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This study aims to analyze the effect of changes in interest rates, exchange rates, economic growth, and world oil prices on stock returns in the transportation and logistics sector in Indonesia during the period 2006–2024. This sector was chosen because it is highly vulnerable to fluctuations in macroeconomic factors that have a direct impact on companies' operating costs and financial performance. The method used is multiple linear regression with an annual panel data approach, using a sample of transportation and logistics companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The independent variables include changes in interest rates, exchange rates, economic growth, and oil prices, while the dependent variable is stock returns. The results show that, partially, only changes in interest rates have a significant negative effect on stock returns. Conversely, exchange rates, economic growth, and oil prices have no statistically significant effect. Simultaneously, these four variables also show no significant effect on stock returns. This study makes a new contribution through the use of a long observation period and a focus on the transportation and logistics sector, thereby providing a deeper understanding of this sector's sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions.

This study uses a quantitative associative approach to analyze the influence of exports, imports, inflation, and exchange rates on economic growth in five ASEAN member countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The data used are secondary data obtained from the World Bank for the period 2013–2023. The analysis technique used is the Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel ARDL) Model, which begins with stationarity and cointegration tests. Results The ARDL Panel Model estimation in this study is declared valid because it meets the main requirements, namely having a cointegrated lag with a negative coefficient value of -0.831550 and significant at the 5% significance level (probability 0.0000 < 0.05). The long-term estimation results indicate that only the inflation variable has a significant influence on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the 5 ASEAN countries studied. Meanwhile, in the short term, no variables were found to have a significant influence on GDP in the 5 countries. Furthermore, country-level estimations show varying results. Indonesia is the only country that shows a significant influence of exports, imports, inflation, and exchange rates on GDP. Thailand shows a significant influence of exports and exchange rates, while Malaysia, Singapore, and Vietnam do not show any significant influence of exports, imports, inflation, and exchange rates on GDP. These findings reflect that the relationship between macroeconomic variables and economic growth in ASEAN countries is heterogeneous and is strongly influenced by the structural characteristics of each country.

This study aims to analyze the financial performance of PT ABC Tbk during the period 2019–2023 using the Du Pont System as the primary analytical tool. The Du Pont System is widely recognized as a comprehensive method to evaluate a company’s overall performance by breaking down profitability into several key components: net profit margin, total asset turnover, return on investment (ROI), equity multiplier, and return on equity (ROE). The research employs a descriptive quantitative approach, with data sourced from secondary materials in the form of official financial statements published by the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). A purposive sampling technique was applied to ensure the relevance and accuracy of the data analyzed. The findings reveal that the company’s financial performance throughout the five-year observation period has been less than optimal. Each of the main components of the Du Pont System showed average ratios that fell below the industry benchmark, indicating structural weaknesses in both profitability and efficiency. Specifically, the net profit margin and total asset turnover were constrained by high operational costs, while ROI and ROE were further pressured by volatility in foreign exchange rates. These inefficiencies highlight the vulnerability of the company’s financial structure to both internal management challenges and external macroeconomic factors. Based on the results, the study provides several strategic recommendations to improve financial performance. First, optimization of cost management is necessary to reduce operational inefficiencies that directly affect profit margins. Second, the implementation of foreign exchange risk mitigation strategies, such as hedging, is suggested to minimize the negative impacts of currency fluctuations. Finally, to strengthen revenue growth, the company is encouraged to adopt and expand digital marketing initiatives as a means of improving sales performance and market penetration. Overall, this study emphasizes the importance of integrating financial control with strategic innovation to ensure long-term sustainability and competitiveness in the pharmaceutical industry.

This research seeks to examine the impact of inflation and exchange rates on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2019 to 2024. The study uses secondary monthly data for inflation, exchange rates, and the JCI, which were sourced from the official websites of Bank Indonesia and IDX. A quantitative approach is employed, utilizing multiple linear regression analysis along with classical assumption tests and both simultaneous and partial hypothesis testing. The findings reveal that, individually, both inflation and exchange rates have a significant effect on the JCI. When analyzed together, inflation and exchange rates also significantly influence the JCI. These results underscore the importance of macroeconomic stability, particularly the stability of the rupiah exchange rate, in shaping stock market trends in Indonesia. The study suggests that fluctuations in the inflation rate and the exchange rate can lead to uncertainty in the stock market, impacting investor decisions and market performance. These findings are particularly relevant in the context of Indonesia’s open economy, where external factors and global economic conditions can also influence domestic financial markets. This research aims to offer valuable insights to investors, policymakers, and academics, helping them understand how key macroeconomic variables, such as inflation and exchange rates, influence the dynamics of the capital market. The study emphasizes the need for maintaining economic stability to foster a conducive environment for market growth and investor confidence. By analyzing these macroeconomic factors, the study provides a clearer understanding of their role in stock market performance and offers a foundation for future research and policy development in the Indonesian financial market. Additionally, the results of this research could serve as a basis for further studies that explore the relationship between macroeconomic factors and stock market behavior in emerging markets.

The digital economy has significantly transformed economic growth by introducing innovations in payment systems and financial services. The modernization of payment instruments through monetary policy has enhanced the ability to control inflation and ensure financial system stability. This study aims to analyze the effectiveness of monetary policy and the utilization of the digital economy in maintaining financial stability in Indonesia. Using time series data from 2010 to 2024 obtained from the World Bank, this research applies the Vector Autoregression (VAR) method to examine both short-term and long-term relationships among variables, including e-money, money supply, inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and credit card usage. The results show that e-money has a significant reciprocal influence on the money supply, while inflation is also affected by e-money and interest rates. The impulse response function demonstrates that the interactions among these variables tend to converge towards equilibrium over time. Variance decomposition analysis indicates that in the short term, e-money primarily drives financial stability, whereas in the medium and long term, the money supply plays a dominant role. Overall, the findings suggest that monetary policy, supported by digital economic systems, effectively enhances financial system stability in Indonesia. This research contributes to understanding the dual effect of digital payment innovations and provides recommendations for policymakers to strengthen financial inclusion, economic resilience, and macro-financial stability in the digital era.

The war between India and Pakistan has had a devastating impact on the economies of both the countries directly involved and those indirectly affected. The economic impacts of this armed conflict include significant infrastructure damage, reduced production capacity, soaring inflation, rising unemployment, and reduced investment flows. This geopolitical instability has also fueled uncertainty in global financial markets, triggering a "flight to safety" phenomenon, a shift in capital and investment to countries or instruments perceived as safer, such as US government bonds or gold. For Indonesia, this situation has the potential to significantly disrupt national economic stability. One impact is a reduction in foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, as investors tend to hold back or relocate their investments to more geopolitically stable countries. Furthermore, pressure on the rupiah exchange rate could increase due to global financial market volatility and a decline in international investor confidence. The conflict could also hamper Indonesia's export traffic, particularly to countries with close trade ties with India and Pakistan. Furthermore, these tensions could disrupt global supply chains, particularly for energy and food commodities, many of which pass through strategic trade routes. If the conflict drags on, the price of crude oil and other raw materials could potentially rise sharply, which in turn would increase domestic production costs. This would have a direct impact on inflation and public purchasing power. This situation further complicates the management of Indonesia's monetary and fiscal policies, which currently face significant challenges, such as the imminent maturities of large government debt and a still-widening state budget deficit. The government must take strategic steps to maintain domestic economic stability, strengthen foreign exchange reserves, and encourage export market diversification to reduce over-reliance on conflict-prone countries.

The potential war between India and Pakistan poses significant risks to the Indonesian economy, as it is expected to exacerbate uncertainty in the global financial market. Such geopolitical tensions often trigger a ‘flight to safety,’ where capital flows shift to countries considered stable, leading to reduced foreign direct investment (FDI) in emerging markets like Indonesia. This scenario is likely to place additional pressure on Indonesia’s exchange rate, further destabilizing its financial position. One of the key impacts of the looming India-Pakistan war on Indonesia is its effect on monetary and fiscal management. The Indonesian government is already facing significant challenges, including managing a large amount of maturing debt and grappling with a growing budget deficit. The war would complicate these efforts, making it more difficult for the government to stabilize the economy and implement effective policies. Indonesia’s export sector will also be affected, as India and Pakistan are two of the country’s main trading partners, especially for key commodities like crude palm oil (CPO) and coal. India is Indonesia’s 4th largest export destination, accounting for approximately 9% of total exports, while Pakistan represents around 1.9%. Any disruption in trade with these countries, due to the war or political instability, could significantly hurt Indonesia’s export revenues and negatively affect industries reliant on these markets. Moreover, Indonesia is already facing challenges from the United States, which has imposed reciprocal tariffs worth 32% on Indonesian products. This trade tension, combined with the geopolitical instability from the India-Pakistan conflict, will add further strain to Indonesia’s trade balance. The combination of these factors could lead to slower economic growth, reduced investor confidence, and potentially higher inflation, as the country faces multiple external and internal economic pressures.

Indonesia’s Islamic capital market has experienced remarkable growth in recent years, evidenced by the increasing number of investors and the rising market capitalization of Sharia-compliant stocks. This article aims to analyze the performance and management strategies of Sharia stock portfolios by reviewing academic literature published in Indonesia between 2019 and 2024. Utilizing a literature review methodology, the study compares the return and risk characteristics of Sharia stocks with those of conventional stocks. It also evaluates the applicability and effectiveness of classical portfolio theories—namely, the Markowitz Model and the Single Index Model—in managing Sharia-compliant investments. The findings reveal that Sharia stock portfolios often perform competitively and tend to exhibit greater resilience and stability during financial crises. This resilience is attributed in part to the rigorous stock screening mechanisms that comply with Islamic principles, excluding sectors and companies that do not meet Sharia criteria. Additionally, various macroeconomic factors such as inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, and global economic fluctuations are found to impact the performance of Islamic stock portfolios. The article highlights that while Sharia investments align with ethical and religious values, they also offer practical advantages in risk management and diversification. Furthermore, digital technology and fintech innovation are seen as essential tools to enhance transparency, accessibility, and investor engagement in the Islamic capital market. The study concludes that the development of Sharia-compliant stock investments in Indonesia holds promising potential, especially if accompanied by improved financial literacy, inclusive investor education, and stronger technological infrastructure. This paper offers valuable insights for policymakers, market regulators, and investors interested in promoting sustainable and faith-based financial practices within Indonesia’s rapidly evolving capital market ecosystem.

This study investigates the monetary transmission mechanisms influencing inflation and exchange rates across seven Southeast Asian countries (Myanmar, the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) over the period 2010–2023, with special focus on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The research addresses the problem of macroeconomic instability, particularly the volatility in inflation and currency values during crisis periods, and aims to identify the dominant monetary factors affecting these indicators. The study employs a mixed quantitative approach using Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR), Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), and Paired Sample t-Test to analyze the short-term and long-term relationships among key variables: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), investment, money supply (M2), interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates. Findings reveal that GDP is the most influential factor impacting both inflation and exchange rates, followed by money supply and interest rates. The variance decomposition analysis confirms that these monetary variables significantly explain macroeconomic fluctuations in both pre- and post-pandemic contexts. The t-Test further indicates statistically significant changes in inflation and exchange rates before and after the pandemic, highlighting the disruptive effect of COVID-19 on economic stability. The results demonstrate that inflation declined significantly in most countries during the pandemic, while exchange rate behavior varied depending on economic resilience and policy responsiveness. The study concludes that maintaining macroeconomic stability requires not only monetary policy coordination but also effective public health crisis management. This research contributes to the regional policy discourse by offering empirical insights and evidence-based recommendations to strengthen economic resilience in Southeast Asia.

This study aims to analyze the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, on the Indonesian capital market, particularly on the stocks listed in the LQ45 index, as well as on exchange rates and cryptocurrency trading volumes. The research employs a quantitative approach using an event study method, focusing on a 15-day observation window—comprising 7 days before, the day of, and 7 days after the invasion event. The variables analyzed include abnormal return (AR), trading volume activity (TVA), exchange rates, and cryptocurrency transaction volume. The research sample consists of issuers listed in the LQ45 index and the three largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization—Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Tether (USDT)—selected through purposive sampling. The findings indicate that the Russian invasion of Ukraine had a significant impact on abnormal returns and trading volume activity of LQ45 stocks, as well as on exchange rates and cryptocurrency trading volumes. This geopolitical event emerged as an external factor contributing to market uncertainty, prompting investors to adjust their investment strategies in both stock markets and digital assets. These findings confirm that global conflicts are closely linked to the dynamics of domestic financial markets.

This study aims to analyze the effect of monetary policy on economic growth in Indonesia. Monetary policy is an important instrument in maintaining macroeconomic stability and supporting growth, through regulating interest rates, money supply, minimum reserve requirements, and open market operations. This study uses a qualitative descriptive approach by analyzing the role of each monetary indicator and its impact on the real sector. The results of the study indicate that effectively implemented monetary policy is able to stabilize inflation, regulate banking liquidity, maintain the stability of the rupiah exchange rate, and support sustainable economic growth. In addition, the implementation of a dual monetary system in Indonesia provides additional flexibility in monetary management. This study also emphasizes the importance of harmonious coordination between monetary and fiscal policies in order to create optimal synergy in achieving national economic goals.    

In recent years, both global and domestic economic uncertainties have increasingly influenced the movement of Indonesia’s JCI and GDP. This study aims to examine how various factors including news sentiment, exchange rates, and interest rates affect the JCI as a proxy for economic growth expectations, and GDP as a reflection of actual economic growth. Using quarterly data from 2016 to 2024, the analysis is conducted through the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to identify both short-term and long-term effects. The results show that these variables collectively have a significant impact on both the JCI and GDP. In the short term, the JCI is found to respond more quickly to changes in information and policy, reinforcing its role as a leading indicator. In contrast, GDP responds more slowly, with exchange rates and the BI interest rate showing a significant influence in the long term. These findings highlight that economic information and policies may affect the financial market and the real economy differently, underscoring the importance of understanding expectation dynamics in assessing the direction of Indonesia’s economic growth.

The objective of this study is to examine whether the macroeconomic variables Exchange Rate, Money Supply (M2), and the international stock indices Dow Jones Islamic Market (DJIM) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) have an influence on the movement of Sharia stocks in Indonesia and Malaysia (Jakarta Islamic Index and FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Shariah Index). The analytical method used in this research is multiple regression analysis. The data utilized are monthly data spanning the period from January 2015 to December 2024. The results of the study indicate that the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) is significantly influenced by the Exchange Rate and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). Specifically, both the Exchange Rate and DJIA show effects that are consistent with the hypothesis expectations. The Exchange Rate has a negative and significant effect on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII), while the DJIA has a positive and significant effect. Meanwhile, the Money Supply (M2) and the Dow Jones Islamic Market (DJIM) are not found to have a significant effect on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Shariah Index (FHSI), on the other hand, is significantly influenced by the Dow Jones Islamic Market (DJIM). Specifically, DJIM has a positive and significant effect on FHSI. Conversely, the Exchange Rate, Money Supply (M2), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are not found to have a significant effect on the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Shariah Index (FHSI).

This research is an attempt to analyze and measure the impact of structural shocks to the US dollar exchange rate on the performance indicators of the Iraqi economy during the limited period (2004 to 2022) using the Kaldor square framework, which is based on four main components (economic growth, inflation, unemployment, and trade balance). Analytical and quantitative methods were rummage-sale to reveal the countryside of the relationship between these variables, through analyzing annual data and key economic indicators, using standard economic models and applying the (SVAR) technique. The study concluded that structural shocks to the exchange rate had varying effects on the components of the Kaldor square. The results showed a strong relationship between the exchange rate, economic growth, and the trade balance, while its impact on unemployment and inflation varied depending on the time period and political and economic developments. The study recommends adopting flexible monetary and fiscal policies that contribute to reducing exchange rate volatility and enhancing macroeconomic stability, which positively impacts sustainable structural growth.Inflation

This study aims to analyze the comparison of solvency levels and claim payment abilities between two general insurance companies in Indonesia, PT Asuransi Dayin Mitra Tbk (ASDM) and PT Asuransi Jasa Tania Tbk (ASJT), considering the macroeconomic conditions in 2023. The methods used are qualitative and quantitative comparative analyses based on the audited financial statements and annual reports of both companies, as well as a review of macroeconomic data from official sources. The findings indicate that ASDM and ASJT managed to achieve positive performance despite economic challenges, with ASJT recording higher growth in premiums and net income. Both companies maintained solvency ratios above regulatory thresholds and controlled claims ratios. Business strategy adaptation, sound governance, and effective risk management contributed to these achievements. Macroeconomic factors such as inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates were found to influence the performance of both companies, with varying levels of sensitivity depending on their market segment focus. These findings provide valuable insights into the dynamics of the insurance business in Indonesia and highlight opportunities and challenges that industry stakeholders need to anticipate..

This research explores how several monetary policy and commodities market influence the movement of the Indonesia Composite Index (IHSG). Monetary policy is a set of actions taken by the central bank to regulate the currency and the economy, variable proxy is Rupiah Exchange Rate (Jisdor) and Indonesia Overnight Index Average (indONIA). Commodity markets are places where commodities are traded in physical or futures, the needs of the world still depend on certain commodities so that commodity prices can be related to economic conditions, variable proxy of comodities market is Gold, Crude Oil WTI, Coal Newcastle. Indonesia Composite Index is a index that reflects the price movements of all stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The study analyzes monthly data from January 2019 to December 2023, a period before the global disruption of the COVID-19 pandemic, the period during the pandemic and the gradual economic rebound that followed. Using multiple linear regression analysis, the study assesses the direction and statistical relevance of each variable’s effect on the Indonesia Composite Index. The results suggest that Indonesia Overnight Index Average and Crude Oil WTI prices have a significant positive impact on the index, the Rupiah Exchange Rate has a significant negative impact on the index, while Gold and Coal Newcastle have no significant impact on the index. These findings can serve as a useful reference for both investors and policymakers in understanding and anticipating movements in Indonesia’s capital market, especially in relation to monetary policy and global commodity trends.

The purpose of this study is to examine how the growth of digital payment systems has affected Indonesia's financial system and rupiah stability. More people are using digital payment methods like e-money, credit cards, debit cards, RTGS, and QRIS as a result of technical advancements. Additionally, Bank Indonesia still encourages the adoption of digital payment methods to speed up, secure, and streamline transactions. The Two Stage Least Squares (TSLS) method is used in this study's simultaneous regression model, which employs secondary data from 2020 to 2024. The findings indicate that while inflation has a positive but negligible impact on the exchange rate, the use of credit cards and RTGS has a considerable positive impact. In the meantime, debit cards and e-money significantly reduce inflation. Inflation is significantly reduced by QRIS and the exchange rate. In order to maintain Indonesia's economic stability, it is crucial to keep enhancing literacy and security when using digital payment methods.

This study examines the dilemma of rice import policy in Indonesia within the context of international trade and food security challenges. Rice, as a strategic commodity, holds significant social, economic, and political value, making import policies highly influential on price stability, farmers’ welfare, and national food security. The research identifies that import policies are often misaligned with domestic needs due to weak inter-institutional coordination, data inaccuracies, and pressures from political and business interests. As a result, import policies frequently create imbalances between the interests of consumers, traders, and local farmers, while also reducing the competitiveness of domestic rice due to inefficiencies in the distribution chain and post-harvest infrastructure. This study emphasizes the importance of data-based, transparent, and farmer-protective governance of rice import policies to strengthen national food security amid global trade liberalization pressures. hain, trade liberalization.

The purpose of this research is to examine the variables that affect stock prices in the commerce and service and consumer products industries that are listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.  This research study is quantitative in nature.  The information was taken from annual and financial reports that were posted on the websites of the individual companies as well as the Indonesia Stock Exchange's official website (www.idx.co.id).  The population consists of all 137 consumer products, commerce, and service businesses that were listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange between 2009 and 2013.  Seventy-seven businesses satisfied the sample requirements based on preset criteria.  Multiple linear regression analysis was used to examine the data.  The findings demonstrate that the three sets of variables—systematic risk, macroeconomic indicators, and firm fundamentals—all significantly and favorably affect stock prices at the same time.  Stock prices are positively and significantly impacted by the following factors, in part: Return on Equity (ROE), Earnings per Share (EPS), Book Value (BV), Net Profit Margin (NPM), and inflation.  In contrast, the market beta, GDP, exchange rate, and BI rate have no discernible effects, but the debt to equity ratio (DER) has a negative and substantial influence.  With an Adjusted R Square value of 62.4%, the study's independent variables may account for a significant portion of stock price fluctuations, with additional factors outside the model influencing the remaining 37.6%.

This research discusses the implementation of PSAK 221, which regulates the impact of foreign exchange rate changes on the financial statements of PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk, particularly related to foreign currency transactions. PSAK 221 establishes the methods for recording and reporting foreign currency transactions and recognizing exchange rate differences arising from exchange rate fluctuations. In the context of PT Adaro, which operates in the mining sector and frequently conducts international transactions, implementing this standard is crucial to maintaining the accuracy and transparency of financial reports that stakeholders require. This research aims to guide PT Adaro in managing foreign currency transactions and recording the impact of exchange rate fluctuations by PSAK 221 provisions to ensure accurate, transparent, and compliant financial statements with applicable accounting standards. This research uses a qualitative descriptive method, with a document study approach, to analyze the annual financial statements of PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk. The data used consists of secondary data obtained from the company’s financial statements and foreign currency transaction records, covering 2024, to identify the application of PSAK 221 in foreign currency transactions and its impact on the financial statements.