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Nugraha, Giananda Saktika; Priyambodo, Pamungkas Haryo; Rahmayuna, Novita; Hidayati, Nurtriana

Dinamik 2026 Universitas Stikubank

This study aims to evaluate and compare the performance of two neural network architectures under the Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) category, namely Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), in predicting earthquake magnitude in Indonesia. The dataset used consists of daily earthquake magnitude records from 2008 to 2023, preprocessed into time series format and normalized using the MinMax method. The training process was conducted using various combinations of batch size and epoch, and evaluated using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and relative prediction accuracy. The evaluation results show that LSTM with a batch size of 32 and 50 epochs provides the best prediction performance, achieving a MAE of 0.2227 and 93.65% accuracy. Meanwhile, GRU performed optimally at a batch size of 64 and 50 epochs, with a MAE of 0.2229 and 93.66% accuracy. The prediction visualization shows that LSTM offers greater stability and precision in tracking actual data patterns. These findings indicate that LSTM holds stronger potential for supporting earthquake prediction systems based on time series data.

Hermanto, Muhammad Haris; Sutedi, Sutedi

Dinamik 2026 Universitas Stikubank

Current advances in information technology have encouraged universities to utilize student academic data as a basis for decision-making, one of which is predicting academic achievement. This study aims to apply the C4.5 algorithm to develop a system for predicting student academic success in the Islamic Religious Education Study Program. This method was chosen because it produces a decision tree model that is easy to understand and has a high level of accuracy. The data used comes from student achievement indexes from semesters 1 to 5. The research results showed that the prediction system achieved 99.62% accuracy and achieved high recall precision across each class category. This demonstrates the effectiveness of the C4.5 algorithm in predicting student academic achievement and has the potential to serve as a valuable tool for decision-makers in higher education.

Wahjuningsih, Tri Pudji; Setiawan, Tri Agus; Ilyas, Agus; Subagyo, Ahmad

Dinamik 2026 Universitas Stikubank

Credit scoring is an important element in decision-making for providing financing, especially for microfinance institutions. Several methods for predicting credit scoring include Decession Tree, Gradient Boosted, Neural Network, K-NN, and Rule Induction. This study aims to improve the accuracy of financing risk prediction by efficiently integrating historical data. The Neural Network (NN) algorithm is a machine learning algorithm consisting of neurons (nodes) connected to each other in several layers (input, hidden, and output). NN is used for pattern recognition, classification, regression, and complex non-linear modeling. The NN algorithm has the advantage of working well on large and diverse data and unstructured data. However, the NN algorithm has weaknesses such as overfitting and data dependence. In this study, the integration of the Sample Bootstrapping and Weighted Principal Component Analysis (PCA) methods is proposed to improve optimal accuracy in the NN algorithm. The Sample Bootstrapping method is used to reduce the amount of training data to be processed. The Weighted PCA method is used to reduce attributes. This study uses a financing customer dataset. The results of the study show that the integration of the NN algorithm with Sample Bootstrapping and Weighted PCA resulted in an accuracy increase of 1-3% (97%-99%) compared to other algorithms. Therefore, it can be concluded that the integration of the NN algorithm with Sample Bootstrapping and Weighted PCA produces better accuracy than other algorithms

Eniyati, Sri; Noor Santi, Rina Candra; Yulianton, Heribertus; Sunardi, Sunardi; Sulastri, Sulastri +1 more

Dinamik 2025 Universitas Stikubank

This study aims to analyze and compare the performance of the Naive Bayes, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Decision Tree algorithms in predicting the purchase intention of e-commerce visitors using the Online Shoppers Purchasing Intention Dataset, which consists of 12,330 records and 18 variables, with the Revenue variable serving as the classification target. The preprocessing stage involved transforming categorical and boolean variables into numerical form, standardizing features using StandardScaler, and splitting the dataset into 80 percent training data and 20 percent testing data. Model evaluation was conducted using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and ROC-AUC metrics, and was further strengthened by 10-fold cross-validation to obtain more stable results. The findings indicate that KNN achieved the highest accuracy of 0.866180, while Naive Bayes produced the highest recall value of 0.690998 and the highest ROC-AUC value of 0.821696. Meanwhile, Decision Tree demonstrated relatively balanced performance with an accuracy of 0.857259 and an F1-score of 0.571776, whereas the cross-validation results identified KNN as the model with the highest average accuracy of 0.8770. These findings suggest that the selection of a classification model for purchase intention prediction cannot rely solely on a single evaluation metric, as each algorithm possesses different strengths. Therefore, a comparative approach among algorithms can help determine the most suitable model for supporting consumer behavior analysis on e-commerce platforms.

Hutabarat, Lerry Yos Santa Angelina; Juliandra, Vella; Pratama, Febryan; Indra, Evta

Dinamik 2025 Universitas Stikubank

This study analyzes the prediction of poverty levels in North Sumatra Province by applying the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method based on time series integrated with Google Earth Engine (GEE). Historical poverty data of districts/cities were obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and processed using Python in Google Colab for LSTM model training. The prediction results are visualized spatially in the form of thematic maps through GEE to identify areas with high poverty rates. The evaluation model was carried out by calculating MAE, RMSE, MAPE, and prediction accuracy, with most areas having an accuracy above 80%. These findings indicate that this approach is effective in mapping poverty trends and supporting data-driven policies. This predictive model can be the basis for more targeted social interventions and strategies for developing inclusive and sustainable regional development.