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Natasya Bethari; Siti Rahima; Annisa Fatia Rizki; Nurul Kamaly; Reza Fahlevi

Jurnal Pendidikan dan Kewarganegara Indonesia 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Pendidikan Indonesia

Unemployment remains a serious challenge in Aceh, with an Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) of 8.24% (2025) in Lhokseumawe City and 6.54% (2025) in Banda Aceh City. This study compares the implementation and effectiveness of unemployment alleviation policies in the two cities using Van Meter and Van Horn's policy implementation framework with four effectiveness indicators: training absorption, job placement rate, corporate compliance, and community participation. A descriptive qualitative method with a literature study approach was employed, utilizing secondary data from journals, theses, and official documents. The findings show that Banda Aceh focuses on competency-based training through the Job Training Center (BLK) with certification and third-party partnerships. Lhokseumawe prioritizes Qanun Number 1 of 2020 on local labor priority (minimum 40%). Based on the indicators, Banda Aceh is more effective (55% of graduates employed) compared to Lhokseumawe, where local labor priority implementation is weak due to the absence of sanctions and non-existent coordination with PT. PAG. The novelty of this study lies in its systematic comparison of two Acehnese cities using a policy implementation model that integrates demographic bonus and local context. Specific recommendations: Banda Aceh needs to expand BLK capacity, extend training duration (9–12 months with internships), and mandate graduate absorption reports. Lhokseumawe needs to revise the qanun by adding administrative sanctions, recruit permanent instructors, establish a tripartite supervisory team, and establish an energy-sector BLK in the Arun area in collaboration with PT PAG.

Budi Abdullah; Reysya Yusdianingsih; Nandita Saskya; Muhammad Muarif; Juliana Handayani br. Simatupang +2 more

Jurnal Hukum dan Sosial Politik 2026 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

This study aims to analyze the unemployment rate in Indonesia during the 2024–2025 period using a linear regression approach based on data from the National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas). The variables used include the labor force, employed population, labor force participation rate (LFPR), and open unemployment rate (OUR). The results show that the labor force increased from 149.38 million in February 2024 to 155.27 million in November 2025, followed by an increase in employed population from 142.18 million to 147.91 million in the same period. Meanwhile, the open unemployment rate decreased from 4.76 percent in February 2025 to 4.74 percent in November 2025. The analysis indicates that the increase in labor force accompanied by higher employment absorption contributes to reducing unemployment, although the decline remains relatively small. Overall, the regression results show that labor market dynamics are influenced by the interaction between labor force growth and the economy’s capacity to absorb labor.

Febriana Krisdayanti Barus; Charles Fransiscus Ambarita

JURNAL EKONOMI BISNIS DAN MANAJEMEN (JISE) 2026 CV. ALIM'SPUBLISHING

Latar belakang penelitian ini berakar pada fenomena kemajuan yang tidak merata di antara indikator pembangunan di Sumatera Utara, di mana Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM), meskipun diklasifikasikan dalam kategori “tinggi”, belum secara konsisten berkontribusi pada penurunan tingkat pengangguran. Tujuan utama penelitian ini adalah untuk menguji pengaruh IMB, tingkat kemiskinan, dan tingkat pengangguran terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Metode yang digunakan adalah pendekatan kuantitatif dengan analisis regresi linier berganda menggunakan data deret waktu dari tahun 2010 hingga 2025 yang bersumber dari BPS. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan, IPM, kemiskinan, dan pengangguran secara signifikan mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi daerah. Secara parsial, IMB memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan, menunjukkan bahwa investasi dalam kualitas modal manusia meningkatkan produktivitas ekonomi. Sebaliknya, baik tingkat kemiskinan maupun tingkat pengangguran terbuka menunjukkan pengaruh negatif dan signifikan, yang menyiratkan bahwa peningkatan variabel-variabel ini cenderung menghambat ekspansi ekonomi. Lebih lanjut, variabel independen yang dimasukkan dalam model ini menjelaskan 49,49% variasi pertumbuhan ekonomi, sedangkan proporsi sisanya dijelaskan oleh faktor eksternal di luar cakupan penelitian ini. Hasil ini menyoroti pentingnya penerapan kebijakan yang menyelaraskan pengembangan sumber daya manusia dengan tuntutan pasar tenaga kerja untuk mengatasi masalah pengangguran terdidik.

Wicky Aulele; Yerimias Manuhutu; Izaac Tonny Matitaputty; Sondang Siahaan

Kajian Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Terapan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This research is motivated by the problem of the open unemployment rate in Maluku Province which is still fluctuating, where the influence of human capital indicators such as the Average Years of Schooling and the Gross Enrollment Rate of Senior High Schools as well as economic policies such as the Provincial Minimum Wage often show results inconsistent with theory, thus requiring further empirical studies to determine their influence in the region. The purpose of this study is to analyze and determine the partial and simultaneous effects of the average years of schooling, the gross enrollment rate of senior high schools, and the provincial minimum wage on the open unemployment rate in Maluku Province. The method used is quantitative with secondary data in the form of time series from 2015 to 2024 sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Maluku Province, and analyzed using multiple linear regression techniques. The results show that the average years of schooling have a negative and significant effect, while the gross enrollment rate of senior high schools and the provincial minimum wage each have a positive insignificant and negative insignificant effect on the open unemployment rate. Simultaneously, the three variables also have no significant effect. The implications of these findings confirm that increasing the average length of schooling is a key factor in reducing unemployment, but policies related to minimum wages and high school participation need to be reviewed and combined with other policies to be more effective in addressing unemployment in Maluku Province.  

Heni Novita; Adnan Abdurrahman; Nur Aslamaturrahmah Putri; Novi Winarti

Jurnal Publikasi Ekonomi dan Akuntansi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the effect of the unemployment rate on economic growth in Riau Islands Province in 2024 using a descriptive–quantitative approach based on official data published by Statistics Indonesia (BPS). The analysis was conducted through year-on-year and quarter-to-quarter measurements of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), as well as the dynamics of the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) throughout the year. The findings show that the average economic growth of the province in 2024 reached 5.02 percent, while the unemployment rate decreased from 6.94 percent in February to 6.39 percent in August. Pearson correlation analysis resulted in r = –0.98 (p < 0.05), indicating a very strong negative relationship between unemployment and GRDP growth. Meanwhile, the simple linear regression model produced the equation Ŷ = 5.45 – 0.22X with an R² of 0.96, implying that 96 percent of the variation in economic growth can be explained by changes in the unemployment rate. These findings are consistent with Okun’s Law, suggesting that increased industrial and trade activities in the province contribute to reducing unemployment. The study concludes that strengthening sectoral job creation, improving labor productivity, and enhancing labor market monitoring are crucial to support inclusive and sustainable economic growth in the Riau Islands Province.

Widya Evriyani Putri; Zul Afdi Saputra; Safuridar Safuridar

Jurnal Publikasi Ekonomi dan Akuntansi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to examine the influence of investment, labor, and unemployment rates on economic growth in Aceh Province. Economic growth is one of the main indicators in assessing the success of a region's development, so it is important to understand the factors that can influence it. The data used in this study are secondary data in the form of annual data for the period 2009–2023 obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Aceh Province and several related institutions. Data analysis was conducted using the multiple linear regression method with a time series approach. The results of the analysis show that the investment variable has a positive and significant influence on economic growth in Aceh Province, indicating that increased investment can encourage increased regional economic output. The labor variable also has a positive influence on economic growth, although its significance is lower compared to investment. Meanwhile, the unemployment variable has a negative and significant influence on economic growth, which means that increasing unemployment rates can suppress the rate of economic growth in Aceh Province.

Ramadhan Hibatur Rahman; Karin Angelika Putri; Ma’isyatur Rodhiyah; Novia Ardhana; Yossinomita Yossinomita

Prosiding Seminar Nasional Ilmu Teknik 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Teknik Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the factors affecting real wages of construction workers across provinces in Indonesia from 2010 to 2023 using panel data analysis. The independent variables include Provincial Minimum Wage (UMP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Open Unemployment Rate (TPT), and Performance Pay (Balas Jasa). A panel dataset of 476 observations from 34 provinces over 14 years was analyzed using three model approaches: Common Effect Model (CEM), Fixed Effect Model (FEM), and Random Effect Model (REM). The best model was determined through Chow Test, Hausman Test, and Lagrange Multiplier Test, which confirmed that the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) is the most appropriate for analyzing this research data. FEM estimation results show that simultneously, all independent variables (UMP, CPI, TPT, and Performance Pay) have a significant effect on real wages with an F-statistic value of 436,465.9 (p-value = 0.0000 < 0.05), indicating that the model as a whole is highly valid and capable of explaining the variation in real wages collectively. However, partial tests reveal that only the Real Wage variable has a positive and statistically significant effect on Performance Pay (coefficient = 106.3320; t-statistic = 1276.083; p-value = 0.0000), while UMP (p-value = 0.1472), CPI (p-value = 0.6460), and TPT (p-value = 0.6934) show no significant effects at the 5% significance level. The research model demonstrates very high predictive ability with an R-squared value of 0.999735 (99.97%), indicating that the variables studied can explain nearly all variation in real wages of construction workers at the provincial level. This research provides policy implications that improving real wages in the construction sector requires an integrated approach that focuses not only on minimum wage setting but also on regional inflation control, human capital quality improvement, and creating conducive labor market conditions through unemployment reduction

Cinta Riskia; Khairuna Safira; Uzma Uzma; Puti Andiny; Safuridar Safuridar +1 more

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to determine the partial and simultaneous influence between the variables of labor force, the agricultural sector, economic growth, and the industrial sector on the open unemployment rate in Aceh Province in the 2014–2023 period. The research method uses a quantitative approach by utilizing secondary data obtained from related agencies. The results showed that the labor force variable (X1) had a significant influence on the open unemployment rate with a significance value of 0.000 < 0.05. The agricultural sector variable (X2) was also proven to have a significant effect with a significance value of 0.002 < 0.05. Furthermore, economic growth (X3) has a significant influence on open unemployment with a significance value of 0.004 < 0.05. The industrial sector variable (X4) also showed a significant influence on the open unemployment rate in Aceh Province with a significance value of 0.015 < 0.05. Overall, these results indicate that employment dynamics and regional economic structure play an important role in determining the open unemployment rate during the study period. These findings provide a basis for policymakers to formulate more effective economic development strategies in reducing unemployment in the future.

Mifta Hul Rahman; Rahmat Daniel Fauzi; Puti Andiny; Safuridar Safuridar

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

The economy of West Sumatra Province has shown a significant decline in recent years, with the lowest growth rate on the entire island of Sumatra. This study aims to examine the influence of capital expenditure, unemployment, and the Human Development Index on economic growth in this region between 2014 and 2024. Using multiple linear regression and data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance, the analysis shows that capital expenditure and unemployment have a significant negative impact on economic growth, while the Human Development Index (HDI) has no significant impact. Although capital expenditure varies, the decline in unemployment indicates a change in labor market conditions. This information indicates that government efforts to increase spending on infrastructure and public services are still ineffective in driving growth. Therefore, it is recommended that the government prioritize budget allocations in productive sectors such as infrastructure, tourism, and MSME development to help small businesses grow and advance through training, capital support, and technology implementation to ensure competitiveness and sustainability. Therefore, this study is expected to provide deeper insight into the elements that influence economic growth in West Sumatra and serve as a guide for further, more comprehensive research.  

Luthfiyah Luthfiyah; Dewi Riza Lisvi Vahlevi

Jurnal Inovasi Ekonomi Syariah dan Akuntansi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Poverty is one of the most difficult economic problems to solve. This problem occurs in all countries. Among the causes of poverty are poor human resources, a low quality of life, a rising unemployment rate, and a decrease in job availability each year, as well as wages that do not match living costs. This is not only due to low human resources; the government also plays a crucial role in this issue. The poverty rate is unavoidable, so an appropriate solution is needed to address this issue. One step to reducing poverty is to analyze which economic instruments can be optimized, especially in the Sidoarjo region. The poverty rate in Sidoarjo is quite high. The open unemployment rate in Sidoarjo ranks third in East Java province. Therefore, the author was interested in conducting this research. This study aims to determine the effect of the distribution of zakat, infaq, and alms (ZIS) funds, GRDP, and open unemployment on the poverty rate in Sidoarjo in 2013-2023. This study uses a quantitative method with multiple linear regression analysis. The data processing tool used is SPSS. The results of the T test indicate that the distribution of ZIS funds has a significant effect on the poverty rate, while GRDP and open unemployment do not have a significant effect on the poverty rate partially. The F test shows that the distribution of ZIS funds, inflation, and GDP have a significant effect on the poverty rate simultaneously in the period 2013-2023. The limitation of this study is the use of variables that affect the poverty rate, so that future researchers can add or change these variables with other variables related to poverty.

Dadang Wibowo; M.Firmansyah

Akuntansi Pajak dan Kebijakan Ekonomi Digital 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Macroeconomic indicators are essential instruments in the process of planning a country's development. Assumptions regarding inflation, unemployment, and economic growth are often used by governments to determine macroeconomic policies. Given this context, it becomes important to empirically understand the relationship among these three macroeconomic indicators in Indonesia. This study statistically examines the relationship between the variables of inflation, unemployment, and economic growth using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method. The results show that inflation and the open unemployment rate significantly influence economic growth. Inflation has a positive relationship with economic growth, while the open unemployment rate has an inverse relationship with economic growth. In the short term, economic growth is significantly affected by the growth rate in the previous period (lag-1 or t-1). Meanwhile, inflation and the open unemployment rate do not statistically have a significant impact on economic growth. Shocks to inflation and the open unemployment rate are relatively not excessively responded to by economic growth.

Intan Ratnasari; Dwi Aprilia; Maulidiyah Al Adawiyah; Della Wahyuningsih; Diva Nazmi Laila +3 more

Jurnal Inovasi Ekonomi Syariah dan Akuntansi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Inflation, unemployment, and deflation are three fundamental macroeconomic phenomena that are closely interconnected in influencing a nation’s economic stability. These variables illustrate the equilibrium between production capacity, consumption behavior, and government intervention in achieving sustainable economic growth. The main purpose of this study is to explore the interrelationship between inflation, unemployment, and deflation, and to assess their implications for Indonesia’s economic stability. This research applies a qualitative descriptive method, employing literature reviews, document analysis, and secondary data evaluation derived from credible institutions such as the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), Bank Indonesia (BI), and the Ministry of Finance. The results suggest that a moderate level of inflation can positively stimulate economic expansion through increased consumption and investment activities. In contrast, excessive inflation tends to erode consumer purchasing power and potentially elevate unemployment rates. Meanwhile, prolonged deflationary conditions may lead to a decline in product prices, reduced business profitability, and slower economic momentum. The interaction among these three factors is complex and dynamic, necessitating a coordinated balance between fiscal and monetary policies to safeguard overall economic stability. This study concludes that effective inflation control, job creation, and deflation prevention are critical elements in strengthening Indonesia’s long-term economic resilience.

Jureid Jureid; Mufti Fahrizal Harahap; Faisal Affandi

Pemberdayaan Masyarakat: Jurnal Aksi Sosial 2025 Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

This Community Service (PKM) activity aims to enhance public awareness of the interrelationship between poverty, unemployment, and criminality as key challenges to sustainable economic development in Mandailing Natal Regency. The program was conducted through a cross-sectoral seminar involving speakers from the District Attorney’s Office, the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), and local community organizations. A total of 120 participants—including students, lecturers, village officials, and the general public—took part in the event. Evaluation was carried out using pre-test and post-test questionnaires to measure participants’ improvement in understanding. The results showed an average increase in comprehension scores from 2.84 to 4.05 on a 1–5 scale (a 42.6 percent rise). Participants demonstrated greater awareness of the structural link between economic pressures and criminal behavior. This PKM activity successfully strengthened community understanding of the importance of inter-agency synergy in addressing poverty and unemployment as preventive measures against crime. Cross-sectoral public education proved effective in fostering social awareness and serves as a replicable model for other regions.

Jureid Jureid; Mufti Fahrizal Harahap; Faisal Affandi

Pemberdayaan Masyarakat: Jurnal Aksi Sosial 2025 Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

This Community Service (PKM) activity aims to enhance public awareness of the interrelationship between poverty, unemployment, and criminality as key challenges to sustainable economic development in Mandailing Natal Regency. The program was conducted through a cross-sectoral seminar involving speakers from the District Attorney’s Office, the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), and local community organizations. A total of 120 participants—including students, lecturers, village officials, and the general public—took part in the event. Evaluation was carried out using pre-test and post-test questionnaires to measure participants’ improvement in understanding. The results showed an average increase in comprehension scores from 2.84 to 4.05 on a 1–5 scale (a 42.6 percent rise). Participants demonstrated greater awareness of the structural link between economic pressures and criminal behavior. This PKM activity successfully strengthened community understanding of the importance of inter-agency synergy in addressing poverty and unemployment as preventive measures against crime. Cross-sectoral public education proved effective in fostering social awareness and serves as a replicable model for other regions.

Aufa Aufiya; Eva Ervani

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the effect of the distribution of Zakat, Infak, and Sadaqah (ZIS) funds, economic growth, unemployment rate, and Regional Original Revenue (PAD) on the poverty rate in West Sumatra Province during the period 2020–2024. The data used are secondary data obtained from BAZNAS, BPS, and the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance (DJPK), covering 12 regencies/cities in West Sumatra Province. This study employs panel data regression analysis using EViews 12 software to examine the relationships among the variables. The results indicate that, partially, the distribution of ZIS funds and PAD have no significant effect on the poverty rate. In contrast, economic growth and unemployment rate have a negative and significant effect on the poverty rate. Simultaneously, all four independent variables are found to have a significant influence on the poverty rate. The coefficient of determination (Adjusted R²) is 0.123, indicating that 12.30% of the variation in the poverty rate can be explained by the variables in the study, while the remaining 87.7% is influenced by factors outside the model. The study provides policy implications suggesting that optimizing ZIS management, promoting inclusive economic growth, expanding employment opportunities to reduce unemployment, and utilizing PAD more effectively are crucial strategies for local governments and relevant institutions to effectively reduce the poverty rate in West Sumatra.

Diana Azzahra; Abdul Rahman

Perspektif Administrasi Publik dan hukum 2025 Asosiasi Peneliti Dan Pengajar Ilmu Sosial Indonesia

This study aims to assess the effectiveness of the Jakpreneur program in reducing unemployment in South Jakarta. Jakpreneur is a strategic initiative launched by the Jakarta Provincial Government as a concrete effort to empower Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs). This program is designed with various forms of support, such as skills training, business mentoring, legal licensing facilitation, product marketing support, and easy access to capital. This aims to create an inclusive and sustainable entrepreneurial ecosystem, especially amidst the complex challenges of the urban economy and the ongoing unemployment rate. However, in its implementation on the ground, the program's effectiveness still faces several obstacles. One of the main problems identified is the suboptimality of information technology-based training. Many participants have not yet mastered basic digital skills, making it difficult to keep up with developments in training methods that rely on technology. In addition, the low level of responsiveness of program facilitators to participant needs, as well as the limited digital literacy of MSMEs, also hinders maximizing the benefits of this program. This study uses a descriptive qualitative approach with data collection techniques through in-depth interviews, participant observation, and documentation studies. The findings indicate that, despite some shortcomings, the Jakpreneur program has been generally successful in improving participants' entrepreneurial knowledge and skills, reaching the right target audience, and having a tangible impact on increasing business capacity and reducing unemployment. Therefore, strengthening outreach, improving the quality of digital training, and providing more active and responsive mentoring is necessary to further enhance the program's effectiveness.

Karunia Wahyu Putri Sejati; Suyanti Suyanti

Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Sosial, Politik dan Humaniora 2025 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

This study aimed to determine the relationship between parental social support and career exploration with career decision-making among unemployed young adults. Early adulthood, particularly between the ages of 18 and 25, is a crucial developmental period as individuals are required to become independent, build their identity, and determine their career direction. During this phase, many individuals face challenges such as career uncertainty and unemployment, making parental social support and career exploration skills important factors that can influence the quality of career decision-making. The subjects were job seekers aged 18 and 25, categorized as young adults. The sampling technique used probability sampling. The research instrument consisted of three scales: the career decision-making scale (29 items; α = 0.903), the parental social support scale (15 items; α = 0.893), and the career exploration scale (13 items; α = 0.921). Data analysis was performed using the Pearson correlation test to test the hypothesis, and reliability was measured using the Spearman-Brown method. The results of this study indicate a significant positive relationship between parental social support and career exploration with career decision-making among unemployed young adults. This finding indicates that the higher the social support provided by parents and the more active individuals are in exploring their career options, the better their ability to make appropriate career decisions. The implications of this study emphasize the importance of parental involvement in supporting children during the transition to the workforce and emphasize the need for intervention programs that systematically encourage career exploration among unemployed young adults. This is expected to enable individuals to develop more mature career decision-making capacities and thus be able to face the challenges of job uncertainty in the modern era.  

Achmad Widodo; Izzuni Khoirun Nissa

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Perkembangan produktivitas tenaga kerja Indonesia menunjukkan tren positif dalam beberapa tahun terakhir, di mana pada periode 2018–2022 produktivitas meningkat sebesar 4,8% dengan capaian tertinggi pada tahun 2022 mencapai Rp86,55 juta per pekerja per tahun. Potensi kelautan dan perikanan yang besar menjadi salah satu modal penting dalam mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi nasional. Proyeksi pertumbuhan Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) Indonesia pada tahun 2025 diperkirakan berada pada kisaran 4,9% hingga 5%, yang didorong oleh belanja publik yang terarah serta peningkatan investasi di berbagai sektor strategis. Pada tahun 2024, jumlah lapangan kerja diperkirakan mencapai 144,64 juta orang dengan pertumbuhan lapangan kerja baru yang berkontribusi terhadap penurunan tingkat pengangguran. Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) mengalami peningkatan dari 71,92 pada tahun 2023 menjadi target 72,51 pada tahun 2025, yang mencerminkan perbaikan kualitas pendidikan, kesehatan, dan standar hidup masyarakat. Rasio Gini, sebagai indikator ketimpangan pendapatan, menurun menjadi 0,380 pada akhir tahun 2024, menunjukkan peningkatan pemerataan pendapatan. Dari sisi pelayanan kesehatan, data alokasi BPJS Kesehatan pada tahun 2024 mencatat 102,8 juta data sampel yang tersedia, mencerminkan cakupan layanan kesehatan yang luas. Sementara itu, dari sisi fiskal, total penerimaan pajak dalam APBN 2024 diperkirakan mencapai Rp2.309,86 triliun dengan realisasi sementara sebesar Rp869,50 triliun, di mana penerimaan pajak termasuk pajak penghasilan dan pajak pertambahan nilai menunjukkan tren peningkatan dalam beberapa tahun terakhir. Belanja negara diperkirakan mencapai Rp3.325,12 triliun yang diharapkan mampu mendukung pemerataan dan keberlanjutan pembangunan nasional.

Rismaya Eviara; Novi Mubryarto; G.W.I Awal Habibah

Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Pajak 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Economic growth is a factor that influences the level of poverty, considering the increasing population which means that economic needs will also increase, so additional income is needed every year. The purpose of this thesis is to determine the effect of poverty and poverty on economic growth in Jambi Province in 2019-2023. The analysis method used is the Panel Data Regression Method. The results of the study obtained that poverty has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Jambi Province in 2019-2023, so that the hypothesis (H1) proposed by the researcher is accepted with a significance value of 0.0308 <0.05 with a t-statistic value of 2.220545. Unemployment has a positive but not significant effect on economic growth in Jambi Province in 2019-2023 in Jambi Province, so that the hypothesis (H2) proposed by the researcher is rejected with a significance value of 0.4054> 0.05 with a t-statistic value of 0.838862. Poverty (X1) and Unemployment (X2) together influence economic growth in Jambi Province in 2019-2023 in Jambi Province (Y) with a calculated F value of 2.562611 and a significant value of 0.04680 <0.05 then Ho is rejected and Ha is accepted. For this reason, the government must increase employment opportunities and the government must pay more attention to the level of poverty as well as increase economic growth. Islam hates poverty and poverty because according to Islam, economic growth, wealth is a blessing and gift from Allah SWT that must be grateful for by mankind. Poverty, poverty and economic stagnation must be eliminated so as not to endanger faith, morals and morals, even divisions in society. Increasing quality employment opportunities and reducing poverty levels are important priorities to improve the quality of life of the community and create social stability.

Adamvin Satria Dharmawan; Nurul Istiqomah; Putri Nurmawati; Misfi Laili Rohmi

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

Based on data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) from 2021 to 2023, the crime rate in Indonesia increased by 345,510 cases. This increase indicates social problems, particularly in the economic sector. Factors such as high unemployment, high poverty rates, and low minimum wages are the main causes driving crime. When people's basic needs are not met, the potential for deviant behavior to meet their living needs tends to increase. This study aims to analyze the influence of unemployment, poverty, and the Provincial Minimum Wage (UMP) on crime rates in Indonesia, both partially and simultaneously. The study uses a quantitative approach with secondary data sources obtained from official BPS publications. The data used is panel data, namely a combination of time series (time span) and cross-section (across regions/provinces) data for the period 2021–2023. Data analysis was performed using a panel data regression model with a Fixed Effect Model (FEM) approach after undergoing the Hausman Test. The results show that partially, the three variables—unemployment, poverty, and the UMP—have a significant influence on crime rates. Simultaneous testing also showed that collectively, these three variables significantly influence the crime rate. Furthermore, the coefficient of determination (R²) test result of 93.5% indicates that unemployment, poverty, and the minimum wage (UMP) variables are able to explain most of the variation in crime rates in Indonesia during the study period, while the remaining 6.5% is influenced by other variables not included in the model. This finding emphasizes the importance of improving the economic conditions of the community through job creation, poverty alleviation, and minimum wage adjustments as preventative measures to reduce crime rates in Indonesia.