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Agustin, Yolanda Dhea; Widuri, Trisnia; Nadhiroh, Umi

Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Manajemen (EBISMEN) 2025 FEB Universitas Maritim Semarang

This study aims to analyze the prediction of financial distress using the Altman Z-Score, Springate, and Zmijewski methods at PT Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk in 2019-2023. This type of research is descriptive research with a quantitative approach. Using secondary data with documentation techniques and literature studies in the form of related company financial reports, books, articles, journals and other publications related to the research topic. The sampling technique was carried out using a purposive sampling method. The sample in this study was obtained using a purposive sampling technique and obtained as many as 5 financial reports from the company PT Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk for the period 2019-2023. The results of the study show that the results of calculations using the Altman Z-Score method indicate that in 2019-2023 PT Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk experienced fluctuations in the company consistently still in the category of bankruptcy, the Springate method shows that the company experienced a decline in its financial performance, and the Zmijewski method shows that companies that experience fluctuations in financial performance conditions, Although there are fluctuations in the X-Score value and improvements in certain years.

Ariani, Bella; Idris, Ahmad; Widuri, Trisnia

Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Manajemen (EBISMEN) 2025 FEB Universitas Maritim Semarang

This research is motivated by significant fluctuations and a decline in profits for companies in the clothing and luxury goods subsector listed on the IDX for the period 2021-2023, indicating potential financial difficulties. This research aims to evaluate the company's condition using four prediction models, namely Altman-ZScore, Springate, Fulmer, and Taffler, and to determine the most suitable model for the sector. The method applied is quantitative comparative with a purposive sample of 11 companies, using financial statement data from 2021-2023 and analyzed using the formulas for each predictive model. The research findings indicate that the four models produce different predictions regarding the company's financial condition. Additionally, there are differences in the accuracy levels of the four models. The Springate and Taffler models achieved the highest accuracy rate of 85%, followed by Altman at 67% and Fulmer at 64%. The findings of this study confirm that the Springate model is the most reliable tool for early warning for companies and stakeholders, enabling faster preventive measures to prevent bankruptcy.