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Maiz Wachid Anshorie; Anik Farida; Ela Nurlaela; Abdul Azis; Syaeful Bahri

Jurnal Manajemen dan Ekonomi Bisnis 2026 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

This study examines the determinants of the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) based on three main macroeconomic factors namely inflation, the USD/IDR exchange rate, and the SBI interest rate (BI Rate) covering the period January 2020 to December 2025, in the context of post-COVID-19 pandemic recovery and global economic turmoil. A quantitative approach was employed using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method, with 72 monthly observations derived from secondary data sourced from official institutions including Bank Indonesia (BI), the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), and the Financial Services Authority (OJK). Classical assumption tests were applied comprising the Jarque-Bera normality test, Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) for multicollinearity, Breusch-Godfrey for autocorrelation, White Test for heteroscedasticity, and Ramsey RESET for model specification. Partially, inflation, exchange rate, and BI Rate each demonstrate a positive and significant effect on the JCI (p < 0.05). Simultaneously, all three variables exert a significant combined influence on the JCI, with a coefficient of determination R² = 0.4414, indicating that the model explains 44.14% of the variation in the JCI. The remaining 55.86% is attributed to other variables outside the model. Classical assumption test results reveal violations of normality, autocorrelation, and heteroscedasticity assumptions, although the model is free from multicollinearity. These findings confirm that Bank Indonesia's monetary policy has a significant and measurable impact on capital market performance. Further research is recommended using more advanced time series models such as GARCH or VECM to address violations of classical assumptions and improve estimation efficiency.

Wisnu Hari Nugraha Bintoro; Destian Andhani

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan 2026 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation and interest rates on the stock prices of banking companies listed in the IDX80 index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2019–2024 period. Research data were obtained from official reports of banking company stock prices as well as inflation and interest rate data from Bank Indonesia. The study used a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression methods through the SPSS application, and classical assumption tests were conducted as a requirement for analysis. The study population included all IDX80 banking companies, with a saturated sampling technique resulting in five banks that met the criteria during the study period. The results of the partial test indicate that inflation has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, while interest rates have a negative and significant effect on stock prices. This indicates that stable inflation can still improve the performance of the banking sector, while rising interest rates tend to depress stock prices due to increased borrowing costs and a shift in investment to other instruments. The results of the simultaneous test also show that inflation and interest rates together have a significant effect on the stock prices of IDX80 banking companies. The results show that inflation has a significant positive effect on stock prices with a significance value of 0.034, while interest rates have a significant negative effect with a significance value of 0.018. Simultaneously, inflation and interest rates have a significant effect on stock prices with a calculated F value of 14.549 > Ftable 2.70 and a significance of 0.000 < 0.05.

Wulan Ramadhani; Deby Deby; Jesica Dara Tista

Systematic Literature Review Journal 2025 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

This study aims to analyze the influence of inflation, interest rates, capital structure, and profitability on stock prices in manufacturing companies. The background of this research highlights the volatility of the Indonesian economy, which is driven by macroeconomic factors that significantly affect capital market performance. Using the Systematic Literature Review (SLR) method, this study synthesized 10 relevant articles published between 2023 and 2025, collected through Google Scholar using specified keywords. The findings reveal varied results: inflation and interest rates generally have a negative influence on stock prices, although some studies report insignificant effects. Similarly, capital structure shows both positive and negative impacts, depending on company conditions and research contexts. Profitability also presents mixed outcomes; some studies found significant relationships, while others reported no influence on stock prices. This literature-based synthesis highlights inconsistencies in previous empirical findings and reinforces the need for further research to clarify the interaction between these variables and stock market performance. The study contributes to providing a comprehensive understanding for investors, financial analysts, and policymakers in making better investment and strategic financial decisions under uncertain economic conditions.

Aristia Kamal; Fanlia Prima Jaya; Syamsuddinnor Syamsuddinnor

Jurnal Manuhara : Pusat Penelitian Ilmu Manajemen dan Bisnis 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Using a case study of the Food and Beverage industry listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) between 2017 and 2022, this study seeks to examine the partial impact of financial performance on stock prices through Earnings Per Share (EPS). Ratios like Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), EPS, and share prices are used to gauge financial performance. Using a saturated sampling method, 18 firms were chosen for the sample. Using a quantitative technique with a descriptive approach, this study performs data analysis using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) with the aid of SmartPLS version 3. 0. According to the study's findings, ROA has a considerable impact on EPS but not on share values. ROE has no discernible impact on stock prices or EPS. Nevertheless, EPS is shown to be a mediating variable between ROA and ROE, both of which have a substantial impact on share values. Improving the efficiency and effectiveness of financial management is one of the recommendations, particularly in areas that have an impact on EPS, such as capital structure and profitability. When making investment decisions, investors should pay attention to financial performance metrics like stock values, EPS, ROA, and ROE. To gain a more thorough analysis, future academics are urged to consider more variables, such the Price to Earnings Ratio, Dividend Payout Ratio, and external elements such as inflation and interest rates.

Rosmiati Rosmiati; Isnaini Khoirunnisa; Henike Sobolim; Bangun Putra Prasetya

Riset Ilmu Manajemen Bisnis dan Akuntansi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the impact of dividend policy, interest rates, and inflation on the stock prices of financial sector companies in Yogyakarta. The data used are secondary data obtained from company financial reports and macroeconomic indicators over a specific period. The analytical method employed is multiple linear regression to determine the extent to which the independent variables affect stock prices as the dependent variable. The results indicate that dividend policy has a significant positive effect on stock prices, while interest rates and inflation have a negative impact. These findings provide important implications for investors and financial managers in formulating investment strategies and dividend policies, as well as in considering macroeconomic conditions in financial decision-making within the financial sector.

Miftha Farild; Anggi Somba Poddala; Azizah Saban

International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to determine and analyze stock prices by looking at the direct and indirect effects between inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, ROA and stock prices in Islamic Banks in Indonesia. This study uses panel data regression with variables of inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, ROA, and stock prices with data analysis using SPSS 22 software. The period of this study is 2020-2022. The results of this study indicate that inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates are significant to ROA. Inflation and ROA are directly significant to stock prices. Meanwhile, interest rates and exchange rates directly have no effect on stock prices. For the indirect relationship between inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates affect stock prices through ROA.

Yuanitasari, Annastasia Anisah; Sri Nawatmi

KOMPAK : Jurnal Ilmiah Komputerisasi Akuntansi 2024 Universitas Sains dan Teknologi Komputer

Stock market can be fluctuate and uncontrolled depends on many internal and external factors.  The fluctuation itself can bring impact to capital market entities and the economy. This study focused for investigate the effects of inflation, interest rate, and domestic exchange rate on INFOBANK15 price stock during the 2018 – 2022 periods. This study collects data from Indonesia Stock Exchange which can be downloaded from idx.co.id. A quantitative approach to analyze the data and using SPSS as the tools. The result indicate that inflation has no effect to price stock, interest rate and exchange rates gives negative effect to stock prices.

Devita Eka Yuniar Wulandari; Ustadus Sholihin; Edi Murdiyanto

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam 2024 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study aims to determine whether there is an influence of the variables of inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates on stock prices in metal sub-sector companies and the like listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016 - 2021. The population in this study were all metal sub-sector companies and the like as many as 16 companies, then the researchers used a sampling technique using purposive sampling method. The results of this study indicate that the probability value of the inflation variable of 0.1955 is greater than the significant value of 0.05 so that inflation has no partial effect on stock prices. The interest rate variable has no significant effect partially on stock prices where the probability value of 0.2426 is greater than the significant value of 0.05. The exchange rate variable has a partially significant effect on stock prices where the probability value of 0.0247 is smaller than the significant value of 0.05. Inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate variables together have a significant effect on stock prices where the F-statistic probability value of 0.000 is smaller than the significant value of 0.05.

Fifi Armelia; Lidya Martha

Transformasi: Journal of Economics and Business Management 2023 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Semarang

This study aims to examine the effect of inflation and interest rates on stock prices in companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2017-2021. The data used in this research is secondary data. The population in this study were 810 companies, the sampling procedure used a purposive sampling method based on predetermined criteria, so that a sample of 70 companies was obtained. The dependent variable in this study is stock prices, while the independent variables are inflation and interest rates. The data analysis method uses panel data. The results showed that inflation had a positive and insignificant effect on stock prices, interest rates had a negative and insignificant effect on stock prices.

Nila Aprilia Sukmawati; Mulyanto Nugroho

Journal of Student Research 2023 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

With the development of increasingly modern and rapid economic growth, it is the reason that everyone can make transactions anywhere and anytime, including investment activities carried out in the capital market. Investors must have a lot of careful consideration to invest. This study aims to determine the effect of Earning Per Share, Price Earning Ratio, Inflation, Interest Rates, Exchange Rates on mining companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2017-2022. The method used in this research is a quantitative method. This study used 15 samples of mining sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange based on certain criteria. The results of the study found that partially Price earning ratio, inflation, interest rates and exchange rates did not have a significant effect on stock prices, while Earning per share had a positive and significant effect on stock prices.