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Ivan William Saragi; I Nyoman Mahaendra Yasa

International Journal of Economics, Commerce, and Management 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Indonesia is the first palm oil producing country and palm oil exporter in the world. In recent years, the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports has decreased. The determinants of the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports are the United States dollar exchange rate, the area of ​​Indonesian palm oil plantations, and the price of CPO. This research aims to analyze the influence of the United States dollar exchange rate, oil palm land area, and CPO prices in the short term and long term, simultaneously and partially on the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports. The type of data in this research is secondary data in the form of quantitative data obtained from the Indonesian Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Bank Indonesia and the World Bank. This research was conducted in Indonesia from 1994-2023, with a total of 30 observations. The data analysis technique used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The results of the research show that the US dollar exchange rate and the area of ​​Indonesian palm oil plantations in the short and long term have a significant effect, while the CPO price has an insignificant effect on the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports. The United States dollar exchange rate, the area of ​​Indonesian palm oil plantations, and the price of CPO simultaneously influence the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports. The United States dollar exchange rate has a partially negative and significant effect on the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports. The area of ​​Indonesian oil palm land has a partially positive and significant effect on the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports. CPO prices have a negative and partially insignificant effect on the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports.

Randi Gandi Patiran

Jurnal Riset dan Publikasi Ilmu Ekonomi 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

In the Outline of the State Direction in Chapter IV of the Sixth Phase of Five-Year Development, part F of the economic field point 2, it is said that "Marine and Fisheries Development is continued and more directed towards efforts to increase income and more directed at increasing the income and living standards of fishermen and advancing the level of quality of life in coastal villages through increasing the diversification of fish production to meet food and nutrition needs and increase export value. Marine and fisheries development in Fakfak Regency during the first long-term development has shown positive results that can be shown by a fairly high increase in production accompanied by an increase in community fish consumption, an increase in fishermen's income for the community, an increase in inter-island and export fish marketing, an expansion of employment and business opportunities in the marine and fisheries sector. This study aims to find out how the marine and fisheries sector affects the increase in Regional Original Revenue (PAD) of Fakfak Regency and to find out the impact of regional levies on the receipt of Daserah Original Revenue for the Marine and Fisheries Sector of Fakfak Regency. The research method used is a qualitative research method. Seeing the existing reality, the marine and fisheries sector has maximally made breakthrough efforts according to its role in order to increase Regional Original Revenue (PAD) as capital in regional development.                                                                                                                

Edy Chandra Zebua; Dahlan Dahlan; Sayid Fadhil; Soerya Respationo; Erniyanti Erniyanti

International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice 2024 Asosiasi Penelitian dan Pengajar Ilmu Hukum Indonesia

Violations of quarantine regulations in Batam City continue to occur to this day. Despite the enactment of Law No. 21 of 2019 concerning Animal, Fish, and Plant Quarantine, which replaced Law No. 16 of 1992 on the same subject and introduced stricter criminal sanctions for violations, there has still not been a deterrent effect on those bringing prohibited items without meeting quarantine requirements. This research addresses how the authority and implementation of quarantine investigators' powers are regulated in handling cases of animal entry that have bypassed the designated import and export points in Batam City, what obstacles or challenges quarantine investigators face, and the solutions at the Animal, Fish, and Plant Quarantine Office of the Riau Archipelago at the Hang Nadim and Telaga Punggur Service Units. The research method combines normative legal research with empirical sociological approaches, utilizing both inductive and deductive methods to analyze and clarify the relationship between research variables and the research object. This approach aims to provide a comprehensive understanding that benefits readers, particularly future researchers and academics. The findings reveal ongoing uncertainty among quarantine investigators in enforcing quarantine regulations in Batam City. This issue arises from differing interpretations of Law No. 21 of 2019 among quarantine officers and the shortage of human resources, which affects investigators' focus on legal enforcement actions, including criminal sanctions. In Batam City, the resolution of quarantine regulation violations prioritizes the philosophy of "ultimum remedium" where punishment is seen as a last resort. Administrative sanctions for quarantine violations include quarantine detention, rejection, and/or destruction of the violating items.

Mitra Sari Bulan; Mauli Kasmi; Mariam Mariam

Riset Ilmu Manajemen Bisnis dan Akuntansi 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Every business has goals to achieve. To make it real efective and efficient company goals, it is important to improve employee performance. The aplication of managemen functions is an important factor in this matter. The purpose of this study is to determine the influence of each management function on employee performance in ornamental fish management at PT Indotama Putra Wahana, an ornamental fish export and import company. The research methods used are multiple linear regression analysis through research instrument tests (validity and reliability tests), classical assumption tests (normality tests and heteroscedasticity tests) and hypothesis tests using t tests, as well as correlation tests and determination coefficient tests. Through the t test on the planning function, tcount was obtained worth 4.643 > ttable worth 2.467 with a significance value of 0.000 < 0.05, which means that the planning function has a significant effect on employee performance. While in the organizing function, a tcount of 3.735 > ttable worth 2.467 was obtained with a significance value of 0.001 < 0.05, which means that the organizing function has a significant effect on employee performance. Then in the briefing function, a tcount of 3.737 > ttable worth 2.467 was obtained with a significance value of 0.001 < 0.05 which means that there is a significant influence on employee performance. In the control function, a calculation of 4.710 > ttable worth 2.467 was obtained with a significance value of 0.000 < 0.05, which means that the control function has a significant effect on employee performance. Then through the correlation test, a strong relationship was obtained between the management function and employee performance by 69.5%.

Mutiara Azizah; Yusri Muhammad Yusuf; Ratnawati Ratnawati

Jurnal Manuhara : Pusat Penelitian Ilmu Manajemen dan Bisnis 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

The ornamental fish business is experiencing quite rapid development and has promising economic prospects. Ornamental fish is one of the fishery commodities that has the potential to become an export commodity because ornamental fish originating from Indonesia are in great demand by the international market. The development of the ornamental fish market is increasing but is not followed by a sufficient number of ornamental fish breeders and the lack of regulation of marine ornamental fish exporters in Indonesia, can trigger exporters to over-exploit natural ornamental fish to meet the needs of the ornamental fish market which can result in several species of marine ornamental fish It is threatened with extinction and causes the destruction of coral reefs because several types of coral reefs have direct symbiosis with fish. This research uses qualitative research methods or field research depending on what happens in the field, in this case PT Agung Aquatic Marine. The data analysis used is qualitative descriptive data analysis with data collection techniques through observation, interviews and documentation. Based on sales data for ornamental Clownfish (Amphiprion Ocellaris) from 2022 to 2023, sales show that sales continue to increase. Meanwhile, Clownfish (Amphiprion Ocellaris) which experienced a decrease in orders from customers include Clownfish (Amphiprion Ocellaris) with size (S). This could be caused by the quality of the fish not matching the customer's taste. However, there are also Clownfish (Amphiprion Ocellaris) whose orders continue to increase every month, such as Clownfish (Amphiprion Ocellaris) with size (M) and Black Clownfish (Amphiprion Ocellaris). This is because these ornamental fish have good quality according to customer tastes. Direct marketing of Clownfish ornamental fish (Amphiprion Ocellaris) at PT Agung Aquatic Marine can be said to be effective because it has been able to achieve sales targets and company goals that have been previously set.

Lilik Nurul Wahidah

Akuntansi Pajak dan Kebijakan Ekonomi Digital 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Tintun's Cookies, an SMEs of pastry and cookies that has been established for more than 10 years, plans to expand overseas. This study aims to identify countries with potential for Tintun's Cookies products, analyse external and internal factors, and formulate appropriate export strategies for Tintun's Cookies in preparing for exports to the target country. The research method uses Market Research Analysis using Trademap data and indicators such as import tariffs, requirements, trends, and distance in the destination country, PESTEL, EFE, IFE, and Marketing Mix 7ps. The results of the study show that Malaysia is the recommended country to be the main export destination for Tintun's Cookies products. This is supported by high market demand, proximity, elimination of import tariffs, ease of regulation, and cultural and product trend similarities. Based on the intersection of the IFE and EFE matrices, it shows that Tintun's Cookies is in quadrant 1, namely Grow and Build, where this position shows that Tintun's Cookies is in good condition in terms of strengths and opportunities and has the capability to export cookies to Malaysia. Thus, it is recommended a marketing strategy to take advantage of opportunities by developing products, market penetration, and market development. Some of the proposed strategies are to meet export requirements in Indonesia and Malaysia through export training from the government, meet labelling and identity requirements for cookies in Malaysia, set competitive selling prices, collaborate with the government and e-commerce media to reach consumers.    

Shalma Thania Putri; Iswati Iswati; Eny Sulistyowati

Maeswara : Jurnal Riset Ilmu Manajemen dan Kewirausahaan 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Export activities are the activity of removing goods from within the country to the destination country. So exports are trade by sending goods to a country with which there has previously been an agreement by each representative of the country concerned, namely the exporter and importer. The smoothness of the export process can be seen from the document handling procedures carried out by PPJK so that the cargo can enter the customs area without any problems occurring. The aim of this research is to analyze the export document procedures for abrasive cloth cargo by PT. Millennium Trans Bahari as PPJK. In writing this thesis, research was carried out using a qualitative approach through direct observation methods at PT. Millennium Trans Bahari, interview method with one of the operational staff and documentation in the export and import division in the form of written data which includes documents required for export activities. The results obtained in this research are that the analysis of procedures for abrasive cloth cargo export documents by PPJK at PT. Millennium Trans Bahari, in its implementation, is in accordance with existing procedures.

Aulia Fitriyatni Rizkiana

Global Leadership Organizational Research in Management 2024 STIKes Ibnu Sina Ajibarang

PT Genta Trikarya is a company that manufactures guitars with international standards. Currently, the company requires an appropriate alternative strategy to increase its export volume. In the competitive export landscape, the company must be able to adapt to the dynamics of the global market. Marketing strategy is a key element in exports that can help the company create new revenue streams and reach new consumers in the global market. The purpose of this study is to design a more effective marketing strategy to assist PT Genta Trikarya in increasing the export volume of its products. This research employs qualitative approach, using internal and external factor analysis through SWOT analysis and marketing mix strategy. The results of the SWOT analysis indicate that leveraging strengths and opportunities is the appropriate strategy. Furthermore, in the marketing mix analysis, strategies are determined based on product, price, place, and promotion suitable for the company

Agnes Oktavia Gultom; M. Alkadri Perdana

CiDEA Journal 2024 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Semarang

Abstract This seminar aims to support the development of the abilities of students and the general public in understanding more deeply the concept of entrepre-neurship in the export business, as well as providing clear insight into strategies and best practices in the Export Business. Organizing seminars was chosen as a method because it was considered more effective in delivering and receiving ma-terial. The main objective of this final project is to organize a Seminar on increas-ing the entrepreneurial spirit in the export business. The steps taken include searching for and determining sponsor criteria, determining promotional tools such as brochures, advertisements and banners, planning and realizing the promotion-al budget, as well as identifying obstacles that may arise during implementation. This process includes finding solutions to overcome obstacles that arise, and final-ly, evaluating seminar activities through feedback from participants. There were 132 seminar participants, the project results show that the technical aspects of job promotion can be divided into several stages, including searching for project sponsors, determining promotion tools, determining promotion budgets, identifying obstacles, finding solutions to overcome obstacles, and launching the project through participant feedback.

Rinda Eka Aprilia Adzanis; Dewi Rahmawati; Dita Atasa

Jurnal Pengabdian dan Perubahan Sosial 2024 Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

Empowerment and export cooperation of agave and sansevieria farmers through CV Botani Flora Indonesia aims to determine the value of exports, the main purpose of exports, the obstacles faced, and strategies for increasing agave and sansevieria exports from Indonesia. The data collection methods used were interviews, observation and documentation. The results show that the collaboration between CV Botani Flora Indonesia and Agave and Sansevieria farmers has increased their export results.

Arif Kurniawan; Berkah Yordan Santoso; Desta Aditya; Angga Setiawan; Rudi Susanto

Uranus: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Elektro, Sains dan Informatika 2024 Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

An Employee Attendance And Data Management System Based On Rfid Technology And Api Communication Has Been Successfully Developed And Tested With Satisfactory Results. The Problem Faced Is The Weakness Of Traditional Attendance Methods Which Are Susceptible To Human Error And Time Consuming, Hampering The Productivity And Effectiveness Of Company Operations. The Aim Of Developing This System Is To Increase Efficiency And Accuracy In Recording Employee Attendance. The Method Used In This Research Is The Waterfall Method, Which Includes The Stages Of Requirements Analysis, System Design, Implementation, Testing And Maintenance. At The Needs Analysis Stage, Identification And Documentation Of The Desired Attendance System Requirements Are Carried Out. The System Design Phase Involves Designing The Hardware And Software Architecture, Including The Use Of Rfid With Components Such As The Esp8266, Buzzer, And Rc522 As Well As Integration With The Server Via Api. Implementation Is Carried Out By Developing Hardware And Software According To The Design That Has Been Created. Testing Is Carried Out On Hardware Components To Ensure Function According To Specifications And Hardware-Software Integration To Ensure Smooth Communication Without Delays Or Loss Of Data. Business Logic Testing Ensures The System Detects Absences And Performs Automatic Salary Deductions According To Company Policy. The Data Export Module Was Developed To Export Attendance, Member, Division And Salary Data To An Excel File With The Appropriate Format. The Results Show That The Hardware Components Function Well, Able To Read And Send Rfid Data To The Server Accurately. Hardware And Software Integration Via Api Runs Smoothly, Enabling Real-Time Two-Way Communication. Business Logic Testing Shows That The System Can Detect Employee Absences And Perform Automatic Salary Deductions With High Accuracy. The Data Export Module Proved Effective, Allowing Users To Export Data To An Excel File In An Easily Accessible Format For Further Analysis Or Reporting. The Conclusion Of This Research Is That The Employee Attendance And Data Management System Based On Rfid And Api Technology Has Been Proven To Increase Efficiency And Accuracy In The Employee Attendance And Attendance Management Process. This System Offers A Modern And Effective Solution Compared To Traditional Attendance Methods, Providing Significant Flexibility And Ease Of Access. The Implementation Of This Technology Makes An Important Contribution In The Field Of Human Resource Management, Optimizing Productivity And Operational Effectiveness Of The Company.

Muhammad Gunawan; Alfa Rohmatin

Jurnal Nuansa : Publikasi Ilmu Manajemen dan Ekonomi Syariah 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This journal discusses the influence of the inflation rate on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) based on an Islamic Economics perspective. So it can be understood that the size of the inflation rate in a country will greatly influence the level of GDP. Where inflation has a simultaneous influence on GDP, and inflation has a partial negative impact on GDP. The writing of this journal uses a deductive qualitative approach (from general to specific), examining relevant general phenomena, then producing specific studies and conclusions on matters that are the object of research, using a normative juridical approach with literature study. A country's economic growth can be represented through an increase in the country's GDP, apart from income factors in terms of consumption, investment, government spending and net exports. GDP is greatly influenced by the inflation factor. Inflation in the view of Islamic economists is an economic indication that occurs at a macro level in almost every country related to the decline in the exchange rate of money for goods and services, whether it occurs naturally (natural inflation) or is caused by human error (Human Error Inflation). Inflation does not only occur naturally, it can be caused by the pull of Aggregate demand (Aggregate demand) or due to a decrease in Aggregate supply (Aggregate Supply), but also occurs due to human error in regulating state administration and law enforcement, giving rise to a country's economic interconnectedness. Maintaining the stability of a country's economy by controlling the rate of inflation is something very basic, where inflation significantly affects Gross Domestic Product. GDP is an important indicator of economic growth in measuring economic activity, especially the volume of production in a country in one year.

Reza Septiana; Rayhan Ardiansyah; Syintia Pertiwi; Misfi Laili Rohmi

Kajian Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Terapan 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to describe how exports and foreign investment affect economic growth based on the GRDP of West Java province in 2015-2022. This research is a literature study that departs from quantitative methods using secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). This research uses a multiple linear regression approach with SPSS data processing tools. The results of the F test show that simultaneously, exports and foreign investment do not have a significant effect on GRDP in West Java province. Partially, both of them do not have a significant influence on GRDP. The findings of this research underline the importance of considering other factors that may influence the level of GRDP in West Java. The implications of these findings also provide a basis for further research that could explore additional factors that may influence the relationship between these three variables.

Joseph Emiliano Junior; Muhammad Yasin

Jurnal Riset dan Publikasi Ilmu Ekonomi 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

In the era of globalization and increasingly fierce economic competition, industrialization has become the main pillar in efforts to increase a country's competitiveness and economic growth. In Indonesia, strengthening industrialization does not only aim to increase production and exports, but must also be directed at sustainable investment that pays attention to environmental, social and governance (ESG) aspects. This research aims to analyze the strategies and policies needed to strengthen industrialization within the framework of sustainable investment in Indonesia. Through a qualitative approach with policy analysis and case studies of key industries, it was found that the integration of sustainability principles in industry can increase efficiency, reduce environmental impacts, and provide broader social benefits. In addition, government support through appropriate regulations, fiscal incentives, and increasing human resource capacity are key factors in realizing sustainable industrialization. It is hoped that the results of this research can be a reference for policy makers, industry players and investors in designing and implementing investments that support economic growth while maintaining environmental sustainability and social welfare.  

T. Riza Zarzani; Ismaidar Ismaidar; Sukardi Sukardi

International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice 2024 Asosiasi Penelitian dan Pengajar Ilmu Hukum Indonesia

Customs is everything related to the supervision of the traffic of goods entering or leaving the customs area as well as the collection of import and export duties. Based on this definition of customs, the Directorate General of Customs and Excise (DJBC) has a very strategic role in both supervision and service. Economic life between one country and another is increasingly interdependent so that legal provisions in the field of international trade and transnational business are increasingly necessary. As time goes by, the presence of corporations in the economy is like a double-edged sword. On the one hand, it can provide benefits for economic growth through state income in the form of taxes thereby increasing the country's foreign exchange and on the other hand, it can threaten state income because corporations often commit crimes to gain as much profit as possible by falsifying goods export documents. The 1945 Constitution of the Republic of Indonesia Article 1 paragraph 3 states that Indonesia is a legal state. In accordance with the concept of a rule of law, everything related to processes carrying out aspects of government power is based on law, including the law enforcement process in cases in the customs sector, especially in the export sector. This research uses normative legal research methods. Normative research is research carried out by examining library materials using data sourced from secondary data, namely primary legal materials, secondary legal materials and tertiary legal materials. Data collection in this research was carried out by document study and literature study. Then it is described qualitatively to make it easier to draw conclusions from the data. The aim of this research is to determine the factors that cause corporations to commit criminal acts of falsifying export documents and to find out what corporate criminal liability is for criminal acts of falsifying export documents according to Law of the Republic of Indonesia Number 17 of 2006 concerning Customs.    

Azhar Basim Ilhamitamam; Sari Susanti

Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer 2024 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

The rapid development of technology has driven companies to enhance efficiency in their business processes. This development needs to be supported by the use of appropriate and relevant technology to ensure smooth business operations. PT Duta Ekspor Globalindo is a company engaged in export services and requires technology to manage its financial system. Currently, the company still relies on manual methods and Microsoft Excel for financial record-keeping, which can lead to errors, delayed reporting, and security issues. Therefore, this research aims to facilitate the company in managing its financial system by developing a web-based Financial Information System application. The waterfall method, consisting of analysis, design, coding, and testing, was used in the development of the application. The application was built using PHP programming language and MySQL database. The research resulted in the creation of a Financial Information System capable of efficiently managing financial and generating reports.    

Andi Arwandi; Andi Rusdi Walinono; Ilyas Ilyas

Kajian Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Terapan 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Indonesia's 2.5 million hectares of coral reefs include 569 species, or about 67% of the world's 845 coral species. One of the companies engaged in the export business of ornamental corals is PT Agung Aquatic Marine located in Bali province. This study aims to determine the costs, revenues and marketing margins of ornamental coral export business at PT Agung Aquatic Marine, Denpasar Bali. This research uses descriptive quantitative. Data analysis used is income analysis, marketing margin and marketing efficiency. The results showed that the costs incurred amounted to Rp2,472,069,157 so that the revenue earned was Rp822,355,543, There are two types of marketing margins used in the sale of ornamental coral euphyllia type, the first from fishermen to exporters and then to consumers which totaled Rp2,078,202, while the second from suppliers and then to exporters after that to consumers amounting to Rp2,017,637. The efficiency level of Marketing channel I is 13.1% and marketing channel II is 5.7%. So it can be seen that obtaining high margins and profits is Marketing channel I. While the one with the most efficient marketing is Marketing channel I. While the one with the most efficient marketing is Marketing Channel II.

Aditya Wisnu Pradana; Anugerah Yuka Asmara; Agus Fanar Syukri

Prosiding Seminar Nasional Ilmu Teknik 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Teknik Indonesia

The Indonesian government is enthusiastic about continuing the biodiesel program as one of the new and renewable energy mandatory programs which has proven to be able to provide many benefits ranging from achieving environmentally friendly energy, saving state foreign exchange, increasing energy security, to providing jobs; in line with the 7th principle of sustainable development goals (SDGs). In fact, the Indonesian government has increased the B30 Biodiesel program in 2020 to B35 in 2023. It is supported by the Palm Oil Plantation Fund Management Agency (BPDPKS), which has the authority to collect CPO export levy funds and redistribute them to biodiesel producers, so that they can produce biodiesel economically. With this mechanism, the Biodiesel program can be implemented even though the price of biodiesel is more expensive than fossil fuels, but does not burden the State Budget (APBN). However, this program is difficult to increase, because the availability of incentive funds is limited by the amount of CPO exported and the amount of the levy. The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) must find a way for the biodiesel energy program to achieve the 23% energy mix target in 2045, and not rely on export fund levies anymore.

M. Azhar Shauqy; Abdul Rahman; Arif Fuddin Usman; Andi Herlina; Rifkah Fitriah

Ocean Engineering : Jurnal Ilmu Teknik dan Teknologi Maritim 2024 Fakultas Teknik Universitas Maritim AMNI Semarang

PT.Eka Multi Logistik is a land and sea transportation management (JPT) service company that has been involved in the field of goods transportation for Export, Import and Local since 2018, located on Jl. Kalimantan NO.65/67 Makassar City, South Sulawesi Consumer or customer satisfaction can be influenced by various factors that are closely related, including price and service quality. The aim of this research is to see whether there is an influence between the independent variables (price and quality of service) on the dependent variable (customer satisfaction). This research was carried out at PT. Eka Multi Logistik using multiple linear regression analysis methods. The research results show the results of the calculated f test (13.350) > f table (3.231) with a significance of 0.000 <0.05, so H0 is rejected and Ha is accepted, so it can be interpreted that the price and service quality variables have a positive and significant effect on customer satisfaction at PT. Eka Multi Logistics.

Witri Wardani Hulu; Talitha Nakhwan Hasibuan; Widya Narti Lubis; Sudianto Manullang; Sisti Nadia Amalia

Konstanta : Jurnal Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam 2024 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

This research aims to evaluate cabbage production planning in North Sumatra using the discrete-time Markov chain method. Cabbage is one of the horticultural agricultural products that plays an important role in North Sumatra's exports. Proper evaluation of production plans is necessary to ensure sustainability and increase productivity and export volume. The Discrete Time Markov Chain method is used to predict changes in cabbage production conditions over time by considering the factors that influence them. Data on cabbage production and harvested area in North Sumatra from 2020 to 2022 were analyzed using one-step and n-step transition opportunity matrices. The results of the analysis show that in 2023, cabbage production and harvested land area are predicted to experience a significant increase compared to the previous year. This research provides a more accurate and efficient planning strategy for cabbage production, which can ultimately improve agricultural management in North Sumatra.