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Sabila, Tasya Kurnia; Sabila, Tasya Kurnia; Lelah, Lelah; Didik Indrayana

JURNAL ILMIAH KOMPUTER GRAFIS 2022 UNIVERSITAS STEKOM

In developing a business or sale is to follow technological developments including the use of systems for buying and selling interactions. There are already many sellers who make buying and selling interactions online. In addition, to develop a business, it is also necessary to predict future sales so that the seller knows and prepares the number of goods to be sold to avoid shortages or excess quantities of goods. To find sales predictions, various methods can be used, one of which is Double Exponential Smoothing method. Double Exponential Smoothing  method is the time series method that uses data from the past to predict the next period. The data processed is sales data at Dasni clothing stores for one year. The results obtained are in the form of a sales prediction system for the next 3 months period which calculates the level of prediction accuracy using MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) with the smallest error sought because the smaller the error, the more accurate it is to predict the number of sales in the next period. This prediction system is also designed using the PHP programming language.

Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Bhaktiar Effendi; Anita N Hutasoit

Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business 2022 Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

The financial system plays an important role in the economy. An unstable financial system will be vulnerable to various problems that disrupt the rotation of a country's economy and be vulnerable to economic problems such as the global crisis in various countries. The problem that occurs is the occurrence of Covid-19 causing various fluctuations in the level of inflation, money supply, imports, the occurrence of unstable inflation from January 2019 to August 2021, low inflation resulting in a decrease in imports and an increase in the money supply in Mexico. , Vietnam, Philippines, Hongkong, Indonesia, Canada, Malaysia, Singapore, Peru, and China. The analytical method in this study uses the ARDL Panel (Autoregression Distributed Lag) approach. The ARDL Panel Model determines which country models from APEC countries are able to control long-term financial system-based economic fundamentals in Mexico, Vietnam, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Canada, Malaysia, Singapore, Peru, and China and the Different Test for modeling the impact of covid-19 19 on the economic fundamentals of the financial system. The results of the research found the ARDL Panel prediction model in modeling the impact of Covid-19 on economic fundamentals in the financial system. The main Leading Indicator of variable effectiveness in controlling Inflation In TAPEC is JUB where Vietnam, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Peru and China have a significant influence in controlling Inflation. Then overall in the long term (Long Run) it turns out that only the JUB and CDV variables have an effect on INF In TAPEC, while in the short term (Short Run) it is JUB that influences Inflation In TAPEC.  

Naufal Rasyid; Trevy Jonatya Novella; Ahlijati Nuraminah

Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Teknik 2022 Pusat riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Accurate weather prediction information is important for various fields that are closely related to weather forecasting, such as agriculture, fisheries and many more. Because precise weather forecasts are very useful for various fields of carrying out various activities. Because of that, it is necessary to make an application to find weather or rainfall prediction information, so that the information can be utilized optimally by the community. In this journal the authors apply the k-nearest neighbors (k-NN) method based on rainfall data obtained from the Bogor climatology station from 2016-2017 and the test results show that the predicted rainfall for the Bogor area with the K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm obtained a value of 0, 93148.