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This study aims to explain the context of the Value Added Tax (VAT) increase policy and its relevance to the trade sector, while also presenting a framework for analyzing the tax burden. The data sources used consist of publications from the last four years, namely from 2021 to 2024. The observed phenomena are then analyzed using various secondary data obtained from scientific journals, official government reports, and other reliable sources relevant to the research topic, in order to provide a comprehensive overview. The conclusions are drawn based on empirical facts, the impacts of the tax increase, and the government’s mitigation efforts to ensure taxpayer compliance. The increase in the VAT rate represents an important step in fiscal reform aimed at increasing state revenue and reducing the budget deficit. This policy has significant potential to support the growth of the national budget, particularly in financing priority sectors such as infrastructure, education, and healthcare. However, the VAT increase may also affect consumers’ purchasing power and trade activities, thus requiring appropriate supporting policies to minimize negative impacts. Therefore, it is expected that this policy will contribute to sustainable economic stability and promote long-term national economic growth.

This study investigates allegations of fabricated Accountability Letters (SPJ) and budget irregularities at the Tanjungpinang City Women's Empowerment, Child Protection, and Community Empowerment Agency (DP3APM), just as the regional budget deficit reached Rp97 billion. Internal reports and local media coverage reveal strong indications that funds allocated for outbound activities were diverted to purchase clothing and shoes, which were then used for the Proclamation Walk even though the outbound activities themselves never materialized, raising suspicions of fictitious SPJs and a lack of transparency in the management of public funds. Qualitative descriptive methods were applied through in-depth analysis of news documents, official statements, and regional financial management regulations such as Law No. 23/2014 concerning Regional Government. The analysis highlights violations of fiscal accountability principles under the pressure of the local budget crisis, recommending a comprehensive independent audit by the Supreme Audit Agency (BPK) or regional inspectorates, along with oversight reforms involving the digitization of financial reports to prevent a repeat in other regional governments across Indonesia.

Presidential Instruction Number 1 of 2025 concerning State Expenditure Efficiency gave rise to a fiscal paradox at the beginning of the new administration, with a cut of Rp306.69 trillion facing a 17.9% APBN deficit for flagship programs such as Free Nutritious Meals, which triggered doubts about public trust, especially students at the University of Jambi affected by the BOPTN adjustment. This study analyzes the influence of student perceptions on the dimensions of effective-efficient (X1) and transparent-accountable (X2) policies on public trust (Y) as an indicator of government legitimacy. A quantitative survey approach was applied to 400 active students at the University of Jambi (proportional random sampling using the Slovin e=0.05 formula), with SPSS multiple linear regression analysis after classical assumption testing, validity (r> r-table), and reliability (Alpha Cronbach's 0.920 (x1); 0.949 (x2); 0.918 (y)). The results show a significant simultaneous effect (F=200.951; sig=0.000), partial X1 is dominant (t=7.116; β=0.162; sig=0.000) and X2 is significant (t=5.532; β=0.110; sig=0.000), with R²=0.503 explaining 50.3% of the variation in trust. The findings confirm the theory of Easton (1965) and Weber (1947) that efficiency performance evaluation shapes trust, so it is recommended that a real-time APBN dashboard, transparent communication to regional PTNs, and fiscal literacy strengthen the legitimacy of good governance.

The war between India and Pakistan has had a devastating impact on the economies of both the countries directly involved and those indirectly affected. The economic impacts of this armed conflict include significant infrastructure damage, reduced production capacity, soaring inflation, rising unemployment, and reduced investment flows. This geopolitical instability has also fueled uncertainty in global financial markets, triggering a "flight to safety" phenomenon, a shift in capital and investment to countries or instruments perceived as safer, such as US government bonds or gold. For Indonesia, this situation has the potential to significantly disrupt national economic stability. One impact is a reduction in foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, as investors tend to hold back or relocate their investments to more geopolitically stable countries. Furthermore, pressure on the rupiah exchange rate could increase due to global financial market volatility and a decline in international investor confidence. The conflict could also hamper Indonesia's export traffic, particularly to countries with close trade ties with India and Pakistan. Furthermore, these tensions could disrupt global supply chains, particularly for energy and food commodities, many of which pass through strategic trade routes. If the conflict drags on, the price of crude oil and other raw materials could potentially rise sharply, which in turn would increase domestic production costs. This would have a direct impact on inflation and public purchasing power. This situation further complicates the management of Indonesia's monetary and fiscal policies, which currently face significant challenges, such as the imminent maturities of large government debt and a still-widening state budget deficit. The government must take strategic steps to maintain domestic economic stability, strengthen foreign exchange reserves, and encourage export market diversification to reduce over-reliance on conflict-prone countries.

The potential war between India and Pakistan poses significant risks to the Indonesian economy, as it is expected to exacerbate uncertainty in the global financial market. Such geopolitical tensions often trigger a ‘flight to safety,’ where capital flows shift to countries considered stable, leading to reduced foreign direct investment (FDI) in emerging markets like Indonesia. This scenario is likely to place additional pressure on Indonesia’s exchange rate, further destabilizing its financial position. One of the key impacts of the looming India-Pakistan war on Indonesia is its effect on monetary and fiscal management. The Indonesian government is already facing significant challenges, including managing a large amount of maturing debt and grappling with a growing budget deficit. The war would complicate these efforts, making it more difficult for the government to stabilize the economy and implement effective policies. Indonesia’s export sector will also be affected, as India and Pakistan are two of the country’s main trading partners, especially for key commodities like crude palm oil (CPO) and coal. India is Indonesia’s 4th largest export destination, accounting for approximately 9% of total exports, while Pakistan represents around 1.9%. Any disruption in trade with these countries, due to the war or political instability, could significantly hurt Indonesia’s export revenues and negatively affect industries reliant on these markets. Moreover, Indonesia is already facing challenges from the United States, which has imposed reciprocal tariffs worth 32% on Indonesian products. This trade tension, combined with the geopolitical instability from the India-Pakistan conflict, will add further strain to Indonesia’s trade balance. The combination of these factors could lead to slower economic growth, reduced investor confidence, and potentially higher inflation, as the country faces multiple external and internal economic pressures.

In the first quarter of 2025, the Indonesian rupiah experienced a significant depreciation, weakening from approximately IDR 15,800 per USD in January to IDR 17,200 per USD by the end of March 2025. This study aims to identify and analyze the external and domestic factors contributing to the rupiah’s decline during this period. External pressure mainly stemmed from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance—maintaining its benchmark interest rate at 5.25%–5.50% which triggered capital outflows from emerging markets. Additionally, global geopolitical uncertainty, including tensions in Eastern Europe and trade frictions between the U.S. and China, raised the global risk premium and strengthened the U.S. dollar against the rupiah. On the domestic side, Indonesia’s trade deficit widened to USD 3.2 billion in Q1 2025 due to rising energy import demand amid surging global oil prices. Furthermore, the state budget deficit increased to IDR 104.2 trillion by March 2025 up 20% year on year undermining investor confidence. Using a qualitative descriptive method through content analysis of reports from Bank Indonesia, BPS trade statistics, and relevant media sources, this study finds that the combination of elevated U.S. interest rates, geopolitical tensions, trade imbalances, and fiscal deficits accelerated the depreciation of the rupiah. Policy recommendations include targeted foreign exchange intervention by Bank Indonesia, monetary tightening in line with global trends, fiscal consolidation to reduce the budget deficit, and export diversification to mitigate external shocks.

The mechanism of state debt management is a process involving fiscal and monetary policies to regulate the issuance, use, and repayment of state debt. In its management, the government usually uses instruments such as bonds, bilateral loans, and multilateral loans to finance the budget deficit. State debt can be used to fund infrastructure projects, health, education, and other important sectors, but its management must be careful so as not to burden the economy. One important aspect of debt management is maintaining the debt ratio to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) so that it remains under control. If state debt increases significantly without being balanced by economic growth, it can pose a risk of inflation, a larger budget deficit, and a reduction in market confidence in the government's ability to repay debt. On the other hand, good debt management can encourage economic growth by financing productive projects that increase competitiveness and public welfare. Strict supervision of debt allocation and transparency in the use of funds are essential to avoid misuse and increase the effectiveness of debt management. In addition, the role of international institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank is also crucial in providing technical advice and support for sustainable debt management policies.

Deficit funding for the State Revenue and Expenditure Budget (APBN) is an important challenge for the government in maintaining fiscal stability and supporting development policies. In order to find an effective funding alternative, the issuance of state bonds has become an option. This study aims to analyze the position of issuing state bonds as an alternative to funding the state budget deficit. This study uses a descriptive-analytical approach by collecting data from various related sources. The analysis was carried out through a literature review, data from the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, and regulations regarding the issuance of Government Bonds. The results of the study show that the issuance of state bonds has several benefits as an alternative to financing the state budget deficit, namely diversifying government funding sources, reducing dependence on tax revenues and other income, providing flexibility in the schedule of interest and principal payments, in accordance with the government's financial capacity, attracting investor participation. institutional and retail, increasing financial market liquidity. APBN Deficit Funding is dominated by State Bonds, which of course the issuance of state bonds as an instrument for funding the APBN deficit makes fiscal space narrow. When the space for fiscal movement becomes limited, it means that the government faces limitations in collecting revenue or in managing government spending.    

Indonesia has enormous potential in developing Islamic finance because Indonesia has the largest number of Muslims in the world and high economic growth. The issuance of State Sharia Securities (sukuk) has become the main financing instrument. The presence of sukuk further strengthens the government's ability to finance the budget deficit. The government has many choices in determining the combination of its financing instruments. The government can keep debt costs to a minimum. This study aims to determine 1) the development of sukuk in Indonesia and 2) the role of sukuk in Indonesia's economic growth. This research uses qualitative methods and library research approach. Researchers use secondary data, namely data sourced from existing literature or references. The results of this study are 1) The Indonesian government has issued Retail Sukuk (SR), namely SR 001 - SR 013. The issuance of State Sukuk from year to year continues to increase, in accordance with developments and strategies applied in the APBN. 2) The role of State Sukuk has a very positive impact, such as financing project development, encouraging development of the Islamic financial market, creating branch marks in the Islamic financial market, developing alternative investment instruments, and utilizing public funds.