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Yulian Dwi Nurwanti; Adhy Nugraha; Bambang Tresno wahyudi

Jurnal Ilmu Pertahanan, Politik dan Hukum Indonesia 2025 Asosiasi Peneliti dan Pengajar Ilmu Hukum Indonesia

A country in its efforts to prosper the people requires a lot of money. For this reason, financial resources are needed to finance the state, which come from Customs levies and other legal levies. Smuggling crime is a serious problem in the administration of the state economy, this is because if smuggling increases with various physical, or administrative forms, it will result in more money not being collected by a country, thus hampering the targets set by the state through customs levies which are expected to increase every year. Legal smuggling is an act that aims to avoid the application of national law so that the person concerned obtains a certain benefit according to his wishes. This smuggling consists of two types, namely physical smuggling and administrative smuggling. Legislation regarding smuggling offenses is contained in Law Number 17 of 2006 concerning Amendments to Law of the Republic of Indonesia Number 10 of 1995 concerning Customs. And the parties responsible and related to the field of customs and excise must be more selective in checking export and import goods entering or leaving Indonesia, because misuse of procedures or authority will have a major impact on state losses.

Riko Ananda; Syarifur Ridho; Lilis, Lilis

Jurnal Transformasi Bisnis Digital 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the strategic role of the shipping agent, specifically PT. Naval Global Trans Belawan Branch, in ensuring the smooth flow of the maritime logistics chain. The shipping agent functions as a crucial intermediary coordinating contasiner distribution, bridging the interests of cargo owners, shipping companies, and the Belawan Port authority. The research utilizes a descriptive qualitative approach, with data collection performed through field observation and documentary study within the Belawan Port environment. The findings identify that the shipping agent holds broad responsibilities, commencing with container booking according to the required type and size, scheduling vessel arrivals and departures, managing customs and port documentation, and monitoring container movements (from the depot to loading onto the vessel). This role is highly instrumental in determining port throughput efficiency. However, in carrying out its functions, the shipping agent encounters several significant challenges. These constraints include limited container availability, disruptions in the port information system which is not yet optimally integrated, and dynamic changes in export-import regulations. These obstacles potentially cause operational delays and an increase in logistics costs. The study concludes by emphasizing the importance of better information technology integration between the shipping agent and the port authority. Furthermore, enhancing the quality of human resources (HR) through training and certification is key to ensuring that agents can respond to regulatory changes and operational challenges quickly and professionally.

Ovis Nirmawanda Laia; Dirhamsyah Dirhamsyah; Dina Rispianti

Jurnal Transformasi Bisnis Digital 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

This study aims to explain the procedure for processing the Notice of Readiness (NOR) document for coal-carrying vessels at PT. Armada Lintas Baruna Bandar Lampung and to identify the consequences that occur when the NOR is submitted late or contains inaccuracies. As vessels from international shipping companies frequently call at Indonesian ports to transport coal abroad, companies must continuously improve service efficiency and reliability to support national shipping and trade performance. PT. Armada Lintas Baruna plays a key role in managing export vessels, particularly coal carriers, from loading ports to their country destinations, and the NOR serves as a crucial document through which the Ship Master declares that the vessel is fully prepared to load or discharge cargo during the charter period. The NOR service process includes several stages: verification of vessel readiness by the agent, preparation and submission of the NOR document, verification by the port authority, issuance of NOR confirmation, and document closing. Delays or errors in NOR submission can disrupt the vessel’s operational schedule, potentially causing financial losses for shipowners through demurrage charges. This paper employs both field research and library research to provide an in-depth understanding of the NOR service mechanism.

Ashfiyan Ramadhani; Ratna Nur Tiara Shanty; Cempaka Ananggadipa Swastyastu

Router : Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Terapan 2025 Asosiasi Profesi Telekomunikasi dan Informatika Indonesia

The Student Evaluation of Lecturers (EDOM) at the Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Dr. Soetomo has historically been conducted via Google Forms and processed manually, resulting in slow response times, repetitive recap procedures, and insufficiently documented reporting validity. This study aims to design, build, and evaluate a web-based EDOM system using the Prototype Model (MODEL PROTOTYPE) to improve data collection efficiency, recap accuracy, and the effectiveness of feedback for teaching quality assurance. The development method comprises requirements elicitation with the Quality Assurance Unit through a review of SPMI documents and brief interviews, architectural and interface design (Laravel, MVC pattern, and MySQL), staged prototyping, and rapid iterations based on stakeholder feedback until functional conformity is achieved. The resulting system provides authentication and role-based authorization (Admin, GPM, Lecturer, Student), odd/even period management, a question bank employing a Likert scale, anonymous questionnaire submission, score recap per lecturer and per category (pedagogical, professional, personal, social), dashboard visualizations, and report export to support governance needs. Functional evaluation was conducted through black-box testing on core scenarios (login, period scheduling, submission, recap, and export) and indicated conformance to specifications. User acceptance evaluation employed the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) to examine perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, attitude toward use, and behavioral intention; the results indicate positive acceptance and potential for operational adoption. Practically, the prototype approach accelerates requirement alignment, reduces the risk of mis-specification, and facilitates change control, while the Laravel-based implementation supports maintainability, role-based access security, and further feature development. The study is limited to a single faculty; future work may include SSO integration, audit trails, and longitudinal, cross-semester analytics for more comprehensive monitoring of lecturer performance.

Luthfia Luthfia; Muhamma Ridwan; Wahyuni Zam

Manfish: Jurnal Ilmiah Perikanan dan Peternakan 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Tanaman Dan Hewani Indonesia

The fisheries sector plays a vital role in the national economy and represents a significant potential source of foreign exchange. The development of this sector must be strategically designed to address future challenges, which include anticipating changes in both production and consumer systems (markets), as well as shifts in resource potential. This study aims to identify and analyze effective business development strategies for UMKM Bandeng Sultan to expand its market reach. The research methodology includes both primary and secondary data collection through interviews and field observations, analyzed qualitatively using a descriptive approach. Data were collected directly from interviews and on-site observations to gain relevant insights into the current conditions of the Bandeng Sultan business. The results indicate that the SWOT coordinate score (0.6: 0.57) places the business in a favorable position, supporting the adoption of an aggressive growth strategy. Recommended strategic actions include enhancing digital and e-commerce marketing, expanding into the Java market and exploring export opportunities, diversifying product offerings and innovating flavor varieties, as well as improving product quality and hygiene standards. These findings demonstrate that UMKM Bandeng Sultan possesses strong internal capabilities and promising external opportunities for growth. Therefore, the implementation of aggressive strategies was considered appropriate to increase competitiveness and ensure long-term business sustainability in a highly competitive market environment.

Daniel Marthin W Sihombing; Nurmaliana Sari Siregar

Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Era Digital 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Belawan Port is a strategic port in North Sumatra with export-import activities reaching 5,000 tons per year, making it an important terminal in supporting international trade and regional economic growth. This research examines the role of daily work reports in dry bulk cargo unloading operations at PT. Wahana Intradermaga Niaga Belawan as a Stevedoring Company (PBM) responsible for ensuring the smooth process of loading and unloading at the port. The research methodology employs library research approach and direct field observation. The dry bulk cargo unloading process involves the inaportnet system and operates for 24 hours with three work shifts. Activities include four main types of operations: stevedoring (transferring cargo from ship to wharf), cargodoring (transfer from wharf to warehouse), delivery (shipment outside the port), and receiving (acceptance from factory to warehouse). The daily report document is a list of all cargo unloading activities during 24 hours at wharf 112. Daily work reports function as structured documentation of daily activities, conveying work progress updates, supporting performance monitoring, and serving as a reference for operational evaluation. The report's usefulness includes strengthening accountability, reducing misunderstandings, early problem detection, consistency in task implementation, and orderly documentation of unloading activities. Operational preparation involves permit processing according to port regulations, equipment preparation such as hopper, conveyor belt, grab, excavator, wheel loader, and sling ropes. Supporting documents include Bill of Lading, Cargo List, Cargo Manifest, and various operational reports. Obstacles faced include the influence of bad weather, human resource constraints related to workforce professionalism, and land transportation barriers. Related institutions include cargo owners, PBM, shipping agents, port authorities, PT. Pelindo Belawan, and EMKL companies that coordinate to ensure smooth dry bulk cargo unloading operations.

Sapto Supriyanto; Bambang Guritno; Samtono Samtono; Anna Srilestari M; Putria Sri Handayani

An International Journal Tourism and Community Review 2025 Akademi Kesejahteraan Sosial Ibu Kartini Semarang

This study investigates the implementation of a simple supply chain strengthening program to enhance the competitiveness of Indonesian micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) in the Malaysian market. Indonesian MSMEs face challenges in market entry, including limited knowledge of export procedures, high distribution costs, and low product acceptance due to labeling and packaging issues. The research aims to evaluate whether targeted, low-cost interventions can improve MSME readiness and performance in international trade. A total of 40 MSMEs from the food and beverage, handicraft, and processed product sectors participated, with 55 owners, managers, and employees engaged in training and mentoring activities. Data were collected using pre–post knowledge questionnaires, logistics cost records, product placement monitoring, in-depth interviews, and focus group discussions. The program resulted in a 35% increase in knowledge scores, a 15% reduction in average distribution costs, a rise in product acceptance from 45% to 72%, and successful distribution partnerships for 8 MSMEs, leading to a 180% increase in monthly orders. The findings indicate that practice-based, contextual training combined with logistics optimization and market facilitation significantly enhances MSME competitiveness. Low-cost interventions are shown to be effective and scalable, providing practical guidance for policymakers and support institutions. The study contributes to the literature on MSME export readiness by demonstrating that structured, simple supply chain strategies can deliver measurable outcomes in low-resource settings. Future research should examine larger samples, longer monitoring periods, and additional markets to assess long-term sustainability and sector-specific strategies

Fadillah, Anissa; Purwatiningsih, Purwatiningsih

Riset Ilmu Manajemen Bisnis dan Akuntansi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

The performance of a company is highly influenced by its employees. Therefore, human resources deserve substantial attention from management, particularly regarding employee discipline, work quality, and the potential to improve work discipline. This study employed a quantitative descriptive method with a sample of 95 respondents. Data were collected through observation, interviews, questionnaires, and documentation. The findings reveal a significant partial effect between work discipline and employee performance, as demonstrated by the results of the t-test (probability value 0.000; t-value 3.369 > t-table 1.66159). Furthermore, there is a significant partial influence between work motivation and employee performance, as evidenced by the t-test results (probability value 0.000; t-value 4.251 > t-table 1.66159). In addition, a significant simultaneous effect of work motivation and work discipline on employee performance was identified at the Head Office of Export and Trade Services Human Resources Training. This was confirmed by the F-test results (probability value 0.000; F-value 9.598 > F-table 2.70). These results indicate that both work discipline and work motivation play a critical role in shaping employee performance. Strengthening employee discipline and motivation can therefore enhance organizational effectiveness and lead to improved performance outcomes. This study underscores the importance of human resource management practices focused on discipline and motivation as key drivers of organizational success and sustainable performance improvements in service-oriented institutions.

Missella Anugrah Widia; Purwatiningsih Purwatiningsih

Riset Ilmu Manajemen Bisnis dan Akuntansi 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

PT. CKL Indonesia Raya is a national logistics company established in 2015 in Jakarta, providing services in land, sea, air, and export-import logistics. Recognized for its professionalism and discipline, the company was awarded “Airfreight Forwarder of the Year 2024” by Supply Chain Indonesia. Employee productivity plays a crucial role in determining organizational success, and factors such as work culture and discipline are key in shaping a productive and competitive work environment. This study aimed to analyze the influence of work culture and discipline on employee productivity at PT. CKL Indonesia Raya. The research employed a quantitative method with a survey approach, using questionnaires distributed to 86 employees as respondents. Validity and reliability tests confirmed the appropriateness of the instrument. Data analysis was conducted using t-tests and F-tests. The results showed that both work culture and discipline had significant partial effects on employee productivity (t-count = 4.550 and 5.116 > t-table = 1.663; sig. = 0.001 < 0.05). Furthermore, the simultaneous test indicated a significant combined effect (F-count = 125.092 > F-table = 3.10; sig. = 0.001 < 0.05). These findings demonstrate that strong work culture and high discipline significantly contribute to enhancing employee productivity. Therefore, companies are advised to strengthen these factors through consistent policies, clear communication, and fair implementation to further improve employee performance and organizational competitiveness in the logistics industry.advised to strengthen both through fair and consistent policies to improve performance and competitiveness.

Ratna Tri Hardaningtyas; Sudarmiatin Sudarmiatin

Jurnal Bintang Manajemen (JUBIMA) 2025 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

The phenomenon of digital transformation is crucial for Indonesian Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in addressing the challenges posed by international markets; however, a large number of SMEs have yet to fully utilise technological advancements. This research seeks to examine the impact of digital transformation on the export performance of Indonesian SMEs, while exploring the mediating and moderating factors that influence this relationship. The methodology employed consists of panel data analysis, utilising a sample of 100 exporting SMEs from various industry sectors over the period 2019 to 2023. The findings show that digital transformation exerts a significant positive impact on export performance, with dynamic capabilities serving as a mediator and firm size acting as a moderator. The study identifies e-commerce and business process automation as the most effective elements in improving export performance. The implications derived from this study advocate a comprehensive strategy in the digital transformation of SMEs, in addition to more targeted policy initiatives aimed at strengthening the dynamic capabilities of these firms.

Nindia Puspa Alfiani; Lia Nazliana Nasution; Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty

Proceeding of the International Conference on Economics, Accounting, and Taxation 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

This study uses a quantitative associative approach to analyze the influence of exports, imports, inflation, and exchange rates on economic growth in five ASEAN member countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The data used are secondary data obtained from the World Bank for the period 2013–2023. The analysis technique used is the Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel ARDL) Model, which begins with stationarity and cointegration tests. Results The ARDL Panel Model estimation in this study is declared valid because it meets the main requirements, namely having a cointegrated lag with a negative coefficient value of -0.831550 and significant at the 5% significance level (probability 0.0000 < 0.05). The long-term estimation results indicate that only the inflation variable has a significant influence on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the 5 ASEAN countries studied. Meanwhile, in the short term, no variables were found to have a significant influence on GDP in the 5 countries. Furthermore, country-level estimations show varying results. Indonesia is the only country that shows a significant influence of exports, imports, inflation, and exchange rates on GDP. Thailand shows a significant influence of exports and exchange rates, while Malaysia, Singapore, and Vietnam do not show any significant influence of exports, imports, inflation, and exchange rates on GDP. These findings reflect that the relationship between macroeconomic variables and economic growth in ASEAN countries is heterogeneous and is strongly influenced by the structural characteristics of each country.

Salma Salma; Budiman Budiman; Ilyas Ilyas

Manfish: Jurnal Ilmiah Perikanan dan Peternakan 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Tanaman Dan Hewani Indonesia

Shrimp is a food ingredient that has perishable characteristics, so it requires proper handling to maintain product quality and safety. This study aims to understand the application of the quality system in frozen shrimp processing based on the principle of Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point (HACCP) at PT Dachan Mustika Aurora Tarakan. The research was carried out during the period from July to December 2024 with a qualitative descriptive approach. The results of the study show that the frozen shrimp processing system has followed the principles and stages of HACCP in general, starting from the receipt of raw materials, temperature checks, organoleptic tests, laboratory tests, processing with temperature control, washing, sorting, packaging, to storage in cold storage. However, there are still critical points at the Metal Detector washing and inspection stages, with the potential for significant danger in the form of metal chip contamination. The quality control process is carried out in layers to ensure that the final product meets national and international standards. The implementation of HACCP has consistently proven to be effective in improving food safety, maintaining the quality of frozen shrimp, and strengthening the competitiveness of products in the export market. These findings provide recommendations for the seafood processing industry to strengthen surveillance systems at critical points and improve personnel training to minimize the risk of contamination and ensure the sustainability of product quality.

Arifin Yusuf Permana; Ifani Hariyanti

Intellektika : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa 2025 STIKes Ibnu Sina Ajibarang

Indonesia is the world's leading producer of spices, but it still faces challenges in manual visual quality assessment, which is inconsistent. This study aims to develop a spice quality classification system using a Deep Learning approach based on Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN). Data was collected through digital images of five types of spices (cloves, cardamom, cinnamon, pepper, and nutmeg) classified into two categories: good and bad. The dataset was then processed and used to Train the CNN model using Tensorflow. The model architecture consists of several convolution, pooling, and dense layers, and is integrated into a web-based prototype application using Streamlit. Evaluation results show that the model achieves high Accuracy of 98.86% (Training), 98.45% (Validation), and 98.45% (Testing). The prototype application can provide automatic Predictions of spice quality through a simple and responsive interface. The results of this study indicate that CNN is effective in identifying the visual quality of spices and can serve as an objective, efficient technological solution that supports the enhancement of Indonesia's spice export competitiveness.

Daniel Edward Hernando Situmorang; Muhammad Arif Sahlepi; Ismaidar Ismaidar

Discourse on Law and Society 2025 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

Lobster is one of Indonesia's marine resources that has high economic value and is very important for the country's economy, but excessive lobster fishing and smuggling of lobster seeds have caused a decrease in the productivity of marine resources and significant state losses, so effective law enforcement efforts are needed to protect Indonesia's marine resources from these illegal acts. The problem in this study is how the law enforcement by the West Tanjung Jabung Police against the crime of smuggling lobster seeds (Study of Case Register Decision Number: 144 / Pid.Sus / 2023 / Pn Klt), and what factors are the causes. The research method used is normative juridical, a type of legal research that focuses on the analysis and interpretation of legal norms that apply in a legal system. The study shows that the three defendants in the crime of smuggling lobster seeds were sentenced to 2 years in prison and a fine of IDR 5,000,000 based on Article 27 number 26 Article 92 of Law Number 6 of 2023 concerning Job Creation. The factors causing this crime include internal factors (economic and education) and external factors (politics, environment, and lack of security). Suggestions from the study are: Reviewing the lobster seed export policy. Improving coordination between law enforcement officers and community participation. Improving the capacity and competence of law enforcement personnel.

Dewi Ari Ani; Bulan Karima Nurani

Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Pajak 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

The emergence of various commonwealths, alliances, and other forms of inter-state organizations has significantly influenced the course of existing international cooperation. Cooperation between countries serves not only as a platform for strengthening political and social relations but also as a key element in meeting domestic needs that cannot be met independently through a country's self-help programs. Therefore, international cooperation is an aspect that is continuously maintained and strengthened by countries worldwide. Historically, cooperative relations between countries have generally developed as a result of the increasing ties that have existed over time. This dynamic involves various sectors, including economics, trade, and investment, further demonstrating the crucial role of international relations in a country's progress. Countries involved in this cooperation benefit each other, both in meeting domestic needs and in increasing their economic capacity through innovation and collaboration. The data sources for this study were obtained from documents obtained through internet media, which were then processed and analyzed to gain a deeper understanding of the impact of international cooperation. This study uses a quantitative approach, focusing on the analysis of investment flows into the country. Increased investment flows will drive higher growth in goods production, which in turn will strengthen trade activities, including exports to destination countries such as China. Furthermore, increased investment also contributes to the growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in developing countries. This GDP increase will positively impact Indonesia's trade balance, particularly with China, one of its major trading partners in the Asian region.

A. Junaedi Karso

International Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Reviews 2025 Asosiasi Penelitian dan Pengajar Ilmu Sosial Indonesia

The relationship between Indonesia and Singapore has deep historical roots, tracing back to the ancient kingdoms. In the 7th century, the Strait of Singapore was part of the Srivijaya Empire. Later, in 1365, the Javanese hymn Nagarakretagama, written during the Majapahit era, mentioned a settlement on the island called Temasek, highlighting the long-standing connection between the two regions. Trade between Indonesia and Singapore has grown significantly over the years, reaching S$36 billion (US$29.32 billion), with Singapore being the largest foreign investor in Indonesia, having invested US$1.14 billion across 142 projects. Additionally, trade between the two nations surged to approximately $68 billion in 2010, with Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports to Singapore reaching their highest levels. The two countries have established robust cooperation in various sectors, including tourism, security, counter-terrorism, and environmental concerns. However, the relationship is not without its challenges. One significant issue is Singapore's role as a haven for Indonesian corruptors, with many fugitives from corruption cases seeking refuge there. This has led to tensions, particularly regarding the extradition of individuals convicted of corruption. To address these challenges, both nations must enhance the implementation of bilateral agreements, especially in political and security matters. There is a need to accelerate the technical finalization of military training areas as part of the defense cooperation agreement. Additionally, executing the extradition agreement and updating the memorandum of understanding between the Attorneys General of both countries would be crucial steps in addressing these issues and improving bilateral relations. In conclusion, while Indonesia-Singapore relations are multifaceted, with both cooperation and challenges, mutual commitment to resolving issues through diplomatic and legal means will be key to strengthening their ties in the future.

Winna Yuliana; Zata Hasyyati

Kajian Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Terapan 2025 Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia

International trade plays a vital role in strengthening Indonesia’s economic growth, particularly through the export of fishery products which are among the country’s leading commodities. Fresh fish exports are highly influenced by external demand factors in destination countries as well as Indonesia’s own production capacity. This study aims to analyze the determinants affecting Indonesia’s fresh fish exports to its main trading partners, namely China, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Malaysia, over the period 2012–2023. The research utilizes secondary data sourced from the World Bank and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). Several independent variables are considered, including the fish production levels in the importing country, the real gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of the importing country, and the total population of the importing country. Panel data analysis was employed to capture the variations across time and countries, with the Random Effect Model (REM) chosen based on the results of the model specification tests. The findings of the analysis indicate that fish production in the importing country exerts a negative and statistically significant effect on Indonesia’s fresh fish exports, suggesting that higher domestic fish production in these countries reduces the need for imports. Conversely, the real GDP per capita of the importing country and its population size were found to have positive and significant impacts on Indonesia’s export volumes. These results highlight that wealthier and more populous nations demonstrate stronger demand for imported fresh fish, including from Indonesia. The implications of this study underscore the importance for Indonesia to continuously improve the quality, safety, and competitiveness of its fresh fish products while also adopting effective marketing and trade strategies targeting countries with high purchasing power and large consumer bases.

Gilang Ramadhan

Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Sosial, Politik dan Humaniora 2025 Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Free trade provides significant opportunities for developing countries to increase exports, expand market access, and drive economic growth. Through engagement in global markets, products and services can reach a wider range of consumers, creating the potential for increased national income. However, global economic integration also presents serious challenges, particularly in terms of the protection of Intellectual Property Rights (IPR). As national boundaries in economic activity become increasingly blurred, intellectual property—including patents, trademarks, industrial designs, copyrights, and trade secrets—becomes increasingly vulnerable to infringement. Common forms of infringement include piracy, counterfeiting of branded products, and theft of technology or innovation. These practices not only harm creators or rights owners but can also hinder the development of innovation, reduce industrial competitiveness, and undermine consumer confidence. Adequate IPR protection requires a combination of strong national regulations and an effective international legal framework. Instruments such as the TRIPS (Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights) Agreement under the WTO provide global standards to which compliance must be adhered, but implementation at the national level is crucial for their success. Weak or inconsistent law enforcement can open the door to violations that harm both domestic and foreign businesses. Beyond legal aspects, effective IPR protection also impacts the investment climate. Investors tend to invest in countries that can guarantee the security of their intellectual assets. Therefore, IPR protection is not only a legal issue but also a long-term economic development strategy. Therefore, in the era of free trade, developing countries need to balance market openness with strengthening IPR protection systems to create a conducive environment for innovation, sustainable economic growth, and public welfare.

A. Junaedi Karso

Discourse on Law and Society 2025 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

The war between India and Pakistan has had a devastating impact on the economies of both the countries directly involved and those indirectly affected. The economic impacts of this armed conflict include significant infrastructure damage, reduced production capacity, soaring inflation, rising unemployment, and reduced investment flows. This geopolitical instability has also fueled uncertainty in global financial markets, triggering a "flight to safety" phenomenon, a shift in capital and investment to countries or instruments perceived as safer, such as US government bonds or gold. For Indonesia, this situation has the potential to significantly disrupt national economic stability. One impact is a reduction in foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, as investors tend to hold back or relocate their investments to more geopolitically stable countries. Furthermore, pressure on the rupiah exchange rate could increase due to global financial market volatility and a decline in international investor confidence. The conflict could also hamper Indonesia's export traffic, particularly to countries with close trade ties with India and Pakistan. Furthermore, these tensions could disrupt global supply chains, particularly for energy and food commodities, many of which pass through strategic trade routes. If the conflict drags on, the price of crude oil and other raw materials could potentially rise sharply, which in turn would increase domestic production costs. This would have a direct impact on inflation and public purchasing power. This situation further complicates the management of Indonesia's monetary and fiscal policies, which currently face significant challenges, such as the imminent maturities of large government debt and a still-widening state budget deficit. The government must take strategic steps to maintain domestic economic stability, strengthen foreign exchange reserves, and encourage export market diversification to reduce over-reliance on conflict-prone countries.

A. Junaedi Karso

International Journal of Law and Civil Affairs 2025 International Forum of Researchers and Lecturers

The potential war between India and Pakistan poses significant risks to the Indonesian economy, as it is expected to exacerbate uncertainty in the global financial market. Such geopolitical tensions often trigger a ‘flight to safety,’ where capital flows shift to countries considered stable, leading to reduced foreign direct investment (FDI) in emerging markets like Indonesia. This scenario is likely to place additional pressure on Indonesia’s exchange rate, further destabilizing its financial position. One of the key impacts of the looming India-Pakistan war on Indonesia is its effect on monetary and fiscal management. The Indonesian government is already facing significant challenges, including managing a large amount of maturing debt and grappling with a growing budget deficit. The war would complicate these efforts, making it more difficult for the government to stabilize the economy and implement effective policies. Indonesia’s export sector will also be affected, as India and Pakistan are two of the country’s main trading partners, especially for key commodities like crude palm oil (CPO) and coal. India is Indonesia’s 4th largest export destination, accounting for approximately 9% of total exports, while Pakistan represents around 1.9%. Any disruption in trade with these countries, due to the war or political instability, could significantly hurt Indonesia’s export revenues and negatively affect industries reliant on these markets. Moreover, Indonesia is already facing challenges from the United States, which has imposed reciprocal tariffs worth 32% on Indonesian products. This trade tension, combined with the geopolitical instability from the India-Pakistan conflict, will add further strain to Indonesia’s trade balance. The combination of these factors could lead to slower economic growth, reduced investor confidence, and potentially higher inflation, as the country faces multiple external and internal economic pressures.