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Komang Indrayana; Putu Krisna Adwitya Sanjaya

International Journal of Economics, Commerce, and Management 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Tobacco is one of the leading commodities in the agricultural sector. In the Indonesian agricultural sector, tobacco has been widely exported to various countries. Of the several tobacco export destination countries, Cambodia dominates the Indonesian tobacco export market. Problems related to fluctuations in Indonesia's export volume need serious attention, because this is important to understand the factors that influence the increase and decrease in the volume of Indonesian tobacco exports to Cambodia. Based on the description, the objectives of this study are (1) To analyze the influence of production volume, inflation, and the dollar exchange rate simultaneously on the volume of Indonesian tobacco exports to Cambodia, (2) To analyze the partial influence of production volume, inflation, and the dollar exchange rate on the volume of Indonesian tobacco exports to Cambodia. The data used in this study are secondary data with a total of 32 observations (years), using the multiple linear regression method. This study found that (1) Simultaneously, production volume, inflation, and the dollar exchange rate significantly affect the volume of Indonesian tobacco exports to Cambodia, and (2) Partially, production volume, inflation, and the dollar exchange rate have a positive and significant effect on the volume of Indonesian tobacco exports to Cambodia. Based on the results of the study, it is hoped that the government can pay attention to the causes of fluctuations in the volume of Indonesian tobacco exports.  

Desak Made Sukarnasih; Desak Ayu Sriary Bhegawati

International Journal of Economics and Accounting 2024 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

This study aims to analyze the influence of macroeconomic factors consisting of inflation, rupiah exchange rate, and interest rates on stock returns of manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the period 2021-2023. The research method uses a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression analysis. The research sample consists of manufacturing companies listed on IDX during the research period, selected using purposive sampling method. The results show that among the three macroeconomic factors studied, only the rupiah exchange rate has a significant influence on the stock returns of manufacturing companies. This is due to the characteristics of the manufacturing industry which has a high dependence on imported raw materials, so that exchange rate fluctuations directly affect the company's financial performance and stock returns. Meanwhile, inflation and interest rates did not show a significant effect on stock returns of manufacturing companies during the study period.

Fredean Fahenzi Kholid; Elyanti Rosmanidar; Eja Armaz Hardi

Jurnal Inovasi Ekonomi Syariah dan Akuntansi 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

In this research. conducted a study Analysis of Factors Affecting the Performance of Fixed Income Mutual Funds Sharia in Indonesia for the 2019-2023 Period. In this study using Quantitative methods and the data analysis method used is Multiple Linear Regression. Research results The results showed that inflation, exchange rates, and interest rates gave a negative significant value, so it does not contribute well to sharia fixed income mutual funds, while the money supply has a positive effect. while the amount of money in circulation has a positive effect on sharia fixed income mutual funds. The results of the calculation of the coefficient of determination shows that 43.1% of the value of Islamic fixed income mutual funds is influenced by inflation, exchange rates, money supply and interest rates.

Ifan Mujiadi; Arya Al-fitra Asyhari; Ahmad Ghondur

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This research analyzes the role of monetary policy in controlling inflation through a literature study. Monetary policy, with instruments such as interest rates, open market operations, and minimum cash reserves, plays an important role in stabilizing prices. Literature analysis shows that the effectiveness of monetary policy in controlling inflation is highly dependent on economic conditions, political stability and public expectations. In addition, monetary policy sometimes faces limitations in dealing with global crises, which require fiscal policy support for optimal results. It is hoped that the results of this research can become a reference for more effective policies in controlling inflation in the future.

Anya Regista Cahyani; Difa Ardini; Salsabilah Nurhidayah

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Inflation is a significant economic challenge in Indonesia, affecting price stability and people's purchasing power. In a sharia economic perspective, inflation is not only seen as an economic phenomenon, but also involves moral and social aspects. This article discusses the role of sharia monetary instruments in controlling inflation in Indonesia, highlighting the principles of fairness and transparency. Instruments such as Bank Indonesia Sharia Certificates (SBIS), Bank Indonesia Sharia Savings Facilities (FASBIS), and Sharia Open Market Operations (OPT) have been implemented to regulate the amount of money in circulation and maintain economic stability. Although their contribution to controlling inflation is still limited, the potential of sharia instruments can be strengthened through increasing market understanding, education and collaboration between the government, Bank Indonesia and sharia financial institutions. With more optimal implementation, sharia monetary instruments can create a stable, fair and sustainable economic system for the Indonesian people.

Octaviana Dainy; Ismatul Hasanah; Siti Sopia; Rasidah Novita Sari

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

The aim of this research is to examine how Indonesia's economic growth in the 2020–2023 era is influenced by the implementation of sharia monetary policy, especially the Bank Indonesia Sharia Certificate (SBIS) and sharia sukuk instruments. This research uses a literature review methodology and analyzes secondary data from sources such as books, scientific journals and articles. An important component of this research is statistical data, which includes information regarding inflation, economic developments and sharia monetary policy collected from official organizations such as the Financial Services Authority (OJK), Bank Indonesia and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). Economic development and changes in SBIS rates are not significantly correlated, according to data analysis. However, the evolution of Islamic sukuk shows a very encouraging pattern. Investor interest in sharia sukuk is increasing, this shows the enormous potential of this instrument in spurring economic expansion. The findings of this research indicate that sharia sukuk have enormous potential as a source of development financing and can play an important role in driving progress in the Indonesian economy, although the contribution of SBIS is less significant.

Shinta Liana Fitri; Puti Andiny; Yani Rizal; Safuridar Safuridar

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Economic growth in Aceh Province is an important issue that shows regional development through the increase in goods and services produced. Based on data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Aceh's economic growth only reached an average of 3.88% in 2018, far below the national average of 5.01%, which reflects challenges in resource utilization. Inflation in Aceh has experienced significant fluctuations between 1.53% and 8.09% from 2019 to 2023, which has the potential to hinder economic growth. Government expenditure also plays a crucial role in driving growth, where during the 2019-2023 period, the average development budget reached Rp 12.96 trillion, but the budget realization was only around Rp 12.29 trillion. This shows that despite large expenditures, the impact on economic growth has not been significant. In the theory of economic growth, there are various views on the factors that affect growth. Classical theory emphasizes the role of capital, labor, and technology, while Schumpeter's theory highlights innovation as the main key to growth. Inflation can serve as a barrier or driver, depending on economic conditions, while government spending is expected to stimulate economic growth through an increase in aggregate demand. This study uses inferential statistics to analyze the influence of inflation and government spending on Aceh's economic growth during the 2015-2023 period. The results of the analysis show that government spending has a positive and significant influence on economic growth, while inflation does not show a significant influence.

Fajri, Khoirul

Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Manajemen (EBISMEN) 2024 FEB Universitas Maritim Semarang

This study models the inflation rate in Sumatra using Generalized Linear Models (GLM) with Gamma and Negative Binomial distributions. The data includes inflation rates, Consumer Price Index (CPI), poverty rates, and employment sectors from the 2019 BPS report. The results show that the Gamma model performs better in predicting inflation compared to the Negative Binomial model, with a lower AIC value and smaller residual deviance. The CPI variable significantly influences inflation, while other variables are not significant.

Abdul Aziz Mizanul Amal; Abdurrahman Faiz; Muhammad Adi Bintara; Rasidah Novita Sari

Jurnal Nuansa : Publikasi Ilmu Manajemen dan Ekonomi Syariah 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Sukuk as an Islamic financial instrument plays a strategic role in supporting monetary stability in Indonesia. This study explores the relationship between sukuk and monetary policy variables, such as inflation, exchange rate, and economic growth. Sukuk has proven to be a stable instrument that supports sustainable development by mitigating external debt risks. Through the analysis of the monetary policy transmission mechanism, this study identifies the role of sukuk in asset price and exchange rate channels. The results show that sukuk has a positive impact on monetary stability and long-term economic growth.

Anggita Mujayanah; Desty Anggraini; Pinkan Dwi Ananda; Rasidah Novita Sari

Jurnal Nuansa : Publikasi Ilmu Manajemen dan Ekonomi Syariah 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Inflation has an impact on income inequality and purchasing power in Indonesia. In recent years, Indonesians have increasingly felt significant economic pressure due to the continuous increase in the prices of goods and services.  This research aims to explore the underlying causes of inflation, control efforts, and its impact on people's purchasing power to comprehensively understand Indonesia's inflation dynamics. The method used in this research is a library research approach. Inflation not only affects the value of the currency, but also changes people's spending patterns and purchasing priorities. To overcome this problem, the government implements policies that support the improvement of people's purchasing power and income distribution. This research provides important insights into the interaction between inflation and people's economic conditions, as well as steps that can be taken to create a more stable economic environment.

Fitri Rohimah; Nurul Farhah; Arini Jannati; Rasidah Novita Sari

Jurnal Nuansa : Publikasi Ilmu Manajemen dan Ekonomi Syariah 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This article analyzes the role of Islamic banks in supporting monetary policy in Indonesia and its impact on national economic stability. Using library research methods, this research examines relevant literature regarding the development of the sharia banking sector and sharia-based monetary instruments. The research results show that Islamic banks make a significant contribution to stabilizing inflation, increasing financial access, and managing liquidity through instruments such as the Bank Indonesia Sharia Certificate (SBIS) and the sharia interbank money market. In addition, Islamic banks play a role in providing financing for micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), which is important for inclusive economic growth. Nevertheless, challenges such as low sharia financial literacy and limited policy instruments need to be overcome to maximize the contribution of sharia banks to monetary policy. This research is expected to provide in-depth insight into the potential and challenges faced by Islamic banks in supporting the stability of the Indonesian economy.

Ahmad Fadlan; Rahmad Sembiring; Ira Gretti Hutagalung

International Journal of Economic, Social and Development Sciences 2024 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

The money supply can affect other economic variables, such as output and prices, create stability in the economy and help achieve the ultimate goal of monetary policy, namely the stability of inflation and exchange rates.  The level of the exchange rate by the monetary authority must be kept stable because an unstable exchange rate, especially one that experiences a sharp depreciation, can have financial crisis implications. This research approach was associative/quantitative research. The data used in this study are secondary data taken and processed from Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Central Statistics Agency (CSA) from 2013-2023 (11 years). Based on the results of regression analysis shows that the variable money supply, exchange rates, and interest rates simultaneously affect the inflation variable. Based on the results of regression analysis shows that the variable money supply has a positive and significant effect on inflation. Based on the results of regression analysis, the exchange rate variable has a negative and significant effect on inflation. Based on the regression analysis, the interest rate variable has no statistical effect on inflation.

Farid Maulana; Maziyah Farhah; Elmesie Berlentie; Rasidah Novita Sari

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

The development of the National Capital City (IKN) triggers an increase in demand for goods and services, especially in the construction and basic needs sectors, which can cause a spike in regional and national inflation. Monetary policy faces new challenges, including increasing interest rates and the risk of rupiah exchange rate volatility due to dependence on foreign debt financing. These projects also influence economic distribution, creating investment opportunities, but potentially increasing economic inequality. This research emphasizes the importance of coordination between monetary and fiscal policies to mitigate negative impacts on national economic stability.

Tengku Eka Susilawaty; Nancy Mayriski Siregar; Rifqy Cheviandri

Proceeding. of The International Conference on Business and Economics 2024 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Semarang

This study aims to explore and empirically test the impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and inflation on value-added tax (VAT) receipts. The research was conducted in Indonesia over the period from 1993 to 2022, using a sample of 30 observations on GDP, inflation and VAT. The sampling method employed was non-probability sampling with a saturation sampling technique, where the entire population was used as the sample. The analysis technique applied was multiple linear regression. The results indicate that, individually, GDP has a significant effect on VAT receipts (t-value > t-table) 2.064 > 2.059; an increase in GDP is likely to enhance VAT receipts due to the increase in household income, which supports the consumption of goods and services. In contrast, inflation does not have a significant effect on VAT receipts (t-value < t-table) 1.470 < 2.059; despite rising inflation, VAT receipts remain stable due to government policies on price controls, subsidies, and other measures to stabilize prices. Collectively, GDP and inflation together account for 98.2% of the effect on VAT receipts. Future research is recommended to include additional variables from both internal and external factors, such as government policies or global economic conditions, to gain a deeper understanding of other determinants affecting VAT receipts beyond GDP and inflation.

Yudha Nata Saputra

Prosiding Seminar Nasional Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Employees are one of the company's assets, their position is very important in order to advance the company, so companies need to pay attention to their employees. On the other hand, employee performance itself will be determined by employee job satisfaction with the company, so paying attention to employee job satisfaction becomes important in order to improve company performance. Among the many factors that influence employee job satisfaction, inflation is one factor that has a fairly strong influence on job satisfaction. In Indonesia, cases of industrial disruption tend to remain high, one of which is caused by problems with the settlement system implemented by companies which are not in line with expectations. This situation shows that the settlement system for related components, the principles and objectives of providing compensation have not been properly understood. Compensation as a system consisting of salaries, incentives and allowances received by employees, each component according to its characteristics has principles that need to be followed. Meanwhile, the objectives of providing compensation include getting quality employees, retaining existing employees, ensuring equality, providing an imbalance that meets expected behavior, controlling costs and complying with applicable laws and regulations.

Liansyah Pratama; Puti Andiny; Yani Rizal; Safuridar Safuridar

Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Pajak 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation, foreign investment (PMA), value added tax (VAT), and income tax (PPh) on economic growth in Indonesia in the period 2009-2023. Using quantitative methods and multiple linear regression analysis, secondary data taken from the APBN and BPS portals were processed using Eviews 10. The results of the study indicate that inflation, foreign investment, VAT, and PPh partially do not have a significant effect on economic growth. This study reveals that although fiscal and monetary policies play an important role in economic stabilization, external factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic and global economic dynamics also have a major impact. The implications of this study highlight the importance of institutional and regulatory improvements to maximize the contribution of foreign investment and taxation policies to economic growth.

Muhajir Isnin; Ira Zulfa

International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

The purpose of this study is to develop a predictive model to predict the trend of the emas price over time and to investigate how this affects important economic variables. As a popular commodity that is regarded as a safe refuge for investments, changes in the price of emas can have a significant impact on a number of economic indicators, such as inflation, consumer spending, and investment decisions. Compiling historical data on emas prices, macroeconomic variables, and other related topics is a component of research methodology. Regression analysis and ARIMA modeling are two methods of deret waktu analysis that can be used to create an andal model of problems. The model's predictive accuracy is then determined by using appropriate statistical metrics. This study's findings provide new and important information about the factors influencing changes in the price of emas and how they affect the economy as a whole. The model that is being used can be used by investors, financial institutions, and policymakers to predict gold price movements and make informed decisions to mitigate risks and capitalize on opportunities. The implications of this research extend all the way to the emas market since it increases our understanding of the close relationship between commodity prices and economic dynamics. The knowledge gained can help create more comprehensive investment and economic policies, which will eventually affect the stability of the economy and economic growth.

Dewi Romantika Tambunan; Nazlah Aulia; Marly Meani Silalahi; Putri Widia Ningsih; Jamaludin Jamaludin

International Journal of Social Welfare and Family Law 2024 Asosiasi Penelitian dan Pengajar Ilmu Sosial Indonesia

This study explores the role of the Pujakesuma organization in instilling humanitarian values and improving social justice in Teladan Barat Village through the Warung Nusantara program. The community in this area, which is mostly from the lower middle class, faces challenges in meeting basic needs due to inflation and price fluctuations. Through Warung Nusantara, Pujakesuma provides basic necessities at affordable prices, helps the underprivileged and strengthens social solidarity. The research method used is qualitative descriptive, with data collection through observation, interviews, and documentation. The results of the study show that this program not only provides access to basic needs, but also educates the community about caring and solidarity. In addition, Pujakesuma serves as a role model for other organizations in improving social justice. However, the main challenge is gathering members who are willing to contribute voluntarily. This study is expected to provide insights for stakeholders to develop similar initiatives that are more effective.

Fauzia Bakhtiar; Anggi Somba Poddala; Miftha Farild; Wahyudi Wahyudi

International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Management 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Exchange rate is defined as the currency that can be exchanged per unit to another currency, or the price of one currency to another currency. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of inflation, interest rates and investment on exchange rates in five ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines. The variables used in this study are exchange rates, inflation, interest rates and investment as moderating variables. Data sources come from World Development Indicators and Investing.com. The analysis used is multiple linear analysis with the help of SPSS 22 software. The results of this study indicate that inflation and interest rates have no effect on investment. In addition, inflation, interest rates and investment have no effect on exchange rates in five ASEAN countries. Then, the effect of inflation and interest rates on exchange rates through investment also does not have a significant effect.

Ahmad Fadlan; Rahmad Sembiring; Ira Gretti Hutagalung

International Journal of Islamic and Economic Education 2024 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

The money supply can affect other economic variables, such as output and prices, create stability in the economy and help achieve the ultimate goal of monetary policy, namely the stability of inflation and exchange rates.  The level of the exchange rate by the monetary authority must be kept stable because an unstable exchange rate, especially one that experiences a sharp depreciation, can have financial crisis implications. This research approach was associative/quantitative research. The data used in this study are secondary data taken and processed from Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Central Statistics Agency (CSA) from 2013-2023 (11 years). Based on the results of regression analysis shows that the variable money supply, exchange rates, and interest rates simultaneously affect the inflation variable. Based on the results of regression analysis shows that the variable money supply has a positive and significant effect on inflation. Based on the results of regression analysis, the exchange rate variable has a negative and significant effect on inflation. Based on the regression analysis, the interest rate variable has no statistical effect on inflation.