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Bank stock price prediction is an important topic in the application of information technology because stock price movements are dynamic, sequential, and influenced by historical market patterns. This study aims to predict Indonesian banking stock prices using the Long Short-Term Memory method and evaluate the effect of Bayesian Optimization on model performance. The data used in this study consists of daily historical stock data of BBCA, BBNI, BBRI, BBTN, and BMRI from May 4, 2020, to May 4, 2026, obtained from Yahoo Finance. The input features include opening price, highest price, lowest price, closing price, and trading volume, while the prediction target is the stock closing price. The results show that the baseline model produced MAPE values ranging from 1.892% to 3.147%. The best baseline performance was obtained on BBCA with an R² value of 0.933, followed by BBTN with an R² value of 0.902. After optimization, performance improvement occurred on BBTN, with MAPE decreasing from 3.147% to 2.482% and R² increasing from 0.902 to 0.935. For BMRI, MAPE decreased from 2.385% to 2.206%, and R² increased from 0.687 to 0.743. This study concludes that Long Short-Term Memory can be used to predict Indonesian banking stock prices, while Bayesian Optimization can selectively improve model performance depending on the characteristics of each stock dataset.

This study aims to analyze the fluctuations in chili production in Kabanjahe District, Karo Regency, which affect market price instability and uncertain supply. One approach applied in this study is the Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) method to forecast chili production. SES was chosen for its simplicity, ease of implementation, and its ability to generate accurate predictions even when the data lacks significant seasonal patterns. The data used is secondary data on chili production obtained from official publications by the Karo Regency BPS for the period of 2020–2024. The analysis results show that a smoothing parameter (α) of 0.8 produced the lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 3.08%. These findings indicate that applying a higher α makes the model more responsive to recent data changes, thus yielding more accurate forecasts. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of the SES method in forecasting chili production in areas with significant seasonal fluctuations.

The document Apostolicam Actuositatem is a magisterial teaching issued by the Roman Catholic Church that addresses the apostolate of the laity. The present study responds to the contemporary issue of youth skepticism and apathy toward politics, government, and social engagement. The research subjects consisted of 34 members of Pemuda Katolik Komisariat Cabang Kota Semarang as respondents and six organizational board members as key informants. This study employed a mixed-method explanatory approach. Quantitative data were collected through questionnaires using a quota sampling technique, while qualitative data were obtained through in-depth interviews with six informants. The quantitative findings indicate that the internalization of Apostolicam Actuositatem influences apostolic motivation by 48%. The level of apostolic motivation among members in promoting the Pemuda Katolik Komisariat Cabang Semarang organization reached 68.2%. Furthermore, the internalization of Apostolicam Actuositatem toward the implementation of lay apostolate principles was measured at 48.4%.  Qualitative findings from informants (N1–N6) reveal that members’ motivation in understanding Apostolicam Actuositatem is primarily driven by an inner calling, even among those who were previously unfamiliar with the document; this aligns with Article 1 of Apostolicam Actuositatem. Members’ efforts to promote the Pemuda Katolik Organization, both through internal organizational activities and initiatives outside the Church, correspond to Article 30. Moreover, the application of the principles of Apostolicam Actuositatem is implemented at every level of cadre formation within the Pemuda Katolik Organization of Komisariat Cabang Kota Semarang namely Mapenta, KKD, KKM, and KKL—in accordance with Article 22.

Ineffective spare part inventory planning may lead to supply delays and reduced compliance with lead time supply key performance indicators (KPIs). This study aims to implement the Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) method in spare part inventory planning at PT XYZ and to compare lead time supply performance before and after the implementation of the CPFR method. This research utilizes spare part usage data from January to June 2025, focusing on fast-moving spare parts. Demand forecasting is conducted using an error forecasting approach with the moving average method. Forecast accuracy is evaluated using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Furthermore, inventory planning is carried out through the calculation of safety stock and reorder point (ROP) as the basis for determining replenishment decisions. The results indicate that the simulated implementation of the CPFR method provides a more structured and anticipative inventory planning process. The comparison of performance before and after the application of CPFR shows an improvement in lead time supply compliance with the established KPIs. Therefore, the CPFR method has the potential to support improved spare part inventory planning performance at PT XYZ.

International student enrollment is a critical driver of financial sustainability for Higher Education Institutions (HEIs). While advanced forecasting is standard in the corporate sector, its application in educational planning remains limited. This study addresses this gap by comparing the predictive performance of ARIMA, Facebook Prophet, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models. Using a publicly available annual dataset from a US-based institution (2000–2022), the analysis employed a strategic partition training on 2000–2017 and testing on 2018–2019 to validate models on stable, pre-pandemic data. Empirical results revealed that the statistical ARIMA (2,1,0) model demonstrated superior accuracy, achieving a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 1.26%. Conversely, Prophet (11.81%) and LSTM (13.84%) struggled with the limited sample size, failing to generalize effectively compared to the linear approach. The findings suggest that for annual enrollment trends, parsimonious statistical models outperform complex deep learning architectures, providing administrators with a robust, accessible framework for data-driven strategic decision-making.

This study aims to describe the implementation of innovative learning strategies through the Game-Based Learning (GBL) model to enhance the active participation of tenth-grade students in Islamic Religious Education (PAI) at MA Hasyimiyah. The research is motivated by the prevalence of conventional teacher-centered learning, which results in low student engagement and enthusiasm. Employing a descriptive qualitative approach with a case study design, the research subjects included tenth-grade students at MA Hasyimiyah and Field Experience Practice (PPL) students as key informants who conducted the lessons directly. Data collection techniques included classroom observations, semi-structured interviews with PPL students, and documentation gathered during a one-month PPL period. The results indicate that the application of the GBL model utilizing digital media such as Quizizz, Wordwall, Zep Quiz, and Spinner, as well as manual media like question-and-answer cards, significantly increased learning motivation, classroom interaction, and active participation. This improvement was evidenced by students' increased confidence in expressing opinions and intensive involvement in group discussions. Although challenges such as limited infrastructure, unstable internet connections, and restricted student device access were identified, these obstacles were effectively overcome through adaptive strategies by PPL students, who modified digital games into manual formats. This study confirms that innovative and adaptive learning strategies play a crucial role in enhancing student participation levels, particularly within the context of schools with limited facilities.

This study aims to design, implement, and compare the performance of the Backpropagation algorithm from Artificial Neural Networks and the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model in predicting the optimal daily rice requirement at Grillme Restaurant in Pontianak. The main problem faced by the restaurant is the uncertainty in determining the required daily rice stock, which periodically results in either understocking (shortage) or overstocking (wastage), leading to operational losses. To address this, the study utilizes historical daily rice sales data from January 2023 to April 2025 as the database for training and testing both predictive models. The SARIMA approach is employed to capture time series components (trend and seasonality), while Backpropagation is utilized to model non-linear patterns. Comparative test results indicate that the SARIMA model achieved superior accuracy compared to the Backpropagation model. This is confirmed by the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of the SARIMA algorithm being 17.35%, which is lower than the MAPE value of Backpropagation at 19.62%. The MAPE values obtained by both models demonstrate good predictive capability, but it is concluded that SARIMA is more recommended for a more efficient and planned management of rice stock at Grillme Restaurant in Pontianak.

Perkembangan kecerdasan buatan (AI) mendorong inovasi dalam analisis keuangan, termasuk prediksi harga saham yang fluktuatif. Penelitian ini bertujuan memprediksi harga saham PT Garudafood Putra Putri Jaya Tbk menggunakan model ARIMA dengan penanganan Outlier sebagai pendekatan awal menuju sistem prediksi yang lebih adaptif. Data harga penutupan harian dari Yahoo Finance dianalisis melalui uji stasioneritas, identifikasi model ARIMA, deteksi Outlier berbasis log-return, serta evaluasi performa menggunakan RMSE, MAE, dan MAPE. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ARIMA Outlier memberikan performa lebih baik dibandingkan ARIMA dasar. ARIMA standar menghasilkan MAPE 1.32% dan AIC –899.46, sedangkan ARIMA dengan tiga dummy Outlier mencapai MAPE 1.16% dan AIC –900.37. Peramalan 14 hari ke depan menunjukkan pola yang stabil pada kisaran Rp 370–371. Pada data uji, ARIMA dasar memberikan akurasi terbaik pada pertengahan Agustus, sedangkan ARIMA Outlier mencapai akurasi tertinggi pada akhir Agustus dengan prediksi Rp 370.2 yang sangat dekat dengan harga aktual Rp 370.4. Hasil ini menunjukkan bahwa penanganan Outlier meningkatkan ketepatan model, sehingga ARIMA Outlier dapat digunakan sebagai fondasi awal menuju pengembangan sistem prediksi keuangan berbasis AI.