volkswagen AG stock returns. Overall, the findings suggest that exchange rate risk is more dominant than U.S. monetary policy in affecting the stock performance of Volkswagen AG over the study period.

Sirilia Sesilma Jinate Ruben; Elisabeth Lauboling; Maria Yovita R. Pandin

Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Ekonomi 2026 Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

This study evaluates how macroeconomic variables such as interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates affect the returns on corporate bonds issued by the banking sector in Indonesia. Corporate bonds are an attractive investment alternative, but their performance is highly influenced by fluctuations in national economic conditions. This study uses secondary data obtained from company financial reports, macroeconomic data, and bond market information over a certain period. Multiple linear regression analysis is applied to assess the extent to which each factor affects bond returns. The analysis results indicate that increases in interest rates and inflation tend to reduce bond returns, while the effect of exchange rates is inconsistent and depends on the economic stability at the time. These findings can serve as important considerations for investors, financial analysts, and policymakers in managing risks and opportunities in the Indonesia banking bondmarket.

Helnisa Helnisa; Agus Zahron Idris

Jurnal Mutiara Ilmu Akuntansi (JUMIA) 2026 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

The study aims to analyze the influence of financial distress, leverage, and macroeconomic fundamentals on financial reporting fraud in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2020–2024 period. A quantitative approach coupled with multiple linear regression analysis was employed. A saturated sampling technique was used to select 23 companies with 115 observation units. The data used were secondary data from published financial reports on the IDX. The results indicate that financial distress and macroeconomic fundamentals have no effect on financial reporting fraud, while leverage has a positive effect on financial reporting fraud. The model in this study is able to explain 6.9% of the variation in financial reporting fraud, while the remaining amount is influenced by factors outside the model. These findings indicate that companies with high debt levels are more likely to commit financial reporting fraud, while companies with financial problems and high interest rates are less likely to commit financial reporting fraud.

Ayesa Venia; Melsya Noviriza Lutfia Asma; Syifa Az Zahra; M. Yusuf Bahtiar

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Exchange rates are a crucial indicator in an open economy, playing a significant role in influencing international trade, investment flows, and overall macroeconomic stability. This study aims to analyze the impact of rupiah exchange rate fluctuations on Indonesia’s economic growth during the period 2014–2023. The research employs a descriptive qualitative approach using secondary data obtained from official publications of Statistics Indonesia and Bank Indonesia. The main variables analyzed include the rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar and Indonesia’s economic growth. The findings indicate that exchange rate movements are closely related to economic growth dynamics, particularly through international trade mechanisms, production costs, and the stability of the real sector. Depreciation of the exchange rate tends to enhance export competitiveness, but it may also trigger inflation due to rising import prices. Conversely, appreciation can help control inflation but may weaken export competitiveness. Therefore, maintaining exchange rate stability is essential to support sustainable economic growth and strengthen national economic resilience.

Wisnu Hari Nugraha Bintoro; Destian Andhani

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation and interest rates on the stock prices of banking companies listed in the IDX80 index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2019–2024 period. Research data were obtained from official reports of banking company stock prices as well as inflation and interest rate data from Bank Indonesia. The study used a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression methods through the SPSS application, and classical assumption tests were conducted as a requirement for analysis. The study population included all IDX80 banking companies, with a saturated sampling technique resulting in five banks that met the criteria during the study period. The results of the partial test indicate that inflation has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, while interest rates have a negative and significant effect on stock prices. This indicates that stable inflation can still improve the performance of the banking sector, while rising interest rates tend to depress stock prices due to increased borrowing costs and a shift in investment to other instruments. The results of the simultaneous test also show that inflation and interest rates together have a significant effect on the stock prices of IDX80 banking companies. The results show that inflation has a significant positive effect on stock prices with a significance value of 0.034, while interest rates have a significant negative effect with a significance value of 0.018. Simultaneously, inflation and interest rates have a significant effect on stock prices with a calculated F value of 14.549 > Ftable 2.70 and a significance of 0.000 < 0.05.

Tsani Deri Hidayat; M. Fariz Yusanri Fani; M. Aidil Aziz; M. Yusuf Bahtiar

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Global economic uncertainty and exchange rate fluctuations pose significant challenges to monetary stability in Indonesia, particularly in maintaining a controlled inflation rate. This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of the rupiah exchange rate to the inflation rate in Indonesia from 2015 to 2024. The method used in this study is library research by collecting, reviewing, and synthesizing data from various scientific literature, official central bank reports, and related journal articles published over the past decade. The research findings indicate that rupiah depreciation has a significant influence on rising inflation through the imported inflation channel, where currency depreciation increases the cost of raw materials for industries dependent on foreign markets. Furthermore, the findings reveal that the effectiveness of this transmission is influenced by public expectations and monetary policy taken by Bank Indonesia through adjustments to the benchmark interest rate. The implications of this study emphasize the importance of synergy between a stable exchange rate policy and controlling the supply of domestic goods to minimize the impact of external shocks on public purchasing power. The government and monetary authorities are advised to continue strengthening foreign exchange reserves and encouraging the use of local currencies in international transactions to reduce dependence on the United States dollar and maintain national price stability.

Luh Nadi; Michell Silvia

JURNAL EKONOMI MANAJEMEN AKUNTANSI 2026 sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Dharma Putra Semarang

This study aims to analyze and obtain empirical evidence regarding the effect of profitability, leverage, and sales growth on tax avoidance in energy sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2020–2024 period. This research method uses a quantitative approach with secondary data in the form of annual financial reports obtained from the official IDX website and related company websites. The sampling technique used a purposive sampling method to obtain a sample of companies that met the research criteria during the observation period. The dependent variable in this study is tax avoidance, which is proxied by the Effective Tax Rate (ETR), while the independent variables consist of profitability as measured by Return on Assets (ROA), leverage as measured by the Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), and sales growth as measured by annual sales growth. The data analysis technique uses panel data regression through the stages of selecting the best model, classical assumption testing, multiple linear regression analysis, and hypothesis testing. The results of the study indicate that profitability, leverage, and sales growth simultaneously influence tax avoidance. Partially, profitability influences tax avoidance, while leverage and sales growth do not.

Gratiana Manik; Laura Mairenza Efendes; Tia Putri Yundaris; Indri Melati; Wella Dwi Arianti

Konsensus : Jurnal Ilmu Pertahanan, Hukum dan Ilmu Komunikasi 2026 Asosiasi Peneliti Dan Pengajar Ilmu Sosial Indonesia

High dependence on the United States Dollar (USD) in international transactions has long been a challenge for economic stability in the Southeast Asian region, especially amidst global exchange rate fluctuations and geopolitical tensions. This study aims to analyze the effectiveness of Local Currency Settlement (LCS) cooperation in supporting intra-ASEAN trade stability. The main focus of this study is how local currency mechanisms can mitigate exchange rate risks and strengthen regional economic integration as part of a de-dollarization strategy. The research method used is descriptive qualitative with a literature review approach, relying on secondary data from central bank reports, ASEAN policy documents, and relevant academic literature. The results show that the implementation of the LCS framework, particularly in countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand, has provided more efficient transaction alternatives by reducing double conversion costs. However, its effectiveness still faces challenges such as low awareness among business actors, limited local currency liquidity compared to the USD, and the need for broader cross-border digital payment system integration. These findings imply the need for strengthened synergy between central banks in the ASEAN region and increased literacy for the private sector so that the economic stability benefits of LCS can be optimally achieved. This strategy not only strengthens monetary sovereignty but also encourages a more resilient ASEAN economic integration against external shocks.

Irlenda Octaviani Torada; Wenten, I Ketut

JURNAL EKONOMI MANAJEMEN AKUNTANSI 2026 sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Dharma Putra Semarang

This study aims to examine and analyze the role of interest rates in strengthening or weakening the effect of Tax Planning and Financial Distress on Firm Value. This research employs a quantitative approach. The population of this study consists of consumer non-cyclical sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the period 2020-2024, totaling 128 companies. The research sample was selected using purposive sampling, resulting in 42 companies that met the specified criteria, with a total of 210 observations. Panel Data Linear Regression Analysis and Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) were conducted using Microsoft Excel and E-Views version 12. The results indicate that Tax Planning has no significant effect on Firm Value, while Financial Distress has a significant effect on Firm Value. Regarding the moderating variable, the interest rate is unable to strengthen or weaken the effect of Tax Planning on Firm Value; however, Interest Rates are able to moderate (weaken) the effect of Financial Distress on Firm Value.

Dian Fajarini; Emi Maimunah; Irma Febriana

JURNAL RISET EKONOMI DAN AKUNTANSI (JREA) 2026 Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis (ITB) Semarang

This study aims to analyze the effect of the implementation of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance), global economic pressures reflected through inflation and exchange rates, as well as bank size on banking performance proxied by Return on Assets (ROA). In addition, this study also aims to examine whether the implementation of ESG is capable of mitigating the impact of global economic pressures on banking performance in countries affected by global economic pressures. The research period covers 2015–2024, with the banking sectors in Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa, the Philippines, and India as the research objects. The results indicate that the ESG variable has a negative and significant effect on banking performance. The exchange rate variable is found to have a positive and significant effect on banking performance. Meanwhile, the inflation and bank size variables do not show any effect on banking performance. Furthermore, the findings also reveal that the ESG–exchange rate moderation variable has a positive and significant effect on banking performance. These findings indicate that the implementation of ESG is able to mitigate the impact of global economic pressures originating from exchange rate fluctuations on banking performance in the five countries affected by global economic pressures.

Apriliando Al'nurdinsyah; Lilis Lasmini; Novy Trianthy Noegraha

JURNAL RISET EKONOMI DAN AKUNTANSI (JREA) 2026 Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis (ITB) Semarang

This study aims to examine the impact of environmental costs and effective tax rates on the firm value of companies in the coal subsector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the 2020–2024 period. The study employs a quantitative approach using secondary data and purposive sampling, yielding 100 observations from 20 companies. The results show that environmental costs have a significant negative effect, while the effective tax rate has no significant effect on firm value. These findings indicate that external factors, such as macroeconomic dynamics and fluctuations in global commodity prices, are more dominant in influencing firm value than internal factors.

Dwintya Indah Septia Putri; Ni Nyoman Yuliarmi

JURNAL RISET EKONOMI DAN AKUNTANSI (JREA) 2026 Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis (ITB) Semarang

The agricultural sector plays a vital role in the economy and food security; however, the rapid growth of the tourism sector in Badung Regency has accelerated the conversion of agricultural land, potentially affecting the welfare of rice farmers. Farmers’ welfare is determined not only by economic factors but also by health conditions, education, and social relationships reflected in the value of menyama braya within the Subak system. This study aims to analyze the effects of farm income, farmer exchange rate, health, education, and menyama braya on the subjective well-being of rice farmers in Subak Munggu, Badung Regency. A quantitative approach was employed using a sample of 86 rice farmers selected through simple random sampling. Data were collected through observation, in-depth interviews, and questionnaires and were analyzed using Partial Least Squares (PLS). The results indicate that farm income, farmer exchange rate, health, and menyama braya have a positive and significant effect on the subjective well-being of rice farmers. In contrast, education does not have a significant effect on farmers’ subjective well-being. These findings suggest that improving farmers’ subjective well-being depends not only on economic conditions but also on health status and harmonious social relationships within the Subak community. Therefore, efforts to sustain farming activities, improve farmers’ health, and preserve the value of menyama braya should be strengthened to enhance the subjective well-being of rice farmers.