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Exchange rates are a crucial indicator in an open economy, playing a significant role in influencing international trade, investment flows, and overall macroeconomic stability. This study aims to analyze the impact of rupiah exchange rate fluctuations on Indonesia’s economic growth during the period 2014–2023. The research employs a descriptive qualitative approach using secondary data obtained from official publications of Statistics Indonesia and Bank Indonesia. The main variables analyzed include the rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar and Indonesia’s economic growth. The findings indicate that exchange rate movements are closely related to economic growth dynamics, particularly through international trade mechanisms, production costs, and the stability of the real sector. Depreciation of the exchange rate tends to enhance export competitiveness, but it may also trigger inflation due to rising import prices. Conversely, appreciation can help control inflation but may weaken export competitiveness. Therefore, maintaining exchange rate stability is essential to support sustainable economic growth and strengthen national economic resilience.

This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation and interest rates on the stock prices of banking companies listed in the IDX80 index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2019–2024 period. Research data were obtained from official reports of banking company stock prices as well as inflation and interest rate data from Bank Indonesia. The study used a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression methods through the SPSS application, and classical assumption tests were conducted as a requirement for analysis. The study population included all IDX80 banking companies, with a saturated sampling technique resulting in five banks that met the criteria during the study period. The results of the partial test indicate that inflation has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, while interest rates have a negative and significant effect on stock prices. This indicates that stable inflation can still improve the performance of the banking sector, while rising interest rates tend to depress stock prices due to increased borrowing costs and a shift in investment to other instruments. The results of the simultaneous test also show that inflation and interest rates together have a significant effect on the stock prices of IDX80 banking companies. The results show that inflation has a significant positive effect on stock prices with a significance value of 0.034, while interest rates have a significant negative effect with a significance value of 0.018. Simultaneously, inflation and interest rates have a significant effect on stock prices with a calculated F value of 14.549 > Ftable 2.70 and a significance of 0.000 < 0.05.

Global economic uncertainty and exchange rate fluctuations pose significant challenges to monetary stability in Indonesia, particularly in maintaining a controlled inflation rate. This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of the rupiah exchange rate to the inflation rate in Indonesia from 2015 to 2024. The method used in this study is library research by collecting, reviewing, and synthesizing data from various scientific literature, official central bank reports, and related journal articles published over the past decade. The research findings indicate that rupiah depreciation has a significant influence on rising inflation through the imported inflation channel, where currency depreciation increases the cost of raw materials for industries dependent on foreign markets. Furthermore, the findings reveal that the effectiveness of this transmission is influenced by public expectations and monetary policy taken by Bank Indonesia through adjustments to the benchmark interest rate. The implications of this study emphasize the importance of synergy between a stable exchange rate policy and controlling the supply of domestic goods to minimize the impact of external shocks on public purchasing power. The government and monetary authorities are advised to continue strengthening foreign exchange reserves and encouraging the use of local currencies in international transactions to reduce dependence on the United States dollar and maintain national price stability.

This study aims to analyze the impact of the geopolitical conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran in 2026 on global macroeconomic stability and climate change dynamics. Using a qualitative approach through a Systematic Literature Review (SLR), this research synthesizes findings from various international journal articles, reports, and academic sources. The results indicate that the conflict has significantly disrupted global energy markets, leading to a sharp increase in oil and gas prices. This energy shock has triggered global inflationary pressures, reduced purchasing power, and increased economic uncertainty across both developed and developing countries. Furthermore, monetary tightening policies implemented to control inflation have created trade-offs with economic growth, increasing the risk of global recession. On the fiscal side, government interventions such as energy subsidies have helped mitigate short-term impacts but have raised concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability. In addition, the energy crisis has slowed the transition toward renewable energy, thereby exacerbating climate change risks. The study highlights the interconnectedness between geopolitical conflict, macroeconomic instability, and environmental sustainability. Therefore, coordinated global policies and integrated economic strategies are essential to address these multidimensional challenges effectively.

This study aims to analyze the impact of inflation on the profitability of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) operating in traditional markets. Inflation influences key business aspects, including rising production costs, declining consumer purchasing power, and instability in input prices, all of which can disrupt business performance. The research employed a quantitative approach using survey data collected from MSME actors to assess these effects. The findings reveal that inflation has a significant negative impact on MSME profitability, particularly through the reduction of profit margins. This occurs as businesses face higher raw material costs while simultaneously experiencing a decline in sales volume due to weakened consumer demand. As a result, many MSMEs struggle to maintain financial stability and sustain their operations under inflationary pressure. These findings highlight the need for adaptive strategies among MSMEs, such as cost efficiency and pricing adjustments. Additionally, the study offers important policy implications for the government to support MSMEs through targeted interventions, including price stabilization measures and financial assistance programs, in order to maintain business resilience and economic sustainability.

The money market plays a vital role in the global financial architecture as a provider of short-term liquidity and a primary channel for monetary policy transmission. This research is motivated by the rapid transformation of financial instruments, which now encompass conventional and Sharia-compliant sectors, as well as digital innovations such as e-money and stablecoins. The purpose of this study is to examine the concept of the money market, identify the diversity of modern instruments, and analyze their strategic role in economic stability through a qualitative literature review approach. The analysis shows that the money market is highly effective in managing bank cash reserves and controlling inflation by regulating the money supply. The presence of digital instruments has been proven to accelerate liquidity flows, while Sharia schemes provide transparent and equitable investment alternatives. However, the emergence of digital assets also brings challenges of volatility that require adaptive regulation and professional skepticism from market participants. The implications of this research emphasize the importance of synergy between monetary authorities and financial technology to address global disruption. Strengthening regulations on future instruments is expected to create a more inclusive and stable financial system that can respond precisely to economic shocks.

This study exaimines whether today’s youth represent a “saving generation” or a “forced generation” in respondingto rising inflation.the increasing cost of living has significantly affected young people’s consumption patterns,financial planning,and lifestyle choices.this researchaims to analyze how inflation influences the economic behavior of young people and to identify whether their frugality is driven by financial awereness or economic pressure.the study employs a qualitative descrective approach,using interviews and literature analysis to explore the experience of young individuals in managing their finances amid economic uncertainty.the findings indicate that although some young people demosntrate improved financial literacy and budgeting skills,many are compelled to reduce concumption,postpone personal goals,and limit social activities due to limited income and rising prices.Inflation has reshaped priorites,encouraging survival-oriented financial strategies rather than long-term wealth planning.the study concludes that the current generation reflects a combination of both conscious constraint.therefore,policy interventions,financial educations programs,and employment opportunities are essential to strengthen youth economic resilience.the implications of supporting young people in  developing sustainable financial habits while addressing structural economic challenges that influence their financial stability.

This study investigates the factors influencing export performance in five ASEAN countries Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand during the 2014-2023 period. The topic is highly relevant given the vital role of exports in sustaining monetary stability and promoting long-term economic growth. The novelty of this research lies in its integrated approach, which simultaneously examines key export-related macroeconomic variables, namely foreign direct investment and inflation, while incorporating foreign exchange reserves as a moderating variable an approach that remains limited in existing ASEAN-focused studies. This analysis uses secondary data obtained from the World Bank and processed using panel data regression methods, including the Common Effect Model, Fixed Effect Model, and Random Effect Model, strengthened by a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) approach. The results show that foreign direct investment and inflation significantly influence foreign exchange reserves. Furthermore, foreign exchange reserves have been shown to play a strategic role in strengthening the economic resilience of ASEAN countries and can be used as a reference in formulating monetary and international trade policies.

This paper examines the dynamic relationship between the change in economic growth and the indicators of sustainable human development in Iraq between 2004 and 2023. The paper provides an example of what can happen when there is overdependence on oil and a lack of investment in the key areas of the economy, such as education and healthcare, which lead to negative outcomes in the human development indicators in Iraq. The paper uses highly sophisticated analytical and econometric tools to examine the relationship between GDP growth, per capita income, government spending, oil exports, and inflation and their effects on human development in Iraq. The findings show that there is a positive but weak relationship between economic growth and indicators of human development in Iraq. This underscores the need that appropriate policy recommendations be made aimed at diversifying the Iraqi economy and also investing more in human capital to facilitate sustainable economic growth and improvement in the quality of life of the Iraqi people.

Nilai perusahaan mencerminkan persepsi pasar terhadap potensi laba dan risiko di masa depan, sehingga menjadi dasar penting dalam pengambilan keputusan investasi dan pendanaan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh struktur modal dan inflasi terhadap nilai perusahaan pada PT Bank Mandiri Tbk yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI). Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan data sekunder yang diperoleh dari laporan keuangan tahunan Bank Mandiri serta data inflasi nasional dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) selama periode penelitian. Hasil analisis deskriptif menunjukkan bahwa struktur modal Bank Mandiri relatif stabil dengan rata-rata sebesar 6,40 dan standar deviasi 0,043, mencerminkan kebijakan keuangan yang konsisten serta pengelolaan risiko yang baik. Tingkat inflasi juga berada pada kondisi rendah dan stabil (rata-rata 0,03; standar deviasi 0,015), menandakan tekanan eksternal makroekonomi yang ringan. Nilai perusahaan memiliki rata-rata 3,18 dengan standar deviasi 0,026, menunjukkan kepercayaan investor yang tinggi terhadap kinerja Bank Mandiri. Hasil uji asumsi klasik memperlihatkan bahwa data berdistribusi normal (Sig. 0,200 > 0,05), tidak terdapat multikolinearitas (VIF 1,639 < 10; Tolerance 0,610 > 0,1), tidak terjadi heteroskedastisitas (Sig. X1 = 0,934; X2 = 0,202 > 0,05), dan tidak terdapat autokorelasi (Durbin-Watson = 1,513). Dengan demikian, model regresi yang digunakan dinyatakan layak untuk menguji pengaruh struktur modal dan inflasi terhadap nilai perusahaan.

This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation, Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), and the Provincial Minimum Wage (PMW) on the poverty line in 10 provinces in Indonesia. The research employs a quantitative approach using panel data regression analysis. The data utilized in this study consist of panel data covering a 10-year period, from 2015 to 2024, obtained from the Provincial Offices of Statistics and Statistics Indonesia (Badan Pusat Statistik/BPS). To examine the relationship between variables across regions and over time, the fixed effect model is applied in the analysis. The results of the analysis indicate that inflation and GRDP do not have a statistically significant effect on the poverty line in the 10 provinces examined. These findings suggest that although inflation and GRDP are important macroeconomic indicators, their variations during the study period were not sufficient to directly influence changes in the poverty line across the provinces. In contrast, the Provincial Minimum Wage (PMW) is found to have a significant effect on the poverty line. This result implies that increases in the minimum wage play a crucial role in improving household purchasing power, which can contribute to reducing poverty levels. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of wage policy as an effective instrument for poverty alleviation at the provincial level. While broader economic growth and price stability remain important, policies related to minimum wage determination appear to have a more direct and measurable impact on poverty conditions. Therefore, policymakers are encouraged to consider wage policies alongside other macroeconomic strategies to achieve more effective poverty reduction outcomes.

This study aims to analyze the development of debit card, credit card, and e-money usage and inflation in Indonesia, while also examining the effect of these three payment instruments on inflation from January 2015 to July 2025. The method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM) with the help of Eviews 12 software, while data was obtained from Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The results show that in the long term, debit cards do not have a significant impact on inflation. Conversely, credit cards have a positive and significant impact, indicating that increased credit card usage can drive up inflation. On the other hand, e-money has a negative and significant effect on inflation in the long term, so that increased e-money transactions actually tend to suppress inflation. In the short term, these three payment instruments—debit cards, credit cards, and e-money—do not show a significant impact on inflation in Indonesia. These findings provide insight into the dynamics of non-cash payment instruments and provide assurance regarding price stability.

Economic development strategies play a crucial role in achieving sustainable growth through increased national productivity and equitable welfare distribution. The stability of macroeconomic indicators such as inflation, exchange rates, and gross domestic product growth reflects the effectiveness of government development policies. This study aims to analyze the relationship between economic development strategies and macroeconomic equilibrium in Indonesia by examining the interconnection between the product market and the money market. The research adopts a qualitative approach using literature studies derived from scholarly journals, academic articles, and economic publications obtained from Google Scholar and other credible sources. The findings indicate that maintaining balance between the product market and the money market contributes significantly to national economic stability. A well-coordinated synergy between fiscal and monetary policies is essential to preserve macroeconomic stability and ensure that economic development progresses inclusively and sustainably amid global challenges.

Poverty is one of the most difficult economic problems to solve. This problem occurs in all countries. Among the causes of poverty are poor human resources, a low quality of life, a rising unemployment rate, and a decrease in job availability each year, as well as wages that do not match living costs. This is not only due to low human resources; the government also plays a crucial role in this issue. The poverty rate is unavoidable, so an appropriate solution is needed to address this issue. One step to reducing poverty is to analyze which economic instruments can be optimized, especially in the Sidoarjo region. The poverty rate in Sidoarjo is quite high. The open unemployment rate in Sidoarjo ranks third in East Java province. Therefore, the author was interested in conducting this research. This study aims to determine the effect of the distribution of zakat, infaq, and alms (ZIS) funds, GRDP, and open unemployment on the poverty rate in Sidoarjo in 2013-2023. This study uses a quantitative method with multiple linear regression analysis. The data processing tool used is SPSS. The results of the T test indicate that the distribution of ZIS funds has a significant effect on the poverty rate, while GRDP and open unemployment do not have a significant effect on the poverty rate partially. The F test shows that the distribution of ZIS funds, inflation, and GDP have a significant effect on the poverty rate simultaneously in the period 2013-2023. The limitation of this study is the use of variables that affect the poverty rate, so that future researchers can add or change these variables with other variables related to poverty.

Macroeconomic indicators are essential instruments in the process of planning a country's development. Assumptions regarding inflation, unemployment, and economic growth are often used by governments to determine macroeconomic policies. Given this context, it becomes important to empirically understand the relationship among these three macroeconomic indicators in Indonesia. This study statistically examines the relationship between the variables of inflation, unemployment, and economic growth using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method. The results show that inflation and the open unemployment rate significantly influence economic growth. Inflation has a positive relationship with economic growth, while the open unemployment rate has an inverse relationship with economic growth. In the short term, economic growth is significantly affected by the growth rate in the previous period (lag-1 or t-1). Meanwhile, inflation and the open unemployment rate do not statistically have a significant impact on economic growth. Shocks to inflation and the open unemployment rate are relatively not excessively responded to by economic growth.

Inflation, unemployment, and deflation are three fundamental macroeconomic phenomena that are closely interconnected in influencing a nation’s economic stability. These variables illustrate the equilibrium between production capacity, consumption behavior, and government intervention in achieving sustainable economic growth. The main purpose of this study is to explore the interrelationship between inflation, unemployment, and deflation, and to assess their implications for Indonesia’s economic stability. This research applies a qualitative descriptive method, employing literature reviews, document analysis, and secondary data evaluation derived from credible institutions such as the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), Bank Indonesia (BI), and the Ministry of Finance. The results suggest that a moderate level of inflation can positively stimulate economic expansion through increased consumption and investment activities. In contrast, excessive inflation tends to erode consumer purchasing power and potentially elevate unemployment rates. Meanwhile, prolonged deflationary conditions may lead to a decline in product prices, reduced business profitability, and slower economic momentum. The interaction among these three factors is complex and dynamic, necessitating a coordinated balance between fiscal and monetary policies to safeguard overall economic stability. This study concludes that effective inflation control, job creation, and deflation prevention are critical elements in strengthening Indonesia’s long-term economic resilience.

Economic forecasting is becoming increasingly important year after year, especially during crises such as the pandemic of COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. Its development can be seen from the use of basic statistical models to the increasingly widespread use of machine learning technology. Economic forecasting plays an important role in helping to formulate policies and is also a reliable tool for researchers in dealing with uncertainty. Global crises, such as inflationary pressures due to the pandemic and supply chain disruptions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have prompted increased research in this field in an effort to anticipate economic shocks and emphasize the urgency of forecasting to prepare strategies for dealing with future uncertainty. This literature review uses the Scopus database with 2561 publications from 2020 to 2025, analyzed using R Studio with a bibliometrix approach (specifically biblioshiny) and VOSviewer to map relevant thematic connections. This analysis shows that economic forecasting is greatly influenced by market uncertainty and geopolitical factors, and at the same time influences public policy formulation and financial stability. Research contributions from Indonesia are still limited, with only 40 documents, thus emphasizing the need to strengthen economic forecasting studies in Indonesia to support monetary policy and national financial stability.

This study aims to: (1) identify and analyze the development of Third Party Funds (DPK), inflation, savings interest rates, Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) at constant prices, and regional expenditure across Indonesian provinces during 2019–2023; and (2) examine the influence of inflation, savings interest rates, GRDP at constant prices, and regional expenditure on Third Party Funds in the same period. The research employs panel data regression analysis using EViews 12 for data processin.The results show that (1) the highest average growth of Third Party Funds (DPK) was recorded in South Kalimantan (11.89%), while the lowest was in Banten (-10.87%). The highest average inflation occurred in East Java (3.7%) and the lowest in Papua (2.1%). The savings interest rate peaked in 2019 at 1.17% and declined to its lowest level in 2022 at 0.37%. The highest GRDP growth was found in North Maluku (16.41%) and the lowest in West Papua (1.16%). Similarly, North Maluku also recorded the highest regional expenditure growth (14.08%), while West Papua experienced the lowest (-17.24%), reflecting economic disparities across regions in Indonesia. (2) The regression analysis reveals that GRDP at constant prices and regional expenditure have a significant and positive effect on Third Party Funds, while the savings interest rate has a significant and negative effect. In contrast, inflation shows no significant effect on Third Party Funds.

This study aims to determine and analyze the development and influence of exports, exchange rates, inflation, and GRDP on the exchange rate of smallholder plantation farmers in Jambi Province. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis for the period 2009-2024 in Jambi Province. The development of exports, exchange rates, inflation, and GRDP fluctuates annually. Where the average development of exports in Jambi Province in 2009-2024 was 15.22%, the average development of exchange rates was 3.06%, the average development of inflation was 49.07%, the average development of GRDP was 6.22% and the average development of the exchange rate of smallholder plantation farmers in Jambi Province was 4.57%. The results of the study using multiple linear regression resulted in the finding that the variables of exports, exchange rates, inflation, and GRDP simultaneously influenced the exchange rate of smallholder plantation farmers in Jambi Province in 2009-2024. Meanwhile, partially, the export, exchange rate, and inflation variables have a negative effect on the exchange rate of farmers in the smallholder plantation sub-sector in Jambi Province, while the GRDP variable has a substantial positive effect on the exchange rate of farmers in the smallholder plantation sub-sector in Jambi Province in 2009-2024.

This study aims to determine the effect of interest rates and inflation on the profitability of property and real estate sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the period 2020-2024. Profitability is measured using the Return on Assets (ROA) ratio, while interest rates refer to the BI-7 Day Reverse Repo Rate and inflation is calculated based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from Bank Indonesia. This study uses a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression analysis methods and classical assumption tests supported by data processing using SPSS version 27 software. The sample was selected using purposive sampling techniques with criteria of companies that consistently submit annual financial reports, do not record losses during the research period, and use the Rupiah currency. The research results indicate that partially, interest rates have a positive and significant effect on profitability, while inflation does not have a significant effect on profitability. However, simultaneously, interest rates and inflation together have a significant effect on the company's profitability. These findings are expected to serve as a strategic reference for companies in formulating financial policies to maintain profitability stability amidst macroeconomic dynamics.