Penerapan Metode Time Series Dalam Forecasting Penjualan Pada “Nasi Goreng Bacot”

Bagas Adil Putrajaya ; Agung Brastama Putra ; Rizka Hadiwiyanti
Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Infor... 📅 2024 Vol 2, No 3 🔗 DOI: 10.61132/neptunus.v2i3.244
Abstract
The restaurant industry in Indonesia has experienced significant growth, driving the need for data-driven strategies to remain competitive. This study aims to apply and compare time series methods in forecasting sales at "Nasi Goreng Bacot" restaurant. The methods used are Simple Moving Average (SMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), and Single Exponential Smoothing (SES), with a focus on sales data from the year 2023.The research results indicate that SMA provides the most accurate predictions, with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) value of 296.67, Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 129055.6, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 3.02%. WMA and SES, although useful in certain data conditions, show higher error rates in this case. This study confirms the effectiveness of SMA in the context of stable and less fluctuating restaurant sales data. With these results, restaurants can plan their inventory of raw materials and workforce more efficiently, reduce waste, and improve customer satisfaction.
 
 
 
Keywords
Forecasting; Time Series; Simple Moving Average; Weighted Moving Average; Single Exponential Smoothing; Restaurant Sales.
How to Cite

Bagas Adil Putrajaya, et al. (2024). Penerapan Metode Time Series Dalam Forecasting Penjualan Pada “Nasi Goreng Bacot”. Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi, 2(3). https://doi.org/10.61132/neptunus.v2i3.244

Bagas Adil Putrajaya; Agung Brastama Putra; Rizka Hadiwiyanti, "Penerapan Metode Time Series Dalam Forecasting Penjualan Pada “Nasi Goreng Bacot”," Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi, vol. 2, no. 3, 2024.

Bagas Adil Putrajaya; Agung Brastama Putra; Rizka Hadiwiyanti. "Penerapan Metode Time Series Dalam Forecasting Penjualan Pada “Nasi Goreng Bacot”." Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi, vol. 2, no. 3, 2024.

Bagas Adil Putrajaya; Agung Brastama Putra; Rizka Hadiwiyanti. "Penerapan Metode Time Series Dalam Forecasting Penjualan Pada “Nasi Goreng Bacot”." Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi 2, no. 3 (2024).

Bagas Adil Putrajaya, et al. (2024) 'Penerapan Metode Time Series Dalam Forecasting Penjualan Pada “Nasi Goreng Bacot”', Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi, 2(3). doi: 10.61132/neptunus.v2i3.244.

Bagas Adil Putrajaya; Agung Brastama Putra; Rizka Hadiwiyanti. Penerapan Metode Time Series Dalam Forecasting Penjualan Pada “Nasi Goreng Bacot”. Neptunus: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Dan Teknologi Informasi. 2024;2(3).

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