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This study compared the performance of SARIMA and Prophet models in forecasting daily close prices of three major Indonesian banking stocks: BBCA, BBRI, and BMRI, using data from January 2020 to March 2026. Data were retrieved via the yfinance library, preprocessed, and split into 80% training and 20% testing sets. SARIMA modeling followed the Box-Jenkins procedure, while Prophet was configured with a Lag-1 regressor, weekly and monthly seasonality, Indonesian public holidays, and log transformation. Model performance was evaluated using MAPE, MSE, and Dstat metrics. Results showed that SARIMA outperformed Prophet in MAPE and MSE across all six stock-variable combinations, with MAPE values ranging from 1.3368% to 1.9386% for SARIMA and 1.5992% to 2.2300% for Prophet. However, Prophet demonstrated marginally higher Dstat values in several series. Both models achieved "Very Good" forecasting accuracy. A web-based forecasting system was also developed using Streamlit to make the models accessible to investors.

Earnings management remains a major concern in the banking industry because it may reduce the credibility and reliability of financial reporting. At the same time, Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) has increasingly been recognized as an important governance mechanism that enhances corporate transparency, accountability, and stakeholder trust. However, previous studies have reported inconsistent findings regarding the role of firm size in the relationship between CSR and earnings management. Therefore, this study aims to examine the effect of CSR on earnings management and investigate whether firm size acts as a mediating variable in Indonesian banking companies. This research employed a quantitative explanatory approach using panel data from 22 banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the 2022–2024 period, resulting in 66 observations. Data were analyzed using panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model and mediation analysis through the Sobel test using EViews 12. The findings indicate that CSR has a significant negative effect on earnings management and a significant positive effect on firm size. Furthermore, firm size partially mediates the relationship between CSR and earnings management, indicating that CSR reduces earnings management both directly and indirectly through organizational scale. These findings provide theoretical support for stakeholder and legitimacy theories and offer practical insights for managers and regulators in strengthening CSR implementation to improve financial reporting quality and corporate transparency.

This study aims to evaluate the level of sharia compliance in musyarakah contracts within micro-enterprise financing. Musyarakah is a partnership-based financing contract that emphasizes cooperation, profit-sharing based on an agreed ratio (nisbah), and proportional risk sharing in accordance with each party’s capital contribution. In practice, the implementation of musyarakah contracts in micro-enterprise financing must be assessed against the Fatwa of the National Sharia Council–Indonesian Ulema Council (DSN-MUI), principles of fiqh muamalah, and Islamic banking regulatory frameworks in Indonesia. The findings show that the implementation of musyarakah working capital financing in Islamic banking is generally in the good category. However, two non-compliance issues with sharia principles were identified. First, there is an imbalance in work participation, where the business is fully managed by the customer while the bank only provides supervision and guidance without active involvement, whereas active participation of partners is a fundamental principle of musyarakah. Second, there is an element of riba due to the use of a fixed profit-sharing scheme, even though profits in musyarakah should be uncertain and based on actual business performance. The study implies that Islamic banks need to improve musyarakah implementation to ensure full compliance with DSN-MUI fatwas, particularly in terms of active bank participation and non-fixed profit-sharing arrangements. Properly implemented, musyarakah financing can strengthen micro and small enterprises by promoting justice-based and risk-sharing economic cooperation.

The development of sustainability concepts in the banking sector has encouraged companies to implement Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) principles and develop Green Investment initiatives as part of their long-term business strategies. This study aims to examine the effect of ESG implementation and Green Investment on the firm value of banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the 2022–2025 period. The research employed a quantitative approach using panel data regression analysis. Model selection was conducted through the Chow, Hausman, and Lagrange Multiplier tests, which indicated that the Random Effect Model (REM) was the most appropriate model for the analysis. The results reveal that ESG has a positive and significant effect on firm value, indicating that better implementation of Environmental, Social, and Governance practices enhances a company's value in the perception of investors and the market. Conversely, Green Investment has a negative and significant effect on firm value. This finding suggests that Green Investment is still perceived as a costly activity and has not yet generated direct economic benefits in the short term. Simultaneously, ESG and Green Investment significantly influence firm value, with the model explaining 35.1% of the variation in firm value. The findings imply that banking companies should continuously improve the quality of ESG implementation and optimize the management of Green Investments to create greater firm value and support long-term business sustainability.

The Covid-19 pandemic significantly affected national economic stability, particularly the banking sector, which faced rising credit risk as debtors’ ability to meet payment obligations declined. Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI), as a state-owned bank focused on financing micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), is required to maintain credit quality while supporting the National Economic Recovery (PEN) Program. This study aims to analyze BRI’s credit risk management strategies in supporting national economic recovery and to examine its efforts to empower MSMEs during the pandemic. This research uses a descriptive qualitative method, with data collected from relevant sources such as articles, ebooks, journals, magazines, newspapers, and other documents. The findings show that BRI supported government recovery programs through several mechanisms, including credit restructuring for Covid-19-affected debtors, MSME credit distribution, interest subsidy stimulus, government-guaranteed MSME financing, People’s Business Credit (KUR), BPUM assistance, and wage subsidy distribution. In addition, BRI empowered MSMEs through programs such as UMKM Export Brilianpreneur 2020, BRIncubator, Desa BRILian, Pengusaha Muda BRILian, and Rumah BUMN. It can be concluded that BRI helped the government support economic recovery by distributing assistance and strengthening MSME empowerment to ensure business continuity during the pandemic.

This study aims to analyze the influence of product knowledge, corporate image, relationship marketing, and trust on customers’ savings decisions at Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI) KCP Jakarta Duri Kosambi, as well as examine the moderating effect of word of mouth in the relationship between these variables. The background of this research is based on the relatively low number of customers at BSI KCP Jakarta Duri Kosambi, which only reached 515 customers by the end of 2023, despite the large Muslim population in Cengkareng District, which represents a significant potential market for Islamic banking services. This study employs a quantitative research method using a questionnaire distributed to 100 customers selected through accidental sampling techniques. The data were analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS) with the assistance of SmartPLS 4.0 software. The results indicate that product knowledge, corporate image, relationship marketing, and trust each have a significant positive effect on savings decisions, as reflected in their respective path coefficients and t-statistics. Furthermore, word of mouth is found to significantly moderate only the relationship between relationship marketing and savings decisions, while its moderating effect on product knowledge, corporate image, and trust is not significant. These findings suggest that BSI KCP Jakarta Duri Kosambi should strengthen marketing strategies focusing on customer knowledge, institutional image, relationship quality, and trust to enhance customers’ savings decisions.  

Bank stock price prediction is an important topic in the application of information technology because stock price movements are dynamic, sequential, and influenced by historical market patterns. This study aims to predict Indonesian banking stock prices using the Long Short-Term Memory method and evaluate the effect of Bayesian Optimization on model performance. The data used in this study consists of daily historical stock data of BBCA, BBNI, BBRI, BBTN, and BMRI from May 4, 2020, to May 4, 2026, obtained from Yahoo Finance. The input features include opening price, highest price, lowest price, closing price, and trading volume, while the prediction target is the stock closing price. The results show that the baseline model produced MAPE values ranging from 1.892% to 3.147%. The best baseline performance was obtained on BBCA with an R² value of 0.933, followed by BBTN with an R² value of 0.902. After optimization, performance improvement occurred on BBTN, with MAPE decreasing from 3.147% to 2.482% and R² increasing from 0.902 to 0.935. For BMRI, MAPE decreased from 2.385% to 2.206%, and R² increased from 0.687 to 0.743. This study concludes that Long Short-Term Memory can be used to predict Indonesian banking stock prices, while Bayesian Optimization can selectively improve model performance depending on the characteristics of each stock dataset.

The growth of digital banking services has inspired banks in Indonesia to provide a package of services not limited to financial transaction purposes but also lifestyle commerce and shopping. Yet, it is observed that the use of the Livin’ Sukha service in the Livin’ by Mandiri app is quite low compared to other digital banking services. Therefore, this study will examine the effect of perceived benefits, perceived risk, and perceived trust on customers' willingness to use Livin’ Sukha services for shopping activities at Alfamart. For this purpose, a quantitative research design was applied by utilizing a survey research methodology with a sample of 200 users of Livin’ by Mandiri, selected using purposive sampling technique. The data were gathered by distributing online surveys and analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling based on Partial Least Square. It was discovered that there is a positive relationship between perceived benefits and perceived trust and perceived benefits and willingness to use; meanwhile, perceived risk showed negative relationships with perceived trust and willingness to use. Furthermore, perceived trust has positive relationships with customers' willingness to use Livin’ Sukha services. Besides, it has been revealed that household shopping activities have good potential to increase customers' engagement and transactions  

The term "breach of contract" in contract law refers to a breach of promise. Discussions of breach of contract, both in doctrine and jurisprudence, are usually associated with a statement of negligence by the debtor, where the debtor has failed to properly fulfill their contractual obligations, and the debtor is at fault. It must be acknowledged that a breach of contract, or breach of promise, already involves bad faith on the part of the party failing to fulfill their promise. The meaning of "breach of contract" in banking law relates to the occurrence of problem loans at banks, which cause the loan to become non-performing. This is usually due to the debtor or customer not paying by the previously agreed payment date. The existence of a breach of contract is inseparable from the existence of a credit agreement. Whether a debtor is in default cannot be determined simply because there are efforts to rescue loans that have entered a problematic stage. The beginning of a violation of an agreement or default due to someone not being paid, in meeting the credit rescue standards at the bank, usually efforts are made such as Rescheduling, Reconditioning, Restructuring, through this rescue, the debtor is given the opportunity to lose his business, so the concept of default in BW and the Banking Law must be measured through the performance given, in both regulations, then from there the concept of problem credit can be classified. This banking regulation can be said to be a default, the comparison of this concept is the discussion in this thesis.

 This community service activity aimed to improve students’ Islamic banking literacy through an experiential learning approach based on a fiqh muamalah workshop at Latansa Darussalam Islamic Boarding School, Palembang. The activity involved 100 participants consisting of students and teachers as an effort to strengthen understanding of Islamic economic and banking principles. The methods used in the activity included lectures, discussions, question-and-answer sessions, and simulations of sharia transaction practices, enabling participants not only to gain theoretical understanding but also practical experience in implementing sharia concepts. The evaluation was conducted using pre-test and post-test instruments in the form of multiple-choice questions and Likert scales to measure participants’ level of understanding before and after the activity. The evaluation results showed an increase in the participants’ average score from 55 to 82, with a gain score of 0.6, which falls into the moderate to high category. These findings indicate that an experience-based learning approach is effective in improving conceptual and practical understanding related to Islamic economics and is recommended for broader implementation in Islamic educational institutions.

Dividend policy is one of the key indicators used by investors to assess the stability and financial performance of banking companies. This study aims to analyze the effect of financial performance on the Dividend Payout Ratio in conventional banks in Indonesia during the 2021–2024 period. Financial performance is proxied by liquidity, Leverage, and profitability. This research employs a quantitative approach with an associative research design. The population consists of 43 conventional commercial banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange up to 2024. The sampling technique uses purposive sampling, resulting in 24 conventional banks with a total of 96 panel data observations. The data used are secondary data obtained from the companies’ annual financial statements and analyzed using multiple linear regression. The results show that liquidity, proxied by Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR), has a positive and significant effect on the Dividend Payout Ratio; Leverage, proxied by Debt to Asset Ratio (DAR), has a negative and significant effect on the Dividend Payout Ratio; and profitability, proxied by Return on Assets (ROA), has a positive and significant effect on the Dividend Payout Ratio. Furthermore, liquidity, Leverage, and profitability simultaneously have a significant effect on the Dividend Payout Ratio in conventional banks in Indonesia. This study indicates that the company’s financial performance is a key factor in determining dividend policy in the banking sector.

Given the important objectives that banks strive to achieve through financial stability and their role in ensuring its continuity and ability to face various economic challenges, many have expanded their policies beyond their traditional functions by adopting a range of additional practices and activities that contribute to strengthening their developmental role in society. Among the most prominent of these practices are corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities, which have become a crucial aspect of the work of contemporary financial institutions. In this context, this research highlights CSR practices in banks. It relied on a sample of nine Iraqi banks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange, which are characterized by their continued banking operations and regular publication of their annual financial reports. The research period was set from 2014 to 2023, and included a set of statistical tests that incorporated a number of financial determinants as control variables to determine their contribution to enhancing the impact of CSR when included alongside it, and to define the nature of the relationship between the research variables. We have reached a number of conclusions, most notably that when regulatory variables are included in the analysis model, this effect becomes statistically insignificant, which indicates that banks’ interest in internal financial factors still outweighs their interest in social aspects.

This study is driven by digital transformation and the rapid growth of financial technology, which have increased customer expectations and intensified competition in the banking industry, making customer loyalty more difficult to maintain. Therefore, relationship quality and customer intimacy are considered crucial in building trust as the foundation of customer loyalty. This study examines the effects of relationship quality and customer intimacy on customer loyalty, with trust as a mediating variable among commercial bank customers in Surabaya and its surrounding areas. A quantitative approach with an explanatory research design was employed, involving 150 respondents who were selected through purposive sampling. Data were collected through questionnaires and analyzed using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) implemented in SmartPLS 4.0. The results show that relationship quality and customer intimacy have positive and significant effects on both trust and customer loyalty, while trust also exerts a significant effect on customer loyalty. Furthermore, trust partially mediates the relationship between relationship quality and customer loyalty, but does not mediate the relationship between customer intimacy and customer loyalty. These findings suggest that customer loyalty is shaped through both a trust-based (cognitive) pathway and an emotional closeness pathway. Therefore, banks should strengthen relationship quality and enhance personalized services to foster stronger customer loyalty.

This study examines the effect of digital banking transformation on financial inclusion in emerging economies, using Indonesia as a case study. Digital banking transformation refers to the technological development of banking services, including accessibility, transaction speed, system security, service integration, and the availability of user-relevant financial features. Financial inclusion is defined as individuals’ ability to access, use, and benefit from formal financial services in an easy, secure, affordable, and sustainable way. This research employs a quantitative explanatory design. Data were collected through structured questionnaires distributed to users of mobile banking, internet banking, digital bank applications, and digital payment services in Indonesia. Respondents were selected using purposive sampling with criteria of being at least 17 years old, residing in Indonesia, and having used digital banking services within the last six months. Data were analyzed using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). The results indicate that digital banking transformation has a positive and significant effect on financial inclusion, with a path coefficient of 0.684, a t-value of 14.276, and a p-value of 0.000. The R-square value of 0.468 shows that 46.8% of the variance in financial inclusion is explained by digital banking transformation. These findings suggest that digital banking expands access to financial services, increases usage of formal financial products, and reduces barriers related to distance and cost. However, its effectiveness still depends on digital literacy, security, trust, infrastructure, and consumer protection. The study implies that banks and regulators should strengthen inclusive, secure, and affordable digital financial services for underserved communities.

This study aims to examine the role of information technology (IT) professional ethics as a preventive instrument in facing the escalation of cyber crime in Indonesia. Using the Systematic Literature Review (SLR) method with the PRISMA protocol, 17 selected scientific literature from the 2020-2026 period were analyzed comprehensively. The results of the study indicate that dominant operating modes such as ransomware on national infrastructure and mass data breaches in the banking and health sectors are rooted in the neglect of integrity and accountability principles. The discussion in this study confirms that the application of professional ethics based on the PAPA (Privacy, Accuracy, Property, Accessibility) framework is able to suppress the risk of internal threats and strengthen digital defense. The conclusion of the study shows that the synergy between the 2024 ITE Law regulations and the internalization of the professional code of ethics is the main key to data sovereignty in the digital era. The practical implications of this research recommend strengthening the ethics curriculum in IT higher education and ethical compliance audits in the public sector.

This study aims to analyze trends in scientific publications related to the application of green banking in financing products within Islamic banking in Indonesia during the 2019–2024 period. Using a bibliometric analysis method based on Google Scholar data and mapping via VOSviewer software, this study evaluates 60 selected articles. The study results indicate a significant annual increase in publications, with a primary focus on integrating green banking principles into Islamic financing policies, their impact on profitability, and the role of technology in supporting green banking. Additionally, the study found that environmental sustainability, green financing, and digital transformation are the most dominant themes in the development of green banking research within Islamic banking. Bibliometric network analysis indicates a strong interconnection between the concepts of green finance, sustainable banking, and Islamic banking in supporting sustainable economic development. This study also identifies opportunities for further research related to the effectiveness of green banking implementation on the financial performance and social responsibility of Islamic banking. These findings contribute to the development of green finance literature in the Islamic finance sector and serve as a strategic reference for regulators and practitioners in implementing sustainable banking policies in the future.

The banking sector faces dual challenges from economic turbulence and the implementation of expected credit loss accounting standards. An empirical anomaly has emerged where large-scale banks remain aggressive in distributing dividends despite soaring provisioning burdens, while medium-scale banks tend to retain earnings. This research aims to analyze the effect of capital buffer and firm size on dividend distribution decisions, while examining the ability of allowance for impairment losses to moderate these interactions. Utilizing a causal explanatory panel data design, this study observed 15 banking entities on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2020 to 2024. Data analysis was conducted using the Tobit regression model to accommodate dividend data characteristics left-censored at zero. Results prove that the capital buffer has no significant effect on dividend decisions, confirming the conservative posture of banks in prioritizing capital retention as a risk cushion. Conversely, firm size significantly determines profit distribution policy positively. In the moderation test, allowance for impairment losses does not moderate the capital buffer-dividend relationship but significantly moderates and amplifies the positive effect of firm size on dividend decisions. These findings imply a strategic resilience signaling maneuver, where large banks respond to high provisioning by expanding cash distribution to prove fundamental robustness to the market. Practically, this study recommends investors prioritize large-scale banks for stable returns and provides insights for regulators regarding the urgency of more adaptive regulatory adjustments.

The development of Islamic banking activities in Indonesia currently is not matched by adequate understanding among students, particularly regarding the rights and obligations of customers, Sharia contract literacy, and consumer protection mechanisms. This Community Service Activity aims to enhance the understanding of Muara Bungo University students regarding customer rights and obligations, complaint procedures, basic sharia contract literacy, prevention of detrimental service practices, and the resolution process for sharia banking consumer disputes. The activity was attended by 50 students from all faculties and department, conducted using the Participatory Action Research (PAR) approach through the stages of problem identification, planning, implementation with interactive lecture methods, and evaluation. The results of the activity showed a significant increase in understanding, marked by the growing awareness of participants regarding the rights and obligations of customers, understanding of Islamic banking contracts, as well as the ability to comprehend consumer protection concepts and the dispute resolution process effectively. Consumer protection literacy education has proven to have a positive impact on students in preparing themselves to face the banking world, both in the context of employment and business in the future.

This study addresses the troubling increase in illegally managed micro, small, and medium enterprises (UMKM) operated by foreign nationals in Bali, which poses significant threats to local economic stability and fairness. The analysis focuses on the legal frameworks governing UMKM, including Law No. 20 of 2008 and the Online Single Submission (OSS) system, as well as the regulatory gaps that allow foreign entities to exploit these mechanisms for their gain. A multi-method approach was employed to evaluate the current situation, emphasizing the roles of local government initiatives, banking regulations, and community engagement in combating illegal business operations. The findings reveal a pressing need for enhanced verification processes, stricter compliance measures, and localized regulations to protect legitimate businesses from exploitation by foreign competitors. The study concludes that only through coordinated efforts among government bodies, financial institutions, and local enterprises can Bali achieve sustainable economic growth, ensuring that UMKM can thrive within a fair and equitable commercial landscape.

The Legal Unit plays a crucial role in ensuring compliance with banking regulations, particularly in managing customer documents related to data protection and legal risk reduction. This study aims to explore the role and performance of the Legal Unit in managing customer files at Bank Sumsel Babel, Kapten A. Rivai Main Branch, and to identify obstacles and possible solutions. The method chosen in this study is qualitative with a descriptive approach. Data were obtained through observation, interviews, and document analysis, which were then analyzed using the interactive model of Miles and Huberman. The research findings indicate that the Legal Unit is responsible for ensuring that document management is carried out regularly, securely, and in accordance with applicable banking regulations. The implementation of Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs), internal supervision, and the use of digital archives contribute to legal compliance and minimize the risk of document loss and information leakage. Problems encountered include limitations in human resources and incompatibility with digital systems. Therefore, improvements in document management technology, training for human resources, and periodic SOP evaluation are needed to improve the effectiveness of the Legal Unit's work and maintain customer trust.