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Naufal Roofiif Nur Ramadhan; Pradana Jati Kusuma

Proceeding of the International Conference on Management, Entrepreneurship, and Business 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This study examines the comparative volatility of gold and Bitcoin over the period January 2020 to August 2025, using monthly data and employing descriptive statistics, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, GARCH (1,1), and the Dynamic Conditional Correlation Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (DCC-GARCH) model estimated with EViews 13. The results show that Bitcoin is characterized by extreme and persistent volatility, reflecting its speculative nature, whereas gold remains stable and functions as a conventional safe-haven asset. Correlation analysis indicates that the relationship between gold and Bitcoin is generally weak but dynamic, as the strength and direction of their co-movements change across different market conditions. These findings highlight the potential role of gold as a hedge and Bitcoin as a speculative diversifier, offering insights for portfolio diversification and risk management. These results also suggest that investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon when allocating assets between traditional and digital commodities.

Saka Shofa'il Asroor

Presidensial : Jurnal Hukum, Administrasi Negara, dan Kebijakan Publik 2025 Asosiasi Peneliti dan Pengajar Ilmu Hukum Indonesia

Over the past 20 years, developments in digital technology have led to the emergence of financial innovation in the form of cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin being the main pioneer. Bitcoin is a decentralized, blockchain-based electronic payment system that is not controlled by a single financial institution. Although its presence facilitates quick and straightforward cross-border transactions, it also raises ethical and legal issues, especially when taking into account Islamic law, which strongly emphasizes justice, certainty, and the welfare of society. This paper aims to investigate the usage of Bitcoin in modern economic transactions from the standpoint of Islamic and international law. This study investigates Islamic legal sources, the views of Islamic scholars, fatwas (religious decrees), and international laws and regulations pertaining to cryptocurrency assets using a qualitative, normative-empirical methodology. The results show that, although opinions among scholars differ, the usage of Bitcoin is subject to ijtihadiyah (Islamic ijtihad) in Islamic law. Some reject it because of its great volatility and speculative potential, while others allow it as long as it provides advantages and does not include riba, gharar, or maysir (the risks associated with gambling). In terms of international law, Bitcoin is typically seen as a digital asset that has to be closely watched in order to preserve economic stability and deter financial crime. Therefore, balanced legislation is required to guarantee that the usage of Bitcoin is in line with the principles of sharia maqasid and global economic fairness.

Rafael Ivo Jonatan; Rendra Arief Hidayat

International Journal of Economic, Social and Development Sciences 2025 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

This study analyzes the effect of Bitcoin prices, the LQ45 Index, mutual fund net asset value (NAV), and the net profit margin (NPM) of gold mining companies on the price of gold as a safe haven asset within the context of the Indonesian financial market. Gold is often seen as a safe haven asset that is the primary choice of investors when economic uncertainty increases, but the relationship between gold and various other investment instruments still requires further study. This study uses a multiple linear regression method with a robust standard errors approach to analyze 420 monthly and quarterly data observations during the 2018-2022 period. The results of the study found that the price of Bitcoin and the NPM of gold mining companies had a significant positive influence on the price of gold, while the LQ45 Index had a significant influence effect. Meanwhile, the NAV of mutual funds showed a significant positive influence that was not in line with the initial hypothesis. These findings indicate that gold does not always function absolutely as a safe haven asset, as its role is contextual and still influenced by the dynamics of other investment instruments such as digital assets, stock markets, and mutual funds. The study's results make an important contribution to financial literature by proving that the safe haven characteristics of gold are complex and dynamic, so investors need to consider various factors and market conditions before allocating investments to gold as a hedging strategy in their portfolios.

Indra Alie Wijaya; Ni Ketut Rasmini

International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Management 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, on the Indonesian capital market, particularly on the stocks listed in the LQ45 index, as well as on exchange rates and cryptocurrency trading volumes. The research employs a quantitative approach using an event study method, focusing on a 15-day observation window—comprising 7 days before, the day of, and 7 days after the invasion event. The variables analyzed include abnormal return (AR), trading volume activity (TVA), exchange rates, and cryptocurrency transaction volume. The research sample consists of issuers listed in the LQ45 index and the three largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization—Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Tether (USDT)—selected through purposive sampling. The findings indicate that the Russian invasion of Ukraine had a significant impact on abnormal returns and trading volume activity of LQ45 stocks, as well as on exchange rates and cryptocurrency trading volumes. This geopolitical event emerged as an external factor contributing to market uncertainty, prompting investors to adjust their investment strategies in both stock markets and digital assets. These findings confirm that global conflicts are closely linked to the dynamics of domestic financial markets.

Asrorul Faradis; Raditya Thabroni Romadhon; Soffiana Agustin

Saturnus: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

Bitcoin is one of the most prominent digital assets in the modern financial era due to its high volatility and huge profit potential. However, its extreme price volatility also makes it a high-risk asset, so a reliable forecasting approach is needed to help investors make more rational decisions. This study aims to forecast Bitcoin price using the Moving Average (MA) method, specifically MA3, by utilizing monthly historical data of Bitcoin price in USD currency obtained from investing.com website. The MA3 method was chosen for its ability to smooth out short-term fluctuations and identify the direction of price trends. The forecasting process is performed by calculating the average of the last three months' prices for each point in time and compared to the actual price to evaluate its accuracy. The evaluation is done using various prediction error metrics, namely Error, Absolute Error, Squared Error, and Percentage Error. The results of the analysis show that the MA method provides a fairly representative picture of price trends and can be used as an early indicator in short-term investment strategies. Thus, the Moving Average method proves to be a simple but effective prediction tool, especially for novice investors in the dynamic crypto asset market.

Komang Sutriani; Johannes Ibrahim Kosasih; I Made Aditya Mantara Putra

IJLS (International Journal of Law and Society) 2025 Asosiasi Penelitian dan Pengajar Ilmu Hukum Indonesia

Rapid advances in information technology have fuelled the emergence of digital currencies such as Bitcoin as an increasingly popular means of transaction in Indonesia. However, behind the convenience and speed offered, the use of Bitcoin also poses a high risk of fraud in online transactions. The main objective of this research is to analyse the nature of legal protection for Bitcoin users in Indonesia. This research applies normative juridical method with statutory approach, conceptual approach, case study analysis, and refers to legal protection theory, online transaction theory, and legal economic theory. One of the case studies studied is the High Court Decision 1240/Pid.Sus/2022/PN Tng which reflects the existence of a vacuum and vagueness of legal norms in the protection of Bitcoin users. The analysis shows that although Bitcoin has been regulated under the legal framework of digital asset trading, there are still inefficiencies in the application of legal protection in a comprehensive and effective manner. This research emphasises the need for more progressive regulatory reforms, as well as strengthening the role of law enforcement agencies and financial technology supervisors to ensure fair, certain and comprehensive protection for Bitcoin users in the territory of Indonesia. It is hoped that the results of this research can strengthen theoretical contributions in enriching the development of digital economy law and become a practical reference for policy makers.

Andri Wahyu Pratama; Eka Yuliyanti

Jurnal Nuansa : Publikasi Ilmu Manajemen dan Ekonomi Syariah 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Global economic uncertainty has raised concerns among the public, triggering actions to secure economic stability by investing, especially in gold and bitcoin. This study uses a comparative quantitative method, with the aim of comparing the returns, risks, and performance of the two investment instruments. The population in this study is in the form of data on the monthly closing prices of gold and bitcoin for the period of January 2019 – April 2025 which totals 152 data, consisting of 76 data from each variable. Data analysis was carried out by calculating returns, risks, Sharpe, Treynor and Jensen indices. The three indices are widely used performance measurement methods and have included return and risk factors in their measurements. The results of this study show that there is a significant difference between the return of gold and bitcoin, while for the risk variable between the two, there is no significant difference. Performance based on the Sharpe method also showed no significant difference between the two. However, for performance measurement using the Treynor and Jensen methods, significant differences were obtained between the two instruments. Overall, bitcoin offers higher profit potential than gold, even more so for investors who can accept high volatility. However, the decision to choose an investment instrument still depends on the risk profile of each investor.

Ayu Kurnia Sari; Vina Arnita; Hendra Saputra; Oktarini Khamilah Siregar; Rica Cahya Amalya

International Journal of Management Science and Business 2025 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

Cryptocurrency in Indonesia has begun to develop and is starting to be widely used by businessmen in Indonesia. This is a phenomenon given the need for accounting treatment for cryptocurrency transactions. This research seeks to explore and test cryptocurrency and blockchain technology with the approach and review of PSAK in Indonesia and focuses on accounting treatment for cryptocurrencies in Indonesia. The purpose of this study is to conduct an accounting study for cryptocurrencies based on PSAK that applies in Indonesia. The study used a review literature model to figure out accounting for cryptocurrencies.