Publication Search

Demam berdarah dengue merupakan tantangan kesehatan masyarakat yang terus berulang di wilayah tropis, termasuk Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi jumlah kasus tahunan dengan memanfaatkan lima algoritma pembelajaran mesin, yaitu Regresi Linier, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), dan Neural Network. Data historis tahun 2017–2024 diolah menggunakan teknik windowing deret waktu untuk menghasilkan fitur lag yang sesuai bagi pembelajaran terawasi. Evaluasi kinerja dilakukan melalui metrik Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), serta koefisien determinasi (R²). Model Decision Tree menunjukkan performa paling unggul pada sebagian besar indikator. Prediksi untuk tahun 2025 mengindikasikan adanya peningkatan moderat jumlah kasus. Namun, rendahnya nilai R² pada seluruh model mengisyaratkan perlunya pendekatan multivariat yang lebih kompleks dengan mempertimbangkan faktor iklim, lingkungan, dan demografi. Hasil penelitian ini menegaskan pentingnya kualitas data dan pemilihan fitur yang tepat dalam peramalan epidemiologis guna mendukung perencanaan kesehatan yang lebih efektif.

The growing interest in learning the Japanese language in Indonesia, driven by popular culture such as anime, creates a need to understand the effectiveness of different learning media. The non-uniform effectiveness of media for each individual poses a major challenge. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the effectiveness of both anime and textbooks by segmenting learner profiles and identifying key determinants of success using an artificial intelligence approach. This research employed a quantitative method through a questionnaire survey of 120 respondents. The data were analyzed in two stages: the K-Means Clustering algorithm was used to group respondents into learner profiles, and the Decision Tree algorithm was used to identify the most significant factors that differentiate these profiles. The analysis successfully identified three distinct learner profiles: "Intensive & Adaptive Learner," "Flexible Learner," and "Passive Learner." The decision tree revealed that the perception of textbook effectiveness and the frequency of anime use are the strongest predictors in determining a learner's profile, more so than theoretical learning style preferences. It is concluded that media effectiveness is highly dependent on the learner's behavioral and perceptual profile, which underscores the importance of a personalized approach in language education technology.

Infectious diseases remain a dynamic and evolving public health threat, requiring data-driven approaches for early detection and targeted policy planning. This study aims to model spatio-temporal trends and clustering patterns of HIV transmission in Bogor Regency during the period 2020–2023 by utilizing a combination of unsupervised and supervised machine learning techniques. The dataset was obtained from the Bogor Regency Health Office and includes annual data on the number of HIV cases across 40 sub-districts. The research methodology consists of data preprocessing stages, clustering using the K-Means algorithm, and classification using a Decision Tree model. The preprocessing steps include data integration, attribute selection, temporal aggregation, handling of missing data, and normalization using Z-score. K-Means clustering is applied to identify hidden patterns in the development of HIV cases, resulting in three distinct clusters based on multi-year trends. The resulting cluster labels are then used as target classes in the supervised classification process. The Decision Tree classification model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting cluster membership, indicating a strong relationship between the temporal patterns of HIV cases and cluster identity. The integration of clustering and classification techniques provides a robust analytical framework for understanding the dynamics of HIV transmission, while also supporting the formulation of more precise, evidence-based, and region-specific public health interventions.

Current advances in information technology have encouraged universities to utilize student academic data as a basis for decision-making, one of which is predicting academic achievement. This study aims to apply the C4.5 algorithm to develop a system for predicting student academic success in the Islamic Religious Education Study Program. This method was chosen because it produces a decision tree model that is easy to understand and has a high level of accuracy. The data used comes from student achievement indexes from semesters 1 to 5. The research results showed that the prediction system achieved 99.62% accuracy and achieved high recall precision across each class category. This demonstrates the effectiveness of the C4.5 algorithm in predicting student academic achievement and has the potential to serve as a valuable tool for decision-makers in higher education.

Crime, an unlawful act that contradicts ethics and norms, has now become a primary factor for the police in Lampung province. This presents a challenge for the police institution in predicting high crime rates. However, there are still many crimes that have not become the main focus of problem-solving at the Lampung Regional Police.This research aims to identify the types and criminal acts of crime with the highest recorded incidence in a crime dataset by performing classification using the Naïve Bayes algorithm. The data was obtained from investigators at the Directorate of General Criminal Investigation of the Lampung Regional Police, with a total of 12,034 JTP (Total Criminal Acts) and 7,518 PTP (Crime Resolution) data points for each type of crime, distributed across the Regional Police, City Police, and District Police throughout Lampung province. The classification process using the Naïve Bayes algorithm reveals the relationship between the work unit (Satker) and the type of crime handled, thereby identifying crime patterns based on the location where they are handled. The results of the research, which involved converting numerical data into binomial (binary) form using the "Numerical to Binominal" feature in Rapid miner, show that the analysis and modeling process, especially in algorithms like Naïve Bayes or decision trees, is more effective when using data in a binary format. Thus, the initial dataset can be visualized in the form of a , with the size of the text varying according to the level of each high-incidence crime; the larger the text, the more frequently or significantly the crime occurred or was reported. The application of this method can help in identifying patterns, dominant trends, and areas of focus for more targeted law enforcement efforts or crime prevention policies.

Credit scoring is an important element in decision-making for providing financing, especially for microfinance institutions. Several methods for predicting credit scoring include Decession Tree, Gradient Boosted, Neural Network, K-NN, and Rule Induction. This study aims to improve the accuracy of financing risk prediction by efficiently integrating historical data. The Neural Network (NN) algorithm is a machine learning algorithm consisting of neurons (nodes) connected to each other in several layers (input, hidden, and output). NN is used for pattern recognition, classification, regression, and complex non-linear modeling. The NN algorithm has the advantage of working well on large and diverse data and unstructured data. However, the NN algorithm has weaknesses such as overfitting and data dependence. In this study, the integration of the Sample Bootstrapping and Weighted Principal Component Analysis (PCA) methods is proposed to improve optimal accuracy in the NN algorithm. The Sample Bootstrapping method is used to reduce the amount of training data to be processed. The Weighted PCA method is used to reduce attributes. This study uses a financing customer dataset. The results of the study show that the integration of the NN algorithm with Sample Bootstrapping and Weighted PCA resulted in an accuracy increase of 1-3% (97%-99%) compared to other algorithms. Therefore, it can be concluded that the integration of the NN algorithm with Sample Bootstrapping and Weighted PCA produces better accuracy than other algorithms